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Cultivating trust? The role of European Union investments in bridging rural-urban divides 培养信任?欧盟投资在弥合城乡差距方面的作用
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102987
Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu , Leo Azzollini , Anne-Marie Jeannet
{"title":"Cultivating trust? The role of European Union investments in bridging rural-urban divides","authors":"Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu ,&nbsp;Leo Azzollini ,&nbsp;Anne-Marie Jeannet","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102987","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102987","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the last decades, agricultural policies and structural investment funds for regional development have been central to European integration. However, the political effects of these funds, designed to enhance economic and social cohesion within the European Union and address regional disparities, remain contested. Existing research has established that rural residents tend to exhibit lower levels of political trust in the European Union compared to their urban counterparts. In this paper, we empirically examine whether institutional investments can mitigate the urban-rural divide in political trust toward the European Union. Specifically, we explore the potential of EU funds to enhance trust by fostering regional economic dynamics, and whether this is socially stratified. Analyzing 17 waves of Eurobarometer data (2003–2020) across 27 European countries, 99 regions, and around 370,000 individuals, we find that the rural-urban divide tends to be mitigated in regions receiving higher levels of investment. Moreover, we observe that EU investments disproportionately predict higher trust among individuals from middle to lower socioeconomic strata compared to those from upper strata, narrowing the gap at higher levels of investment (15–18 % of a standard deviation). Examining the intersection of rural-urban and socio-economic divides, we observe that EU funds are more likely to predict higher trust amongst individuals from lower social strata, and the lowest trust among those from upper social strata. Our results imply that European institutional investment can reduce the gap between urban and rural residents due to the differences in the socio-demographic composition of these places.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102987"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145096364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corruption and accountability: Electoral systems, vote choice, and voter expectations for political parties 腐败与问责制:选举制度、投票选择和选民对政党的期望
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102998
Tiffany D. Barnes , Emily Beaulieu
{"title":"Corruption and accountability: Electoral systems, vote choice, and voter expectations for political parties","authors":"Tiffany D. Barnes ,&nbsp;Emily Beaulieu","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102998","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102998","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Why do some politicians’ careers survive political scandals while others are unable to recover? In this research note, we consider the critical role of electoral systems. We argue that in candidate-centered electoral systems, where voters cast their ballots for individual candidates (e.g., single member districts)—rather than political parties (e.g., closed-list proportional representation)—voters are more likely to hold candidates accountable for corruption at the ballot box. By contrast, in party-centered electoral systems, voters are likely to shift the responsibility to the party. Further, we anticipate voter expectations of party accountability are heightened when removing a candidate is relatively low-cost to the party. To assess how electoral systems influence accountability in the context of corruption, we analyze data from a survey experiment conducted in Taiwan—a democracy with a mixed-member majoritarian system with parallel voting. This context allows us to hold constant cultural and political factors that may otherwise influence outcomes, while manipulating the electoral system. We find voters are more likely to hold candidates directly accountable in candidate-centered systems, regardless of partisan preferences. Results regarding party expectations are less conclusive, with only a suggestion of expectations of party accountability in party-centered systems, when the candidate in questions is less competitive.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102998"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145096366","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do voters on the left show more solidarity behaviour? Novel behavioural evidence from interactive surveys in Austria, West and East Germany 左翼选民表现出更多的团结行为吗?来自奥地利、西德和东德互动调查的新行为证据
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102980
Achim Goerres, Jakob Eicheler
{"title":"Do voters on the left show more solidarity behaviour? Novel behavioural evidence from interactive surveys in Austria, West and East Germany","authors":"Achim Goerres,&nbsp;Jakob Eicheler","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102980","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102980","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Voters on the left typically demand more public redistribution than those on the right. While existing research has demonstrated differences in social behaviour by political ideology, we know little on whether left voters are willing to show more costly solidarity towards others. In this study, we test pre-registered hypotheses on whether the MARPOR left-right score of voters’ preferred party and left-right self-placement predict more solidarity behaviour. We introduce a novel Extended Solidarity Game to measure costly solidarity behaviour as contributions to compensate for income losses of others in randomly assigned groups. The behavioural instrument allows for simultaneous group interactions and was embedded in online surveys in the party system contexts of Austria, West and East Germany. We find evidence for the predicted ideological differences in solidarity: while the MARPOR left-right score shows only a non-significant effect in the expected direction, left-right self-placement (as well as the CHES scores) show a strong, robust and significant effect. The strength of this relationship is highly context-dependent: in Austria and West Germany, predicted contributions of leftmost participants are about 8 percentage points higher than those of rightmost participants. In East Germany, this predicted difference amounts to about 30 percentage points. Additional analyses rule out differences in social trust, economic or cultural political orientations as alternative explanations for the context-dependency of the effect. We argue that the East German party system – characterised by clearer programmatic party differences and more intense party competition – leads voters to define their ideological position more clearly and increases the behavioural relevance of political ideology.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102980"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144827756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany 议题一致性胜过地理:理解BSW在东德和西德的吸引力
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102986
Jan Philipp Thomeczek , Aiko Wagner
{"title":"Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany","authors":"Jan Philipp Thomeczek ,&nbsp;Aiko Wagner","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102986","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102986","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102986"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144907581","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Vote choice under certainty, risk, and uncertainty 确定性、风险和不确定性下的投票选择
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102972
Guido Tiemann
{"title":"Vote choice under certainty, risk, and uncertainty","authors":"Guido Tiemann","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102972","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102972","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Voters are thought to be repelled by unclear party communication or all-out uncertainty about their ideological or programmatic positions. Our contribution builds on a series of survey experiments in the alternative states of certainty, risk, and uncertainty. Choice under risk occurs, for instance, when electoral platforms transmit blurred or unclear signals. However, the range of potential positions and their respective probabilities is considered common, exogenous knowledge: we find that these scenarios neither attract nor repel voters. In contrast, choice under uncertainty is given when potential outcomes or their respective probabilities are unknown to the voters and require endogenous cognitive abilities and endogenous signal processing: we demonstrate that choice under uncertainty tends to drive away voters. The experimental setup considers both spatial and non-spatial components of voter utility and their contextual conditions to bolster external validity and arrive at more internally and externally valid assessments of vote choice under various “states of nature”.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102972"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144852302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Local news, partisanship, and perceptions about election administration 地方新闻、党派关系和对选举管理的看法
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102970
Murat Abus , Kexin Bai , Johanna Dunaway
{"title":"Local news, partisanship, and perceptions about election administration","authors":"Murat Abus ,&nbsp;Kexin Bai ,&nbsp;Johanna Dunaway","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102970","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102970","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How does access to local news shape perceptions of election integrity? While existing research emphasizes the influence of partisanship and motivated reasoning, exposure to observable facts about election administration also affects these perceptions. Traditionally, local news was voters’ main source for such information. However, local news has declined significantly – especially in reporting capacity – due to increased competition in the digital media landscape. As a result, the public has less access to objective information about how elections are run, potentially increasing reliance on partisan cues. In this paper, we use individual-level survey data, measures of local news availability, and county-level election results from the 2016 and 2020 cycles to examine whether and how access to local news moderates the effects of partisanship and the winner/loser gap on voter perceptions of election integrity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102970"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New evidence on citizens’ reactions to democratic norm violations in an advanced democracy 在发达民主国家,公民对违反民主规范的反应的新证据
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971
Sirianne Dahlum, Peter Egge Langsæther, Tore Wig
{"title":"New evidence on citizens’ reactions to democratic norm violations in an advanced democracy","authors":"Sirianne Dahlum,&nbsp;Peter Egge Langsæther,&nbsp;Tore Wig","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate citizens’ commitments to democratic norms in a democratic “posterchild”, using the case of Norway. Previous research suggests that citizens often accept elite violations of democratic norms. We distinguish between more subtle infractions and explicit rejections of democracy, and we assess how citizens respond when democratic violations are framed as necessary to achieve pressing societal goals. We find that concrete democratic-norm violations, such as accepting violent rhetoric, meet only weakly punitive reactions among citizens. Policy disagreement or party identification are not important moderators. This may suggest significant opportunity space for elite-driven democratic backsliding even in highly advanced democracies. Yet, citizens heavily punish the most outright rejections of democracy, that question democracy itself, even when justified in order to reach desired political and social outcomes. These findings are consistent with the notion that citizens tolerate specific anti-democratic actions because these are not necessarily considered as violating democracy, while statements clearly violating democracy are punished more.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102971"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The urban-rural cleavage: Analysing more than 40 years of Norwegian survey data 城乡分化:分析挪威40多年的调查数据
IF 2.9 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954
Stine Hesstvedt, Jo Saglie
{"title":"The urban-rural cleavage: Analysing more than 40 years of Norwegian survey data","authors":"Stine Hesstvedt,&nbsp;Jo Saglie","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, the political divide between urban and rural dwellers seems to have increased. Current literature has described the rise of a green, progressive and left-leaning urban electorate and a nationalist and conservative rural population. However, research usually lacks historical data on these developments outside of majoritarian systems. We provide new insights into the urban-rural divide's evolution in a European multi-party welfare state by analysing more than four decades of data from Norway and asking: How has the urban-rural divide over political issues evolved from a long-term perspective? Using unique election survey data, we analyse how both attitudes and most important issues among rural and urban voters in Norway have changed between 1977 and 2021. We also assess whether urban-rural differences are driven by sociodemographic change. Our results indicate both stability and change. On one hand, we find attitude polarisation in Norway on some issues: Divisions over environmental policy have increased, as the urban population displays more progressive attitudes than rural citizens over time. Rural citizens have become more concerned with centre and periphery issues. However, in other areas, we find stability and a relatively low degree of polarisation. For example, the rural population in Norway has become more similar to urban citizens regarding moral and religious issues. Furthermore, rural citizens have not become more right-leaning on economic questions, which has been a finding in more adversarial systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102954"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144548771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Voting alone: Early voting and turnout in couples 单独投票:提前投票和夫妻投票
IF 2.9 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102960
Johannes Bergh , Dag Arne Christensen , Henning Finseraas
{"title":"Voting alone: Early voting and turnout in couples","authors":"Johannes Bergh ,&nbsp;Dag Arne Christensen ,&nbsp;Henning Finseraas","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102960","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102960","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Low-turnout groups have less knowledge and understanding of politics. Therefore, their decision to vote may depend more on their family/partner, in which case voting is more of a social than an individual act. The increased use of early voting makes voting more individualized, and we ask if that has a detrimental effect on the propensity to vote in certain groups. If the partner votes prior to election day does that influence the turnout decision of the other partner? Based on administrative voter data covering the entire Norwegian population over several elections, we find that low-propensity voters in couples are demobilized by a partner's early vote, whereas, if anything, the opposite is true for high-propensity voters. There is no demobilization effect in a placebo analysis of couples who divorce between two elections, which suggests that demobilization among couples is not purely driven by selection into early voting.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102960"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144480664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does prepaid postage increase voter turnout? An analysis across time and municipalities in Switzerland 预付邮资会增加选民投票率吗?瑞士不同时间和城市的分析
IF 2.9 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102968
Pierre F.R. Lüssi, Alina Zumbrunn
{"title":"Does prepaid postage increase voter turnout? An analysis across time and municipalities in Switzerland","authors":"Pierre F.R. Lüssi,&nbsp;Alina Zumbrunn","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102968","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102968","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Political participation is the backbone of democracy. One measure to increase voter turnout in vote-by-mail systems is prepaying postage. Previous studies investigated the effect of prepaid postage and found that it significantly increases turnout. Using an original data set covering all national direct democratic votes in 1893 Swiss municipalities from 2005 to 2023, we replicate earlier studies and investigate temporal as well as contextual variation. We find that the effect of prepaid postage on turnout is contingent upon both time and municipal characteristics: 1) postage starts to increase turnout only after three to five years. 2) Abolishing prepaid postage reverses the increase in turnout. 3) The effect is larger in municipalities with more post boxes and a greater average distance to the office of municipal authorities. The evidence from our study suggests that prepaid postage cannot be viewed as a one-size-fits-all solution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102968"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144656104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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