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Rule of law and economic performance: A meta-regression analysis 法治与经济绩效：元回归分析
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102677
Egnate Shamugia
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引用次数: 0
Weapons and influence: Unpacking the impact of Chinese arms exports on the UNGA voting alignment 武器与影响：解读中国武器出口对联合国大会投票路线的影响
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102666
Xiaoyu He , Yawen Zheng , Yiwen Chen
{"title":"Weapons and influence: Unpacking the impact of Chinese arms exports on the UNGA voting alignment","authors":"Xiaoyu He ,&nbsp;Yawen Zheng ,&nbsp;Yiwen Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102666","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102666","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the research exploring factors shaping China’s influence, such causal influence from the perspective of Chinese arms transfers remains to be seen. In this study, we use arms exports and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) voting data from 140 non-OECD countries between 1990 and 2021 to estimate the causal effect of Chinese arms exports on the recipients’ voting alignments with China in the UNGA, with the voting alignment measured by the proportion of votes that a recipient casts in agreement with China. By using the interaction between the annual exchange rate and cross-country frequencies of receiving arms to construct an instrument, we isolate cleaner exogenous variations in Chinese arms exports. The 2SLS estimates reveal that Chinese arms exports lead to a significant increase in the share of votes cast in favor of China. We also offer plausible explanations for our findings, suggesting that arms recipients may be incentivized to align with China due to the strategic necessity of maintaining their ruling authority and the long-term dependence on Chinese arms supplies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102666"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143799970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Starting young: How age limits shape political participation 从年轻开始：年龄如何限制政治参与
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102672
Chloe Nibourel , Mattias Folkestad
{"title":"Starting young: How age limits shape political participation","authors":"Chloe Nibourel ,&nbsp;Mattias Folkestad","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102672","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102672","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using rich data on Swedish politicians, this paper documents the importance of the first experience of an election on future political participation. A difference-in-discontinuity design, based on the interaction between the month of birth and the timing of elections, allows us to compare the behavior of individuals who can vote and run for office in an election for the second time to individuals of similar age who participate for the first time. We find that, while turnout rates of both groups remain the same, more demanding measures of political engagement, such as running for office and being elected, rise by 10%–14% and 60%–70%, respectively, with the second participation. We discuss the role of parties’ screening in generating these results. We then explore the consequences of lowering the minimum age limit to 16 years old on the age profiles of politicians.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102672"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143881845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social mobility and political stability 社会流动性和政治稳定性
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102665
Weicheng Lyu
{"title":"Social mobility and political stability","authors":"Weicheng Lyu","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102665","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102665","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the occurrence of revolutions in an economy consisting of elites and ordinary citizens. In the economy, elites obtain a disproportionate share of income and maintain their children’s status within the elite class by nepotism. Meanwhile, nepotism obstructs the path for capable individuals to enter the elite class, thereby enhancing the citizens’ relative advantage in capable manpower. In response, citizens may resort to revolutions for a larger share of national income. As the citizens’ relative advantage rises, the difficulty of launching a revolution declines; once it reaches some threshold, a revolution occurs. However, social mobility imposes institutional constraints on nepotism, thus playing a pivotal role in determining the occurrence of revolutions. In this context, we offer an explanation for the periodicity of dynasties and propose an optimal scheme to increase social mobility and prevent revolutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102665"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143828955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do large, sustained economic freedom reforms hurt or improve women's economic rights? 大规模、持续的经济自由改革会损害还是改善妇女的经济权利？
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102671
Tibor Rutar
{"title":"Do large, sustained economic freedom reforms hurt or improve women's economic rights?","authors":"Tibor Rutar","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102671","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102671","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does economic freedom come at the expense of women's economic rights, or does it instead help improve them? Presently, there are almost no studies investigating this issue, and what evidence exists is mostly correlational. This paper presents findings from matching analyses with the explicit aim of addressing the likely endogenous relationship between economic freedom and respect for women's economic rights. Using the latest data (up to 2022), estimates from matching methods, as well as supplementary regressions based on conditional mixed-processes, all point to economic freedom having an improving effect. Two components of economic freedom – sound money and freedom of international trade – seem most likely to drive the aggregate result. The uncovered positive aggregate effect is robust to an extensive set of control variables, tweaks in the operationalization of treatment, and varying the post-treatment period.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102671"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143715156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Random walks into democracy and back: The case against causal explanations of democratization 随机走向民主，又回到民主：反对民主化的因果解释的案例
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102667
Thomas Apolte
{"title":"Random walks into democracy and back: The case against causal explanations of democratization","authors":"Thomas Apolte","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102667","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102667","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Due to the complexity of historical processes that have led into sustainable democracy, determining generally applicable theories of democratization without violating standards of modern methodology is difficult if not impossible. Hence, we follow an alternative avenue by distinguishing singular democratization events from the politico-institutional soil on which they fall. We represent the latter by the type of loyalty on which government officials coordinate in cases of loyalty conflicts: either to other government officials; or to the rules of the underlying power-sharing arrangement. We embed our results in a dynamic framework and then run a number of simulations that reconstruct possible historical paths into and out of (sustainable) democracy. We demonstrate that the evolution of sustainable democracy, but also its demise, may evolve out of a purely random walk, i.e. a sequence of serially — although not necessarily spatially — uncorrelated historical events, rather than out of any identifiable and generalizable causal driver.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102667"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143706341","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How do local governments and housing markets respond to demographic information shocks? Evidence from Japan’s Extinction Risk List 地方政府和房地产市场如何应对人口信息冲击？来自日本濒危物种名单的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102663
Shinya Inukai
{"title":"How do local governments and housing markets respond to demographic information shocks? Evidence from Japan’s Extinction Risk List","authors":"Shinya Inukai","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102663","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102663","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many countries face the prospect of shrinking populations. I use a unique event—the publication of a list of Japanese municipalities at risk of extinction by 2040—to estimate the impacts of declining populations on municipalities and housing markets using difference-in-differences models. The results show that the shock increases of 23.5% in regional development spending and 11.5% in child-oriented spending and a decrease of 3.67% in housing sales prices. Notably, by using the score information calculated for the judgment of possible extinction, I obtain a consistent result when limiting the sample to municipalities with a score close to the judgment threshold. This supports the interpretation that the effects on local government policy and housing markets are due to the adverse signal caused by the list publication rather than the demographic trends.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102663"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143682251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fiscal policy preferences: Evidence from conjoint experiments in Poland 财政政策偏好：来自波兰联合实验的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102664
Jakub Bartak , Łukasz Jabłoński , Katarzyna Obłąkowska
{"title":"Fiscal policy preferences: Evidence from conjoint experiments in Poland","authors":"Jakub Bartak ,&nbsp;Łukasz Jabłoński ,&nbsp;Katarzyna Obłąkowska","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102664","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102664","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper examines public preferences for fiscal policy in Poland using two complementary Adaptive Choice-Based Conjoint (ACBC) experiments on a representative sample of Polish adults. The first experiment – the expenditure conjoint – tests whether and how much respondents are willing to pay in higher taxes to secure additional public services in several crucial domains. The second experiment – the tax conjoint – follows up on these findings by asking how citizens would prefer to pay, testing support for alternative tax solutions. Each proposed tax package is budget neutral, but varies in how burdens are distributed, allowing for an assessment of progressive versus regressive preferences. The study finds support for increased government spending in key policy areas (defense, health, education, and pensions), accompanied by a willingness to finance these expansions through higher taxes. Despite the conventional view of Poland as tax-averse, many respondents appear willing to accept higher taxes if they perceive tangible returns. The results show also a clear preference for tax solutions that shift the burden toward better-off individuals and enhance tax progression. Overall, these findings suggest that, even in tax-skeptical contexts, public preferences can align in favor of higher taxes when benefits are clearly communicated and fairness concerns are addressed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102664"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143682250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Education and tolerance towards Homosexuality—Evidence from China 对同性恋的教育与宽容——来自中国的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102662
Jiajun Han , Yuan Zhang
{"title":"Education and tolerance towards Homosexuality—Evidence from China","authors":"Jiajun Han ,&nbsp;Yuan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102662","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102662","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Once education is devoid of liberty-related concepts, like civil liberty and nonconformity, could it still change attitudes to homosexuality, especially in developing countries? Using China's enactment of compulsory schooling laws in the 1980s, which shaped noticeable kinks with less evident jumps in educational attainment across cohorts, this paper shows that an improvement in education increased tolerance towards homosexuality, measured in the 2010s, by employing a regression probability jump and kink design. Assessing distributional effects, the marginal treatment effect approach suggests the liberalizing effects of secondary education are most pronounced for those with the highest resistance to high school completion. Furthermore, the education-boosted preference for internet usage, richness of cultural activities, gentler ambience of working and egalitarian gender view might underlie the potential mechanism.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102662"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143600467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reform windfall as redistribution: A survey experiment on redistributive preferences in contemporary China 作为再分配的改革意外之财：当代中国再分配偏好调查实验
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2025-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102651
Margot Belguise , Nora Yuqian Chen , Yuchen Huang , Zhexun Mo
{"title":"Reform windfall as redistribution: A survey experiment on redistributive preferences in contemporary China","authors":"Margot Belguise ,&nbsp;Nora Yuqian Chen ,&nbsp;Yuchen Huang ,&nbsp;Zhexun Mo","doi":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102651","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102651","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China has experienced a remarkable rise in living standards over four decades of economic reforms, alongside a tremendous increase in inequalities. In this context, do Chinese people support redistribution of wealth gained through reform windfalls? To answer this question, we conducted an online survey experiment with a nationally representative sample from China (<em>N</em> = 2<em>,</em>000). The treatment group was shown examples of wealth acquired through typical reform-era pathways requiring minimal ability or effort. This exposure led to a 0.1 standard deviation decrease in their support for redistribution. We propose a “reform windfall as redistribution” mechanism to explain this reduction: the treated group perceives the reform era as inherently redistributive, providing opportunities to escape systemic inequalities tied to the political system, thereby reducing the perceived need for formal redistribution. This decline in support is not driven by changes in fairness perceptions, as respondents do not attribute the wealth acquisition scenarios to ability or effort, nor do they view them as distinctly fair or unfair. Furthermore, we find limited evidence of heterogeneity, with one exception: individuals reporting higher economic pressure show an even greater reduction in redistributive support when exposed to the treatment. We hypothesize that this occurs because unmet expectations for upward mobility exacerbate their reactions to the treatment scenarios.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51439,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Economy","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102651"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143527090","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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