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Content-Aware Human Mobility Pattern Extraction. 内容感知的人类移动模式提取。
IF 2.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0281
Shengwen Li, Chaofan Fan, Tianci Li, Renyao Chen, Qingyuan Liu, Junfang Gong
{"title":"Content-Aware Human Mobility Pattern Extraction.","authors":"Shengwen Li, Chaofan Fan, Tianci Li, Renyao Chen, Qingyuan Liu, Junfang Gong","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/big.2022.0281","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Extracting meaningful patterns of human mobility from accumulating trajectories is essential for understanding human behavior. However, previous works identify human mobility patterns based on the spatial co-occurrence of trajectories, which ignores the effect of activity content, leaving challenges in effectively extracting and understanding patterns. To bridge this gap, this study incorporates the activity content of trajectories to extract human mobility patterns, and proposes acontent-aware mobility pattern model. The model first embeds the activity content in distributed continuous vector space by taking point-of-interest as an agent and then extracts representative and interpretable mobility patterns from human trajectory sets using a derived topic model. To investigate the performance of the proposed model, several evaluation metrics are developed, including pattern coherence, pattern similarity, and manual scoring. A real-world case study is conducted, and its experimental results show that the proposed model improves interpretability and helps to understand mobility patterns. This study provides not only a novel solution and several evaluation metrics for human mobility patterns but also a method reference for fusing content semantics of human activities for trajectory analysis and mining.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141565068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An Intelligent Channel Estimation Algorithm Based on Extended Model for 5G-V2X. 基于 5G-V2X 扩展模型的智能信道估计算法。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-27 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0029
Jie Huang, Cheng Xu, Zhaohua Ji, Shan Xiao, Teng Liu, Nan Ma, Qinghui Zhou
{"title":"An Intelligent Channel Estimation Algorithm Based on Extended Model for 5G-V2X.","authors":"Jie Huang, Cheng Xu, Zhaohua Ji, Shan Xiao, Teng Liu, Nan Ma, Qinghui Zhou","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0029","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0029","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Car networking systems based on 5G-V2X (vehicle-to-everything) have high requirements for reliability and low-latency communication to further improve communication performance. In the V2X scenario, this article establishes an extended model (basic expansion model) suitable for high-speed mobile scenarios based on the sparsity of the channel impulse response. And propose a channel estimation algorithm based on deep learning, the method designed a multilayer convolutional neural network to complete frequency domain interpolation. A two-way control cycle gating unit (bidirectional gated recurrent unit) is designed to predict the state in the time domain. And introduce speed parameters and multipath parameters to accurately train channel data under different moving speed environments. System simulation shows that the proposed algorithm can accurately train the number of channels. Compared with the traditional car networking channel estimation algorithm, the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of channel estimation and effectively reduces the bit error rate.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"127-140"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9328213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Preemptive Epidemic Information Transmission Model Using Nonreplication Edge Node Connectivity in Health Care Networks. 在医疗网络中使用无复制边缘节点连接的抢先式流行病信息传输模型
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0278
Chandu Thota, Constandinos X Mavromoustakis, George Mastorakis
{"title":"Preemptive Epidemic Information Transmission Model Using Nonreplication Edge Node Connectivity in Health Care Networks.","authors":"Chandu Thota, Constandinos X Mavromoustakis, George Mastorakis","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0278","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0278","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The reliability in medical data organization and transmission is eased with the inheritance of information and communication technologies in recent years. The growth of digital communication and sharing medium imposes the necessity for optimizing the accessibility and transmission of sensitive medical data to the end-users. In this article, the Preemptive Information Transmission Model (PITM) is introduced for improving the promptness in medical data delivery. This transmission model is designed to acquire the least communication in an epidemic region for seamless information availability. The proposed model makes use of a noncyclic connection procedure and preemptive forwarding inside and outside the epidemic region. The first is responsible for replication-less connection maximization ensuring better availability of the edge nodes. The connection replications are reduced using the pruning tree classifiers based on the communication time and delivery balancing factor. The later process is responsible for the reliable forwarding of the acquired data using a conditional selection of the infrastructure units. Both the processes of PITM are accountable for improving the delivery of observed medical data, over better transmissions, communication time, and achieving fewer delays.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"141-154"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9440721","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Image Smart Segmentation Analysis Against Diabetic Foot Ulcer Using Internet of Things with Virtual Sensing. 利用虚拟传感物联网对糖尿病足溃疡进行图像智能分割分析。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0283
Chandu Thota, Dinesh Jackson Samuel, Mustafa Musa Jaber, M M Kamruzzaman, Renjith V Ravi, Lydia J Gnanasigamani, R Premalatha
{"title":"Image Smart Segmentation Analysis Against Diabetic Foot Ulcer Using Internet of Things with Virtual Sensing.","authors":"Chandu Thota, Dinesh Jackson Samuel, Mustafa Musa Jaber, M M Kamruzzaman, Renjith V Ravi, Lydia J Gnanasigamani, R Premalatha","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0283","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0283","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is a problem worldwide, and prevention is crucial. The image segmentation analysis of DFU identification plays a significant role. This will produce different segmentation of the same idea, incomplete, imprecise, and other problems. To address these issues, a method of image segmentation analysis of DFU through internet of things with the technique of virtual sensing for semantically similar objects, the analysis of four levels of range segmentation (region-based, edge-based, image-based, and computer-aided design-based range segmentation) for deeper segmentation of images is implemented. In this study, the multimodal is compressed with the object co-segmentation for semantical segmentation. The result is predicting the better validity and reliability assessment. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model can efficiently perform segmentation analysis, with a lower error rate, than the existing methodologies. The findings on the multiple-image dataset show that DFU obtains an average segmentation score of 90.85% and 89.03% correspondingly in two types of labeled ratios before DFU with virtual sensing and after DFU without virtual sensing (i.e., 25% and 30%), which is an increase of 10.91% and 12.22% over the previous best results. In live DFU studies, our proposed system improved by 59.1% compared with existing deep segmentation-based techniques and its average image smart segmentation improvements over its contemporaries are 15.06%, 23.94%, and 45.41%, respectively. Proposed range-based segmentation achieves interobserver reliability by 73.9% on the positive test namely likelihood ratio test set with only a 0.25 million parameters at the pace of labeled data.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"155-172"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9595875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Opinion Evolution with Information Quality of Public Person and Mass Acceptance Threshold. 公众人物的信息质量与大众接受阈值的舆论演变。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0271
Jing Wei, Yuguang Jia, Wanyi Tie, Hengmin Zhu, Weidong Huang
{"title":"Opinion Evolution with Information Quality of Public Person and Mass Acceptance Threshold.","authors":"Jing Wei, Yuguang Jia, Wanyi Tie, Hengmin Zhu, Weidong Huang","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0271","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0271","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Public persons are nodes with high attention to public events, and their opinions can directly affect the development on events. However, because of rationality, the followers' acceptance to the public persons' opinions will depend on the information trait on public persons' opinions and own comprehension. To study how different opinions of the public persons guide different followers, we build an opinion dynamics model, which would provide a theoretical method for public opinion management. Based on the classical bounded confidence model, we extract the information quality variables and individual trust threshold and introduce them to construct our two-stage opinion evolution model. And then in the simulation experiments, we analyze the different effects of opinion information quality, opinion release time, and frequency on public opinion by adjusting the different parameters. Finally, we added a case to compare real data, the data from classical model simulation and the data from improved model simulation to verify the effectiveness on our model. The research found that the more sufficient the argument and the more moderate the attitude, the more likely to guide the public opinion. If public person holds different opinions and different information quality, he should choose different time to present his opinion to achieve ideal guide effect. When public person holds neutral opinion and the information quality is relatively general, he/she can intervene in public opinion as soon as possible to control final public opinion; when public person holds extreme opinion and the information quality is relatively high, he/she can choose to express opinion after a certain period on public opinion evolution, which is conducive to improve the guidance effect on public opinion. The frequency of releasing opinions of public person consistently has a positive impact on the final public opinion.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"100-109"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9547763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhanced Neural Network-Based Univariate Time-Series Forecasting Model for Big Data. 基于神经网络的大数据单变量时间序列预测模型。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0155
Suyel Namasudra, S Dhamodharavadhani, R Rathipriya, Ruben Gonzalez Crespo, Nageswara Rao Moparthi
{"title":"Enhanced Neural Network-Based Univariate Time-Series Forecasting Model for Big Data.","authors":"Suyel Namasudra, S Dhamodharavadhani, R Rathipriya, Ruben Gonzalez Crespo, Nageswara Rao Moparthi","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0155","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0155","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Big data is a combination of large structured, semistructured, and unstructured data collected from various sources that must be processed before using them in many analytical applications. Anomalies or inconsistencies in big data refer to the occurrences of some data that are in some way unusual and do not fit the general patterns. It is considered one of the major problems of big data. Data trust method (DTM) is a technique used to identify and replace anomaly or untrustworthy data using the interpolation method. This article discusses the DTM used for univariate time series (UTS) forecasting algorithms for big data, which is considered the preprocessing approach by using a neural network (NN) model. In this work, DTM is the combination of statistical-based untrustworthy data detection method and statistical-based untrustworthy data replacement method, and it is used to improve the forecast quality of UTS. In this study, an enhanced NN model has been proposed for big data that incorporates DTMs with the NN-based UTS forecasting model. The coefficient variance root mean squared error is utilized as the main characteristic indicator in the proposed work to choose the best UTS data for model development. The results show the effectiveness of the proposed method as it can improve the prediction process by determining and replacing the untrustworthy big data.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"83-99"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9320511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cloud-Based Advanced Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm for Tasks Scheduling. 基于云的任务调度高级洗牌蛙跳算法。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-04-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0095
Dipesh Kumar, Nirupama Mandal, Yugal Kumar
{"title":"Cloud-Based Advanced Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm for Tasks Scheduling.","authors":"Dipesh Kumar, Nirupama Mandal, Yugal Kumar","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0095","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0095","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In recent years, the world has seen incremental growth in online activities owing to which the volume of data in cloud servers has also been increasing exponentially. With rapidly increasing data, load on cloud servers has increased in the cloud computing environment. With rapidly evolving technology, various cloud-based systems were developed to enhance the user experience. But, the increased online activities around the globe have also increased data load on the cloud-based systems. To maintain the efficiency and performance of the applications hosted in cloud servers, task scheduling has become very important. The task scheduling process helps in reducing the makespan time and average cost by scheduling the tasks to virtual machines (VMs). The task scheduling depends on assigning tasks to VMs to process the incoming tasks. The task scheduling should follow some algorithm for assigning tasks to VMs. Many researchers have proposed different scheduling algorithms for task scheduling in the cloud computing environment. In this article, an advanced form of the shuffled frog optimization algorithm, which works on the nature and behavior of frogs searching for food, has been proposed. The authors have introduced a new algorithm to shuffle the position of frogs in memeplex to obtain the best result. By using this optimization technique, the cost function of the central processing unit, makespan, and fitness function were calculated. The fitness function is the sum of the budget cost function and the makespan time. The proposed method helps in reducing the makespan time as well as the average cost by scheduling the tasks to VMs effectively. Finally, the performance of the proposed advanced shuffled frog optimization method is compared with existing task scheduling methods such as whale optimization-based scheduler (W-Scheduler), sliced particle swarm optimization (SPSO-SA), inverted ant colony optimization algorithm, and static learning particle swarm optimization (SLPSO-SA) in terms of average cost and metric makespan. Experimentally, it was concluded that the proposed advanced frog optimization algorithm can schedule tasks to the VMs more effectively as compared with other scheduling methods with a makespan of 6, average cost of 4, and fitness of 10.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"110-126"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10821344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dual-Path Graph Neural Network with Adaptive Auxiliary Module for Link Prediction. 带自适应辅助模块的双路径图神经网络用于链路预测
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1089/big.2023.0130
Zhenzhen Yang, Zelong Lin, Yongpeng Yang, Jiaqi Li
{"title":"Dual-Path Graph Neural Network with Adaptive Auxiliary Module for Link Prediction.","authors":"Zhenzhen Yang, Zelong Lin, Yongpeng Yang, Jiaqi Li","doi":"10.1089/big.2023.0130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/big.2023.0130","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Link prediction, which has important applications in many fields, predicts the possibility of the link between two nodes in a graph. Link prediction based on Graph Neural Network (GNN) obtains node representation and graph structure through GNN, which has attracted a growing amount of attention recently. However, the existing GNN-based link prediction approaches possess some shortcomings. On the one hand, because a graph contains different types of nodes, it leads to a great challenge for aggregating information and learning node representation from its neighbor nodes. On the other hand, the attention mechanism has been an effect instrument for enhancing the link prediction performance. However, the traditional attention mechanism is always monotonic for query nodes, which limits its influence on link prediction. To address these two problems, a Dual-Path Graph Neural Network (DPGNN) for link prediction is proposed in this study. First, we propose a novel Local Random Features Augmentation for Graph Convolution Network as a baseline of one path. Meanwhile, Graph Attention Network version 2 based on dynamic attention mechanism is adopted as a baseline of the other path. And then, we capture more meaningful node representation and more accurate link features by concatenating the information of these two paths. In addition, we propose an adaptive auxiliary module for better balancing the weight of auxiliary tasks, which brings more benefit to link prediction. Finally, extensive experiments verify the effectiveness and superiority of our proposed DPGNN for link prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140289590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating the Co-Movement and Asymmetric Relationships of Oil Prices on the Shipping Stock Returns: Evidence from Three Shipping-Flagged Companies from Germany, South Korea, and Taiwan. 探究油价对航运股回报的共动和非对称关系:来自德国、韩国和台湾的三家航运滞后公司的证据。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1089/big.2023.0026
Jumadil Saputra, Kasypi Mokhtar, Anuar Abu Bakar, Siti Marsila Mhd Ruslan
{"title":"Investigating the Co-Movement and Asymmetric Relationships of Oil Prices on the Shipping Stock Returns: Evidence from Three Shipping-Flagged Companies from Germany, South Korea, and Taiwan.","authors":"Jumadil Saputra, Kasypi Mokhtar, Anuar Abu Bakar, Siti Marsila Mhd Ruslan","doi":"10.1089/big.2023.0026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/big.2023.0026","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In the last 2 years, there has been a significant upswing in oil prices, leading to a decline in economic activity and demand. This trend holds substantial implications for the global economy, particularly within the emerging business landscape. Among the influential risk factors impacting the returns of shipping stocks, none looms larger than the volatility in oil prices. Yet, only a limited number of studies have explored the complex relationship between oil price shocks and the dynamics of the liner shipping industry, with specific focus on uncertainty linkages and potential diversification strategies. This study aims to investigate the co-movements and asymmetric associations between oil prices (specifically, West Texas Intermediate and Brent) and the stock returns of three prominent shipping companies from Germany, South Korea, and Taiwan. The results unequivocally highlight the indispensable role of oil prices in shaping both short-term and long-term shipping stock returns. In addition, the research underscores the statistical significance of exchange rates and interest rates in influencing these returns, with their effects varying across different time horizons. Notably, shipping stock prices exhibit heightened sensitivity to positive movements in oil prices, while exchange rates and interest rates exert contrasting impacts, one being positive and the other negative. These findings collectively illuminate the profound influence of market sentiment regarding crucial economic indicators within the global shipping sector.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139736755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long- and Short-Term Memory Model of Cotton Price Index Volatility Risk Based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence. 基于可解释人工智能的棉花价格指数波动风险的长短期记忆模型。
IF 4.6 4区 计算机科学
Big Data Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1089/big.2022.0287
Huosong Xia, Xiaoyu Hou, Justin Zuopeng Zhang
{"title":"Long- and Short-Term Memory Model of Cotton Price Index Volatility Risk Based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence.","authors":"Huosong Xia, Xiaoyu Hou, Justin Zuopeng Zhang","doi":"10.1089/big.2022.0287","DOIUrl":"10.1089/big.2022.0287","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Market uncertainty greatly interferes with the decisions and plans of market participants, thus increasing the risk of decision-making, leading to compromised interests of decision-makers. Cotton price index (hereinafter referred to as cotton price) volatility is highly noisy, nonlinear, and stochastic and is susceptible to supply and demand, climate, substitutes, and other policy factors, which are subject to large uncertainties. To reduce decision risk and provide decision support for policymakers, this article integrates 13 factors affecting cotton price index volatility based on existing research and further divides them into transaction data and interaction data. A long- and short-term memory (LSTM) model is constructed, and a comparison experiment is implemented to analyze the cotton price index volatility. To make the constructed model explainable, we use explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques to perform statistical analysis of the input features. The experimental results show that the LSTM model can accurately analyze the cotton price index fluctuation trend but cannot accurately predict the actual price of cotton; the transaction data plus interaction data are more sensitive than the transaction data in analyzing the cotton price fluctuation trend and can have a positive effect on the cotton price fluctuation analysis. This study can accurately reflect the fluctuation trend of the cotton market, provide reference to the state, enterprises, and cotton farmers for decision-making, and reduce the risk caused by frequent fluctuation of cotton prices. The analysis of the model using XAI techniques builds the confidence of decision-makers in the model.</p>","PeriodicalId":51314,"journal":{"name":"Big Data","volume":" ","pages":"49-62"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136400257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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