Public Health最新文献

{"title":"Joint effects of prescription opioid use and physical activity on depressive symptoms","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>The possible interaction of prescription opioid use and physical activity with regard to depressive symptoms has not been well studied. This study aimed to investigate the joint effects of prescription opioid use and physical activity on depressive symptoms.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Cross-sectional study.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This cross-sectional study included 29,542 participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007 to March 2020). Depressive symptoms were evaluated using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine the association.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Of the 29,542 adults, 2598 had depressive symptoms (weighted, 7.7%), 1845 used prescription opioids (weighted, 6.0%), and 18,373 (weighted 67.0%) achieved the recommended physical activity. After multivariable adjustment, the odds ratio (OR) of depressive symptoms was 4.06 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.28, 5.02) for both prescription opioid use and inactive physical activity compared to those without either condition. No multiplicative interaction was observed for prescription opioid use and inactive physical activity on depressive symptoms (OR = 1.26 [95% CI: 0.87, 1.81]). However, additive interaction was statistically significant between the 2 exposures (relative excess risk due to interaction = 1.34 [95% CI: 0.31, 2.36]; attributable proportion due to interaction = 0.33 [95% CI: 0.12, 0.54]; synergy index = 1.78 [95% CI: 1.12, 2.83]).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Prescription opioid use and inactive physical activity interacted synergistically to affect depressive symptoms.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142271862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Opt-out defaults do not increase organ donation rates","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>To increase organ donation rates, many countries have switched from an opt-in (‘explicit consent’) default for organ donation to an opt-out (‘presumed consent’) default. This study sought to determine the extent to which this change in default has led to an increase in the number of deceased individuals who become organ donors.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Longitudinal retrospective analysis.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We conducted a retrospective analysis of within-country longitudinal data to assess the effect of changing the organ donation default policy from opt-in to opt-out. Our analysis focused on the longitudinal deceased donor rates in five countries (Argentina, Chile, Sweden, Uruguay, Wales) that had adopted this change. Using a Bayesian aggregated binomial regression model, we estimated the odds of organ donation within each country over time, as well as the effect of the policy switch.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Switching from an opt-in to an opt-out default did not result in an increase in donation rates when averaged across countries. Moreover, the opt-out default did not lead to even a gradual increase in donations: there was no discernible difference in the linear rate of change of donations after the change in default. Finally, the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a reduction in the odds of donation across all five countries.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Our longitudinal analysis suggests that changing to an opt-out default does not increase organ donation rates. Unless flanked by investments in healthcare, public awareness campaigns, and efforts to address the concerns of the deceased's relatives, a shift to an opt-out default is unlikely to increase organ donations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003335062400355X/pdfft?md5=6b3c69c069a6a9e4bcea6b2d709638cb&pid=1-s2.0-S003335062400355X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Peer support for health, social care, and educational needs in adult prisons: a systematic scoping review","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>Prisoners face inequalities relating to health and social care and educational needs. Peer support (prisoners providing support to other prisoners) is used in addition to professional support to address needs. It is not clear how effective or cost-effective peer-support services are, how they are implemented or experienced, or how best to evaluate such schemes. This review aimed to evaluate the following: 1. Outcomes and economic outcomes that have been studied for prison peer support, and data sources used. 2. Effectiveness and cost of prison peer support. 3. Implementation and experiences with prison peer support.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>A rapid systematic scoping review (registered on International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews: CRD42022351592) that focussed on peer support within adult prisons.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The search included six databases, grey literature databases, handsearching journals, and reviewing reference lists (June 2022). Studies were screened, and data were extracted. Narrative synthesis was used to analyse findings.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Seventy papers were included (qualitative: 30, quantitative: 21, and mixed-methods: 19). No studies measured cost/cost-effectiveness.</p><p>A range of methods were used to measure effectiveness (e.g., surveys, routinely collected data), implementation, and experience (e.g. interviews, surveys, observation).</p><p>There was evidence of some positive effects (e.g., disease detection, mental health). Factors influencing peer support in prisons included individual, service, and organisational factors. Benefits (for prisons/prisoners/staff) and challenges (e.g., burden, exploitation) were identified.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Prison peer support services are internationally used to address public health. Future research could robustly evaluate effectiveness and cost effectiveness. Attention should be given to potential risks and barriers affecting implementation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033350624003469/pdfft?md5=966fb9044485790386859799b3ddec1b&pid=1-s2.0-S0033350624003469-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Noncommunicable disease burden in Brazil and its states from 1990 to 2021, with projections for 2030","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>The aim of this study was to analyse the burden of disease due to noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) between 1990 and 2021 in Brazil. In addition, this study compared mortality from NCDs with mortality from all causes and COVID-19, analysed NCD mortality trends and projections for 2030, and analysed NCD mortality rates and risk factors attributed to these deaths among the 27 states of Brazil.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Ecological studies.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This study used the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) database from 1990 to 2021. Premature deaths from four NCDs (neoplasms, cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes mellitus) were analysed. The following metrics were used to analyse the burden of NCDs in Brazil: absolute number of deaths, proportional mortality, mortality rate, years of life lost due to premature death (YLL), years lived with disabilities (YLD) and disability-adjusted years of life lost due to premature death (DALY). For comparison between the years studied and states, age-standardised rates were used.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Finding from this study showed that there was increase in the proportion of premature deaths due to NCDs between 1990 and 2019 (29.4 % in 1990, 30.8 % in 2019), and a reduction in 2021 (24.7 %). The mortality rates, DALY and YLL from NCDs declined between 1990 and 2019 (−37.7 %, −34.5 % and −38.3 %, respectively); however, a stability in mortality rates, DALY, YLD, YLL was observed between 2019 and 2021 (−0.1 %, 0.7 %, −0.1 % and 0.8 %, respectively). Between 1990 and 2021, there was a decline in mortality rates, DALY and YLL for most states and an increase in YLD rates. However, results suggest that the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for the reduction in mortality from NCDs by one-third by 2030 will not be achieved. The main risk factors associated with premature death from NCDs in 2021 were high blood pressure, tobacco use, dietary risks, high body mass index (BMI) and high blood glucose levels. The correlation between sociodemographic index and percentage change in mortality rates was significant for the following total NCDs, cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory disease, diabetes and neoplasms.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The current study highlights the importance of deaths from NCDs in Brazil and the worsening of mortality rates since 2016, as a result of austerity measures and the COVID-19 pandemic, which compromises the achievement of the SDG reduced mortality targets for NCDs. There was a reduction in risk factors for NCDs, mainly behavioural, although metabolic risk factors are of great concern and require new strategies to promote health, prevention and comprehensive care.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sociodemographic disparities in cardiovascular mortality by self-rated physical health: A U.S. nationwide county-level analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><p>We investigated the association between self-rated poor physical health (srPPH), a validated proxy measure of health-related quality of life, and age-adjusted cardiovascular mortality (AACVM) rates across overall U.S. counties and within various demographics.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Nationwide county-level analysis.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We analyzed county-level data spanning 2010–2019 from the Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System (BRFSS) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). This analysis included data from 2892 counties with complete records on srPPH and AACVM. srPPH was defined as the age-adjusted average number of days respondents reported being in poor physical health over the past 30 days. To estimate the average srPPH per resident in each county, the CDC utilized validated statistical models applied to BRFSS data. To assess the association between srPPH and AACVM, we employed Poisson Generalized Linear Mixed Models, generating incident rate ratios (IRRs).</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Out of the 307,045,647 residents living in 2892 U S. counties in 2010, 8,157,571 (2.7 %) cardiovascular deaths were recorded during the study period. Counties where residents reported the greatest number of physically unhealthy days—indicative of higher srPPH—experienced the highest AACVM rates, despite significant decreases in overall AACVM rates from 2010 to 2019. Moreover, srPPH was independently associated with higher AACVM rates (IRR: 1.018; 95 % CI: 1.011 to 1.025) across most demographic groups, except Hispanics. This association was particularly strong among middle-aged (45–64 years old) women and elderly (≥65 years old) non-Hispanic Black individuals.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>srPPH may serve as a valuable community health marker that can help identify populations at risk for cardiovascular mortality, independent of other social determinants of health. When used in combination with objective measures of cardiovascular health, this metric can enhance targeted screening and intervention efforts in high-risk populations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142271861","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Prevalence of reproductive tract infection among tribal migrant women living in urban areas: a community-based cross-sectional study","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.012","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.012","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>The current study investigates the reproductive tract infections (RTIs) among tribal migrant women in urban areas of Gujarat, India. These groups of women face multiple challenges, including limited healthcare access, poor living conditions, and inadequate reproductive and child healthcare services. Therefore, the present study was conducted to assess the RTIs of tribal women living in urban areas.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>It was a community-based cross-sectional study.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>It was conducted among the four municipal corporation areas in Gujarat. A sample of 592 women, who were in reproductive age (15–45 years) and belonging to tribal community and seasonally migrated to urban areas, were included for the study.</p></div><div><h3>Result</h3><p>Almost 64% of the participants married before the legal age of 18, with 29% marrying before the age of 15. Furthermore, early pregnancy (at &lt;18 years) was reported by 29% of the women. Approximately 22% of the women experienced reproductive health issues, with a prevalence of 13% for symptomatic RTIs, 8% for urinary tract infections (UTIs), and 8% for menstrual problems. Almost 58.4% of women with RTIs, 54.1% with UTIs, 48.9% with menstrual problems, and 46.1% with polycystic ovary syndrome were classified as underweight. However, this relationship was not statistically significant.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>The study revealed the 13% of the prevalence of RTIs among the migratory tribal women. It is matching with national-level community-based study of India National Family Health Survey. The current study explored that there is no association of nutrition and RTI. Also, it is required to plan a larger-level community-based study to understand overall reproductive health issues among all different group of women.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Does child abuse predict a population segment with large economic burden?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>The enormous societal and individual consequences of mental health disorders and detrimental health behaviours in the general population are of paramount concern. Many argue that ‘prevention is the best cure’, pushing for the implementation of early (preventive) interventions. Key questions regarding early interventions include which population segment to target for screenings and what information these screenings should focus on. In line with previous efforts, this study aimed to identify which population segment holds the majority (≥ 80 %) of different economically costly outcomes in society, and whether child abuse before the age of 16 years predicts being part of that population segment.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Epidemiological cohort study.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This study used the Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study-2, a Dutch epidemiological cohort study including 6646 adults aged 18–64 years at baseline, spanning four timepoints from 2007 to 2018. Cumulative distributions were computed to identify high-cost population segments of economically costly outcomes in adulthood (i.e., mental and physical health [behaviours], unemployment and work absenteeism). Child abuse was examined as a potential predictor of these segments and the risk of multiple high-cost population segment membership was investigated by conducting Poisson regressions.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>A 20 % population segment carried between 42 % and 100 % of economically costly outcomes. Being exposed to more child abuse predicted being in a high-cost population segment, albeit with small effect sizes. Being exposed to more child abuse also predicted belonging to multiple high-cost population segments across different economically costly outcomes.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The study findings have implications for policy makers. Emphasis should be placed on prevention aimed at identifying potential members of multiple high-cost population segments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033350624003950/pdfft?md5=19e643277a4b0f7d679fb122ed83ab11&pid=1-s2.0-S0033350624003950-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142240584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Prevalence, spatial variation and determinants of zero-dose children in Ethiopia: Spatial and multilevel analyses","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>Vaccination is a crucial public health intervention protecting individuals and communities from vaccine-preventable diseases. However, unvaccinated children in low- and middle-income countries pose a significant challenge. Ethiopia, a Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunisation (GAVI)-supported country, ranks fifth in zero-dose immunisation burden, indicating concerning vaccine coverage gaps. Despite the severity of this issue, there is a dearth of research investigating the disparities, prevalence and contributing factors associated with zero-dose children in Ethiopia. This study aimed to assess the prevalence, spatial distribution and determinants of zero-dose children in Ethiopia.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted using data from the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS). Data were collected from 21 March 2019 to 28 June 2019.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The study included a total of 1334 children aged 12–35 months (weighted sample). For spatial and multilevel analyses, ArcGIS 10.8 and Stata 17 software were used, respectively. The measure of association was determined by computing the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) at a 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI), and a p-value &lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The prevalence of zero-dose children in Ethiopia was 46.5 % (95 % CI: 43.8, 49.2). Southeast Amhara, Afar, Somali, Oromia and SNNPR (Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples’ Region) regions had high zero-dose proportions. Maternal age 15–19 years (AOR = 1.63; 95 % CI: 1.05, 2.64), lack of antenatal care (AOR = 1.77; 95 % CI: 1.34, 2.35), rural residence (AOR = 1.94; 95 % CI: 1.17, 3.19) and region were significantly associated to zero-dose status in Ethiopia.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The prevalence of zero-dose children in Ethiopia was high and the distribution exhibited significant variation across the country's clusters. Individual and community factors were key contributors. It is essential that areas with a high prevalence of zero-dose children have access to recommended childhood vaccines. This proactive approach can help protect children from morbidity and mortality caused by vaccine-preventable diseases.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272480","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Regional socioeconomic characteristics and density of general practitioners in Germany: A nationwide cross-sectional and longitudinal spatial analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>Limited healthcare availability impacts population health. Regional disparities in GP density across Germany raise questions about their association with regional socioeconomic characteristics.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>This longitudinal nationwide ecological German study used regional data at the county level (n = 401) from 2015 to 2019 provided by the Federal Institute for Research on Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Development (BBSR). The outcome was general practitioners (GPs) density, defined as the number of GPs per 10,000 inhabitants.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Univariate Moran's I, cluster analysis (LISA), and spatial lag of X (SLX) models were employed to analyse the spatial distribution of GP density and its correlation with various regional socioeconomic characteristics from a cross-sectional and longitudinal perspective.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>In contrast to the univariate analysis, rural counties showed the highest GP density the multivariate model. Several counties were identified as embedded in low- or high-GP-density clusters. In 2015 and 2019, larger household size (2015: std. β = −2.31, p = 0.021; 2019: std. β = −4.14, p &lt; 0.001) and higher unemployment rate (2015: std. β = −2.84, p = 0.005; 2019: std. β = −5.47, p &lt; 0.001) were associated with lower GP density. In the longitudinal model, a greater increase in the unemployment rate was related to a greater decrease in GP density (std. β = −2.17, p = 0.030).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>A higher regional unemployment rate is linked to lower GP availability in Germany, and a greater increase in the unemployment rate was related to a greater decrease in GP availability over time. This necessitates policy intervention to avoid socioeconomic disparities in GP care.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033350624003925/pdfft?md5=69eefb58a754b1391ee36f64cf47129f&pid=1-s2.0-S0033350624003925-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142240583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Age-specific all-cause mortality trends in the UK: Pre-pandemic increases and the complex impact of COVID-19","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2024.09.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>This study aims to analyse age-specific all-cause mortality trends in the UK before and after COVID-19 emergence to determine if pre-pandemic trends contributed to increased mortality levels in the post-pandemic era.</p></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><p>Statistical analysis of UK mortality data.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We utilised age-structured population and mortality data for all UK countries from 2005 to 2023. Mortality rates were calculated for each age group, and excess mortality was estimated using the Office for National Statistics (ONS) method.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Our most concerning finding is an increase in all-cause mortality rates for middle-aged adults (30–54 years) starting around 2012. The COVID-19 pandemic may have further impacted these rates, but the pre-existing upward trend suggests that current elevated mortality rates might have been reached regardless of the pandemic. This finding is more alarming than the slowdown in the decline of cardiovascular disease death rates for individuals under 75 noted by the British Heart Foundation.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Our results highlight the importance of considering both immediate pandemic impacts and long-term mortality trends in public health strategies. This underscores the need for targeted interventions and improved healthcare planning to address both ongoing and future challenges.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0033350624003895/pdfft?md5=5ce1f9930ed0aeffc4e85bb9564b29f3&pid=1-s2.0-S0033350624003895-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272395","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}