Journal of Hydrology最新文献

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Long-term (68 years) morphological changes of the alluvial river and macro-tidal estuary affected by river works and extreme rainfall disasters
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132497
Pan Ei Phyu, Gubash Azhikodan , Katsuhide Yokoyama
{"title":"Long-term (68 years) morphological changes of the alluvial river and macro-tidal estuary affected by river works and extreme rainfall disasters","authors":"Pan Ei Phyu,&nbsp;Gubash Azhikodan ,&nbsp;Katsuhide Yokoyama","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132497","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132497","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The effects of riverbed dredging and recent disasters on the long-term morphological changes of the Chikugo River were determined utilizing the 68-year (1953–2021) monitoring bathymetry data from the river mouth to upstream. During the human activities dominated period, P1 (1953–1998), a significant decline (3–4 m) in the riverbeds of the mid-stream and the estuary was observed due to severe riverbed dredging. This intensive degradation coarsened the riverbed of mid-stream while that of the estuary became finer with cohesive sediments transported by the tide. During lesser human activities and no severe disaster period, P2 (1998–2009), the riverbeds of upstream and mid-stream were almost stable from 1998 to 2003, however, deposition was found from 2003 to 2009 as the river flow increased. Conversely, bed elevation of the estuary increased by about 0.36 m from 1998 to 2003 and erosion was initiated between 10–23 km from 2003 to 2009. During disasters dominated period, P3 (2009–2021), morphological responses differ spatially. Although disasters supplied huge sediment, they deposited in the upstream first and gradually moved to mid-stream. Currently, 1.13 Mm<sup>3</sup> were deposited in mid-stream where the largest sediment volume was extracted during P1. Thus, sediments supplied by disasters have not reached the estuary yet. Furthermore, the bed shear stress of the estuary during P3 was high (3–20 N m<sup>-2</sup>) due to the high river flow caused by disasters. That high river flow eroded the surface mud and bottom sand layers, resulting in the parallel decline of both layers. As a result, 1.92 Mm<sup>3</sup> of sediments were eroded from the estuary from 2009 to 2019. These results indicate that both high river flow caused by disasters during P3 and insufficient sediment supply caused by riverbed degradation during P1 are responsible for the erosion of the estuary during P3.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"648 ","pages":"Article 132497"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143177238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Changes and drivers of long-term land evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River Basin: A water balance perspective
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132763
Hongbing Bai , Yulong Zhong , Ning Ma , Dongdong Kong , Yuna Mao , Wei Feng , Yunlong Wu , Min Zhong
{"title":"Changes and drivers of long-term land evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River Basin: A water balance perspective","authors":"Hongbing Bai ,&nbsp;Yulong Zhong ,&nbsp;Ning Ma ,&nbsp;Dongdong Kong ,&nbsp;Yuna Mao ,&nbsp;Wei Feng ,&nbsp;Yunlong Wu ,&nbsp;Min Zhong","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132763","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132763","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Evapotranspiration (ET) serves as a crucial indicator for understanding both global and regional water cycles and the impacts of climate change. Traditionally, water balance-based ET derived using satellite gravimetry, runoff and precipitation is considered as a benchmark for ET assessment. However, this method faces limitations in providing long-term, high temporal resolution ET estimates because of the relatively short observation period of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites. To address this challenge, we reconstruct long-term terrestrial water storage change (TWSC) using statistical reconstruction and hydrological models. Then we estimate the long-term ET and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) using the water balance equation and ridge regression. Dividing the study period into three subperiods between the end of the 20th century and around 2015, ET in the upper and middle YRB exhibits a decreasing-rising-decreasing trend. ET and precipitation in the upper and middle YRB show an increasing trend throughout the entire study period, indicating an intensification of the water cycle in the YRB. ET changes over the past four decades are mainly driven by changes in surface vegetation cover and precipitation. This study provides valuable scientific references for the reproduction and prediction of the basin water cycle and the refinement of ET models under historical and different future climate scenarios.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"653 ","pages":"Article 132763"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143286424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantifying lake heat storage’s impacts on lake evaporation for an alpine deep lake lacking water-temperature-profile observation
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132791
Fang Zhang , Xueqin Zhang
{"title":"Quantifying lake heat storage’s impacts on lake evaporation for an alpine deep lake lacking water-temperature-profile observation","authors":"Fang Zhang ,&nbsp;Xueqin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132791","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132791","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Lake heat storage is essential in regulating lake evaporation’s magnitude and seasonal variation. However, its impacts on lake evaporation are inadequately investigated, mainly due to the limited lake-water-temperature-profile observations used to calculate lake heat storage, challenging the accurate quantification of lake evaporation. Hence, we integrate multiple-source observations and multiple-model simulations to quantify lake heat storage and its impacts on lake evaporation in the ice-free period for Yamzhog Yumco, an alpine deep lake in the southern Tibetan Plateau. We first calculate lake heat storage based on a regression relationship between the modeled (<em>R<sub>n</sub></em> – <em>G</em>) and EC-observed (<em>H</em> + <em>LE</em>) to deal with the energy non-closure problem inherent in the EC system. Then, we quantify lake heat storage’s impacts on evaporation using multiple evaporation estimation models with lake heat storage considered or not and observations of three types of evaporators. The PE-III model can optimally estimate lake evaporation when considering lake heat storage. By contrast, the average daily evaporation is overestimated before early October while underestimating afterward with models neglecting lake heat storage, peaking 4–6 months earlier than EC observation. Besides, the observed evaporation differences between the EC technique and three types of evaporators vary with the evaporator scale related to heat storage magnitude. We also reveal that net radiation and heat storage capacity jointly control lake heat storage, whose impacts on lake evaporation are prominent when deepening lake depth. Our findings provide a framework to quantify lake heat storage and its impacts on lake evaporation over alpine deep lakes lacking water-temperature-profile observations, hopefully improving the accuracy of lake evaporation estimation and deepening the understanding of lake water and heat balance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"653 ","pages":"Article 132791"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143286848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Characterization of porewater exchange process and salt release-transport model of multiple geomorphological units in the supratidal zone of muddy tidal flat in semi-arid climate
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132399
Mingye Yu , Yufeng Zhang , Xiujun Guo , Jinghui Wu , Hang Zhang
{"title":"Characterization of porewater exchange process and salt release-transport model of multiple geomorphological units in the supratidal zone of muddy tidal flat in semi-arid climate","authors":"Mingye Yu ,&nbsp;Yufeng Zhang ,&nbsp;Xiujun Guo ,&nbsp;Jinghui Wu ,&nbsp;Hang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132399","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132399","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the muddy tidal flat controlled by semi-arid climate, porewater exchange (PEX) drives beach surface salt to recharge phreatic brine resources. However, in the Supratidal zone with multiple geomorphological units, the PEX process of such complex areas is still unclear. This study takes the supratidal zone with multiple geomorphological units distributed in the mudflat of Laizhou Bay as the study area. Based on electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) survey and groundwater multi-parameter measurement, the spatiotemporal distribution of salinity in different geomorphological units was described, and the salt release-transport process of these units was finely characterized. The results show that there are spatiotemporal differences in salt distribution in the multi-geomorphological units, and the PEX process is affected by hydraulic gradient, salinity gradient, sediment hydraulic conductivity and bioturbation. The crab burrows enhance the degree of water-salt exchange in the units and drive the salt transport to deeper layers, which leads to the differences in the salt transport process among various units in the PEX. In addition, Due to PEX, the recirculated seawater carries a large amount of salt back to the ocean and accumulate salt at the bottom of the tidal creek during the ebbing tide. Compared with the high tide, the salinity change ratio of the bottom of the tidal creek at the low tide is 261%.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"647 ","pages":"Article 132399"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143182383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A unit series–parallel unsaturated soil electrical conductivity model considering interconnections between pores 考虑孔隙间互连的非饱和土单元串并联电导率模型
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132456
Ganglie Yuan, Ailan Che, Chao Su
{"title":"A unit series–parallel unsaturated soil electrical conductivity model considering interconnections between pores","authors":"Ganglie Yuan,&nbsp;Ailan Che,&nbsp;Chao Su","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132456","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132456","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For the potential application of electrical resistivity measurements in hydrogeological investigations, the knowledge of soil electrical conductivity mechanism with moisture content variation is the key issue. The impact of interconnections between pores and weak connection to physical processes were the two limitations for unsaturated soil electrical conductivity research. In this work, we introduced the concept of equivalent conductive pathway to analyze tortuosity. Based on media series–parallel analysis, a unit series–parallel unsaturated soil electrical conductivity model considering interconnections between pores was established, in which parameters with its own physical meaning. To verify the accuracy of the proposed model, soil resistivity test with moisture content variation was conducted. Soil electrical conductivity was predicted, which was compared with results from test and previous models. The results indicate that our model is expected to produce better results than the previous models. Overcoming the limitations of weak connection to physical processes in the empirical model, the error of soil resistivity was significantly reduced when the impact of interconnections between pores was considered. The average error of the proposed model for clay and sand was 30.6% and 17.4%, respectively, compared to 72.6% and 48.2% for the model that ignored the interconnections between pores. The findings of this study could provide a reference for hydrogeological investigations, such as levee leakage detection.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"648 ","pages":"Article 132456"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142790119","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The joint effect of changes in urbanization and climate on trends in floods: A comparison of panel and single-station quantile regression approaches
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132281
Thomas Over , Mackenzie Marti , Jaqueline Ortiz , Hannah Podzorski
{"title":"The joint effect of changes in urbanization and climate on trends in floods: A comparison of panel and single-station quantile regression approaches","authors":"Thomas Over ,&nbsp;Mackenzie Marti ,&nbsp;Jaqueline Ortiz ,&nbsp;Hannah Podzorski","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132281","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132281","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Estimates of annual maximum (peak) flow quantiles are needed for basins undergoing changes in both urbanization and climate. Most previous work on the effect of urbanization on peak flows has considered urbanization alone and only the spatial variation in flood quantiles or its mean temporal effect, and most work on the effect of nonstationarity in climate has focused on single-station analyses, which give uncertain results for extreme quantiles. To address these gaps, three approaches to the statistical estimation of the joint effects of changes in impervious cover and climate on the estimation of peak-flow quantiles were compared: single-station quantile regression; a fixed effect panel-quantile regression (pQR) method using a location (mean) shift to homogenize the panel; and a location-scale panel regression model (pQRmom), which accounts for both scale (variance) and location effects. The different approaches were applied to a dataset consisting of instantaneous annual peak flows from 127 minimally nested basins in the midwestern United States with at least 4 % change in imperviousness. The annual maximum daily discharge from a water-balance model was selected as the primary climate predictor; in addition, to provide a comparison of climate predictors, precipitation was also considered. The coefficients from single-station regressions were usually sufficiently certain to determine the effects of climate variation but usually too uncertain to estimate the effects of urbanization. The panel-quantile regression approaches give much more certain results, but their estimates of quantile dependence differ: although both indicate urbanization effects decreasing with decreasing annual exceedance probability (AEP), the pQRmom urbanization coefficients are insignificantly different from zero for AEPs less than 0.10, whereas the pQR coefficients remain positive and are significant except for AEP = 0.01, the smallest AEP value considered. Although the location-scale structure of the pQRmom approach has less flexible quantile dependence than the pQR approach, the pQRmom approach has somewhat lower overall error, and it is found that by subsetting the dataset to homogenize the scale effects, the pQR and pQRmom results become similar, indicating the insignificant urbanization coefficients for small AEPs of the pQRmom results are likely correct for the study dataset.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"648 ","pages":"Article 132281"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143177237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A transient analytical model for VOC transport through the PRB and cover layer system
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132784
Yanghui Shi , Haijian Xie , Mengcheng Zhang , Manting Ci
{"title":"A transient analytical model for VOC transport through the PRB and cover layer system","authors":"Yanghui Shi ,&nbsp;Haijian Xie ,&nbsp;Mengcheng Zhang ,&nbsp;Manting Ci","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132784","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132784","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A transient model for VOC transport through the PRB and cover layer system is developed in this study, considering the effect of source degradation and surface concentration. The influences of different parameters on the system performance are evaluated. A comprehensive sensitivity analysis of the proposed model is conducted based on the Sobol’s method. The results show that the emission fluxes can be increased with the increase of the pressure gradient, contaminant half-life in the source and PRB or the decrease of the PRB thickness and system saturation. For example, the emission flux for <em>t</em> = 240 h can increase from 3.4 × 10<sup>-6</sup> μg/(m<sup>2</sup>·s) to 10<sup>-2</sup> μg/(m<sup>2</sup>·s) when the pressure gradient increases from 50 to 50000 Pa·m<sup>−1</sup>. Additionally, system saturation poses the most significant impact on the emission fluxes, followed by the pressure gradient, contaminant half-lives in the PRB and source and PRB thickness. The changes of system saturation can lead to ten orders of magnitude changes in emission fluxes. This is mainly because the diffusion and advection of the contaminant in the layer can be weakened while the retardation factor of the layer can be increased with the increase of system saturation. Moreover, the model is applied to the barrier system design of an organic polluted site in Luqiao District, Zhejiang Province, China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"653 ","pages":"Article 132784"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial and seasonal variations of carbon emissions in an urban lake: Flux sensitivity and sampling optimization based on high-resolution measurements 城市湖泊碳排放的空间和季节变化:通量敏感性和基于高分辨率测量的采样优化
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132472
Jie Yin , Xiaobing Chen , Lizhen Wen , Xiaoli Tu , Wenting Xie , Ran Xv
{"title":"Spatial and seasonal variations of carbon emissions in an urban lake: Flux sensitivity and sampling optimization based on high-resolution measurements","authors":"Jie Yin ,&nbsp;Xiaobing Chen ,&nbsp;Lizhen Wen ,&nbsp;Xiaoli Tu ,&nbsp;Wenting Xie ,&nbsp;Ran Xv","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132472","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132472","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the dynamics of <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> and <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub> is important for evaluating carbon emissions from the aquatic environment. While temporal dynamics of <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> and <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub> have been extensively studied, there is a noticeable gap in the literature concerning their spatial characteristics. In this study, we used boat-mounted sensors to directly measure <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> and <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub> with high spatial resolution across seasons in Xuanwu Lake (XWL), an urban lake in Nanjing, China. Additionally, water chemistries were measured at selected sites for correlation analysis. Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the effects of measurement location and density on carbon flux estimates.</div><div>Results show that continuous on-board measurements innovatively captured the spatial distribution of <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> and <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub>. Both gases varied significantly across seasons, exhibiting pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Peak emissions occurred in summer, with the lowest CO<sub>2</sub> in spring and CH<sub>4</sub> in fall. Both <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> and <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub> increased from the lake center to the shoreline, with the largest fluctuations near the shore. In total, XWL acted as a net source of CO<sub>2</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub>, with mean diffusive fluxes of 11.4 ± 10.1 and 3.0 ± 0.3 mmol∙m<sup>−2</sup>∙d<sup>−1</sup>, respectively. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis showed that lake-wide flux calculations depend on measurement locations and sample size. <em>p</em>CO<sub>2</sub> exhibited greater heterogeneity than <em>p</em>CH<sub>4</sub>, necessitating different sampling thresholds. The optimal threshold for capturing lake-wide CO<sub>2</sub> flux was 18–30 samples per km<sup>2</sup>, while this density was sufficient for CH<sub>4</sub> flux estimates. Our study highlights that both CO<sub>2</sub> and CH<sub>4</sub> exhibit significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity, necessitating high-resolution sampling for accurate flux assessments. The sampling strategy presented could guide future studies, as sampling in the intermediate zone effectively reduces the number of samples needed while maintaining accuracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"648 ","pages":"Article 132472"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142790110","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pressure management strategies for large-scale aquifer recharge: Mitigating the potential for injection-induced earthquakes
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132767
Ethan W. Conley , Cameron R. Chambers , John B. Ogunleye , Lars W. Koehn , Dan Holloway , Jamie Heisig-Mitchell , Martin Chapman , Mahesh Parija , Ryan M. Pollyea
{"title":"Pressure management strategies for large-scale aquifer recharge: Mitigating the potential for injection-induced earthquakes","authors":"Ethan W. Conley ,&nbsp;Cameron R. Chambers ,&nbsp;John B. Ogunleye ,&nbsp;Lars W. Koehn ,&nbsp;Dan Holloway ,&nbsp;Jamie Heisig-Mitchell ,&nbsp;Martin Chapman ,&nbsp;Mahesh Parija ,&nbsp;Ryan M. Pollyea","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132767","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132767","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Long-term groundwater withdrawals in coastal Virginia have led to declining groundwater levels, saltwater intrusion, and land subsidence, threatening regional water security and infrastructure. Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) through underground injection offers a promising solution to mitigate these effects. A large-scale MAR project is under construction in southeast Virginia to replenish the Potomac Aquifer, with a combined injection rate of up to ∼ 189,000 m<sup>3</sup>/day at two sites. The first site, scheduled for 2026, will begin operations with an initial injection rate of ∼ 61,000 m<sup>3</sup>/day. Given that the Potomac Aquifer lies unconformably above crystalline basement rock, injection-induced pressure transients may propagate into the basement, increasing the risk of injection-induced seismicity. To assess this risk, a regional-scale numerical model was employed, incorporating ensemble simulations with 50 models using spatially random and equally probable permeability distributions within the basement. The simulations of a 61,000 m<sup>3</sup>/day injection scenario indicate significant pressure propagation into the basement, with fluid pressures reaching up to 40 kPa in some areas, which could be sufficient to induce seismicity. However, a ramp-up strategy for the injection rate, extending over a 12-month period, was found to effectively reduce the pressurization rate in the basement and mitigate the seismic risk. These results provide a probabilistic understanding of pressure changes in the basement rock and inform strategies for minimizing pressure transients that may induce seismicity while achieving effective aquifer recharge.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"653 ","pages":"Article 132767"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial pattern of amount effect of daily precipitation isotopes in China: A consideration of seasonality based on observation and simulation
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学
Journal of Hydrology Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132793
Yuqing Qian , Shengjie Wang , Mingjun Zhang , Kei Yoshimura , Hayoung Bong , Gahong Yang , Hongyang Li
{"title":"Spatial pattern of amount effect of daily precipitation isotopes in China: A consideration of seasonality based on observation and simulation","authors":"Yuqing Qian ,&nbsp;Shengjie Wang ,&nbsp;Mingjun Zhang ,&nbsp;Kei Yoshimura ,&nbsp;Hayoung Bong ,&nbsp;Gahong Yang ,&nbsp;Hongyang Li","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132793","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132793","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The negative correlation between precipitation amount and precipitation <em>δ</em><sup>18</sup>O, also known as the amount effect, is considered one of the main environmental controls of precipitation isotopes. As isotope observations increase, there is a debate about the spatial patterns of amount effect especially on a daily scale. Based on observations at 150 sampling stations and an isotope-enabled climate model, here we examined the amount effect of precipitation isotopes across China from humid to arid climate conditions. The observations and simulations indicated that the spatial distribution of amount effect of daily precipitation isotopes for each season is not limited to the traditional low latitudes. When the seasonality of precipitation isotopes is filtered or reduced, the areas with amount effect on a daily scale are enlarged. On a daily scale, there is a spatially coherent amount effect in summer, while in other seasons some areas without an amount effect can also be observed, especially in the northeastern part of China in winter. Except for summer, the precipitation extremes do not always lead to isotope depletion, which may be related to relatively higher temperatures during precipitation extremes in these areas. After the seasonality is eliminated, as the time scale increases from daily to monthly and annual scale, the spatial patterns of amount effect are generally similar. The seasonality of spatial patterns of amount effect is associated with atmospheric circulation. The findings provide a perspective of seasonality removal to understand the amount effect of precipitation isotopes, and are useful for understanding the changing isotope signatures in an accelerated hydrological cycle.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"653 ","pages":"Article 132793"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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