Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-09-18DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102770
Radine Rafols
{"title":"Gender norms and child penalties","authors":"Radine Rafols","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102770","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102770","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I study how early gender beliefs shape the labor market consequences of parenthood. Drawing on panel data from the NLSY79, I document sharp and persistent gender gaps in wages, hours, employment, and earnings following childbirth. Mothers with egalitarian norms exhibit stronger labor force attachment and suffer smaller penalties across all outcomes. To understand mechanisms, I demonstrate that gender norms affect decisions that typically correlate with labor market success. A causal mediation analysis reveals that the indirect effect of norm beliefs on fertility explain a sizable share of the gap between modern and traditional mothers, while education, marriage timing, and occupational sorting play more limited roles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102770"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-11-01DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102818
Guilherme de Oliveira Lima Cagliari Marques , Mateus Gonzalez de Freitas Pinto
{"title":"Persistence and seasonal long memory in unemployment in the United States","authors":"Guilherme de Oliveira Lima Cagliari Marques , Mateus Gonzalez de Freitas Pinto","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102818","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102818","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the persistence of US unemployment applying seasonal fractional integration (FARISMA) models to assess both seasonal and non-seasonal long-range dependence. The analysis is carried out at three levels of data aggregation: state, regional census division, and national aggregation. Using wavelet multiresolution decomposition, we separate out irregular components to assess changes in persistence in unemployment dynamics. Our findings indicate strong evidence of hysteresis in US unemployment rates, with both seasonal and non-seasonal long memory contributing to the persistence of unemployment. These results are evidence that challenges the NAIRU hypothesis, suggesting that exogenous shocks to unemployment have prolonged effects that do not dissipate within a finite time horizon.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102818"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145416836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-11-02DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102817
Shira Buzaglo-Baris
{"title":"Firms, industries and the gender wage gap","authors":"Shira Buzaglo-Baris","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102817","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102817","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the gender wage gap across various margins in the labor market: between industries, between firms within industries, and within firms, with a particular focus on parenthood — an event that significantly shapes the gender wage gap. Using comprehensive Employer-Employee administrative data from Israel, the study finds that industry sorting is the primary driver, explaining 22% of the overall gender wage gap, with an additional 4% attributable to women sorting into lower-paying firms within the same industry. Sorting intensifies following parenthood, as mothers are less likely to move to higher-paying firms, especially within the industry. In high-paying industries, mothers tend to accept positions in lower-paying firms while maintaining their relative industry position, whereas in low-paying industries, fathers advance faster up the industry ladder, reinforcing a motherhood penalty at the industry-level. These findings suggest that women’s initial sorting into industries has long-lasting consequences.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102817"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145465497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-09-13DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102802
Mengying Peng , Xiaoyang Ye
{"title":"Peer effects on college choice: Evidence from affirmative action in China","authors":"Mengying Peng , Xiaoyang Ye","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102802","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102802","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates how peer networks influence ethnic minority students’ participation in China’s affirmative action policies in higher education. Focusing on the Ethnic Minority Preparatory Classes (EMPC) program, which provides admissions advantages to ethnic minority students, we examine whether informal information transmission within peer networks affects program take-up. Using administrative data from Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region between 2014 and 2018, we define peers as ethnic minority students from the same high school and shared the same registered residence in the previous cohort. Leveraging a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that having at least one successfully admitted peer increases the likelihood of EMPC admission by around 2 percentage points (p.p.), a 17% increase relative to the baseline admission rate of 13%. Heterogeneity analyses show that male students and those in non-STEM tracks benefit more, with effects of up to 3 p.p. These findings remain robust across alternative peer definitions and cumulative exposure measures. Additional analyses using data from Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region further underscore the importance of peer networks in shaping information flows that influence the outcomes of affirmative action programs. These findings highlight the critical role of peer networks in reducing informational barriers and underscore the importance of peer group structure, student heterogeneity, and institutional context in shaping the effectiveness of affirmative action policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102802"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145690603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-09-03DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102785
Tianze Liu
{"title":"How IT-specialized majors pay off: Evidence from an IT industry shock","authors":"Tianze Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102785","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102785","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies how industry-specific shocks affect workers with specialized skills, focusing on the impact of the burst of the dotcom bubble on the careers of IT-specialized college graduates in Sweden. Graduates entering the labor market during the bust faced sharp initial earnings penalties and lower probabilities of IT sector employment compared to boom cohorts. However, they exhibited remarkable resilience, recovering earnings by leveraging their skills in high-paying, non-IT occupations. Incumbent IT workers, while remaining within the IT sector, experienced a decline in earnings as they moved to lower-premium firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102785"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145690592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-11-19DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102830
Gloria Moroni , Alexander Vickery
{"title":"Divorce, parental conflicts and child skills: A story of selection","authors":"Gloria Moroni , Alexander Vickery","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102830","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102830","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper uses data from the UK Millennium Cohort Study (MCS) to study how parental divorce in early childhood affects a child’s skill development. We estimate a dynamic model of child skill formation that accounts for the endogenous nature of parental divorce including a measure of interparental conflicts. Our results show that the skill disadvantages among children of divorce stem almost entirely from the effects of selection. Here, skill gaps materialise due to disadvantages in household characteristics that also increase divorce risk. Inter-parental conflicts, parental education, and family financial resources emerge as key pre-divorce characteristics that explain divorce gaps in children’s cognitive and socio-emotional skills from age 3, through age 11. Inter-parental conflicts are often unobserved and overlooked in the literature, but our results demonstrate that they indeed play a major role, particularly for gaps in socio-emotional skills. Moreover, such gaps are found to be more pronounced among more vulnerable children, i.e. those with lower levels of socio-emotional skills.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102830"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145623332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-08-25DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102771
Erik Hernæs , Zhiyang Jia , John Piggott , Trond Christian Vigtel
{"title":"Work less but stay longer — Mature worker responses to a flexibility reform","authors":"Erik Hernæs , Zhiyang Jia , John Piggott , Trond Christian Vigtel","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102771","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102771","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many consider that reducing the eligibility age for pension benefits will discourage labour supply among mature workers. This paper analyses a recent Norwegian pension reform that effectively lowered the eligibility age for retirement for some workers from 67 to 62, and we find that the above proposition might not be true. For these workers, the option of flexibly claiming from age 62 is introduced while the expected present value of benefits is held constant through actuarial adjustment of the periodic pension payments. This reform provides us with a unique opportunity to isolate the impact of increased flexibility on labour supply. We employ an event-study difference-in-difference approach to study the labour supply response (measured by number of weekly working hours as well as labour earnings) on the intensive and extensive margin. For those aged from 62 to 66, the reform leads to an increase in the labour supply at the extensive margin of 1.3 percentage points with a reduction in inflow to disability, and a decrease in the intensive margin of labour supply as measured by weekly working hours. In addition, a shift in the distribution of labour earnings further supports the finding that there is a decrease in the intensive margin of labour supply. Our findings thus suggest that increased pension flexibility could promote a gradual exit from the labour market, allowing for greater individual choice and positive welfare effects. This flexibility could also be an important component of broader pension reform.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102771"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144925893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-10-08DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102811
Pengzhan Qian
{"title":"Market-oriented reforms and human capital reallocation in urban China: A gender perspective","authors":"Pengzhan Qian","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102811","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102811","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Until the early 1990s, jobs were assigned by the government in urban China, and education opportunities were limited. Under these constraints, talented people, especially women, may not have been educated or assigned to occupations that suited their abilities best, resulting in a misallocation of human capital. Over the years, market-oriented reforms, such as abolishing the job assignment system and expanding college education, have changed people’s occupational and educational choices significantly. This paper investigates the macroeconomic consequences of market-oriented reforms between 1990 and 2010. I build a quantitative model of occupational and educational choice with wedges to measure the degrees of misallocation. I find that market-oriented reforms have significantly reduced misallocations. Without any market-oriented reforms, 19% of young people in 2010 would have chosen different occupations. Consequently, the human capital of the young cohort would have been 1.6% lower, and economic output would have been 0.8% lower.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102811"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145320495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-10-08DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102810
Katharina Pfeil , Matthias Kasper , Sarah Necker , Lars P. Feld
{"title":"Asymmetric labor supply responses to tax rate reform: Experimental evidence","authors":"Katharina Pfeil , Matthias Kasper , Sarah Necker , Lars P. Feld","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102810","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102810","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study how individuals adjust their labor supply in response to tax reforms that alter income tax progressivity. In an online experiment with 522 participants, we compare responses to reforms that replace a progressive tax system with a flat tax and vice versa. We find asymmetric effects: labor supply increases when a progressive regime is replaced by a flat tax system, but does not decline when progressivity is introduced. This increase in labor provision occurs only when the reform lowers the marginal tax rate, not when it raises it. Our results suggest that labor supply responses to tax reforms are nuanced and path-dependent: reforms change behavior when they ease tax burdens for individuals who were previously discouraged from working more due to progressive thresholds.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102810"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145320496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Labour EconomicsPub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-09-26DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102804
Yuxuan Zhang
{"title":"Gender peer effects in university courses: Evidence from tutorial groups","authors":"Yuxuan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102804","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102804","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the impacts of peer gender composition on students’ educational outcomes using administrative records from a world top-ranking university in Singapore.<span><span><sup>1</sup></span></span> Leveraging a unique tutorial balloting system at the university, I explore the near-random variation in gender composition across different tutorial groups within the same course. A modified version of the commonly used balance test method from the literature is applied to demonstrate random fluctuations in gender ratio across tutorial groups. At the baseline, I found positive and significant impact of having more female peers on both male and female students’ academic performance. Nevertheless, there are substantial heterogeneity across student-level characteristics. This paper, in particular, also established a direct comparison of gender peer effects between quantitative and qualitative fields and found asymmetric impacts on male and female students. Overall, the results imply that the impacts of peer gender composition vary considerably across contexts and policy construction must account for this variability instead of aiming for a one-size-fits-all solution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48153,"journal":{"name":"Labour Economics","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102804"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145690610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}