Economic Modelling最新文献_第5页

Does “Made in China (2025)” improve innovation quality in robotics? Evidence from PageRank-based patent network “中国制造（2025）”是否提高了机器人技术的创新质量？来自基于网页排名的专利网络的证据

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107299

Yihan Han , Silu Pang , Fuxin Jiang , Tao Wang

引用次数: 0

Do foreign direct investment and trade affect the relationship between temperature and civil conflict? 外国直接投资和贸易是否影响温度与国内冲突之间的关系？

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107293

Chengchun Li , Sailesh Tanna , Glauco De Vita , Keyi Yang , Yun Luo , Yan Chen

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引用次数: 0

Does Digital Inclusive Finance Promote Innovation? Evidence from China 数字普惠金融促进创新吗？来自中国的证据

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107291

Xinran Liu , Deng-Kui Si

引用次数: 0

Calorie consumption and wages: Evidence from India’s labor market 卡路里消耗和工资：来自印度劳动力市场的证据

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107279

Kaushalendra Kumar , Ashish Singh , Santosh Kumar Gautam , Abhishek Singh

引用次数: 0

From pilot to peers: How intelligent manufacturing policy drives corporate intelligent transformation through demonstration effects 从试点到同行：智能制造政策如何通过示范效应带动企业智能化转型

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107292

Ying Liu , Wenming Chao , William Mbanyele , Bingcheng Zhu , Hongyun Huang

{"title":"From pilot to peers: How intelligent manufacturing policy drives corporate intelligent transformation through demonstration effects","authors":"Ying Liu , Wenming Chao , William Mbanyele , Bingcheng Zhu , Hongyun Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107292","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107292","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Intelligent manufacturing is a key strategic initiative for advancing China's manufacturing capabilities, and its effective implementation across industries and regions remains an important area of policy exploration. Using data on Chinese A-share manufacturing firms from 2009 to 2022, we exploit a quasi-natural experiment based on the Intelligent Manufacturing Demonstration Project (IMDP) to examine the policy's spillover effects. Our results show that IMDP pilot firms significantly drive intelligent transformation among non-pilot firms in the same city and industry. The policy effects propagate through competitive pressure, institutional pressure, and learning spillovers. Moreover, the impact is stronger for non-state-owned firms, firms with more skilled workers, and those with fewer financing constraints. Our findings suggest that well-designed pilot policies can create catalytic effects that extend beyond targeted firms, thereby promoting broader technological upgrading across the manufacturing sector. These results provide valuable insights into how policymakers can amplify the impact of industrial policies through strategic demonstration and diffusion mechanisms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107292"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2025-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145009981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Leverage–led growth in the circuit of capital model with a banking sector 以杠杆带动增长的循环资本模式与银行业相结合

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107275

Hyun Woong Park

引用次数: 0

Export expansion and children’s school-work decision: Evidence from Vietnam 出口扩张与儿童学业决定：来自越南的证据

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107261

Anh Phuoc Thien Nguyen

引用次数: 0

Financial distress warning and risk path analysis for Chinese listed companies: An interpretable machine learning approach 中国上市公司财务困境预警与风险路径分析：一种可解释的机器学习方法

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107288

Shangkun Deng , Yongqi Li , Yingke Zhu , Bingsen Wang , Hong Ning , Siyu Yi , Tatsuro Shimada

{"title":"Financial distress warning and risk path analysis for Chinese listed companies: An interpretable machine learning approach","authors":"Shangkun Deng , Yongqi Li , Yingke Zhu , Bingsen Wang , Hong Ning , Siyu Yi , Tatsuro Shimada","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107288","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107288","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Financial distress is typically not a sudden occurrence, but rather the outcome of accumulated operational inefficiencies and external pressures. In China’s capital market, existing financial distress warning models offer limited interpretability, making it challenging for regulators to obtain a reliable basis for risk identification. To address this limitation, we propose an interpretable machine learning framework that integrates extreme gradient boosting with non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II for multiobjective optimization, and Shapley additive explanations with interpretive structural modeling to reveal both the marginal effects and the risk formation pathways of financial indicators. Using empirical data from A-share listed firms between 2010 and 2024, the optimized model demonstrates a 3.32 % improvement in warning accuracy and a 2.15 % gain in efficiency compared with benchmark models. Furthermore, the findings show that the predictive influence of profitability diminishes as the lead time before financial distress increases. Overall, this study presents an interpretable model that enables regulators and policymakers to identify financial risks at earlier stages and implement targeted interventions in the market environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107288"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2025-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144922437","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How does government data openness affect cross-regional capital flow? Evidence from Chinese-listed firms’ off-site investment 政府数据开放如何影响跨区域资本流动？证据来自中国上市公司的境外投资

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107289

Yongguang Long , Xiaoru Zhang , Long Wang

引用次数: 0

Betting against the odds? The effect of mental health on problem gambling behavior 赌赔率？心理健康对问题赌博行为的影响

IF 4.7 2区经济学

Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107278

Dusanee Kesavayuth , Prompong Shangkhum , Vasileios Zikos

引用次数: 0