Ocean Modelling最新文献

{"title":"Accuracy assessment of recent global ocean tide models in coastal waters of the European North West Shelf","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102448","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102448","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The accuracy of global ocean tide models is assessed in coastal waters of the European North West Shelf to ascertain where higher resolution local (forecast) models are most needed for geophysical and navigational applications, and which global models are most suitable for providing boundary conditions for regional and local tide models. Five recent global ocean tide models (FES2014b, EOT20, TPXO9-atlas-v5, GOT4.10c, and DTU16) are considered, with the models first compared by interpolating them onto common grids and computing the mean absolute deviation at each grid point. Coastline tide gauge and offshore bottom pressure sensor data were collated from several sources to give a total of 279 observation sites for evaluating model accuracy, including observational values from 137 locations that have not previously been released and have therefore not been assimilated into any of the global models tested. The residual errors between each model’s predicted phasor and the corresponding observed phasor were calculated at each observation location, and quantified using the root mean square (RMS) and median absolute residual (MAR) for the eight tidal constituents M2, S2, N2, O1, K1, K2, P1, and Q1. To avoid RMS values being biased by observation point density, a Voronoi-weighted RMS based on the water area of the Voronoi polygon about each observation location was also developed and used. Four zones were defined based on ocean depth to gauge model performance, and model inaccuracy is again demonstrated in near-shore regions. Seven further zones were defined based on geographical areas, which reveals inhomogeneity among the global models. The smallest overall root sum square (RSS) RMS error across all eight constituents arises with FES2014b, although TPXO9-atlas-v5 has the best performance when using the MAR and Voronoi-weighted RMS metrics. Using only the 137 observation sites that have not been assimilated by any model and therefore provide an independent accuracy assessment, FES2014b exhibits the smallest errors at the coastline, with an RSS RMS of 24.46 cm. All models exhibit larger errors with the 137 independent observation sites than with all 279 observation sites, with an average overall increase in RSS RMS error of 12%, and an increase of 30% for coastline tide gauges, highlighting the need for local model development in these areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Enhancing model temperature estimations in shallow, turbid, coastal regions: Mobile Bay, Alabama","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102455","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102455","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate estimation of water column temperature is vital for modeling physical and biogeochemical processes. A key process in the thermal dynamics of the upper ocean is the attenuation of solar radiation. In shallow-turbid coastal systems, spatially and temporally varying optical characteristics present challenges for commonly used attenuation parameterization schemes. This study investigates the dependency of temperature with a ROMS model of Mobile Bay, a shallow, turbid estuary, using six different attenuation approaches including three base cases: Conventional approach PS77 based on water type-9; Novel approach SAL relating in situ PAR attenuation to salinity; and Surface trapped irradiance method ST. In addition, these base cases are also tested with surface atmospheric heat flux correction (QC). Simulations were validated against observations from various sources to identify the optimal approach at annual and synoptic scales. While all simulations showed effective temperature performance over an annual cycle, monthly analysis revealed some seasonality, with winter months typically performing better than summer months. The influence of QC notably enhanced temperature performance in both annual and synoptic scales, given that surface heat flux primarily drove temperature changes in this shallow system. The best overall performance was determined to be the ST approach incorporating QC. Conversely, PS77 without QC demonstrated the poorest performance. The SAL model with QC, notably improved performance over PS77 with QC, yet demonstrated comparable yet weaker performance compared to the ST model with QC. The study also implies that neglecting subseasonal validation in long-term regional climate modeling could introduce uncertainty into analyzing events tied to subseasonal temperatures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Total water level prediction at continental scale: Coastal ocean","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102451","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102451","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We demonstrate recent progress made in the simulation of total water level (TWL) at continental scale, using the coastal ocean of US East Coast/Gulf of Mexico coast as an example. A key difference between the continental-scale and small-scale modeling is that the former requires a more accurate vertical datum. Using a geoid-based datum (xGEOID20b), a satellite altimetry product, and a state-of-the-art 3D unstructured-grid model, we significantly improve the accuracy for TWL both near- and off-shore. The average root-mean-square error at all NOAA stations is 14 cm. The non-tidal signals are found to be sensitive to the representation of a large-scale current system near the boundary and extending the domain extent to accommodate this system improves these signals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142437825","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Variation of suspended-sediment caused by tidal asymmetry and wave effects","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102454","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102454","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Suspended sediment plays an important role in coastal topography evolution and ecological environment change. To obtain a clear picture of the underlying mechanisms, we studied the response of suspended sediment dynamics to tidal current and wave-current interactions using the wave-current-sediment model of SCHISM. The results revealed evident tidal asymmetry in the study area, and showed that the suspended sediment concentration (SSC) markedly changes within a tidal cycle. We also disassembled the wave–current interactions to determine the contribution of each physical mechanism of the wave and hydrodynamic models. Regarding the importance of various effects of wave-current interactions on SSC, the wave-induced bottom shear stress and wave-induced radiation stress should be considered. The importance of advection in horizontal space is comparable to that of wave-induced bottom shear stress and wave-induced radiation stress, and is greater than that of the other types of wave energy advection. This study successfully explained all the mechanisms that influence the variation of SSC to the southwest of Hainan Island, which is helpful for coastal management and could provide a reference for other coastal areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142441822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A dynamically adaptive Langmuir turbulence parameterization scheme for variable wind wave conditions: Model application","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102453","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102453","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Langmuir circulations and turbulence (LT) are crucial in the upper ocean mixed layer, significantly affecting the air-sea exchange of momentum, heat, and mass. The development of an appropriate LT parameterization scheme is vital for ocean modeling. This study employed the Large-eddy Simulation (LES) and the Physics-informed Neural Network (PINN) to optimize the KC04 Langmuir turbulence scheme by dynamically adjusting E₆ as a key parameter determined by winds and waves. The LES simulations under different wind wave states indicated the PINN-inferred values for E₆. Modelling results from GOTM in OCSPapa station demonstrated that the optimized scheme outperformed the original KC04 scheme in simulating the vertical eddy diffusivity and temperature, with an ∼6.24% annual reduction in the root mean square error (RMSE) for the temperature and an ∼8.23% reduction in the RMSE during autumn. Furthermore, the optimized scheme resulted in a thicker mixed layer, reaching 4.9 m. This enhanced LT parameterization scheme exhibited the improved robustness for variable spatiotemporal resolutions, significantly improving the modeling accuracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142421567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Improving the accuracy of global ECMWF wave height forecasts with machine learning","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102450","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102450","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Significant wave height (SWH) stands as one of the most crucial parameters for maritime activities. However, even the SWH data from the widely utilized European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS) carries errors and uncertainties. In this study, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) is used to inference the global ECMWF-IFS SWH forecast biases. The results demonstrate that globally, the LightGBM reduces the root mean square error by 10–20 %. Particularly noteworthy is the enhanced forecast accuracy observed in the western Pacific during late summers. Furthermore, the corrected forecast results during Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019 showcase the capability of model to effectively enhance the forecast accuracy of typhoon-induced wind waves, even when four typhoons occur concurrently. This study establishes the feasibility of LightGBM in inferencing single-step SWH forecast bias and presents a cost-effective model for enhancing global wave forecasts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142441821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Contribution of high-mode near-inertial waves to enhanced typhoon-induced sea surface temperature cooling in the South China Sea","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102452","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102452","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Sea surface temperature cooling (SSTC) is an important indicator of the ocean response to typhoons and is a factor in the evolution of typhoons. Understanding the intricate mechanisms underlying the SSTC induced by different typhoons is important. Based on the numerical simulation, we investigated the SSTC induced by typhoons Megi (2010), Linfa (2015), and Sarika (2011), which had relatively similar tracks in the South China Sea. As the strongest (weakest) typhoon, Megi (Sarika) induced the largest (smallest) SSTC, which is consistent with the traditional understanding that stronger typhoons usually induce larger SSTC than weaker typhoons. However, the SSTC induced by the moderate typhoon Linfa was nearly comparable to that induced by Megi, while Linfa had a wind power input an order of magnitude smaller. A comparison of near-inertial waves (NIWs) induced by Linfa and Megi showed that the former contained a larger proportion of high modes, substantially contributing to vertical shear. Consequently, the vertical mixing coefficient during Linfa reached one third of that during Megi. Because the SSTC is primarily influenced by vertical mixing, which is dominated by vertical diffusion at the mixed layer depth, the relatively strong vertical mixing coefficient and large temperature gradient during Linfa ultimately resulted in the SSTC nearly comparable to that induced by Megi. The results of this study enhance the understanding of typhoon-induced SSTC.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142421565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling sediment movement in the shallow-water framework: A morpho-hydrodynamic approach with numerical simulations and experimental validation","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102445","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102445","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This work presents a morpho-hydrodynamic model and a numerical approximation designed for the fast and accurate simulation of sediment movement associated with extreme events, such as tsunamis. The model integrates the well-established hydrostatic shallow-water equations with a transport equation for the moving bathymetry that relies on a bedload transport function. Subsequently, this model is discretized using the path-conservative finite volume framework to yield a numerical scheme that is not only fast but also second-order accurate and well-balanced for the lake-at-rest solution. The numerical discretization separates the hydrodynamic and morphodynamic components of the model but leverages the eigenstructure information to evolve the morphologic part in an upwind fashion, preventing spurious oscillations. The study includes various numerical experiments, incorporating comparisons with laboratory experimental data and field surveys.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142421566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evaluation of wave-based parameterizations of air–sea CO2 gas transfer over global oceans","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102446","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102446","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The parameterization of air–sea CO₂ transfer velocity employed in the estimation of bulk fluxes over global ocean is typically established on wind speed but could suffer from the deviations induced by sea states. In this study, the effectiveness of wave-based formulations are substantiated by reproducing climatological air–sea CO₂ flux and gas transfer velocity. Sea states play a significant role in facilitating CO₂ transfer, particularly in mid to high latitude regions with high wind speeds. The variability in transfer velocity induced by sea states is estimated up to 19% at the wind speed of 15 m/s. The two wave-based formulations used in this study are combined using a critical value of the Reynolds number. The combined formulation further improves estimates of the CO₂ gas transfer velocity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142536989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An operational discontinuous Galerkin shallow water model for coastal flood assessment","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102447","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102447","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hydrodynamic modeling for coastal flooding risk assessment is a highly relevant topic. Many operational tools available for this purpose use numerical techniques and implementation paradigms that reach their limits when confronted with modern requirements in terms of resolution and performances. In this work, we present a novel operational tool for coastal hazards predictions, currently employed by the BRGM agency (the French Geological Survey) to carry out its flooding hazard exposure studies and coastal risk prevention plans on International and French territories. The model, called UHAINA (wave in the Basque language), is based on an arbitrary high-order discontinuous Galerkin discretization of the nonlinear shallow water equations with SSP Runge–Kutta time stepping on unstructured triangular grids. It is built upon the finite element library AeroSol, which provides a modern C++ software architecture and high scalability, making it suitable for HPC applications. The paper provides a detailed development of the mathematical and numerical framework of the model, focusing on two key-ingredients : (i) a pragmatic <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>P</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msup></math></span> treatment of the solution in partially dry cells which guarantees efficiently well-balancedness, positivity and mass conservation at any polynomial order; (ii) an artificial viscosity method based on the physical dissipation of the system of equations providing nonlinear stability for non-smooth solutions. A set of numerical validations on academic benchmarks is performed to highlight the efficiency of these approaches. Finally, UHAINA is applied on a real operational case of study, demonstrating very satisfactory results.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142441823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}