{"title":"Intertemporal evidence on the strategy of populism in the United States","authors":"Gloria Gennaro , Giampaolo Lecce , Massimo Morelli","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102853","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102853","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the strategic adoption of populist rhetoric in electoral campaigns – i.e., the supply side of populism. We build on existing studies to argue that populist campaigning is more likely to be chosen by politicians who face an electorate characterized by high economic insecurity. We add that two other factors are crucial determinants of the choice of a populist campaign strategy, namely the closeness of the election and the candidate’s outsider status. We apply automated text analysis to campaign websites for the 2018 and 2020 congressional elections and construct a continuous index of populism in campaign documents. We provide evidence that indeed outsider candidates in competitive races resort to more populism in response to higher economic insecurity. Drawing connections between theories of voter mobilization and populist discourse, this paper sheds light on how local economic and political conditions are key to understanding the strategic supply of populism.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"92 ","pages":"Article 102853"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001112/pdfft?md5=deb90e29d94a3810c6e241b30801d85c&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001112-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-29DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102850
Zeth Isaksson
{"title":"Spirited away: Access to alcohol and support for the populist radical right","authors":"Zeth Isaksson","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102850","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102850","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Does the availability of alcohol influence support for radical right-wing parties, and if so, why? Drawing parallels to the UK, where pub closures led to increased support for UKIP, this study investigates similar trends observed in Sweden. Utilizing a novel dataset of over 50,000 alcohol-serving permits and electoral data from 2002 to 2018, the study finds that a reduction in permits is associated with a 3.7% increase in support for the Sweden Democrats (SD). To explain this, it is argued that bar closures politicize alcohol regulation and serve as a symbolic issue linked to the populist radical right. Survey data from over 20,000 respondents reveal that individuals in municipalities with a decreasing number of permits are more likely to support alcohol deregulation policies, and these voters become more likely to support SD. These findings underscore how perceptions of government overregulation drive support for radical right-wing parties.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102850"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001082/pdfft?md5=d642e5dea9eef658f0d51c118850f33c&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001082-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142088449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-28DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102849
Elena Frech , Simon Hug
{"title":"Candidate selection and its behavioral consequences","authors":"Elena Frech , Simon Hug","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102849","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102849","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rules by which parties select their candidates are important, not only because they determine the policy and leaders of a party. Candidate selection, the identity of those taking the final decision (selectorate), has been found to impact the behavior of parliamentarians around the world (e.g. Preece, 2014; Sieberer, 2006). However, there is disagreement among scholars as to which kind of effect we can expect, under which conditions and why. In light of an interesting, previously unstudied case – Switzerland – and on the basis of rich data relating to many different political activities we re-investigate the question of how candidate selection affects the political behavior. Our results indicate that in highly personalized political systems like the Swiss, MPs selected by a more inclusive selectorate do not differ significantly from other MPs in party loyalty but are more likely to engage in some activities that are more visible to their cantonal selectorate.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102849"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142088448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-23DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848
Baowen Liang
{"title":"Cultural sources of gender gaps: Confucian meritocracy reduces gender inequalities in political participation","authors":"Baowen Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102848","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The historical oppression of women in China mirrors the experiences of women in many other cultures. During the imperial era, Confucian ideologies and institutions played a significant role in perpetuating women's disenfranchisement. This perception has become deeply entrenched, to the extent that contemporary discussions on women's status often automatically refer to lingering Confucian legacies as one of the obstacles to achieving gender equality. However, this study offers a nuanced perspective by shedding light on how certain aspects of Confucianism, notably meritocracy, may serve to empower modern-day women. The research focuses on the Chinese context, particularly the historically significant Confucian-based meritocratic institution known as the civil examination system (<em>keju</em>). I argue that historical meritocratic legacies can have a lasting impact on contemporary behavior, specifically by reducing the gender gap in political participation in local village elections. Using data from historical archives and the China General Social Survey, I find a negative correlation between a prefecture's historical success in the <em>keju</em> exams and the gender gap in village election turnout among present-day respondents. Further exploratory analyses reveal that the enduring Confucian tradition of meritocracy also empowers other low-status social groups, including the economically disadvantaged and the less educated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102848"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001069/pdfft?md5=766fe48159d8f3f5c9ab02a32fa8d7ec&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001069-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142049257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-23DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102851
M. Belén Abdala
{"title":"In-person or convenience voting? The role of the direct costs in explaining preferences for voting modalities","authors":"M. Belén Abdala","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102851","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102851","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>High turnout is crucial for political legitimacy. By reducing the direct costs of voting in person, such as queuing and taking time off work, convenience voting modalities are expected to increase turnout. Yet, little is known about the role these costs play in explaining <em>how</em> citizens want to vote. This paper investigates whether perceptions of the direct costs of voting influence individual preferences for in-person compared to convenience forms of balloting such as voting by mail, or absentee voting. Using original cross-sectional data and a preregistered survey experiment encompassing the 2022 US midterm elections, I find that higher direct costs reduce individual preferences for in-person voting. Importantly, this reduction is not compensated by higher preferences for convenience modalities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102851"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001094/pdfft?md5=f8ef2c70152d3ef25641aefdb81b96c7&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001094-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142049258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-07DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102845
Brit Anlar
{"title":"Time, money, and support: Exploring young adult representation in state legislatures","authors":"Brit Anlar","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102845","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102845","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The underrepresentation of young adults in legislative bodies in the United States represents a democratic deficit. Nonetheless, little is known about the factors that shape their underrepresentation in this context. In this article, I examine the severity of young adults' underrepresentation in U.S. state legislatures and explore how four institutional mechanisms help to explain representational variations across the states. I demonstrate that 1) young adults in the voting age population are underrepresented in state legislative lower chambers by an average factor of 3, but that some states are better performers than others for the period 2018–2022; 2) a combination of institutional arrangements can positively impact young adults’ descriptive representation: the harmonization of voter and candidate age requirements, increased legislative professionalism, and the use of term limits and single-member districts. This article thus contributes both to our knowledge of young adult representation in a critical case and to the scholarship on subnational politics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"91 ","pages":"Article 102845"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424001033/pdfft?md5=6e3d6f16955a6fa6529b940753aad530&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424001033-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141962856","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-01DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102825
Pedro Cayul , Alejandro Corvalan
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Indigenous representation and participation: The case of the Chilean Mapuche” [Elect. Stud. 90 (2024) 102818]","authors":"Pedro Cayul , Alejandro Corvalan","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102825","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102825","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102825"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000830/pdfft?md5=f13f3f9f033abd85e8b6bfb1d91def47&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000830-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141951866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Electoral StudiesPub Date : 2024-08-01DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102834
Daniel Stockemer, Brittany Anlar
{"title":"The Political Representation of Young Adults: Explaining youth's underrepresentation in parties, candidacies and parliaments","authors":"Daniel Stockemer, Brittany Anlar","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102834","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102834","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102834"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141844504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}