Electoral Studies最新文献_第4页

Sorry Not Sorry: Presentational strategies and the electoral punishment of corruption 对不起不是罪过：陈述策略与选举惩治腐败

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102867

Dean Dulay , Seulki Lee

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引用次数: 0

Individual Electoral Competitiveness: Undecided voters, complex choice environments and lower turnout 个人选举竞争力：未决定的选民、复杂的选择环境和较低的投票率

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102866

Hannah Bunting

{"title":"Individual Electoral Competitiveness: Undecided voters, complex choice environments and lower turnout","authors":"Hannah Bunting","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102866","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102866","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The number of citizens that are undecided in their vote choice has risen in Western democracies. Polling in Britain shows that a significant proportion of the population do not know who they will vote for. Against a backdrop of partisan dealignment and party system fragmentation, there are more parties on the ballot and more citizens ‘free to choose’. Partisanship continues to be important for voting and lacking an identity is a predictor of aggregate voter volatility. A growing literature conceptualises this availability of voters as individual-level electoral competitiveness, stating that undecided citizens are subject to high levels of competition for their vote. I use this framework and apply theory from the decisionmaking literature to offer why these conditions may depress turnout. I construct a measure of undecided voters who are ‘in competition’ and show that this accounts for 40% of the <em>British Election Study Internet Panel</em> respondents. I demonstrate that those who are in competition are less likely to vote. They are more often those without a partisan identity and those who pay less attention to politics, but being in competition is not related to constituency marginality. The results help explain a key determinant of abstention in British elections and suggest low levels of participation may be due to complex choice environments and citizen indecision. However, they provide a positive outlook for pluralistic democracy as voters do deliberate between the party perspectives on offer.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"92 ","pages":"Article 102866"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142320428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Speech targeting and constituency representation in open-list electoral systems 公开名单选举制度中的演讲目标和选区代表性

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102865

Eduardo Alemán , Pablo Valdivieso Kastner , Sebastián Vallejo Vera

引用次数: 0

Perceived negativity in British general election communications 英国大选传播中的消极认知

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102863

Caitlin Milazzo , John Barry Ryan

引用次数: 0

Divided we abstain: Testing the effect of local income inequality on individual-level turnout using Norwegian administrative panel data 分裂，我们弃权：利用挪威行政面板数据检验地方收入不平等对个人投票率的影响

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102852

Sofi Granö

{"title":"Divided we abstain: Testing the effect of local income inequality on individual-level turnout using Norwegian administrative panel data","authors":"Sofi Granö","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102852","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102852","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the relationship between income inequality and voting by utilizing exceptionally granular data that offer novel insights into local disparities. Existing research documents a larger turnout gap between rich and poor in areas characterized by high income inequality, causing concerns about further underrepresentation for low-income individuals and a larger democratic deficit. While previous studies have focused on inequality at higher aggregation levels, this paper advances the field by employing administrative data with complete income and validated voting records measuring inequality for neighborhoods hosting 1212 residents on average. The longitudinal setup allows rigorous modeling following the same individual in the same context over time. The results suggest that living in a neighborhood where the income difference between rich and poor becomes more pronounced discourages participation in national elections among low-income voters while it boosts participation among the rich, further accentuating the class-based inequality in political voice.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"92 ","pages":"Article 102852"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001100/pdfft?md5=7d4e1abefe50ea2eeff597ed7750f738&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001100-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142173398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Have attitudes toward democracy polarized in the U.S.? 美国人对民主的态度是否已经两极分化？

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102854

Hamad Ejaz, Judd R. Thornton

{"title":"Have attitudes toward democracy polarized in the U.S.?","authors":"Hamad Ejaz, Judd R. Thornton","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102854","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102854","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Attitudes toward and about democracy have shown a decline in the United States and elsewhere. Further, there have been clear indications that some elected officials are increasingly willing to forego longstanding traditions and norms. A key question is whether the public is influencing such elite behavior, or if certain segments are merely tolerating it. In other words, is an increase in partisan differentiation observed in attitudes toward democracy? If the behavior of Republican elected officials in the aftermath of the 2020 election was driven in part by constituent demands, we ought to see partisan polarization of attitudes about democracy prior to January 2021. In this note we trace attitudes about democracy, conditioned on partisanship, to examine the extent that such attitudes have polarized in recent decades, using data from the American National Election Studies, General Social Survey, and World Values Survey from 1996–2020. We find no evidence that attitudes toward democracy are meaningfully different across the two parties. A subsequent analysis similarly indicates that the winner–loser gap has not widened as the parties have polarized over the last 25 years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"92 ","pages":"Article 102854"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142163202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intertemporal evidence on the strategy of populism in the United States 美国民粹主义战略的时际证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102853

Gloria Gennaro , Giampaolo Lecce , Massimo Morelli

{"title":"Intertemporal evidence on the strategy of populism in the United States","authors":"Gloria Gennaro , Giampaolo Lecce , Massimo Morelli","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102853","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102853","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the strategic adoption of populist rhetoric in electoral campaigns – i.e., the supply side of populism. We build on existing studies to argue that populist campaigning is more likely to be chosen by politicians who face an electorate characterized by high economic insecurity. We add that two other factors are crucial determinants of the choice of a populist campaign strategy, namely the closeness of the election and the candidate’s outsider status. We apply automated text analysis to campaign websites for the 2018 and 2020 congressional elections and construct a continuous index of populism in campaign documents. We provide evidence that indeed outsider candidates in competitive races resort to more populism in response to higher economic insecurity. Drawing connections between theories of voter mobilization and populist discourse, this paper sheds light on how local economic and political conditions are key to understanding the strategic supply of populism.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"92 ","pages":"Article 102853"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001112/pdfft?md5=deb90e29d94a3810c6e241b30801d85c&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001112-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spirited away: Access to alcohol and support for the populist radical right 魂飞魄散：获取酒精与支持民粹主义激进右翼

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102850

Zeth Isaksson

引用次数: 0

Candidate selection and its behavioral consequences 候选人选择及其行为后果

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102849

Elena Frech , Simon Hug

引用次数: 0

Cultural sources of gender gaps: Confucian meritocracy reduces gender inequalities in political participation 性别差距的文化根源：儒家的任人唯贤减少了政治参与中的性别不平等

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848

Baowen Liang

{"title":"Cultural sources of gender gaps: Confucian meritocracy reduces gender inequalities in political participation","authors":"Baowen Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The historical oppression of women in China mirrors the experiences of women in many other cultures. During the imperial era, Confucian ideologies and institutions played a significant role in perpetuating women's disenfranchisement. This perception has become deeply entrenched, to the extent that contemporary discussions on women's status often automatically refer to lingering Confucian legacies as one of the obstacles to achieving gender equality. However, this study offers a nuanced perspective by shedding light on how certain aspects of Confucianism, notably meritocracy, may serve to empower modern-day women. The research focuses on the Chinese context, particularly the historically significant Confucian-based meritocratic institution known as the civil examination system (<em>keju</em>). I argue that historical meritocratic legacies can have a lasting impact on contemporary behavior, specifically by reducing the gender gap in political participation in local village elections. Using data from historical archives and the China General Social Survey, I find a negative correlation between a prefecture's historical success in the <em>keju</em> exams and the gender gap in village election turnout among present-day respondents. Further exploratory analyses reveal that the enduring Confucian tradition of meritocracy also empowers other low-status social groups, including the economically disadvantaged and the less educated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102848"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001069/pdfft?md5=766fe48159d8f3f5c9ab02a32fa8d7ec&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001069-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142049257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0