Risk Analysis最新文献_第6页

Earthquake resilience and public engagement: A social media perspective. 地震恢复力与公众参与：社会媒体视角。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70041

Hongbing Liu, Ziqiang Han

{"title":"Earthquake resilience and public engagement: A social media perspective.","authors":"Hongbing Liu, Ziqiang Han","doi":"10.1111/risa.70041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70041","url":null,"abstract":"Global earthquake resilience enhancement necessitates a cohesive international community and proactive public engagement. The ubiquity of social media, and its significant user data generation, positions it as a formidable tool in emergency management. This article scrutinizes the 2023 Türkiye-Syria Earthquake, employing an analysis of over 150,000 Weibo posts to assess Chinese netizens' attention toward this nondomestic disaster. Findings reveal substantial social media engagement, with a distinct disparity between posts and comments. Posts provide a comprehensive chronicle of the earthquake response, encompassing disaster reporting, Chinese rescue teams, international emergency response, and life-saving efforts. Comments serve as a conduit for emotional expression, focusing on prayers for the disaster-stricken area, the tragic loss of a Turkish TV producer, expressions of sympathy and donations, the sense of helplessness evoked by natural disasters, and prayers for the rescue team and response comparison. The public engagement evolved from initial symbolic participation to more substantive involvement in the later stages, reflecting the process of both public engagement and the enhancement of resilience awareness. Sentiment and emotion analysis indicate that, subsequent to the initial 3-day period dedicated to disaster reporting, the sentiment within the posts was predominantly positive, while comments exhibited a more negative sentiment, primarily characterized by \"sadness\" and \"disgust.\" Spatial analysis revealed amplified attention toward the disaster in Sichuan Province and other regions with superior internet access. The article also discerned that comments exhibited a notably shorter lifespan than posts. This article proffers a novel perspective on the analysis of foreign disasters and furnishes invaluable insights for the enhancement of global earthquake resilience through public engagement.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144029923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring dynamic public trust in mega infrastructure projects during online public opinion crises of extreme climate emergencies: Users' behaviors, trust dimensions, and effectiveness of strategies. 在极端气候突发事件的网络舆论危机中，探索超大型基础设施项目的动态公众信任：用户行为、信任维度和策略的有效性。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1111/risa.17646

Yang Wang, Ruoyan Gong, Peizhi Xu, Chen Shen

{"title":"Exploring dynamic public trust in mega infrastructure projects during online public opinion crises of extreme climate emergencies: Users' behaviors, trust dimensions, and effectiveness of strategies.","authors":"Yang Wang, Ruoyan Gong, Peizhi Xu, Chen Shen","doi":"10.1111/risa.17646","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.17646","url":null,"abstract":"The vulnerability of mega infrastructure projects (MIPs) has generated online public opinion crises, leading to public trust damage. However, few studies focused on the online dynamic trust of MIPs in such crises from the perspective of multiple users. Based on situational crisis communication theory, this study aims to explore the dynamic public trust in MIPs during online public opinion crises of extreme climate emergencies. The extreme heavy rainstorm event in Zhengzhou City, China, was selected as the case. Content analysis, the curve fitting method, and sentiment analysis were conducted to process the collected data from multiple users. The results indicated that the opinions of trust damage were set by \"media practitioners\" and led by \"elites,\" whereas the opinions of trust repair were directed by \"elites,\" led by \"media practitioners,\" and defended by \"individuals.\" Besides, trust dimensions would change over time; integrity-based and competence-based trust diffused alternatively. \"Diminish,\" \"deny,\" and \"rebuild\" strategies were proved to be the most effective strategies in integrity-based, competence-based, and competence and integrity-based trust repair, respectively. The findings can contribute to the authorities monitoring online public opinions in extreme climate emergencies and repairing trustworthy images.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"1044-1054"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142146199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How beliefs about tampering with nature influence support for enhanced geothermal systems: A cross-national study. 对破坏自然的看法如何影响对强化地热系统的支持：一项跨国研究。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/risa.17656

Julia Cousse, Katherine McComas, Catherine Lambert, Dominic Balog-Way, Evelina Trutnevyte

{"title":"How beliefs about tampering with nature influence support for enhanced geothermal systems: A cross-national study.","authors":"Julia Cousse, Katherine McComas, Catherine Lambert, Dominic Balog-Way, Evelina Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1111/risa.17656","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.17656","url":null,"abstract":"Many believe that enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) can greatly increase the extraction of geothermal energy worldwide, helping to decarbonize heat and electricity production. Effective communication is key to realizing the potential of EGS, yet we currently know little about how the public perceives this emerging technology. This exploratory study contributes to the literature with a cross-national survey in the United States (n = 1003) and Switzerland (n = 1028), two countries with active EGS projects. Specifically, we explore how EGS support relates to beliefs about the deep underground and perceptions of EGS as tampering with nature. The results show that respondents tend to perceive the deep underground as part of nature, dangerous, and unpredictable. The majority are positive about using the deep underground as a resource, although there were variations regarding specific underground activities. In both countries, EGS support is greater for respondents who perceive the underground as something for human use, perceive more benefits than risks from EGS, and support their country's transition to renewable energy. In Switzerland, EGS support is positively related to trust in industry developers and negatively related to perceptions that EGS is tampering with nature. The results offer novel theoretical insights into perceptions of the deep underground in relation to energy development. From a practical standpoint, the results suggest that those seeking to develop EGS may want to consider how to familiarize individuals with current subsurface energy activities, including efforts to protect the underground from unwanted consequences of \"tampering,\" alongside engaging in discussions about the risks and benefits of EGS.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"1152-1166"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12087729/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142392976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Combating foodborne disease through household food handling behavior improvement: A comparison between education and price interventions. 通过改善家庭食品处理行为防治食源性疾病：教育干预与价格干预的比较。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/risa.17642

Meng Zhang, H Holly Wang, Junfei Bai

{"title":"Combating foodborne disease through household food handling behavior improvement: A comparison between education and price interventions.","authors":"Meng Zhang, H Holly Wang, Junfei Bai","doi":"10.1111/risa.17642","DOIUrl":"10.1111/risa.17642","url":null,"abstract":"Foodborne disease cases are increasingly occurring in home kitchens because of improper food handling behavior. Human factors are considered major determinants of such behavior, although economic factors, which have attracted little attention, may also be important influencers. Taking the service time of kitchen towels as an example, we construct a theoretical model to analyze food handling behavior under an economic framework and empirically explore its economic determinants. Empirically, we use a randomized controlled trial (RCT) coupled with pre- and postsurveys in rural China. The RCT intervention includes information with tips for proper kitchen towel use and in-kind subsidies of one, two, or three packs of kitchen towels, which is regarded as a price intervention. We find that information alone and information plus one pack of towels are not enough to stimulate behavior improvement, whereas information plus two or three packs is sufficient. This implies that the quantity of kitchen towels used increases only as the towel price drops below a certain threshold. As an early attempt, we indicate that food handling behavior is economically driven, suggesting that a well-designed policy should combine educational campaigns and appropriate economic incentives to improve such behavior to reduce the risk of foodborne disease.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"1009-1026"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142120550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

On the relationship between disaster risk science and risk science. 论灾害风险科学与风险科学的关系。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70045

Terje Aven

引用次数: 0

Is a good reputation a dangerous thing? A multimethod assessment of regulator culture and the implications for risk regulation. 好名声是件危险的事吗？监管机构文化的多方法评估及其对风险监管的影响。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70043

Sharon Clarke, Lina Siegl, David Holman

{"title":"Is a good reputation a dangerous thing? A multimethod assessment of regulator culture and the implications for risk regulation.","authors":"Sharon Clarke, Lina Siegl, David Holman","doi":"10.1111/risa.70043","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70043","url":null,"abstract":"Regulator culture has a significant influence on dutyholder safety in high-risk industries, but there is currently limited research that has explored its nature and implications for effective risk regulation. Building on existing cultural theory and literature on reputational risk, we aim to address this hiatus by exploring regulator culture through an assessment of attitudes, beliefs, and norms that are shared within a UK risk regulator, and represent its underlying cultural values. We utilized an abductive case study approach, which involved multiple qualitative methodologies (comprising analysis of 68 documents, 19 interviews, nine focus groups, and seven observations), engaging both internal and external stakeholders. Based on triangulation, we developed a model and rich description of regulator culture, and addressed the following questions: What is a regulator culture for safety? What cultural values do risk regulators need for effective oversight of a high-risk industry? Our model encapsulates the core values of regulator culture (process orientation, professionalism, and independence) that together support the regulator's reputation, which is central to its cultural identity. Our findings extend risk theory and research by advancing knowledge of the mechanisms through which culture impacts regulatory practice. We highlight how the drive to protect reputation has benefits, but also a potential \"dark side.\" Latterly, we emphasize the dynamic and paradoxical nature of cultural values, and how this affects the regulator's ability to continually improve and strengthen its culture over time, as well as the implications for effective regulatory oversight.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144009407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The conflict between personal interests and group interests during a pandemic. 大流行期间个人利益与群体利益的冲突。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70038

Di Mu, Jingnan Cecilia Chen, Todd R Kaplan

引用次数: 0

Climate risk and green innovation-ESG disconnect: Firm-level evidence from China. 气候风险与绿色创新- esg脱节：来自中国的企业层面证据。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70034

Ran Liu, Xuehong Zhu, Jinyu Chen

{"title":"Climate risk and green innovation-ESG disconnect: Firm-level evidence from China.","authors":"Ran Liu, Xuehong Zhu, Jinyu Chen","doi":"10.1111/risa.70034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70034","url":null,"abstract":"The inability to reliably quantify firms' climate change exposure has become a primary obstacle preventing academics from thoroughly investigating climate impacts on micro-organizations. In this study, we construct firm-level climate risk indicators using hand-collected data on meteorological factors and investigate whether and how climate risk affected the paradoxical relation between corporate green innovation and its' environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores on the basis of the Chinese context. We document that the climate risk is significantly positively (or negatively) related to the negative (or positive) green innovation-ESG disconnect, implying that climate risk enhances the loose-coupling motives between green innovation and ESG for addressing internal efficiency and external legitimacy conflict. The above disconnect effect of climate risk, namely green innovation as compliance means and ESG as ends fail to complement each other as comparative advantages, is less pronounced for private-owned enterprises, firms with high corporate governance quality, and those with powerful CEOs. Furthermore, the disconnect effect of climate risk results in severe corporate performance volatility and diminishes future growth potential. Overall, this study contributes to the literature on climate risk at the micro level and offers initial evidence that climate risk causes means and ends cannot be mutually justified by demonstrating the green innovation-ESG disconnect, which has conducted few empirical research so far.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144029270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Dynamics of risk perception altered by cognitive hazard typification: A case of naturalness and immediacy of effect in Japan. 由认知危险分类改变的风险感知动态：日本自然和直接影响的一个案例。

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70036

Kenta Mitsushita, Shin Murakoshi

{"title":"Dynamics of risk perception altered by cognitive hazard typification: A case of naturalness and immediacy of effect in Japan.","authors":"Kenta Mitsushita, Shin Murakoshi","doi":"10.1111/risa.70036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70036","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigated how the structure of risk perception differs according to the type determined by perceived hazard properties (cognitive hazard type) by applying three-mode principal component analysis (3MPCA). A total of 295 respondents completed a questionnaire consisting of risk characteristics and risk perception scales for 12 natural, technology, and social activity hazards, differentiated by naturalness and immediacy of effects. Three components were extracted by 3MPCA in scale (\"dread,\" \"passive,\" and \"unknown\") and three in target hazards (\"slow-artificial hazard,\" \"fast-artificial hazard,\" and \"natural hazard\"), which were interpreted as three cognitive hazard types. Six components were extracted and interpreted using a core array. Multiple regression analysis of risk perception with individual components revealed that the influence of risk characteristics judgment differed according to cognitive hazard type. \"Dread\" affected all hazard types, whereas \"passive\" affected \"fast-artificial hazard\" and \"natural hazard.\" Furthermore, for \"natural hazard,\" \"passive\" had negative and positive effects on personal risk assessment and general assessment, respectively. These results suggest the necessity of considering cognitive hazard typification to investigate the structure of risk perception phenomena and the usefulness of applying 3MPCA to the psychometric paradigm.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143982028","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

IF 3 3区医学

Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/risa.70039

Yanmengqian Zhou, Michelle L Acevedo Callejas, Erina L Farrell

{"title":"Addressing related but competing risks: Effectiveness of an antibiotic stewardship intervention during COVID-19.","authors":"Yanmengqian Zhou, Michelle L Acevedo Callejas, Erina L Farrell","doi":"10.1111/risa.70039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70039","url":null,"abstract":"Previous research on risk information behaviors has primarily focused on responses to a single target risk, without considering how related risks might influence information behaviors regarding the target risk. Guided by the Risk Information Seeking and Processing (RISP) model and drawing on theory and research taking a social context approach to risk communication, we developed a video-based intervention for promoting favorable antibiotic risk information behaviors that targets key predictors-including perceived risk, information insufficiency, and perceived information gathering capacity (PIGC)-theorized in RISP and addresses COVID-19 as a related risk factor. Experimentally testing the effectiveness of this video against a previously developed video that did not reference COVID-19 and a control group with no video exposure, we found that both videos increased perceived risk from antibiotics and PIGC. Relative to the original video, the extended, COVID-contextualized video led to greater knowledge about the ineffectiveness and harm of taking antibiotics for COVID-19. Results from structural equation modeling showed that knowledge about the ineffectiveness directly decreased information-avoidance intention. Knowledge about the harm, on the other hand, indirectly increased information seeking and reduced avoidance intention by heightening perceived risk, which led to negative affect and, in turn, elevated information insufficiency. In addition, information-seeking intention increased with greater PIGC. These relationships further varied by fear of COVID-19, with antibiotic risk information behaviors among high-fear individuals being more strongly influenced by COVID-related judgments than those with low fear. Implications of the findings for message designs in multirisk situations are discussed.","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144010094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0