Environmetrics最新文献

{"title":"Characterizing Asymptotic Dependence between a Satellite Precipitation Product and Station Data in the Northern US Rocky Mountains via the Tail Dependence Regression Framework With a Gibbs Posterior Inference Approach","authors":"Brook T. Russell,&nbsp;Yiren Ding,&nbsp;Whitney K. Huang,&nbsp;Jamie L. Dyer","doi":"10.1002/env.2890","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2890","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The use of satellite precipitation products (SPP) allows for precipitation information to be collected nearly globally, but questions remain regarding their ability to reproduce extreme precipitation over mountainous terrain. In this work, we assess the ability of the precipitation estimation from remotely sensed information using artificial neural networks-climate data record (PERSIANN-CDR) to capture daily precipitation extremes by comparing PERSIANN-CDR with corresponding station data in the summer at remote locations in the northern US Rocky Mountains of Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana. The assessment utilizes the regular variation framework from extreme value theory and consists of two parts: (1) evaluating the extent to which PERSIANN-CDR can capture precipitation extremes through inference on an asymptotic dependence parameter, concluding that the level of asymptotic dependence is moderate throughout the region; (2) developing a tail dependence regression modeling framework and a Gibbs posterior approach for inference to investigate the degree to which elevation and topographic heterogeneity impact the level of asymptotic dependence, finding that the inclusion of a set of meteorological covariates, when combined with the PERSIANN-CDR output, yields an increased level of asymptotic dependence with station data.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2890","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143253269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Spike and Slab Regression for Nonstationary Gaussian Linear Mixed Effects Modeling of Rapid Disease Progression","authors":"Emrah Gecili,&nbsp;Cole Brokamp,&nbsp;Özgür Asar,&nbsp;Eleni-Rosalina Andrinopoulou,&nbsp;John J. Brewington,&nbsp;Rhonda D. Szczesniak","doi":"10.1002/env.2884","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2884","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Select measures of social and environmental determinants of health (referred to as “geomarkers”), predict rapid lung function decline in cystic fibrosis (CF), defined as a prolonged decline relative to patient and/or center-level norms. The extent to which hyper-localization, defined as increasing the spatiotemporal precision of geomarkers, aids in prediction of rapid lung decline remains unclear. Linear mixed effects (LME) models with specialized covariance functions have been used for predicting rapid lung function decline, but there are few options to properly incorporate spatial correlation into the covariance functions while inducing simultaneous variable selection. Our innovative Bayesian model uses a spike and slab prior for simultaneous variable selection and offers additional advantages when coupled with nonstationary Gaussian LME modeling. This model also incorporates spatial correlation through an additional random effect term that accounts for spatial correlation based on ZIP code distances. We validated the model with simulations and applied it to real CF data from a Midwestern CF Center. We demonstrate how a combination of demographic, clinical, and geomarker variables can be selected as optimal predictors using Bayesian false discovery rate controlling rule. Our results indicate that incorporating spatiotemporal effects and geomarkers into this novel Bayesian stochastic LME model enhances the dynamic prediction of rapid CF disease progression.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143112253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Entropy-Based Assessment of Biodiversity, With Application to Ants' Nests Data","authors":"L. Altieri,&nbsp;D. Cocchi,&nbsp;M. Ventrucci","doi":"10.1002/env.2885","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2885","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The present work takes an innovative point of view in the study of a marked point pattern dataset of two ants' species, over an irregular region with a spatial covariate. The approach, based on entropy measures, brings new insights to the interpretation of the behavior of such ants' nesting habits, which can be exploited in the general area of biodiversity evaluation. We make proper use of descriptive entropy measures and inferential approaches, performing a comparative study of their uncertainty and interpretability in the context of biodiversity. For the first time in the study of these ants' nests data, all the available information is fully exploited, and interpretation guidelines are given for assessing both the observed and the latent biodiversity of the system, with a simultaneous consideration of spatial structures, covariate and interpoint interaction effects. Computations are supported by the new release of our R package SpatEntropy.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2885","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143121058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling nonstationary surface-level ozone extremes through the lens of US air quality standards: A Bayesian hierarchical approach","authors":"Jax Li,&nbsp;Brook T. Russell,&nbsp;Whitney K. Huang,&nbsp;William C. Porter","doi":"10.1002/env.2882","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2882","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;Surface-level ozone (O&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;/msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ {}_3 $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt;) is a harmful air pollutant whose effects may be more deleterious when at its most extreme levels. Current US air quality standards are written in terms of the 3-year average of the 4th highest annual daily maximum 8-h O&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;/msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ {}_3 $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt; values; therefore, developing approaches based on extreme value theory may be useful. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical approach, where the &lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mi&gt;r&lt;/mi&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ r $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt;-largest order statistics are parametrized by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution, while a Gaussian process is employed to characterize how the GEV parameters depend on the O&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;/msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ {}_3 $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt; precursors, namely nitrous oxides (NO&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;/msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ {}_x $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt;) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The fitted model is then used to characterize the upper tail of the distribution of O&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;/msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;/mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;annotation&gt;$$ {}_3 $$&lt;/annotation&gt;\u0000 &lt;/semantics&gt;&lt;/math&gt; and estimate O&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;math&gt;\u0000 &lt;semantics&gt;\u0000 &lt;mrow&gt;\u0000 &lt;msub&gt;\u0000 &lt;mo&gt; &lt;/mo&gt;\u0000 ","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2882","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143253494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Separable Bootstrap Variance Estimation Algorithm for Hierarchical Model-Based Inference of Forest Aboveground Biomass Using Data From NASA's GEDI and Landsat Missions","authors":"Svetlana Saarela,&nbsp;Sean P. Healey,&nbsp;Zhiqiang Yang,&nbsp;Bjørn-Eirik Roald,&nbsp;Paul L. Patterson,&nbsp;Terje Gobakken,&nbsp;Erik Næsset,&nbsp;Zhengyang Hou,&nbsp;Ronald E. McRoberts,&nbsp;Göran Ståhl","doi":"10.1002/env.2883","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2883","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The hierarchical model-based (HMB) statistical method is currently applied in connection with NASA's Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) mission for assessing forest aboveground biomass (AGB) in areas lacking a sufficiently large number of GEDI footprints for employing hybrid inference. This study focuses on variance estimation using a bootstrap procedure that separates the computations into parts, thus considerably reducing the computational time required and making bootstrapping a viable option in this context. The procedure we propose uses a theoretical decomposition of the HMB variance into two parts. Through this decomposition, each variance component can be estimated separately and simultaneously. For demonstrating the proposed procedure, we applied a square-root-transformed ordinary least squares (OLS) model, and parametric bootstrapping, in the first modeling step of HMB. In the second step, we applied a random forest model and pairwise bootstrapping. Monte Carlo simulations showed that the proposed variance estimator is approximately unbiased. The study was performed on an artificial copula-generated population that mimics forest conditions in Oregon, USA, using a dataset comprising AGB, GEDI, and Landsat variables.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2883","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143118329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Bias correction of daily precipitation from climate models, using the Q-GAM method","authors":"Georgia Lazoglou,&nbsp;Theo Economou,&nbsp;Christina Anagnostopoulou,&nbsp;Anna Tzyrkalli,&nbsp;George Zittis,&nbsp;Jos Lelieveld","doi":"10.1002/env.2881","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2881","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate models are useful tools for analyzing historical and projecting future climate conditions. However, the model results tend to differ systematically from observations, particularly for parameters with complex spatial and temporal distributions such as precipitation. A combination of quantile mapping and generalized additive models (GAMs) is presented and proposed as a new method (Q-GAM) for the bias correction of daily precipitation. Q-GAM is demonstrated by using data from five European stations with different climate characteristics. For each station, the closest continental grid point of a EURO-CORDEX climate model was selected for bias correction. A bootstrapping experiment is presented with over 1000 repetitions of randomly splitting the historical period 1981 to 2005 into a calibration and evaluation period. The results for all stations reveal that Q-GAM is a straightforward, accurate and computationally efficient method for the bias correction of precipitation. In particular, the method improves the frequency of dry days and the total annual rainfall amount. This outcome is robust across stations with varying climate characteristics and also to the choice of calibration and evaluation periods. Similar results are also obtained for other precipitation characteristics such as the 0.9 and 0.95 quantiles.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2881","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142430218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A hierarchical constrained density regression model for predicting cluster-level dose-response","authors":"Michael L. Pennell,&nbsp;Matthew W. Wheeler,&nbsp;Scott S. Auerbach","doi":"10.1002/env.2880","DOIUrl":"10.1002/env.2880","url":null,"abstract":"<p>With the advent of new alternative methods for rapid toxicity screening of chemicals comes the need for new statistical methodologies which appropriately synthesize the large amount of data collected. For example, transcriptomic assays can be used to assess the impact of a chemical on thousands of genes, but current approaches to analyzing the data treat each gene separately and do not allow sharing of information among genes within pathways. Furthermore, the methods employed are fully parametric and do not account for changes in distribution shape that may occur at high exposure levels. To address the limitations of these methods, we propose Constrained Logistic Density Regression (COLDER) to model expression data from different genes simultaneously. Under COLDER, the dose-response function for each gene is assigned a prior via a discrete logistic stick-breaking process (LSBP) whose weights depend on gene-level characteristics (e.g., pathway membership) and atoms consist of different dose-response functions subject to a shape constraint that ensures biological plausibility. The posterior distribution for the benchmark dose among genes within the same pathways can be estimated directly from the model, which is another advantage over current methods. The ability of COLDER to predict gene-level dose-response is evaluated in a simulation study and the method is illustrated with data from a National Toxicology Program study of Aflatoxin B1.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2880","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142218933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Under the mantra: ‘Make use of colorblind friendly graphs’","authors":"Duccio Rocchini,&nbsp;Ludovico Chieffallo,&nbsp;Elisa Thouverai,&nbsp;Rossella D'Introno,&nbsp;Francesca Dagostin,&nbsp;Emma Donini,&nbsp;Giles Foody,&nbsp;Simon Garnier,&nbsp;Guilherme G. Mazzochini,&nbsp;Vitezslav Moudry,&nbsp;Bob Rudis,&nbsp;Petra Simova,&nbsp;Michele Torresani,&nbsp;Jakub Nowosad","doi":"10.1002/env.2877","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2877","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Colorblindness is a genetic condition that affects a person's ability to accurately perceive colors. Several papers still exist making use of rainbow colors palette to show output. In such cases, for colorblind people such graphs are meaningless. In this paper, we propose good practices and coding solutions developed in the R Free and Open Source Software to (i) simulate colorblindness, (ii) develop colorblind friendly color palettes and (iii) provide the tools for converting a noncolorblind friendly graph into a new image with improved colors.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2877","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142174254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A flexible and interpretable spatial covariance model for data on graphs","authors":"Michael F. Christensen,&nbsp;Peter D. Hoff","doi":"10.1002/env.2879","DOIUrl":"10.1002/env.2879","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be represented under this assumption. In this article, we develop a new model for spatially correlated data observed on graphs, which can flexibly represented many types of spatial dependence patterns while retaining aspects of the original graph geometry. Our method implies an embedding of the graph into Euclidean space wherein covariance can be modeled using traditional covariance functions, such as those from the Matérn family. We parameterize our model using a class of graph metrics compatible with such covariance functions, and which characterize distance in terms of network flow, a property useful for understanding proximity in many ecological settings. By estimating the parameters underlying these metrics, we recover the “intrinsic distances” between graph nodes, which assist in the interpretation of the estimated covariance and allow us to better understand the relationship between the observed process and spatial domain. We compare our model to existing methods for spatially dependent graph data, primarily conditional autoregressive models and their variants, and illustrate advantages of our method over traditional approaches. We fit our model to bird abundance data for several species in North Carolina, and show how it provides insight into the interactions between species-specific spatial distributions and geography.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142218937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"How to find the best sampling design: A new measure of spatial balance","authors":"Wilmer Prentius,&nbsp;Anton Grafström","doi":"10.1002/env.2878","DOIUrl":"10.1002/env.2878","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We present a novel measure to assess the spatial balance of a sample by utilizing the balancing equation, which captures the balance between the sample units and their neighbours. Spatially balanced samples are desirable as they may reduce the variance of an estimator of a population parameter. If the auxiliary variables we employ to spread the sample possess high explanatory power for the variable(s) of interest, the resulting reduction in variance can be substantial. An advantageous aspect of using auxiliary variables is that their availability is not contingent upon the sampling effort. Therefore, we can assess and compare sampling designs before committing resources to full-scale surveys. By comparing the proposed measure with commonly used measures of spatial balance, we ascertain that our measure consistently yields meaningful insights regarding the spatial balance of samples. Consequently, our measure can effectively differentiate between various designs when planning a survey, evaluate the potential gains from replacing an existing sample, and determine which non-responding units would contribute the most to enhancing the set of responding units.</p>","PeriodicalId":50512,"journal":{"name":"Environmetrics","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/env.2878","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142218935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}