Electoral Studies最新文献

To moderate, or not to moderate: Strategic domain sharing by congressional campaigns

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102907

Maggie Macdonald , Megan A. Brown , Joshua A. Tucker , Jonathan Nagler

引用次数: 0

Electoral systems and assembly size

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102922

Simon Otjes

引用次数: 0

Measuring rural and urban consciousness in Europe

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-03-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102912

Christopher Claassen , Sascha Göbel , Antonia Lang , Kathrin Ackermann , Petar Bankov , Kevin Brookes , Bartolomeo Cappellina , Christopher Carman , Markus Freitag , Rubén García Del Horno , Enrique Hernández , Guillem Rico , Sigrid Rossteutscher , Richard Traunmüller , Michael Webb , Sonja Zmerli , Alina Zumbrunn

{"title":"Measuring rural and urban consciousness in Europe","authors":"Christopher Claassen , Sascha Göbel , Antonia Lang , Kathrin Ackermann , Petar Bankov , Kevin Brookes , Bartolomeo Cappellina , Christopher Carman , Markus Freitag , Rubén García Del Horno , Enrique Hernández , Guillem Rico , Sigrid Rossteutscher , Richard Traunmüller , Michael Webb , Sonja Zmerli , Alina Zumbrunn","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102912","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102912","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A rural consciousness, encompassing a rural identity and resentments directed at urban areas and the political elite, has emerged as a key explanation for the growing rural–urban political divides affecting many Western democracies. However, existing research has largely focused on the case of the United States; there is also no consensus as to the structure or dimensionality of rural (and urban) consciousness. In response, this paper develops and tests a battery of 16 items for measuring consciousness in five Western European countries: Britain, France, Germany, Spain, and Switzerland. We show that both rural and urban consciousness are best understood as comprising a dimension of identity and three dimensions of resentment pertaining to power, resources, and culture, in line with Cramer’s original conceptualization. We furthermore find that rural consciousness in Western Europe is generally associated with indicators of “left behind” status such as low income and lack of a university education and is also associated with identification with the political right. This shows how rural–urban identities and resentments can help illuminate the changing political landscape of Western Europe.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102912"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143578725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The strategic dilemma of social democracy: Lessons from Slovakia

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911

Roman Hlatky , Oľga Gyárfášová

{"title":"The strategic dilemma of social democracy: Lessons from Slovakia","authors":"Roman Hlatky , Oľga Gyárfášová","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The declining fortunes of European social democracy have been the subject of much attention. A contested explanation for how to remedy the decline concerns whether conservative shifts on sociocultural and transnational issues are helpful or harmful at the ballot box. In contrast, we focus on an underexplored adaptation strategy: the split of social democracy along the sociocultural cleavage. We analyze the Slovak case where a successful, dominant social democratic party, Smer-SD, divided. One part of the divide took radical, conservative stances on sociocultural and geopolitical issues, while the other part adopted moderate positions. Analyzing over 30 public opinion polls, we show that the split and the parties’ subsequent ideological differentiation led to electoral success. Radicalization attracted conservative former radical-right voters; moderation ensured the support of the more liberal middle class. Situating Slovakia in the wider European context, we: (1) suggest that the salience of the sociocultural cleavage has strengthened the appeal of a nationalist left programmatic direction in Central and Eastern Europe; (2) explore why moderate social democracy succeeded in Slovakia but failed elsewhere; and (3) confirm previous findings on the importance of strong leadership and a large membership base for splinter party success, and on voter responsiveness to parties' ideological and programmatic shifts. More generally, the Slovak case illustrates that party splits are both a consequence of and a potentially effective response to the strategic dilemma of social democracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102911"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143562848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The poles in polarization: Social categorization and affective polarization in multiparty systems

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102908

Adrian Rothers

引用次数: 0

Magnitude matters: Voter turnout under different electoral systems

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102910

Michał Pierzgalski , Maciej A. Górecki , Paweł Stępień

{"title":"Magnitude matters: Voter turnout under different electoral systems","authors":"Michał Pierzgalski , Maciej A. Górecki , Paweł Stępień","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102910","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102910","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Do voters participate more under proportional than plurality systems? While existing research typically suggests proportional representation (PR) systems exhibit higher turnout than majoritarian systems, several studies indicate a less clear-cut relationship between proportionality and voter turnout. Using a regression discontinuity design, we analyze constituency-level data from Polish municipal elections (1998-2010) to compare three electoral systems: single-member district plurality (SMDP), multi-member district plurality (MMDP), and open-list proportional representation (OLPR). This institutional setting allows us to examine both electoral formula and district magnitude effects through two transitions: from SMDP to OLPR (changing both formula and magnitude) and from MMDP to OLPR (changing primarily formula). We find that PR increases turnout by 3-4 percentage points compared to SMDP but shows no significant differences compared to MMDP. These contrasting effects suggest that district magnitude, not just electoral formula, shapes voter participation. Our findings challenge the view that proportional representation inherently increases voter participation by showing that turnout differences emerge primarily from the shift to multi-member districts. The results demonstrate how the interaction between district magnitude and electoral formula affects voting behavior, moving beyond the simple majoritarian-proportional dichotomy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102910"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143454740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Institutional personalism and personalised behaviour: Electoral systems, candidate selection methods, and politicians’ campaign strategy 制度个人主义与个性化行为：选举制度、候选人遴选方法和政治家的竞选策略

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102909

Or Tuttnauer , Gideon Rahat

{"title":"Institutional personalism and personalised behaviour: Electoral systems, candidate selection methods, and politicians’ campaign strategy","authors":"Or Tuttnauer , Gideon Rahat","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102909","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102909","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we investigate how two crucial political institutions – the electoral system and the intraparty candidate selection method – incentivise elite personalistic campaigning behaviour. We offer two contributions. First, we show the interactive effect of the two institutions on elite behaviour in campaigns, unlike most of the extant literature that focuses on parliamentary activity. Second, we apply the distinction between leader-focused (centralised) and individual-focused (decentralised) personalism to candidate selection methods. We argue that selection methods dominated by the party leader and ones employing primaries, two types of selection methods usually seen as opposites on established scales of candidate selection, are actually similar in their effect on politicians’ personalistic behaviour during electoral campaigns.</div><div>Using a dataset combining candidate surveys and expert coding of party selection rules, we analyse 9320 candidate responses from 101 parties across 16 democracies. We demonstrate that primaries-based selection methods correlate with more personalistic behaviour than collegial selection methods under party-centred electoral systems but with less personalistic behaviour in the most candidate-centred electoral systems. Leader-dominated selection methods similarly correlate with more personalistic behaviour than collegial ones only in closed-list PR systems, while their effect is insignificant in more candidate-centred systems. Our findings have wide-ranging implications. They call into question the conventional conceptualisation of candidate selection methods and their effect on politicians' behaviour. They also refine the scope of intraparty institutions’ impact, limiting it to party-centred electoral systems. Conversely, our findings serve as a reminder that students of electoral systems investigating their effects on elite behaviour must, at least in party-centred electoral systems, take intraparty institutions into consideration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102909"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421088","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How congruent are populist parties with their constituencies? Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament Elections in Italy, the Netherlands, Germany and Sweden

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102906

Andrei Zhirnov , Jan Philipp Thomeczek , Michele Scotto Di Vettimo , Alberto López Ortega , André Krouwel , Lorenza Antonucci , Roberta Di Stefano , Norbert Kersting

{"title":"How congruent are populist parties with their constituencies? Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament Elections in Italy, the Netherlands, Germany and Sweden","authors":"Andrei Zhirnov , Jan Philipp Thomeczek , Michele Scotto Di Vettimo , Alberto López Ortega , André Krouwel , Lorenza Antonucci , Roberta Di Stefano , Norbert Kersting","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102906","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102906","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rise of populism in Europe has often been described as a response to representation deficits. Arguably, populist parties (1) contribute to the representation of underrepresented constituencies by taking stances that non-populist parties are too constrained to advocate and (2) make a promise of extreme responsiveness to those frustrated with the lack of representation. In this research note, we investigate whether populist parties are indeed closer to their voters in the policy space than non-populist parties and are more congruent with their constituencies than the other parties are with theirs. Using data from Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden, we find that populist parties are indeed often the best policy option for their voters, but the correspondence between their positions and those of their constituencies is on average as good or bad as that between other parties and their voters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102906"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143151453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Explaining 2020 Trump support: The role of anti-Muslim, pro-police, and anti-BLM attitudes

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102888

Nazita Lajevardi , Jan Zilinsky

引用次数: 0

Do voters prefer logrolling to compromise in parliamentary democracies?

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102889

Alejandro Ecker , Thomas M. Meyer , Carolina Plescia

引用次数: 0