{"title":"Uncertainty pattern and an integration strategy in flood susceptibility modeling: Limited sample size","authors":"Jun Liu, Xueqiang Zhao, Yangbo Chen, Huaizhang Sun, Yu Gu, Shichao Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133184","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133184","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Flood is one of the most destructive natural disasters occurring across the globe. Employing machine learning models to construct flood susceptibility maps has emerged as an effective strategy in disaster prevention and management. Sample size is one of the primary sources of uncertainty in machine learning model, posing significant challenges to the flood susceptibility in data-scarce regions. However, the understanding of uncertainty patterns and effective methods to improve modeling accuracy under limited sample conditions are still evolving. Here, we applied uncertainties analysis theory to clarify this pattern for seven base machine learning models. Further, an integration strategy was developed by coupling geographical similarity, semi-supervised learning and active learning method. The analysis of uncertainty pattern indicates that each base machine learning model exhibits varying degrees of tolerance to changes in sample size. Specifically, a threshold exists below which the accuracy of model declines sharply, leading to significant changes in the distribution patterns of predicted flood susceptibility maps. The proposed integration strategy can enhance the accuracy and stability of models operating with limited sample sizes. Applying the ensemble strategy and increasing the number of labeled samples from 10 to 500, the average AUC values for the models improved as follows: RF ranged from 0.76 to 0.85, SVM from 0.46 to 0.86, MLP from 0.77 to 0.86, NB from 0.75 to 0.86, KNN from 0.72 to 0.83, DT from 0.65 to 0.78, and LR from 0.70 to 0.86.The insights into uncertainty pattern derived from this study can help guide the balancing of sample collection costs with model accuracy. Moreover, the proposed integration strategy is expected to improve flood susceptibility prediction in areas with limited samples.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133184"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimized scheduling of cascade hydropower stations with advance risk control in dynamic operations","authors":"Yalin Zhang , Haizheng Wang , Guohua Fang , Ziyu Ding , Xianfeng Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133196","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133196","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The uncertainty in forecasting runoff can lead to operational scheduling risks in the scheduling of cascade hydropower stations, potentially impacting power generation efficiency and supply quality. This study proposes an optimized method for formulating scheduling decisions by implementing advance risk control in the dynamic scheduling process for cascade hydropower stations. Firstly, the improved VMD method is proposed to reduce the noise in forecasting runoff errors, followed by an LSTM model to predict these errors, enabling the correction of the forecasted runoff. Next, the CVaR method is utilized to dynamically quantify the risks of insufficient power generation and water surplus associated with the scheduling strategy of cascade hydropower stations. Finally, an optimized scheduling model is established to formulate a scheduling strategy that considers both power generation benefits and scheduling risks. A case study in the Wujiang River Basin demonstrates that the forecasting runoff correction method effectively reduces the Mean Relative Error (MRE) in forecasting runoff. The proposed optimized scheduling model improves the accuracy of scheduling decisions for the Dahuashui and Geliqiao hydropower stations during flood seasons by 1.04% and 0.17%, respectively, and reduces actual water surplus by 1.18% and 0.28%. In dry seasons, it increases the accuracy of scheduling decisions by 6.21% and 8.48%, respectively. This model ensures power generation efficiency while reducing operational scheduling risks and enhancing decision accuracy across varying seasonal conditions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133196"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143724400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Spatial downscaling of GRACE terrestrial water storage anomalies for drought and flood potential assessment","authors":"Gaohong Yin , Jongmin Park , Kei Yoshimura","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133144","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133144","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission provides invaluable information for quantifying changes in freshwater availability. However, the coarse spatial resolution of GRACE TWSA limits its application to sub-regional studies. The study proposed a systematic framework to spatially downscale GRACE TWSA retrievals using a long short-term memory (LSTM) model over the Texas-Gulf Basin. A synthetic experiment was conducted to demonstrate the robustness of the downscaling framework. The real-world experiment revealed that the downscaled TWSA from LSTM can represent the variation of TWSA at the basin (R<sub>LSTM</sub> = 0.91) and sub-basin scales. The LSTM-based TWSA can better represent the early recovery from extreme droughts for the sub-basins along the coast. Moreover, the LSTM-based TWSA outperformed model-based TWSA in characterizing groundwater variation, especially for sub-basins with deep groundwater levels in the west. The flood analysis showed that the downscaled TWSA from LSTM yielded improved skill in predicting county-level floods, providing a larger true positive rate relative to GRACE TWSA retrievals (TPR<sub>LSTM</sub> = 0.36 and TPR<sub>GRACE</sub> = 0.31). Additionally, the trained LSTM models were used to predict fine-resolution TWSA without requiring GRACE observations. Results demonstrated that the accuracy of LSTM-based TWSA forecasts was slightly inferior to the downscaling case, but they still provided useful information for drought and flood predictions at sub-basin to local scales.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133144"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739043","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Boyi Liu , Lin Zhu , Runyu Zhang , Chenjun Zeng , Yixin Liu , Huijian Yang , Boqiang Qin , Wenqing Shi
{"title":"Enhanced biogenic carbon emissions in inland waterways: Insights from the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, China","authors":"Boyi Liu , Lin Zhu , Runyu Zhang , Chenjun Zeng , Yixin Liu , Huijian Yang , Boqiang Qin , Wenqing Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133148","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133148","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rivers, being the first recipients of terrestrial organic matter, actively decompose this material and serve as hotspots for biogenic carbon emissions, including carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) and methane (CH<sub>4</sub>), a process that is often regulated by river hydrodynamics. Water transportation, a widely used economic mode, alters river hydrodynamics and potentially impacts biogenic carbon emissions. To explore this impact, this study investigated CO<sub>2</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub> emissions in the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal (BHGC), the world’s longest canal, and compared them with those in its undisturbed tributaries. The results indicated that ship disturbances reduced CH<sub>4</sub> production but greatly enhanced CO<sub>2</sub> release, ultimately leading to an increase in the CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalents (CO<sub>2</sub>-eq). Compared to its tributaries, the BHGC exhibited a fourfold increase in CO<sub>2</sub>-eq. Ship disturbances resuspended riverbed sediments, resulting in a 40% decrease in organic carbon burial per unit area of sediment. The suspended organic carbon promoted its decomposition in the water, leading to increased CO<sub>2</sub> production, while the oxygen-rich environment in the water reduced CH<sub>4</sub> production. These findings add our understanding of the impacts of shipping activities on river biogeochemical cycling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133148"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143748106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chenye Liu , Yangyang Xie , Saiyan Liu , Seyedali Mirjalili , Jiyao Qin , Jianfeng Wei , Hongyuan Fang , Huihua Du
{"title":"A modified multi-objective grey wolf optimizer for multi-objective flood control operation of cascade reservoirs","authors":"Chenye Liu , Yangyang Xie , Saiyan Liu , Seyedali Mirjalili , Jiyao Qin , Jianfeng Wei , Hongyuan Fang , Huihua Du","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133162","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133162","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The issue of reservoir flood control optimization (RFCO) is inherently intricate as it involves a large number of variables and multiple objectives. In the realm of RFCO, numerous multi-objective algorithms are prone to the dimensional disaster, often becoming ensnared in local optima and failing to provide decision-makers with diverse solutions. This paper introduces a modified multi-objective grey wolf optimizer (MMOGWO) that integrates multiple search strategy, enhancing the autonomous exploration capabilities of individual grey wolves. It addresses the weaknesses of original multi-objective grey wolf optimizer (MOGWO) in exploration and its propensity to converge to local optima. MMOGWO was evaluated on well-known multi-objective optimization benchmark functions UF8-UF10, DTLZ2 and DTLZ7. Experimental results from Wilcoxon signed-rank tests and Friedman tests demonstrate the algorithm’s strong competitiveness, as it holds an advantage in comparisons with MOGWO, non-dominated Sorting Dung Beetle Optimizer (NSDBO), multi-objective golden eagle optimizer (MOGEO), and multi-objective Manta ray foraging optimizer (MOMRFO). Subsequently, MMOGWO was applied to a flood control operation model that considers the safety of cascade reservoirs, the safety of downstream protected objects, and the ability of cascade reservoirs to manage consecutive floods. The results show that MMOGWO significantly outperforms widely-used algorithms such as NSGA-III and MOEA/D in high-dimensional RFCO problems. This can be attributed to MMOGWO’s broader solution coverage, whereas the solutions of NSGA-III and MOEA/D are mostly concentrated in a narrow range, indicating their entrapment in local optima while MMOGWO achieves global optimization and provides a more diverse set of feasible solutions. The MMOGWO algorithm presented in this paper emerges as a reliable optimizer for flood control operation of cascade reservoirs and can be regarded as a competitive multi-objective optimization algorithm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133162"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143748112","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xinyuan Gao , Shenglai Yang , Beidong Wang , Yiqi Zhang , Jiangtao Hu , Mengyu Wang , Bin Shen , Ermeng Zhao , Zhenhua Rui
{"title":"Wellbore-reservoir and multiphysics coupling model for liquid CO2 cyclic injection in a CCUS-EGR framework","authors":"Xinyuan Gao , Shenglai Yang , Beidong Wang , Yiqi Zhang , Jiangtao Hu , Mengyu Wang , Bin Shen , Ermeng Zhao , Zhenhua Rui","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133188","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133188","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Natural gas is a vital underground clean energy resource and inject CO<sub>2</sub> into gas reservoirs can enhance natural gas production while simultaneously reducing carbon emissions. In this study, we developed an extended wellbore-reservoir-thermo-hydro-mechanical-diffusion (WR-THMD) coupling model to establish a comprehensive closed-loop framework for carbon capture, utilization, and storage-enhanced gas recovery (CCUS-EGR). Utilizing this model, we investigated the operational conditions of the wellbore and reservoir, focusing on the effects of engineering parameters on system performance. The results indicate that to optimize system CO<sub>2</sub> storage capacity, stabilize the pressure differential between the wells, and enhance storage efficiency, we recommend employing relatively low injection mass flow rates and injection temperatures. When designing wellbore parameters, it is crucial to account for significant temperature losses in the production well, as these losses substantially raise the flow obstruction of the produced gas and direct to potential thermal energy loss. Lower injection mass flow rates can effectively minimize thermal losses and delay CO<sub>2</sub> breakthrough in the production well. This study provides a foundational framework for effectively managing CCUS-EGR systems, aiding in the advancement of underground clean energy production and CO<sub>2</sub> storage.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133188"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143706125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Incorporating geological zonal information by cluster analysis into hydraulic tomography in sandbox and field studies","authors":"Liqun Jiang , Ronglin Sun , Xing Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133174","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133174","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hydraulic tomography (HT) has been proven to be an effective technique for accurately mapping aquifer heterogeneity over the past few decades. Aquifer response data used for model calibration in HT inverse analysis are frequently sparse, so geological structures reflected by the estimated hydraulic conductivity (<em>K</em>) tomograms may be smoothed out and are discrepant from the actual structures. The locations and geometries of high-<em>K</em> and low-<em>K</em> zones, which impact groundwater flow and contaminant transport processes, need to be corrected. Although collecting geological or geophysical data could improve HT results, exploring an alternative approach without collecting additional data may be possible. Therefore, this study explores the possibility of using hierarchical cluster analysis to extract geological zonal information from HT <em>K</em> estimates to characterize the geological structures. For this purpose, this study treats the zonal information as prior information of HT inverse models. We first conducted laboratory sandbox experiments to test the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Afterward, this approach is applied at a highly heterogeneous site in a dam foundation. Results show that <em>K</em> tomograms obtained by the traditional HT inverse analysis can reflect both the interlayer and intralayer heterogeneity, but the geometries of the interlayer heterogeneity must be improved. Integrating the zonal information into the HT inverse model improves the reliability of <em>K</em> estimates to predict drawdowns of different pumping tests. It corrects the geometries of geological structures without additional data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133174"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143724465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guangchuang Zhang , Yiping Wu , Georgii Alexandrov , Huiwen Li , Xiaowei Yin , Xixi Lu , Fubo Zhao , Fan Wang , Linjing Qiu , Shuguang Liu , Ji Chen , Shantao An , Zhangdong Jin , Yongming Han
{"title":"Assessing and predicting hydro-biogeochemical dynamics in the Weihe River basin in a shifting climate","authors":"Guangchuang Zhang , Yiping Wu , Georgii Alexandrov , Huiwen Li , Xiaowei Yin , Xixi Lu , Fubo Zhao , Fan Wang , Linjing Qiu , Shuguang Liu , Ji Chen , Shantao An , Zhangdong Jin , Yongming Han","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133189","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133189","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The intricate interplay between hydrological and biogeochemical cycles underpins the sustainability of watershed resources, making it essential to comprehend their climate responses for adaptive strategies. Although climate change significantly influences the dynamics of the water-carbon cycle, understanding hydro-biogeochemical responses to climate change remains limited. In this study, we utilized the coupled hydro-biogeochemical model (SWAT-DayCent), known for its robust simulation of hydrological and biogeochemical processes, to evaluate how climate change influences water-carbon dynamics in the Weihe River Basin (WHRB), the largest tributary of the Yellow River. We further predicted the hydro-biogeochemical consequences using climate scenarios derived from four General Circulation Models under three Representative Concentration Pathways (low, medium, and high emissions pathways), with uncertainty analysis of future predictions. The results indicate that the net primary productivity (NPP) would rise under low and medium emissions pathway scenarios with rising temperatures and precipitation. Moreover, the WHRB shows that NPP and soil organic carbon (SOC) are more prominent in the southern parts and less in the northern parts. It is noteworthy that the continued air temperature rise could trigger a decline in SOC in the late century (2070–2099) under the high emissions scenario, though slight increments in precipitation and NPP might partially counterbalance this adverse effect. In summary, this study highlights the need for adaptive management strategies, especially under high emission scenarios, where rising temperatures may diminish SOC, necessitating policies that could enhance soil carbon sequestration and mitigate adverse climate impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133189"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mikhail Tsypin , Mauro Cacace , Björn Guse , Gunnar Lischeid , Andreas Güntner , Magdalena Scheck-Wenderoth
{"title":"Damped groundwater response to recharge: From spectral analysis to regional modeling","authors":"Mikhail Tsypin , Mauro Cacace , Björn Guse , Gunnar Lischeid , Andreas Güntner , Magdalena Scheck-Wenderoth","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133193","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133193","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Transient groundwater models, in which recharge is estimated from a water balance equation or conceptual hydrologic models, without explicitly solving for unsaturated flow, often struggle to reproduce the periodicity of climate-controlled hydraulic heads. The problem stems from the fact that the precipitation signal is smoothed due to low pass filtering and lagged in time as it propagates through the unsaturated zone toward the water table. We present a workflow that leverages the established theory and the empirical evidence of climatic signal damping in the subsurface to model heads in a region with variable unsaturated zone thickness. To this purpose, we analyzed frequency spectra and periodograms of groundwater level (GWL) fluctuations in 288 observation wells in Brandenburg (NE Germany) and compared them against an analytical solution based on Richards’ equation. We found that the unsaturated zone thickness exerts the primary control on GWL fluctuations spectra. The annual GWL periodicity dominates lowland aquifers, characterized by the water table depths of < 5 m. In plateau aquifers, for which the water table depth reaches 15–40 m, GWL exhibits 6–9-year periodicity, possibly related to teleconnections, e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation. The derived functions of recharge damping and delay with depth were utilized to correct the recharge computed by the mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM) before applying it as a boundary condition in a regional groundwater model. This improved the frequency spectrum and amplitudes of the simulated heads, enabling a further use of such model for forecasting long-term groundwater dynamics under changing climate conditions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133193"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143777362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fanxuan Zeng , Kai Liu , Yongquan Zhao , Pengju Xu , Xinyuan Deng , Tan Chen , Chunqiao Song
{"title":"Characteristics of the water extent and width of endorheic Tibetan Plateau rivers revealed by Sentinel-2","authors":"Fanxuan Zeng , Kai Liu , Yongquan Zhao , Pengju Xu , Xinyuan Deng , Tan Chen , Chunqiao Song","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133191","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133191","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The endorheic Tibetan Plateau (TP) is a hotspot affected by climate change, yet the hydrological characteristics of rivers and the factors driving their development have not been clearly elucidated. To address this, we proposed a remote sensing framework to reveal river water extent and width across multiple spatial and temporal scales. A multi-temporal water frequency layer was generated using all Sentinel-2 MSI images observed in unfreezing periods between 2019 and 2021. Three river water inundation states, including the maximum state (10 % water frequency), the median state (50 % water frequency), and the instantaneous state (single-date observation in the wet-to-dry-transition season), were described separately. Water frequency maps were compared with global surface water datasets, and river width estimates were validated against field measurements. The results showed high consistency between the derived data and the reference dataset. The river width showed strong evaluation metrics, with a R<sup>2</sup> of 0.83, a root mean square error of 15.26 m, a mean absolute error of 12.71 m, and a mean absolute percentage error of 17.32 %. At maximum inundation, endorheic TP rivers (max. width > 10 m) spanned 20,686.67 km, covering 1,514.92 km<sup>2</sup>, with an average width of 87.53 m and a maximum of 3,763.82 m, yielding a drainage density of 0.02 km/km<sup>2</sup>. In the median (instantaneous) states, the total river area, reach length, and average width accounted for 34.27 % (48.26 %), 60.16 % (79.49 %), and 32.29 % (41.51 %) of the maximum state. The development of these endorheic TP rivers was significantly influenced by tectonic landforms and glacier distribution, while climate conditions primarily shaped drainage density, showing a nonlinear trend with increasing aridity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"658 ","pages":"Article 133191"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143724123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}