协助投票?残疾是投票的代价

IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Michael C. Herron , Daniel A. Smith
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引用次数: 0

摘要

数千万符合投票资格的美国残疾人,其中许多人在投票时需要某种形式的帮助。根据佛罗里达州最近五次大选(2014-2022年)的公开行政数据,我们提供了一幅在登记投票时证明他们在投票时需要帮助的个人肖像。然后,利用投票率数据、邮件投票(VBM)请求和从五次选举中返回的选票数据,我们将投票率和被拒绝的VBM选票的可能性建模为投票协助需求的函数,以及其他选民层面的因素。我们发现,在佛罗里达州,需要帮助的登记选民的比例一直稳定在3%左右,老年人和种族/少数民族选民更有可能证明他们需要帮助才能投票,而且,在所有条件相同的情况下,需要帮助的选民不仅总体投票率较低,而且他们的VBM选票被拒绝的可能性也略高于不需要帮助才能投票的登记选民。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assisting the vote? Disability as a cost of voting
Tens of millions of voting-eligible Americans live with disabilities, many of whom need a form of assistance when casting ballots. Drawing on publicly available administrative data from five recent general elections in Florida (2014–2022), we offer a portrait of individuals who have attested when registering to vote that they need assistance when voting. Then, leveraging turnout data as well as vote-by-mail (VBM) requests and returned ballot data from our five elections, we model turnout and the likelihood of having a rejected VBM ballot as a function of the need for voting assistance, among other voter-level factors. We find that the rate of registered voters needing assistance has remained steady in Florida at roughly three percent, that older and racial/ethnic minority voters are more likely to attest that they need assistance to vote, and that, all things equal, voters needing assistance not only have a lower overall turnout rate but also are slightly more likely to have their VBM ballots rejected than registered voters who do not indicate they need assistance to vote.
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来源期刊
Electoral Studies
Electoral Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
82
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.
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