Electoral Studies最新文献

Do the rich ditch politics? Evidence from Sweden 富人会抛弃政治吗？来自瑞典的证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102966

Anton Brännlund , Rafael Ahlskog

引用次数: 0

Does prepaid postage increase voter turnout? An analysis across time and municipalities in Switzerland 预付邮资会增加选民投票率吗？瑞士不同时间和城市的分析

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102968

Pierre F.R. Lüssi, Alina Zumbrunn

引用次数: 0

“And some, I assume, are good people”: Determinants of elites’ strategic discourse about immigrants and refugees “我想，有些人是好人”：精英们关于移民和难民的战略话语的决定因素

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952

João V. Guedes-Neto , Alex Honeker

{"title":"“And some, I assume, are good people”: Determinants of elites’ strategic discourse about immigrants and refugees","authors":"João V. Guedes-Neto , Alex Honeker","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using computational text analysis of US representatives’ tweets during the 2020 election campaign, we examine how geographic representation–specifically, the demographic characteristics of districts–moderate rhetoric about immigrants and refugees. While Republicans are overall more negative toward immigrants than Democrats (but not toward refugees), when it comes to salience, Democrats show strategic communication tailored to the ethnic composition of their districts. In districts that are predominantly non-Hispanic, whiter, and more rural, Democratic representatives reduce the salience of immigrants and refugees in their messages, while increasing it as the share of the Hispanic population rises. This strategic use of salience is not observed in Republican legislators’ tweets. We also find that while Democrats use the terms “immigrant” and “refugee” interchangeably when discussing migrants from the southern border, Republicans’ greater positivity toward refugees responds, in part, to using the term for potential Hong Kong refugees, likely deemed as more deserving of protection. These findings highlight elites’ strategic messaging on immigration and how legislators navigate intraparty politics to satisfy the preferences of their party and constituents.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102952"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144595587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The East in wolf’s clothing. Wolf attacks correlate with but do not cause far-right voting 披着狼皮的东方。狼的袭击与极右翼投票有关，但并不导致极右翼投票

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102957

Nico Sonntag

引用次数: 0

Populist leaders and the political budget cycle 民粹主义领导人和政治预算周期

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965

Assaf Shmuel

{"title":"Populist leaders and the political budget cycle","authors":"Assaf Shmuel","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rise of populist leaders has been a notable trend in recent years, not just in developing democracies but in developed ones as well. The phenomenon has attracted wide scholarly interest, studying the effect of populist leaders on various fields of life, including the economy. This paper sheds light on an additional aspect of populist leaders' actions: their utilization of the political budget cycle (PBC). The PBC is a well-known hypothesis claiming the existence of an economic cycle which revolves around national elections, caused by leaders who manipulate the economy to create favourable conditions towards re-election. Although the existence of PBCs has been empirically established, particularly in developing democracies, its link to populism remains to be empirically explored. In this paper we claim that populist leaders make an increased use of the PBC in comparison to other leaders. We substantiate this hypothesis through a comprehensive statistical analysis utilizing a recently released dataset encompassing decades of populist leaders. Our findings reveal robust empirical support for the hypothesis. We find that populist leaders play a major role in driving political budget cycles across different democratic systems, with particularly strong effects in weaker democracies. These findings carry significant implications given the rising prevalence of populist leaders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102965"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144563498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The urban-rural cleavage: Analysing more than 40 years of Norwegian survey data 城乡分化：分析挪威40多年的调查数据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954

Stine Hesstvedt, Jo Saglie

{"title":"The urban-rural cleavage: Analysing more than 40 years of Norwegian survey data","authors":"Stine Hesstvedt, Jo Saglie","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102954","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, the political divide between urban and rural dwellers seems to have increased. Current literature has described the rise of a green, progressive and left-leaning urban electorate and a nationalist and conservative rural population. However, research usually lacks historical data on these developments outside of majoritarian systems. We provide new insights into the urban-rural divide's evolution in a European multi-party welfare state by analysing more than four decades of data from Norway and asking: How has the urban-rural divide over political issues evolved from a long-term perspective? Using unique election survey data, we analyse how both attitudes and most important issues among rural and urban voters in Norway have changed between 1977 and 2021. We also assess whether urban-rural differences are driven by sociodemographic change. Our results indicate both stability and change. On one hand, we find attitude polarisation in Norway on some issues: Divisions over environmental policy have increased, as the urban population displays more progressive attitudes than rural citizens over time. Rural citizens have become more concerned with centre and periphery issues. However, in other areas, we find stability and a relatively low degree of polarisation. For example, the rural population in Norway has become more similar to urban citizens regarding moral and religious issues. Furthermore, rural citizens have not become more right-leaning on economic questions, which has been a finding in more adversarial systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102954"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144548771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes 解开城乡鸿沟：身份和刻板印象

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102935

Sofia Breitenstein , Toni Rodon , Guillem Riambau , Andreu Rodilla

{"title":"Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes","authors":"Sofia Breitenstein , Toni Rodon , Guillem Riambau , Andreu Rodilla","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102935","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102935","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The resurgence of the rural–urban divide as a factor shaping political attitudes has gained increasing attention in both public and academic discourse. Although often framed in terms of social identities, less is known about whether people actually express rural or urban identities in their own terms. This study investigates whether rural and urban identities exist independently of other identities such as class or ideology, and how they shape perceptions of in-groups and out-groups. Drawing on open-ended survey responses from a representative sample in Spain – a context where the rural–urban divide has gained political relevance – we use a novel text analysis approach to examine how individuals describe the groups they identify with. Findings show that rural–urban identities surface only marginally without explicit prompting, while identities tied to age, ideology, and education are more salient. When primed, some stereotypical traits emerge: rural communities are associated with nature and a relaxed lifestyle, while urban ones are linked to stress and individualism. A more uniform and stereotyped view of rural areas also appears across both rural and urban respondents.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102935"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144563497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Preferences for female successors: Evidence from a survey experiment among Japanese local politicians 对女性继任者的偏好：来自日本地方政客调查实验的证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102956

Hikaru Nukui , Hirofumi Miwa , Yoshikuni Ono

{"title":"Preferences for female successors: Evidence from a survey experiment among Japanese local politicians","authors":"Hikaru Nukui , Hirofumi Miwa , Yoshikuni Ono","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102956","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102956","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Incumbents often serve as critical gatekeepers in the recruitment of new candidates and may even designate their successors upon retirement. Some existing research indicates that the gender of gatekeepers is likely to affect the recruitment of female candidates, a dynamic of particular concern in countries like Japan, where political offices are predominantly held by men. However, it remains unclear whether the underrepresentation of women stems from male incumbents actively discriminating against female candidates during the recruitment process. Through a survey experiment involving over 7000 elected local politicians in Japan, we examine gender biases in the successor selection process and attitudes toward female candidacy. Contrary to our expectations, the results reveal that local politicians, irrespective of their own gender, are more inclined to nominate women over men as their successors. They also believe that these female candidates would receive support from their local constituencies. These findings suggest that the selection practices of incumbents may not significantly contribute to the underrepresentation of women in politics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102956"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144535187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The politics of litigating and adjudicating electoral disputes: Evidence from Zambia 诉讼和裁决选举纠纷的政治：来自赞比亚的证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102955

Øyvind Stiansen , Haakon Gjerløw , Lise Rakner

引用次数: 0

Rural representation in Europe: The presence of place in national parliaments 欧洲的农村代表权：在国家议会中的地位

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102962

Guillem Rico, Rubén García del Horno, Enrique Hernández

{"title":"Rural representation in Europe: The presence of place in national parliaments","authors":"Guillem Rico, Rubén García del Horno, Enrique Hernández","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102962","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102962","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Recent research shows a growing rural-urban divide in political attitudes and behavior, which has given currency to expressions like “places that don't matter” and “rural resentment”. Although these accounts point to a crisis of political representation, the topic has hardly been approached from the theories and methods of the unequal representation literature. Against this backdrop, this paper provides a systematic assessment of biases in place-related descriptive representation in 28 European countries. Using data on legislator biographies and geographic and demographic statistics, we first examine the relative presence of legislators with urban and rural backgrounds in national parliaments, and then assess the extent to which parliamentary composition, in terms of members' birthplaces, reflects the broader demographic makeup of country populations. Next, we explore how variation in the territorial background of legislators relates to country, party, and individual-level factors. Results show that rural areas tend to be underrepresented in national parliaments when compared to urban ones. Differences in the descriptive representation of rural areas vary in consistent ways with urbanization levels, electoral system features, parties' characteristic constituencies, territorial embeddedness and ideological orientation, and legislator sociodemographics. The study's results underscore the need for greater scholarly attention to the representation of place—particularly rural areas—to better understand its potential consequences on symbolic marginalization, feelings of exclusion, and a lack of policies addressing their needs, all of which may fuel political polarization and distrust in democratic institutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102962"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0