Risk Analysis最新文献_第8页

Exposure to BTEX concentrations in different indoor microenvironments: Emphasis on different times of the year. 不同室内微环境中BTEX浓度的暴露：强调一年中的不同时间。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70032

Amir Hossein Khoshakhlagh, Saeid Yazdanirad, Pierre Sicard

{"title":"Exposure to BTEX concentrations in different indoor microenvironments: Emphasis on different times of the year.","authors":"Amir Hossein Khoshakhlagh, Saeid Yazdanirad, Pierre Sicard","doi":"10.1111/risa.70032","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.70032","url":null,"abstract":"Climatic variations in indoor environments may change concentration patterns. This systematic review and meta-analysis study aimed to investigate exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene (s) (BTEX) concentrations in different indoor microenvironments with emphasis on different times of the year. A systematic review in five bibliographic databases (Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Medline) was conducted. Adhering to PRISMA guidelines, the search utilized four groups of keywords. The pooled indoor exposure to BTEX under different climatic conditions were estimated using a random-effects model. Among 64 selected articles, the greatest percentage of studies with the highest indoor exposure for BTEX in vehicles and transportation areas was in summer. The highest percentage of these studies at home was in winter. The highest percentage of these studies in educational and sport centers was in winter and summer. In the vehicles and transportation areas, the pooled concentration (µg/m3) of benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene(s) were calculated as 29.12, 102.33, 19.24, and 22.73 in summer, respectively. In the homes and sites, the pooled concentration (µg/m3) of benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene(s) were measured as 6.39, 22.06, 6.21, and 11.33 in winter, respectively. In the educational and sport centers, the pooled concentration (µg/m3) of benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene(s) were calculated as 3.15, 11.09, 5.55, and 5.63 in summer and 2.97, 8.09, 4.16, and 5.49 in winter, respectively. The results of this study introduce the seasons with the greatest concentrations of BTEX in different indoor environments.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"2442-2457"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143803987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Global sensitivity analysis of integrated assessment models with multivariate outputs. 多变量输出综合评估模型的全球敏感性分析。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-22 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70002

Leonardo Chiani, Emanuele Borgonovo, Elmar Plischke, Massimo Tavoni

{"title":"Global sensitivity analysis of integrated assessment models with multivariate outputs.","authors":"Leonardo Chiani, Emanuele Borgonovo, Elmar Plischke, Massimo Tavoni","doi":"10.1111/risa.70002","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.70002","url":null,"abstract":"Risk assessments of complex systems are often supported by quantitative models. The sophistication of these models and the presence of various uncertainties call for systematic robustness and sensitivity analyses. The multivariate nature of their response challenges the use of traditional approaches. We propose a structured methodology to perform uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis for risk assessment models with multivariate outputs. At the core of the approach are novel sensitivity measures based on the theory of optimal transport. We apply the approach to the uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis of emissions pathways estimated via an eminent open-source climate-economy model (RICE50+). The model has many correlated inputs and multivariate outputs. We use up-to-date input distributions and long-term projections of key demographic and socioeconomic drivers. The sensitivity of the model is explored under alternative policy architectures: a cost-benefit analysis with and without international cooperation and a cost-effective analysis consistent with the Paris Agreement objective of keeping temperature increase below 2°C. In the cost-benefit scenarios, the key drivers of uncertainty are the emission intensity of the economy and the emission reduction costs. In the Paris Agreement scenario, the main driver is the sensitivity of the climate system, followed by the projected carbon intensity. We present insights at the multivariate model output level and discuss how the importance of inputs changes across regions and over time.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"2132-2156"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12411131/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143476723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Critical monitoring and control factors for achieving food defense criteria. 达到食品防御标准的关键监测和控制因素。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70025

Elaine Andrade, Flavio Andrade, Gilberto Oliveira, Otniel Freitas-Silva

{"title":"Critical monitoring and control factors for achieving food defense criteria.","authors":"Elaine Andrade, Flavio Andrade, Gilberto Oliveira, Otniel Freitas-Silva","doi":"10.1111/risa.70025","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.70025","url":null,"abstract":"Food can be contaminated by physical, chemical, biological, and radiological hazards. Industry and regulatory agencies have developed the Food Safety Management System, based on the principles of Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points, to be effective against unintentional food safety risks. However, there is the intentional contamination of food to cause harm to consumers, customers, or companies, and prevention requires a different approach to controlling unintentional food safety risks; this concept is known as food defense. There are certification standards that include food defense requirements referenced to the Global Food Safety Initiative (GFSI), such as the British Retail Consortium, International Featured Standards, Food Safety System Certification 22000, and Safe Quality Food Institute. In the context of food producers, it is crucial to understand the critical success factors for implementing standards involved in food defense and increasing the effectiveness and sustainability of exporting agroindustries. The present study aimed to map the essential success factors for implementing food defense in Brazilian companies already certified by the standards recognized by the GFSI, to take advantage of this expertise for companies seeking to implement food defense. Quantitative and qualitative research was conducted by a survey of the perception of those responsible for implementing food safety standards regarding the relevance of food defense requirements to guarantee food protection. Data analysis was performed through correspondence analysis. It was possible to identify groups and formulate a reduced list of priority criteria for the implementation of food defense, to facilitate and accelerate the adaptation process of companies not yet certified, helping to raise the level of food safety for consumers, in addition to contributing to economic growth through new entrants in the export and import chain.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"2427-2441"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12411119/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143781018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An uncertainty-based risk perspective on risk perception and communication: Opportunities for new empirical-based research. 基于不确定性的风险视角下的风险感知和沟通：新实证研究的机遇。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-09 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70001

Terje Aven

引用次数: 0

How Do People Perceive Media-Reported Risks: Risk Networks and Profiles of Segments. 人们如何感知媒体报道的风险：风险网络和细分市场的概况。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70090

Chia-Wen Wang, Tra Thi Trinh, Carolyn J Lo, Olivia Jensen, Reuben Ng, Leonard Lee, Yiyun Shou

{"title":"How Do People Perceive Media-Reported Risks: Risk Networks and Profiles of Segments.","authors":"Chia-Wen Wang, Tra Thi Trinh, Carolyn J Lo, Olivia Jensen, Reuben Ng, Leonard Lee, Yiyun Shou","doi":"10.1111/risa.70090","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70090","url":null,"abstract":"Individuals' perceptions of and responses to different risk sources are often intercorrelated, particularly for risks belonging to the same domain such as health or finance. However, less is known about the nature of the interconnections of risk perceptions across domains and individual differences in the interconnection patterns. This study examined the perceptions of 13 major media-reported risks and their interconnection patterns across demographic groups. The study also explored whether the perceptions were associated with different population profiles. The study involved 2124 residents in Singapore who completed a cross-sectional survey study in 2023. Network analyses revealed that participants' risk perceptions clustered based on risk domains. The clustering pattern was not associated with the prevalence of experienced harm from the risks for the sampled population. The clustering patterns were mostly consistent across risk targets-who is at risk, that is, oneself or people in Singapore, genders, and age groups. Furthermore, latent profile analysis identified three classes (Invariant Risk Non-Alert, Selective Risk Alert, and Invariant Risk Alert) with distinct risk perception profiles, which were significantly different in terms of their sociodemographic characteristics. These latent profile results suggest that individuals' overall risk sensitivity is driven more by personal attributes than by the characteristics of the risks. The findings of this study offer potential implications for the design of risk communication strategies in Singapore. This study also provides insights for cross-country research on risk perception across different domains.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144761167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Excess Absolute Risk: Translating Occupational Measures of Relative Risk to Expected Lifetime Risk Among the General Population-An Example Using Occupational Epidemiological Studies of Cosmetic Talc Miners and Millers and Mesothelioma. 过度绝对风险：在一般人群中将相对风险的职业测量转化为预期终身风险——以化妆品滑石粉矿工和磨坊主与间皮瘤的职业流行病学研究为例。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70089

M Anthony Cappello, Alexander S Riordan, Elizabeth A Best, Hannah C Mazzotta, Jennifer Sahmel

{"title":"Excess Absolute Risk: Translating Occupational Measures of Relative Risk to Expected Lifetime Risk Among the General Population-An Example Using Occupational Epidemiological Studies of Cosmetic Talc Miners and Millers and Mesothelioma.","authors":"M Anthony Cappello, Alexander S Riordan, Elizabeth A Best, Hannah C Mazzotta, Jennifer Sahmel","doi":"10.1111/risa.70089","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70089","url":null,"abstract":"Measures of relative risk obtained from occupational epidemiological studies present only part of a risk evaluation needed when conducting public health risk assessments (e.g., among members of the general population). Relative risk alone can often mask the true magnitude of effect and may significantly overestimate the actual risk at the population level, particularly if the background rate of the disease or condition is rare. It is recognized in public health risk assessment and epidemiology that significantly increased relative risk estimates observed in occupational epidemiological studies may not necessarily translate to a significant or excess public health risk. To estimate the expected risk of a given health endpoint among the general population, and thus effectively translate measures of relative risk observed in observational occupational studies, the focus must shift from relative risk models to those of absolute risk. This can be achieved through the epidemiological calculation of excess absolute risk. In this perspective report, the authors discuss the importance of using excess absolute risk calculations in public health risk assessments of rare diseases and demonstrate its application using the body of published occupational epidemiological studies on cosmetic talc miners and millers and mesothelioma risk. By calculating the excess absolute risk among the general population, the argument that cosmetic talc exposure is associated with an increased mesothelioma risk is disputed, and further demonstrates epidemiologically that there is no to negligible (if any) increased risk of mesothelioma from cosmetic talc exposures in the general public.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144744608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Playing With Fire: the Effects of Institutional Dysfunctions in Postdisaster Business Recovery. 玩火：制度功能障碍对灾后商业恢复的影响。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70085

Joseph Amankwah-Amoah, Yaw A Debrah

{"title":"Playing With Fire: the Effects of Institutional Dysfunctions in Postdisaster Business Recovery.","authors":"Joseph Amankwah-Amoah, Yaw A Debrah","doi":"10.1111/risa.70085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70085","url":null,"abstract":"Although previous research has illuminated our scholarly understanding of the general effects of institutional dysfunction, there remains a conspicuous dearth of research on how institutional dysfunction shapes postdisaster business recovery. Drawing on insights from entrepreneurs affected by fire outbreaks in marketplaces in a developing economy, this study uncovers two unique and interrelated stages that illuminate how institutional dysfunction manifests over time. Throughout these stages, we observe institutional dysfunction acting as an \"accelerator\" in the wake of the fire outbreaks, ultimately leading to business closures. Intriguingly, the study reveals that dysfunctions not only expose the faulty practices and routines of businesses but also highlight the fragilities and obstructive nature of existing formal and informal institutions. This multifaceted analysis unravels the more intricate process of how the effects of institutional dysfunction unfold over time, commencing with the sensemaking of marketplace fire outbreaks and focusing on institutional shortcomings and inadequacies (i.e., Stage 1). The unfulfilled promised financial and nonfinancial support by various political actors culminate in a downward spiral, ultimately resulting in disaster-induced business demise (i.e., Stage 2). The theoretical implications and practical risk mitigation strategies of the study are outlined.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144744609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Review and Discussion of Types of Risks in View of Different Risk Perspectives. 从不同的风险角度对风险类型的回顾和讨论。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70087

Terje Aven

引用次数: 0

A novel DLDRM: Deep learning-based flood disaster risk management framework by multimodal social media data. 一种新的DLDRM：基于多模态社交媒体数据的深度学习洪水灾害风险管理框架。

IF 3.3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-27 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70066

S Sheeba Rachel, S Srinivasan

{"title":"A novel DLDRM: Deep learning-based flood disaster risk management framework by multimodal social media data.","authors":"S Sheeba Rachel, S Srinivasan","doi":"10.1111/risa.70066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70066","url":null,"abstract":"The impacted community and humanitarian organizations have used social media platforms extensively over the past 10 years to disseminate information during a disaster. Even though numerous researches have been conducted in recent times to categorize useful and non-informational posts on social media, the majority of these studies are unimodal, that is, they separately employed documented or pictorial information to improve deep learning (DL) approaches. In this research, a multimodal DL approach will be created by integrating the complementary data offered by the text and visual Twitter posts made by members of the affected community discussing the same occurrence. For the classification of multimodal disaster data, we suggested a novel DLDRM: DL-based disaster risk management structure. We contrast DLDRM with the most widely used bilinear multimodal models for visual question answering, including VGG 16, VGG 19, ResNet 50, DenseNet 121, and RegNet Y320. Accuracy, Precision, Recall, and F1-score were achieved utilizing DLDRM of 99%, 92.5%, 84.08%, and 98.5%. By emphasizing more pertinent aspects of text and image tweets, the proposed DL-based multimodal technique surpasses the present state-of-the-art fusion technique on the benchmark multimodal disaster dataset.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144733034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intersection-Based Emergent Organizational Brokers and Their Effect on the Resilience of Emergency Response Networks: A Case Study of Two Disasters in China. 基于交叉点的应急组织中介及其对应急网络弹性的影响——以中国两次特大灾害为例

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-26 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70088

Xiaodong Ji, Bo Fan

{"title":"Intersection-Based Emergent Organizational Brokers and Their Effect on the Resilience of Emergency Response Networks: A Case Study of Two Disasters in China.","authors":"Xiaodong Ji, Bo Fan","doi":"10.1111/risa.70088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70088","url":null,"abstract":"This study focuses on intersection-based emergent organizational brokers (IBEOBs), which refers to the intersection of planned and emergent organization interactions. This study attempts to identify the role and composition of IBEOBs and examine their effect on the resilience of emergency response networks. We identified the information and resource networks in two disaster environments. Specifically, using the broker role classification framework, we identified the broker roles and organization types of the IBEOBs within the networks. Then, we investigated the effects of various roles and types of IBEOBs on the resilience of information and resource networks from a network perspective. Findings reveal that social groups (SGs) and foundations (Fs) comprise IBEOBs in the information network, but in addition to them, there are also social service institutions (SSIs) and private enterprises (PEs) in the resource networks. IBEOBs mainly play three broker roles: gatekeeper, representative, and liaison. The study's results on the effect of IBEOBs with different roles on resilience show that liaisons have a more significant influence on the resilience of information and resource networks than gatekeepers and representatives. Regarding the effect of different types of IBEOBs on resilience, SGs have a more significant negative influence on information and resource network resilience than Fs. Furthermore, SSIs and PEs have a redundant effect on resource network resilience. This study provides theoretical support to managers strategically use broker strategies to design resilient networks to cope with emergency operation risks.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144718284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0