Electoral Studies最新文献_第2页

Local news, partisanship, and perceptions about election administration 地方新闻、党派关系和对选举管理的看法

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102970

Murat Abus , Kexin Bai , Johanna Dunaway

引用次数: 0

New evidence on citizens’ reactions to democratic norm violations in an advanced democracy 在发达民主国家，公民对违反民主规范的反应的新证据

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971

Sirianne Dahlum, Peter Egge Langsæther, Tore Wig

{"title":"New evidence on citizens’ reactions to democratic norm violations in an advanced democracy","authors":"Sirianne Dahlum, Peter Egge Langsæther, Tore Wig","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate citizens’ commitments to democratic norms in a democratic “posterchild”, using the case of Norway. Previous research suggests that citizens often accept elite violations of democratic norms. We distinguish between more subtle infractions and explicit rejections of democracy, and we assess how citizens respond when democratic violations are framed as necessary to achieve pressing societal goals. We find that concrete democratic-norm violations, such as accepting violent rhetoric, meet only weakly punitive reactions among citizens. Policy disagreement or party identification are not important moderators. This may suggest significant opportunity space for elite-driven democratic backsliding even in highly advanced democracies. Yet, citizens heavily punish the most outright rejections of democracy, that question democracy itself, even when justified in order to reach desired political and social outcomes. These findings are consistent with the notion that citizens tolerate specific anti-democratic actions because these are not necessarily considered as violating democracy, while statements clearly violating democracy are punished more.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102971"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Not just who, but how: Further probing the connection between primary election dissatisfaction and general election voting behavior 不只是谁，而是如何：进一步探讨初选不满与大选投票行为之间的联系

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102969

Elizabeth N. Simas , Lucas Lothamer

{"title":"Not just who, but how: Further probing the connection between primary election dissatisfaction and general election voting behavior","authors":"Elizabeth N. Simas , Lucas Lothamer","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102969","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102969","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How does divided primary support impact parties and their candidates come the general election? Existing works fail to offer a clear consensus, with some finding evidence of “sour grapes” and defection and others finding that voters ultimately come home to their party. We offer a more recent examination of how support for a losing primary candidate is related to general election voting behavior. In addition, we also hypothesize that dissatisfaction with aspects of how nominating contests are conducted will be related to greater probabilities of defection or abstention. Using original data from the 2020 Cooperative Election Study (CES), we find only mixed evidence that dissatisfaction with Joe Biden lead to a greater probability of defecting to Donald Trump in the 2020 general election. More consistently, we find that dissatisfaction with the process that led to Biden's nomination – especially dislike of the roles of Iowa and New Hampshire -- is associated with defection. These findings suggest that parties should think about both the people running and process by which they are nominated if hoping to maximize general election support among their members.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102969"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144713568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Election Timing across Autocracy and Democracy (ETAD): A new dataset of national election dates 选举时间跨越专制和民主（ETAD）：全国选举日期的新数据集

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102964

Masaaki Higashijima , Naoki Shimizu , Hidekuni Washida , Yuki Yanai

{"title":"Election Timing across Autocracy and Democracy (ETAD): A new dataset of national election dates","authors":"Masaaki Higashijima , Naoki Shimizu , Hidekuni Washida , Yuki Yanai","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102964","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102964","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We introduce the Election Timing across Autocracy and Democracy (ETAD) dataset, which provides comprehensive data on the timing of the national elections in autocracies and democracies between 1945 and 2023. ETAD covers 3,127 legislative and presidential elections in 148 countries. Various research agendas have targeted election timing, but no global dataset measuring precise timing has been available. ETAD provides scholars with detailed information on election timing, including which date an election was held, how many days an election was accelerated or delayed from the initially scheduled date, and why the election timing was changed. ETAD has three distinct features. First, it covers legislative and presidential elections in both autocracies and democracies. Second, it records dates, which allows researchers to operationalize early or delayed elections following their specific purposes. Third, it identifies the major reasons for timing changes, helping us better understand governments’ strategies of changing election timing. ETAD improves our understanding of electoral behavior, institutional constraints, and regime dynamics by bridging gaps in existing research and enabling nuanced analyses. To demonstrate that, we present a research example about opportunistic election timing. The ETAD dataset and its codebook can be downloaded from the author’s website or installed as an R package.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102964"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144712026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How nuclear power hurts the Greens: Evidence from German nuclear power plants 核能是如何伤害绿党的：来自德国核电站的证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102959

António Valentim , Heike Klüver , Cornelius Erfort

引用次数: 0

Do the rich ditch politics? Evidence from Sweden 富人会抛弃政治吗？来自瑞典的证据

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102966

Anton Brännlund , Rafael Ahlskog

引用次数: 0

Does prepaid postage increase voter turnout? An analysis across time and municipalities in Switzerland 预付邮资会增加选民投票率吗？瑞士不同时间和城市的分析

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102968

Pierre F.R. Lüssi, Alina Zumbrunn

引用次数: 0

“And some, I assume, are good people”: Determinants of elites’ strategic discourse about immigrants and refugees “我想，有些人是好人”：精英们关于移民和难民的战略话语的决定因素

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952

João V. Guedes-Neto , Alex Honeker

{"title":"“And some, I assume, are good people”: Determinants of elites’ strategic discourse about immigrants and refugees","authors":"João V. Guedes-Neto , Alex Honeker","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102952","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using computational text analysis of US representatives’ tweets during the 2020 election campaign, we examine how geographic representation–specifically, the demographic characteristics of districts–moderate rhetoric about immigrants and refugees. While Republicans are overall more negative toward immigrants than Democrats (but not toward refugees), when it comes to salience, Democrats show strategic communication tailored to the ethnic composition of their districts. In districts that are predominantly non-Hispanic, whiter, and more rural, Democratic representatives reduce the salience of immigrants and refugees in their messages, while increasing it as the share of the Hispanic population rises. This strategic use of salience is not observed in Republican legislators’ tweets. We also find that while Democrats use the terms “immigrant” and “refugee” interchangeably when discussing migrants from the southern border, Republicans’ greater positivity toward refugees responds, in part, to using the term for potential Hong Kong refugees, likely deemed as more deserving of protection. These findings highlight elites’ strategic messaging on immigration and how legislators navigate intraparty politics to satisfy the preferences of their party and constituents.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102952"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144595587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The East in wolf’s clothing. Wolf attacks correlate with but do not cause far-right voting 披着狼皮的东方。狼的袭击与极右翼投票有关，但并不导致极右翼投票

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102957

Nico Sonntag

引用次数: 0

Populist leaders and the political budget cycle 民粹主义领导人和政治预算周期

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965

Assaf Shmuel

{"title":"Populist leaders and the political budget cycle","authors":"Assaf Shmuel","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102965","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rise of populist leaders has been a notable trend in recent years, not just in developing democracies but in developed ones as well. The phenomenon has attracted wide scholarly interest, studying the effect of populist leaders on various fields of life, including the economy. This paper sheds light on an additional aspect of populist leaders' actions: their utilization of the political budget cycle (PBC). The PBC is a well-known hypothesis claiming the existence of an economic cycle which revolves around national elections, caused by leaders who manipulate the economy to create favourable conditions towards re-election. Although the existence of PBCs has been empirically established, particularly in developing democracies, its link to populism remains to be empirically explored. In this paper we claim that populist leaders make an increased use of the PBC in comparison to other leaders. We substantiate this hypothesis through a comprehensive statistical analysis utilizing a recently released dataset encompassing decades of populist leaders. Our findings reveal robust empirical support for the hypothesis. We find that populist leaders play a major role in driving political budget cycles across different democratic systems, with particularly strong effects in weaker democracies. These findings carry significant implications given the rising prevalence of populist leaders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"96 ","pages":"Article 102965"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144563498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0