Lifetime Data Analysis最新文献

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Causal effect on the number of life years lost due to a specific event: average treatment effect and variable importance. 因特定事件导致的生命年数减少的因果效应:平均治疗效果和可变重要性。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09712-2
Simon Christoffer Ziersen, Torben Martinussen
{"title":"Causal effect on the number of life years lost due to a specific event: average treatment effect and variable importance.","authors":"Simon Christoffer Ziersen, Torben Martinussen","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09712-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09712-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Competing risk is a common phenomenon when dealing with time-to-event outcomes in biostatistical applications. An attractive estimand in this setting is the \"number of life-years lost due to a specific cause of death\". It provides a direct interpretation on the time-scale on which the data is observed. In this paper, we introduce the causal effect on the number of life years lost due to a specific event and give assumptions under which the average treatment effect (ATE) and the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) are identified from the observed data. Semiparametric estimators for the ATE and a partially linear projection of CATE, serving as a variable importance measure, are proposed. These estimators leverage machine learning for nuisance parameters and are model-agnostic, asymptotically normal, and efficient. We give conditions under which the estimators are asymptotically normal, and their performance is investigated in a simulation study. Lastly, the methods are implemented in a study concerning the response to different antidepressants using data from the Danish national registers.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13427853/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148632474","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction to: Nonparametric estimation of a state entry time distribution conditional on a "past" state occupation in a progressive multistate model with current status data. 修正:在具有当前状态数据的渐进多状态模型中,以“过去”状态职业为条件的状态进入时间分布的非参数估计。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-07-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09719-9
Samuel Anyaso-Samuel, Somnath Datta
{"title":"Correction to: Nonparametric estimation of a state entry time distribution conditional on a \"past\" state occupation in a progressive multistate model with current status data.","authors":"Samuel Anyaso-Samuel, Somnath Datta","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09719-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09719-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148594400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Threshold regression based on geometric Brownian motion with application to stock market prices. 基于几何布朗运动的阈值回归及其在股票市场价格中的应用。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09720-2
Siwarak Sawongnam, Jiraphan Suntornchost
{"title":"Threshold regression based on geometric Brownian motion with application to stock market prices.","authors":"Siwarak Sawongnam, Jiraphan Suntornchost","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09720-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09720-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The threshold regression model, first introduced by Lee and Whitmore in 2006 by combining the concepts of the first hitting time model and linear regression, has been widely applied in the medical context. The model features enhanced capabilities in incorporating information from auxiliary variables to model the target variable. These advances are evident not only in the medical context, but also in finance. Therefore, in this study, we extend the concept of the threshold regression model to financial data focusing on stock market prices. We construct a threshold regression model based on geometric Brownian motion, the conventional underlying process for the first hitting time models in financial data. We demonstrate advantages of the proposed model via applications to the stock exchange of Thailand (SET) compared with three reference models including the first hitting time model based on Brownian motion, the first hitting time model based on geometric Brownian motion, and the threshold regression model based on Brownian motion. Moreover, we enhance the quality of the proposed model by adapting a mixture cure fraction to the model. The results indicate that the proposed threshold regression based on geometric Brownian motion with a cure fraction outperforms other competing models.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148498326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Kolmogorov-Smirnov-type test for dependently double-truncated durations: A copula approach. 依赖双截断持续时间的kolmogorov - smirnov型检验:一种联结方法。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09722-0
Anne-Marie Toparkus, Rafael Weißbach
{"title":"Kolmogorov-Smirnov-type test for dependently double-truncated durations: A copula approach.","authors":"Anne-Marie Toparkus, Rafael Weißbach","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09722-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09722-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Given a double-truncated sample of lifespans, we test the hypothesis of a parametric distribution family for the lifespan. Demography typically certifies the life expectancy to be nonstationary in time. We model the resulting dependence between a lifespan and the birthday of an individual with a copula. Our main example is the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula. The asymptotic null distribution of the test is based on Donsker-class arguments and the functional delta method for empirical processes. One assumption for the test is consistency in the estimation of the parameter for the model under the null hypothesis. Requirements for consistency are fulfilled by our set of assumptions. The test is carried out in two stages, the computation of the test statistics and the simulation of the critical value. The statistic can be reached after finitely many computation steps, whereas the critical value can only be an approximation. With the exponential distribution as an example for the lifespan distribution, and for the application to 55,000 German double-truncated enterprise lifespans, the constructed Kolmogorov-Smirnov test rejects clearly an age-homogeneous closure hazard.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13380589/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148498329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shared frailty sieve estimation for dependent left truncated and interval censored data. 相关左截断和区间截尾数据的共享脆弱筛估计。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-06-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09718-w
Muhammad Mustapha, Zarina Mohd Khalid
{"title":"Shared frailty sieve estimation for dependent left truncated and interval censored data.","authors":"Muhammad Mustapha, Zarina Mohd Khalid","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09718-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09718-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Analysis of left-truncated and interval-censored survival data is challenging, particularly when the failure time and observation process are dependent. Existing methods, including Sun et al. (2023), model dependency via copulas, which may be restrictive in the presence of complex interval-censoring mechanisms. To address this gap, we propose the first shared frailty model specifically designed for left-truncated, interval-censored data, capturing heterogeneity and dependency between the failure time and observation processes. A sieve maximum likelihood approach is developed, using I-splines and M-splines to approximate the unknown baseline hazard and examination intensity functions. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established, and an extensive simulation study demonstrates that the method provides consistent, efficient, and robust parameter estimates under a variety of scenarios. The approach is illustrated through a real data application to the AIDS cohort study, highlighting its ability to account for left truncation, interval censoring, and dependent observation process.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148341082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Functional win-fractions regression models for composite outcomes. 复合结果的功能win-fractions回归模型。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-06-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09716-y
Abhisek Chakraborty, Abhishek Mandal
{"title":"Functional win-fractions regression models for composite outcomes.","authors":"Abhisek Chakraborty, Abhishek Mandal","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09716-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09716-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In clinical trials with prioritized composite outcomes, win ratios are commonly employed to evaluate the efficacy of investigational interventions. Adjusting such win ratios with respect to covariates enhances the accuracy and precision of treatment effect estimates, by controlling for baseline clinical characteristics, demographics, etc. Effects of the covariates on composite outcomes are often of complex and non-linear nature, reflecting the complexity of underlying biological mechanisms. Parametric approaches that assume an additive effect of covariates on the log-hazard often fail to capture such complexities, resulting in unreliable inferences and reduced predictive accuracy. In this article, we introduce a flexible win fraction regression framework based on [Formula: see text]-splines, that is capable of assessing the extent and nature of the functional effects of covariates on the outcome adaptively. By leveraging the moment condition model framework equipped with the generalized method of moments (GMM) technique, we develop an efficient computational algorithm to carry out inference based on the proposed model. Using the asymptotic distribution of the estimated spline coefficients, we develop a large-sample test to assess the significance of the functional covariates. The favorable operating characteristics of the proposed methodology, compared to the current state-of-the-art, are assessed through extensive simulations. Finally, the practical utility of our proposal is demonstrated through the analysis of composite time-to-event datasets arising from cardiovascular and breast cancer clinical trials.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148213119","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Variable selection in causal semiparametric transformation models with all-or-nothing treatment compliance. 具有全或无处理依从性的因果半参数转换模型的变量选择。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-06-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09696-z
Lijun Fang, Shuwei Li, Tao Hu
{"title":"Variable selection in causal semiparametric transformation models with all-or-nothing treatment compliance.","authors":"Lijun Fang, Shuwei Li, Tao Hu","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09696-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09696-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Assessing causal treatment effect on a time-to-event outcome and identifying important risk factors that contribute to the outcome of interest are crucial in many scientific studies. Although existing instrumental variable (IV) methods can address the endogenous treatment selection and yield an unbiased causal treatment effect estimate in the presence of censoring, the corresponding variable selection technique has not been investigated. In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for a wide class of causal semiparametric transformation models with all-or-nothing treatment compliance and right-censored data. Specifically, the minimum information criterion is embedded in the optimization step of the proposed expectation-maximization algorithm, rendering sparse estimators of the complier causal treatment effect and other regression parameters. The asymptotic properties of our method are established, including consistency and oracle property. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed method. An application to a colorectal cancer screening dataset is provided.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148165350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction to: A uniformisation-driven algorithm for inference-related estimation of a phase-type ageing model. 修正:用于相位型老化模型的推理相关估计的均匀化驱动算法。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-06-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-025-09684-9
Boquan Cheng, Bruce Jones, Xiaoming Liu, Rogemar Mamon
{"title":"Correction to: A uniformisation-driven algorithm for inference-related estimation of a phase-type ageing model.","authors":"Boquan Cheng, Bruce Jones, Xiaoming Liu, Rogemar Mamon","doi":"10.1007/s10985-025-09684-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-025-09684-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148151303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unobserved heterogeneity in threshold regression based on the hitting times of a reflected Brownian motion for recurrent hypoglycemia. 基于反射布朗运动对复发性低血糖的撞击时间的阈值回归中未观察到的异质性。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-06-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09717-x
Yingfa Xie, Haoda Fu, Yuan Huang, Jun Yan
{"title":"Unobserved heterogeneity in threshold regression based on the hitting times of a reflected Brownian motion for recurrent hypoglycemia.","authors":"Yingfa Xie, Haoda Fu, Yuan Huang, Jun Yan","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09717-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09717-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Analyses of recurrent hypoglycemia are critical for effective treatment management in diabetic patients. Typically, within-subject dependency in such analyses is captured through subject-level frailty. Recent research has modeled recurrent hypoglycemia using the first hitting times of a reflected Brownian motion. A close examination of this approach reveals that it does not adequately account for varying frailties among individuals, which indicate notable heterogeneity. To address this gap, we propose a finite mixture model of the first hitting time distribution of the reflected Brownian motion. This model allows for component-specific regression coefficients and frailty parameters, providing nuanced insights into how risk factors differently affect patient subgroups. We employ a Bayesian framework for inference, utilizing Markov chain Monte Carlo for estimation. Model selection is conducted using the Deviance Information Criterion and the Logarithm of the Pseudo-Marginal Likelihood. The effectiveness of these criteria is assessed through simulation studies. Application to recurrent hypoglycemia modeling revealed two subgroups with different risk profiles, as reflected in their volatilities. Bayesian model comparison criteria favor the model with component-specific regression coefficients for volatilities. The subgroup with lower volatility exhibits a larger variance and, hence, a greater level of heterogeneity.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148145269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Variable selection with broken adaptive ridge regression for interval-censored competing risks data. 区间剔除竞争风险数据的破碎自适应脊回归变量选择。
IF 1.5 3区 数学
Lifetime Data Analysis Pub Date : 2026-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10985-026-09711-3
Fatemeh Mahmoudi, Chenxi Li, Kaida Cai, Xuewen Lu
{"title":"Variable selection with broken adaptive ridge regression for interval-censored competing risks data.","authors":"Fatemeh Mahmoudi, Chenxi Li, Kaida Cai, Xuewen Lu","doi":"10.1007/s10985-026-09711-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10985-026-09711-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Competing risks data refer to situations in which the occurrence of one event precludes the occurrence of other events, resulting in multiple mutually exclusive events. This data type is commonly encountered in medical research and clinical trials, where it is used to explore the interplay among events and to inform decision-making in fields such as healthcare and epidemiology. We develop a penalized variable selection procedure to handle such complex data in an interval-censored setting. We consider a broad class of semiparametric transformation regression models, including popular models such as proportional and non-proportional hazards models. To promote sparsity and select variables specific to each event, we employ the broken adaptive ridge (BAR) penalty. This approach allows us to simultaneously select important risk factors and estimate their effects for each event under investigation. We establish the oracle property of the BAR procedure and evaluate its performance through simulation studies. The proposed method is applied to a real-life HIV cohort dataset, further validating its applicability in practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":49908,"journal":{"name":"Lifetime Data Analysis","volume":"32 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148058006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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