Vector borne and zoonotic diseases最新文献

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Assessing the Relationship Between Entomological Surveillance Indices and West Nile Virus Transmission, United States: Systematic Review. 美国昆虫监测指标与西尼罗病毒传播关系的评估:系统综述。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-13 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0072
Thomas C Moore, Xin Tang, Heidi E Brown
{"title":"Assessing the Relationship Between Entomological Surveillance Indices and West Nile Virus Transmission, United States: Systematic Review.","authors":"Thomas C Moore, Xin Tang, Heidi E Brown","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0072","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0072","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> Entomological surveillance indices are used to estimate the risk of West Nile virus (WNV; family Flaviviridae, genus <i>Flavivirus</i>) transmission. To determine when and where to initiate mosquito control activities, integrated vector management programs establish action thresholds based on entomological surveillance indices. However, the application of entomological surveillance indices needs further investigation relative to the human risk of WNV infection. Herein, we examine the evidence from studies that investigated the quantitative relationship between entomological surveillance indices and human WNV cases using systematic review methods. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Across three databases, 5378 articles were identified. Using the selection criteria, 38 studies were included for study. Most articles explored entomological indices weekly and devised unique geographic scales to aggregate human and/or mosquito data. The most used models were logistic and negative binomial regression. Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and vector index (VI) demonstrated the greatest ratio of number of positive results to number of times tested. Among all selected articles, 35 unique U.S. locations assessed MLE and/or VI. Human WNV infection had a significant association with MLE across 81.25% (13/16) of locations. VI showed successful performance across 80.00% (24/30) sites tested. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> This systematic review identifies methods for quantifying relationships between entomological and human WNV infection data. We found entomological surveillance indices applied to human WNV risk should include a measure of virus presence, such as MLE and VI. Model type and covariates were too variable to identify geographic or species-specific trends, though, when tested, including temperature, land cover, population density, and time improved the model. This study is meant to be informative and designed to assist public health agencies in seasonal WNV preparations but are not meant to be a panacea for all WNV surveillance challenges.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"317-328"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143411111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence Rates and Outcomes of Hyponatremia in Patients with Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever. 克里米亚-刚果出血热患者低钠血症的患病率和结局。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2025.0004
Bahadır Orkun Ozbay, Aliye Baştuğ, Yasemin Hanoğlu
{"title":"Prevalence Rates and Outcomes of Hyponatremia in Patients with Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever.","authors":"Bahadır Orkun Ozbay, Aliye Baştuğ, Yasemin Hanoğlu","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2025.0004","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2025.0004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> In the study, we aimed to determine the prevalence rate of hyponatremia in patients with Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and to investigate the relationship between hyponatremia and disease severity. <b><i>Materials and Methods:</i></b> Patients over 18 years of age who received a definitive diagnosis of CCHF between April 2018 and October 2023 were included in the study. The patients' sodium levels, symptoms, and findings at the time of admission to the hospital were recorded. In addition, the severity score index was calculated according to the laboratory values and findings at the time of admission. <b><i>Results:</i></b> The total number of patients included in the study was 219. Hyponatremia was detected at admission in 99 (45.2%) patients. The median serum sodium value in patients with hyponatremia was 133 (127-135) mEq/L. Spearman correlation analysis revealed a statistically significant inverse correlation between serum sodium level and severity score index (<i>r</i> = -0.522, <i>p</i> < 0.001). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Mild hyponatremia was detected in almost half of the patients with CCHF, and this parameter may be useful in determining disease severity on admission.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"359-364"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143804044","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global Prevalence and Distribution of H9 Subtype of Avian Influenza Viruses in Wild Birds: Literature Review with Meta-Analysis. 野鸟中 H9 亚型禽流感病毒的全球流行率和分布:文献综述与元分析。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0111
Wen-Xu Tan, Si-Yuan Qin, Xing Yang, Xiao-Man Li, Jing-Hao Li, Hongwei Cao, Jing Jiang, Quan Zhao, He-Ting Sun
{"title":"Global Prevalence and Distribution of H9 Subtype of Avian Influenza Viruses in Wild Birds: Literature Review with Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Wen-Xu Tan, Si-Yuan Qin, Xing Yang, Xiao-Man Li, Jing-Hao Li, Hongwei Cao, Jing Jiang, Quan Zhao, He-Ting Sun","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0111","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0111","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> As a natural accelerator of highly pathogenic avian influenza in wild birds, the H9 subtype of avian influenza poses a substantial threat to both humans and the poultry industry. A comprehensive meta-analysis is necessary to assess the current status of the global H9 outbreak. In this research, a literature review and meta-analysis are presented on the surveillance studies of the H9 subtype of avian influenza in wild birds worldwide up to 2024. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> A comprehensive search strategy was employed, utilizing the China Science and Technology Journal Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, PubMed, Google Scholar, and Scientific Direct databases. The exclusion criteria for this study included duplicate studies, reviews, other host studies, as well as research with inconsistent or insufficient data. An analysis was conducted on data obtained from a total of 31 publications. The rate-conversion analyses were conducted using a random-effects model in the \"meta\" package of the \"R\" software, with the PFT method implemented. <b><i>Results:</i></b> In the meta-analysis, the prevalence of wild bird H9 avian influenza virus (AIV) was found to be 0.02% (193 out of 365,972). Statistically significant higher prevalences of wild bird influenza A virus were observed in Norway and South Africa (0.87%, 21/2417 and 0.44%, 10/1155, respectively) in comparison with other regions. Within the <i>Anseriformes</i> family, the prevalence rate was much greater (0.17%, 80 out of 90,014) compared with other species. In addition, we performed subgroup analyses that included geographical variables. These assessments showed a higher prevalence of H9 in wild birds in cold regions (0.08%, 30/100,691). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> In summary, our results suggest that the occurrence of H9 AIV in avian populations differs among different geographical areas and species. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct further surveillance on the prevalence of AIV in wild birds to guide the creation of strong and efficient regulatory strategies targeted at eradicating the transmission of AIV across different species.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"346-358"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143812510","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pediatric Brucellosis Presenting with Necrotizing-Like Skin Involvement. 儿童布鲁氏菌病表现为坏死性皮肤受累。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0121
Nursel Atay Ünal, Zeynep Savaş Şen, Türkan Aydın Teke, Koray Bakır, Ayşenur Alkaya, Nilüfer Tekgöz
{"title":"Pediatric Brucellosis Presenting with Necrotizing-Like Skin Involvement.","authors":"Nursel Atay Ünal, Zeynep Savaş Şen, Türkan Aydın Teke, Koray Bakır, Ayşenur Alkaya, Nilüfer Tekgöz","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0121","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0121","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"365-366"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143664492","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Methods for Nucleic Acid Extraction from Ticks: Challenges and Potential for Advancement. 蜱类核酸提取方法:挑战与发展潜力。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0125
Donath Damian
{"title":"Methods for Nucleic Acid Extraction from Ticks: Challenges and Potential for Advancement.","authors":"Donath Damian","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/vbz.2024.0125","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> DNA extraction from ticks is essential for research on tick-borne diseases, yet the methodologies currently employed exhibit significant variability in terms of yield and purity. This systematic review aims to consolidate existing literature on DNA extraction from ticks, evaluate the various methodologies, challenges, and research gap. <b><i>Methodology:</i></b> A systematic review of existing literature was conducted to assess the efficacy, yield, and purity of DNA extracted from various tick species using the aforementioned methods. Comparative analyses focused on factors such as extraction efficiency, contamination issues, and the impact of tick exoskeleton resilience. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Phenol-chloroform extraction achieved high DNA yields (50-100 ng/µL) but posed safety risks and was time-consuming. Silica-based methods provided yields of 40-80 ng/µL, effective for many species but less so for those with high microbial loads. Magnetic bead-based extraction offered rapid results with yields ranging from 20 to 70 ng/µL, although it faced challenges such as bead carryover and equipment requirements. Variability in extraction efficiency was noted across different tick species, necessitating method optimization. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> The review identified several critical research gaps in DNA extraction methods for tick-borne disease diagnostics and research. Currently, methods such as mechanical disruption combined with chemical lysis and column-based methods have shown effectiveness in extracting DNA from ticks, but they come with limitations, including high cost, labor intensity, and reduced efficiency under certain conditions. Despite their utility, these methods often face challenges in resource-limited settings or in varying environmental conditions. To address these issues, there is a need for standardized protocols, cost-effective extraction techniques, and longitudinal studies to evaluate performance under diverse conditions. By addressing these gaps, we can improve diagnostic accuracy, enhance our understanding of tick-borne diseases, and advance both research and public health efforts.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":"25 5","pages":"329-338"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144056145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding the Burden of Agriculturally Significant Vector-Borne and Parasitic Diseases in Kansas. 了解堪萨斯州重要的农业媒介传播和寄生虫疾病的负担。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-04-26 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2025.0023
Kristin Michel, Nicole M Ioerger, Ashlie M Ake, Susan M Hettenbach, Cassandra Olds, Dustin L Pendell, James Stack, Stephen Higgs, Dana L Vanlandingham
{"title":"Understanding the Burden of Agriculturally Significant Vector-Borne and Parasitic Diseases in Kansas.","authors":"Kristin Michel, Nicole M Ioerger, Ashlie M Ake, Susan M Hettenbach, Cassandra Olds, Dustin L Pendell, James Stack, Stephen Higgs, Dana L Vanlandingham","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2025.0023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/vbz.2025.0023","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> The state of Kansas (KS) has been called the \"agricultural heartland\" of the United States. Vector-borne and parasitic diseases (VBPD) have a major impact on the production of livestock, such as cattle, swine, goats and sheep, as well as crops, such as wheat, corn, and sorghum. The purpose of this review is to educate agricultural professionals in the state of KS about VBPD of current or potential concern and to inform the public about the challenges faced by the agricultural community. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> This review describes and discusses the endemic VBPD that currently impact agricultural production in KS and foreign VBPD of concern. In addition, we outline the major arthropod vectors of VBPD in KS, including ticks, mites, and various insects. In the context of this review, parasites are strictly limited to arthropod ectoparasites that negatively impact livestock production. Modern agricultural data for the state of KS were mostly sourced from the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, and current KS VBPD data were mostly sourced from the KS State Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> These VBPD have a large economic impact on the state and country, and we have concluded there is a need for updated estimates regarding the economic burden of VBPD in KS and throughout the United States to make better animal and crop health investment decisions.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144064804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Xenomonitoring and Molecular Characterization of Brugia malayi from Mansonia annulifera in Alappuzha, Kerala, India. 来自印度喀拉拉邦Alappuzha Mansonia annulifera的马来布鲁吉亚(Brugia malayi)的异种监测和分子特征。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2025.0015
Kiruthiga Tamilselvan, Aiswarya R Suresh, Sivalaxmi Balakrishnan, Harish Kumar Shah, Bhairavi B, Jessu Mathew, Hisham Moosan
{"title":"Xenomonitoring and Molecular Characterization of <i>Brugia malayi</i> from <i>Mansonia annulifera</i> in Alappuzha, Kerala, India.","authors":"Kiruthiga Tamilselvan, Aiswarya R Suresh, Sivalaxmi Balakrishnan, Harish Kumar Shah, Bhairavi B, Jessu Mathew, Hisham Moosan","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2025.0015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1089/vbz.2025.0015","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> Lymphatic filariasis is a major public health problem known for its disfiguring and debilitating effects. Alappuzha district in Kerala has been a hotspot for Brugian and Bancroftian filariasis. The efforts to combat Brugian filariasis in this region about two decades earlier led to notable decline in vector density and interruption of disease transmission. <b><i>Materials and Method:</i></b> A cross-sectional survey was carried out in Alappuzha district and 12 wards were selected using multistage random sampling method. An entomological survey was conducted in the selected wards. <b><i>Result:</i></b> Fourteen out of 69 Ma. annulifera were positive for filarial parasites. The average infection and infectivity rate was 20% and 0%. Molecular characterization of positive samples confirmed the parasites as Brugia malayi. Phylogenetic analysis of the isolates revealed that they belong to the same clade. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> This study highlights the importance of continued vector surveillance and timely intervention by appropriate vector control measures to prevent transmission of the disease.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144044370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bat Viral Shedding: A Review of Seasonal Patterns and Risk Factors. 蝙蝠病毒脱落:季节性模式和危险因素综述。
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0091
Yannan Niu, Clifton D McKee
{"title":"Bat Viral Shedding: A Review of Seasonal Patterns and Risk Factors.","authors":"Yannan Niu, Clifton D McKee","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0091","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0091","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Background:</i></b> Bats act as reservoirs for a variety of zoonotic viruses, sometimes leading to spillover into humans and potential risks of global transmission. Viral shedding from bats is an essential prerequisite to bat-to-human viral transmission and understanding the timing and intensity of viral shedding from bats is critical to mitigate spillover risks. However, there are limited investigations on bats' seasonal viral shedding patterns and their related risk factors. We conducted a comprehensive review of longitudinal studies on bat viruses with spillover potential to synthesize patterns of seasonal viral shedding and explore associated risk factors. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We extracted data from 60 reviewed articles and obtained 1085 longitudinal sampling events. We analyzed viral shedding events using entropy values to quantitatively assess whether they occur in a consistent, pulsed pattern in a given season. <b><i>Results:</i></b> We found that clear seasonal shedding patterns were common in bats. Eight out of seventeen species-level analyses presented clear seasonal patterns. Viral shedding pulses often coincide with bats' life cycles, especially in weaning and parturition seasons. Juvenile bats with waning maternal antibodies, pregnant bats undergoing immunity changes, and hibernation periods with decreased immune responses could be potential risk factors influencing seasonal shedding patterns. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Based on our findings, we recommend future longitudinal studies on bat viruses that combine direct viral testing and serological testing, prioritize longitudinal research following young bats throughout their developmental stages, and broaden the geographical range of longitudinal studies on bat viruses based on current surveillance reports. Our review identified critical periods with heightened viral shedding for some viruses in bat species, which would help promote efforts to minimize spillovers and prevent outbreaks.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"229-239"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143012607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Detection of Zoonotic Arboviruses in Ruffed Grouse (Bonasa umbellus) in the Upper Midwest, USA, 2018-2022. 美国中西部地区松鸡(Bonasa umbellus)人畜共患虫媒病毒检测
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0090
Melanie R Kunkel, Daniel G Mead, Julie Melotti, Nancy Businga, Christopher Pollentier, Charlotte Roy, Michelle Carstensen, Kayla G Adcock, Mark G Ruder, Nicole M Nemeth
{"title":"Detection of Zoonotic Arboviruses in Ruffed Grouse (<i>Bonasa umbellus</i>) in the Upper Midwest, USA, 2018-2022.","authors":"Melanie R Kunkel, Daniel G Mead, Julie Melotti, Nancy Businga, Christopher Pollentier, Charlotte Roy, Michelle Carstensen, Kayla G Adcock, Mark G Ruder, Nicole M Nemeth","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0090","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0090","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) are a taxonomically varied group of viruses that affect the health of many avian species, including the ruffed grouse (<i>Bonasa umbellus</i>), a popular upland game bird whose numbers are in decline in portions of its range. Hunter-harvested ruffed grouse tissue samples were tested for arboviruses during the 2018-2022 hunting seasons in Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, USA. A low percentage of harvested ruffed grouse were infected with West Nile virus (8/1892; 0.4%), eastern equine encephalitis virus (18/1892; 1.0%), and Highlands J virus (4/1892; 0.2%), and approximately half (16/30) of those infected had histologic cardiac lesions consistent with arboviral infection. Some ruffed grouse may be adversely affected following infection with these viruses, highlighting the need for increased awareness and continued surveillance, particularly in the face of additional stressors such as climate change, which may alter virus-vector-host dynamics, host susceptibility to arbovirus infections, and geographical distributions.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"314-316"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143366158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Under Future Climate Scenarios in Chuzhou, China. 滁州未来气候情景下重症发热伴血小板减少综合征的预测
IF 1.8 4区 医学
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1089/vbz.2024.0115
Nan Li, Yuhao Li, Donglin Cheng, Longwei Li
{"title":"Prediction of Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Under Future Climate Scenarios in Chuzhou, China.","authors":"Nan Li, Yuhao Li, Donglin Cheng, Longwei Li","doi":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0115","DOIUrl":"10.1089/vbz.2024.0115","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b><i>Objective:</i></b> Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) poses a significant public health concern in China and has the potential for severe morbidity and mortality. Previous studies on SFTS have focused primarily on analyzing its incidence under existing climate conditions, often overlooking the impacts of future climate change on the disease's distribution. Moreover, the key factors influencing SFTS transmission identified in prior research are limited and lack a comprehensive consideration of multiple environmental and socioeconomic factors in specific regions. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> In this study, by utilizing SFTS case data from Chuzhou city alongside multisource environmental variables, the maximum entropy ecological niche (MaxEnt) model was employed to identify the key climatic factors influencing the distribution of SFTS. Risk areas were projected for the present and future climate scenarios, including shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP)126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585. <b><i>Results:</i></b> The results indicate that (1) precipitation in the driest quarter, elevation, and precipitation in the wettest month are the most critical variables; (2) potential risk areas are situated predominantly in the central hilly region, with the total area of medium- and high-risk zones measuring 5731.86 km<sup>2</sup>, which accounts for 42.67% of the total area; (3) in future climate scenarios, the central-south and southwestern regions emerge as high-risk areas, with the maximum area of future high-risk zones reaching 6417.8398 km<sup>2</sup>, projected for the 2030s under the SSP585 scenario; and (4) the current epicenter of the SFTS risk area is located in Zhang Baling town (118°12'23″E, 32°28'56″N). Under the SSP126 and SSP370 scenarios, the epicenter exhibits minimal movement, whereas significant shifts occur under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> These findings provide essential insights for formulating scientifically grounded prevention and control strategies against SFTS in Chuzhou city.</p>","PeriodicalId":23683,"journal":{"name":"Vector borne and zoonotic diseases","volume":" ","pages":"277-286"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143469399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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