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SHyTCWaves: A stop-motion hybrid model to predict tropical cyclone induced waves SHyTCWaves:预测热带气旋诱发波浪的定格混合模型
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102341
Sara O. van Vloten , Laura Cagigal , Beatriz Pérez-Díaz , Ron Hoeke , Fernando J. Méndez
{"title":"SHyTCWaves: A stop-motion hybrid model to predict tropical cyclone induced waves","authors":"Sara O. van Vloten ,&nbsp;Laura Cagigal ,&nbsp;Beatriz Pérez-Díaz ,&nbsp;Ron Hoeke ,&nbsp;Fernando J. Méndez","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102341","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Waves produced by tropical cyclones (TCs) can be estimated using non-stationary wave models forced with time-varying wind fields. However, dynamical simulations are time and computationally demanding at regional-scale domains since high temporal and spatial resolutions are required to correctly simulate TC-induced wave propagation processes. Applications such as early warning systems, coastal risk assessments and future climate projections benefit from fast and accurate estimates of wave fields induced by close-to-real storm tracks geometry. The proposed SHyTCWaves methodology constitutes a novel tool capable of estimating the spatio-temporal variability of directional wave spectra produced by TCs in deep waters, using a hybrid approach and statistical techniques to reduce CPU time effort. This work demonstrates that TC-induced waves can be reconstructed using a stop-motion approach based on the addition of successive 6 h periods of time-varying storm conditions. The developed hybrid model reduces a TC track to a number of segments that are parameterized in terms of 10 representative TC features, and generates a library of cases dynamically pre-computed which allow to ensemble consecutive 6 h analog segments representing the original TC track. The metamodel has been compared and corrected with available satellite data, and its applicability is exemplified for TC Ofa in the South Pacific.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102341"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500324000283/pdfft?md5=0aeb5b491722ebe0a0168a25d806c343&pid=1-s2.0-S1463500324000283-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139748880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Generalized structure of the group method of data handling for modeling iceberg drafts 冰山草案建模数据处理组法的通用结构
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102337
Hamed Azimi , Hodjat Shiri , Masoud Mahdianpari
{"title":"Generalized structure of the group method of data handling for modeling iceberg drafts","authors":"Hamed Azimi ,&nbsp;Hodjat Shiri ,&nbsp;Masoud Mahdianpari","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102337","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The iceberg draft prediction is vital to mitigate the collision risk of deep keel icebergs with the seafloor-founded infrastructures, including the subsea pipelines, wellheads, hydrocarbon loading equipment, and communication cables crossing the Arctic and subarctic areas since the drifting icebergs may gouge the ocean floor and the physical and operational integrity of the submarine structures would be threatened. In this study, the iceberg drafts were simulated using the generalized structure of the group method of data handling (GS-GMDH) algorithm for the first time. The parameters affecting the iceberg drafts were determined, and five GS-GMDH models comprising GS-GMDH 1 to GS-GMDH 5 were developed utilizing those parameters governing. A dataset comprising 161 distinct case studies measured in the most significant field investigations of iceberg characteristics was generated, and the GS-GMDH models were trained through 60 % of the data, the rest of the data (i.e., 40 %) were considered for the GS-GMDH models’ validation. By defining different scenarios, the most accurate GS-GMDH model and the most important input parameters were identified. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the iceberg width ratio (<em>W</em>/<em>H</em>) and the iceberg shape factor (<em>S<sub>f</sub></em>) were identified as the most influencing input parameters. The comparison between the performance of the premium GS-GMDH model and the group method of data handling (GMDH), artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms, and the empirical models proved that the GS-GMDH model simulated the iceberg drafts with the highest level of precision and correlation along with the lowest degree of complexity. Based on the partial derivative sensitivity analysis (PDSA), the magnitude of iceberg drafts grew by increasing the value of the iceberg width and iceberg length. Ultimately, a GS-GMDH-based equation was presented to estimate the iceberg drafts for practical applications, particularly in the early stages of iceberg management projects and engineering designs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102337"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139821318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spurious internal wave generation during data assimilation in eddy resolving ocean model simulations 涡解析海洋模型模拟数据同化过程中产生的杂散内波
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102340
Keshav J. Raja , Maarten C. Buijsman , Alexandra Bozec , Robert W. Helber , Jay F. Shriver , Alan Wallcraft , Eric P. Chassignet , Brian K. Arbic
{"title":"Spurious internal wave generation during data assimilation in eddy resolving ocean model simulations","authors":"Keshav J. Raja ,&nbsp;Maarten C. Buijsman ,&nbsp;Alexandra Bozec ,&nbsp;Robert W. Helber ,&nbsp;Jay F. Shriver ,&nbsp;Alan Wallcraft ,&nbsp;Eric P. Chassignet ,&nbsp;Brian K. Arbic","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102340","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Data assimilation (DA) combines observational data and the dynamical ocean model to forecast the ocean state in a matter that is not possible from either observations or models by themselves. However, the incorporation of data-derived corrections into the model introduces the potential to disrupt the dynamical balance of the model state, leading to initialization shocks. These shocks arise as the model undergoes a process of adjustment to restore the perturbed dynamic balance, involving the generation of spurious near-inertial motions. Notably, the US Navy’s global ocean forecast system strives to mitigate these issues through the implementation of the Incremental Analysis Update (IAU) method, distributing the DA corrections to the model state across a specified time window (3 h in the operational system). Our study shows that, despite the implementation of this 3 h IAU period, the initialization shocks still persist in the model analysis fields. We find that during DA updates, spurious internal waves are generated that are in a broad near-inertial frequency range and propagate long distances from their generation sites in the form of low-mode near-inertial waves. The depth-integrated, time-mean near-inertial kinetic energy in a simulation with DA is 68% higher than in a corresponding forward simulation (free-run, without DA) of the simulation with the same surface wind forcing. The presence of these spurious near-inertial waves disrupts the ocean model energetics, and minimizing them is crucial for using the assimilative model simulations to study small scale/high-frequency ocean dynamics. We also examine a possible way to minimize the spurious internal waves by extending the IAU period in numerical experiments using regional model simulations. We demonstrate that the generation of spurious near-inertial waves can be minimized if we insert increments of smaller magnitude at each time step during the update, which can be achieved by extending the IAU period. Our findings indicate that in simulations with a 24 h IAU period, the variance of near-inertial kinetic energy between the assimilative and forward simulations is reduced to approximately 1%.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102340"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500324000271/pdfft?md5=670c97f1a4c9b8ab883df23475303a6a&pid=1-s2.0-S1463500324000271-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139737406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A simple and transparent method for improving the energetics and thermodynamics of seawater approximations: Static energy asymptotics (SEA) 改进海水近似能量和热力学的简单而透明的方法:静态能量渐近法(SEA)
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102339
Rémi Tailleux , Thomas Dubos
{"title":"A simple and transparent method for improving the energetics and thermodynamics of seawater approximations: Static energy asymptotics (SEA)","authors":"Rémi Tailleux ,&nbsp;Thomas Dubos","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102339","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The static energy encodes all possible information about the thermodynamics and potential energy (and all related forces) of stratified geophysical fluids. In this paper, we develop a systematic methodology, called static energy asymptotics, that exploits this property for constructing energetically and thermodynamically consistent sound-proof approximations of the equations of motion. By approximating the static energy to various orders of accuracy, two main families of approximations are (re-)derived and discussed: the pseudo-incompressible (PI) approximation and the anelastic (AN) approximation. For all approximations, the background and available potential energies (in Lorenz sense) can be constructed to match their exact counterparts as closely as feasible and to be expressible in terms of the exact (as opposed to ad-hoc) thermodynamic potentials. For hydrostatic motions, the AN approximation (of which the Boussinesq approximation is a special case) has the same structure as that of legacy Seawater Boussinesq primitive equations. The energetics of such models could therefore be made transparently traceable to that of the full Navier–Stokes equations at little to no additional cost, thus allowing them to take full advantage of the Gibbs Sea Water (GSW) library developed as part of the new thermodynamic standard for seawater TEOS-10.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102339"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S146350032400026X/pdfft?md5=b03a47619c774ea6868f319c94547d9b&pid=1-s2.0-S146350032400026X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139726231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tidal effects on dynamics and freshwater transport of a medium-scale river plume with multiple outlets 潮汐对多出口中尺度河流羽流动力学和淡水输送的影响
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102338
Xiaolong Zong , Xuan Cheng , Shuwen Zhang , Qiang Lian , Fangjing Deng , Zhaoyun Chen
{"title":"Tidal effects on dynamics and freshwater transport of a medium-scale river plume with multiple outlets","authors":"Xiaolong Zong ,&nbsp;Xuan Cheng ,&nbsp;Shuwen Zhang ,&nbsp;Qiang Lian ,&nbsp;Fangjing Deng ,&nbsp;Zhaoyun Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102338","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102338","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Tides play a crucial role in regulating the dispersal and dynamics of a river plume. However, the impact of tides on the dynamics and transport of freshwater in a medium-scale river plume, particularly with multiple outlets, is still not well understood. Using the Hanjiang River Plume in the northern South China Sea as an example, we analyze the momentum and volume of the plume based on salinity space. We also investigate the effects of tidal advection and tidal mixing. Tidal advection propels plume water from the bulge downstream, resulting in a plume type with intermediate surface-advected and bottom-advected characteristics. Tidal mixing causes the plume to come into contact with the seafloor, leading to bottom-advected plumes. Tidal advection leads to the accumulation of plume water in high salinity space, while tidal mixing mitigates this effect, as the plume water near the estuary with relatively low salinity is effectively mixed. In the absence of tidal forcing, vertical shear is the main contributor to the total freshwater flux. However, when tidal effects are taken into account, the contribution of vertical shear to the total freshwater flux decreases and becomes comparable to the advection term. The downstream buoyant flow is primarily controlled by geostrophic balance. The barotropic current carries freshwater downstream, overpowering the upstream transport by the baroclinic current, resulting in a net downstream freshwater transport. Tidal advection enhances this downstream freshwater transport, while tidal mixing has the opposite effect.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102338"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139826202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dispersion diagrams of linear damped waves on the equatorial beta plane 赤道贝塔面上线性阻尼波的频散图
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102336
P. Amol , D. Shankar
{"title":"Dispersion diagrams of linear damped waves on the equatorial beta plane","authors":"P. Amol ,&nbsp;D. Shankar","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102336","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102336","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The linear equations of motion are solved to obtain dispersion diagrams with Rayleigh friction (<span><math><mrow><mo>−</mo><mi>γ</mi><mi>u</mi></mrow></math></span>) and Laplacian friction (<span><math><mrow><mi>ν</mi><msub><mrow><mi>∂</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>x</mi><mi>x</mi></mrow></msub><mi>u</mi></mrow></math></span>), the latter being solved numerically. Laplacian friction is more efficient at eliminating the short-wavelength Rossby waves, whereas Rayleigh friction is more effective at dissipating long-wavelength Rossby waves. For Rayleigh friction, short-wavelength Rossby waves do not exist at periods longer than the damping time scale (<span><math><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>γ</mi></mrow></math></span>); for Laplacian friction, they do not exist for wavenumbers less than <span><math><mrow><msqrt><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></msqrt><mo>/</mo><mrow><mo>(</mo><mn>2</mn><mroot><mrow><mi>ν</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></mroot><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span>. For both damping forms, the imaginary wavenumber (<span><math><msub><mrow><mi>k</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>i</mi></mrow></msub></math></span>) no longer separates the upper branch (gravity waves) from the lower branch (Rossby waves) of the real wavenumber (<span><math><msub><mrow><mi>k</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>r</mi></mrow></msub></math></span>), and the waves are damped at all frequencies. The two solutions of <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>k</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>r</mi></mrow></msub></math></span> do not overlap, and for Rayleigh damping, they meet at <span><math><msqrt><mrow><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>5</mn><mo>−</mo><msup><mrow><mi>γ</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></mrow></msqrt></math></span>, which roughly corresponds to <span><math><mo>∼</mo></math></span>13.7 days for very low friction. For very high Rayleigh damping, which is an unrealistic scenario, only gravity waves exist in the dispersion diagram. The consequence of adding friction, even if negligible, is that the discontinuity evident in the inviscid solution at the critical latitude no longer holds, or the critical latitude ceases to exist.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102336"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139665984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predicting temporal and spatial 4-D ocean temperature using satellite data based on a novel deep learning model 基于新型深度学习模型,利用卫星数据预测时空四维海洋温度
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102333
Yuliang Liu , Lin Zhang , Wei Hao , Lu Zhang , Limin Huang
{"title":"Predicting temporal and spatial 4-D ocean temperature using satellite data based on a novel deep learning model","authors":"Yuliang Liu ,&nbsp;Lin Zhang ,&nbsp;Wei Hao ,&nbsp;Lu Zhang ,&nbsp;Limin Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102333","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102333","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The prediction of ocean temperature using sea surface data is crucial for studying ocean-related events and climate change. However, current temperature predictions mainly focus on surface data and rarely consider the temporal relationship of ocean temperature. In this study, we propose a novel deep-learning model to predict ocean temperature for the next two months, which fully considers both temporal and spatial features. The input consists of satellite remote sensing data from the past month, including weekly sea surface temperature, salinity, height, and velocity. The model consists of four modules: convolutional, attention, residual, and transposed convolutional. We compare the model estimation with reanalysis data and conduct temporal, spatial, and vertical distribution analyses. The results demonstrate that the model can accurately predict ocean temperature at different lead time, depths, and locations. Finally, we compare the predicted temperature with actual sea observations to ensure the model's good performance in practical applications. This study shows the tremendous potential of the proposed model in predicting 4-D ocean temperature, providing powerful data support for ocean-related events and climate change research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102333"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139666330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bias correction of operational storm surge forecasts using Neural Networks 利用神经网络纠正风暴潮实况预报的偏差
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102334
Paulina Tedesco , Jean Rabault , Martin Lilleeng Sætra , Nils Melsom Kristensen , Ole Johan Aarnes , Øyvind Breivik , Cecilie Mauritzen , Øyvind Sætra
{"title":"Bias correction of operational storm surge forecasts using Neural Networks","authors":"Paulina Tedesco ,&nbsp;Jean Rabault ,&nbsp;Martin Lilleeng Sætra ,&nbsp;Nils Melsom Kristensen ,&nbsp;Ole Johan Aarnes ,&nbsp;Øyvind Breivik ,&nbsp;Cecilie Mauritzen ,&nbsp;Øyvind Sætra","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Storm surges can give rise to extreme floods in coastal areas. The Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway) produces 120 h regional operational storm surge forecasts along the coast of Norway based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), using a model setup called Nordic4-SS. Despite advances in the development of models and computational capabilities, forecast errors remain large enough to impact response measures and issued alerts, in particular, during the strongest storm events. Reducing these errors will positively impact the efficiency of the warning systems while minimizing efforts and resources. Here, we investigate how forecasts can be improved with residual learning, i.e., training data-driven models to predict the residuals in forecasts from Nordic4-SS. A simple error mapping technique and a more sophisticated Neural Network (NN) method are tested. The simple error mapping technique provides a reduction in the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of less than 4%. Using the NN residual correction method, the RMSE in the Oslo Fjord is reduced by 36% for lead times of one hour, 9% for 24 h, and 5% for 60 h. Therefore, the residual NN method is a promising direction for correcting storm surge forecasts, especially on short timescales. Moreover, it is well adapted to being deployed operationally, as (i) the correction is applied on top of the existing model and requires no changes to it, (ii) all predictors used for NN inference are already available operationally, (iii) prediction by the NNs is very fast, typically a few seconds per station, and (iv) the NN correction can be provided to a human expert who may inspect it, compare it with the model output, and see how much correction is brought by the NN, allowing to capitalize on human expertise as a quality validation of the NN output. While no changes to the hydrodynamic model are necessary to calibrate the neural networks, they are specific to a given model and must be recalibrated when the numerical models are updated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102334"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500324000210/pdfft?md5=b0ab973331947601607087f776961d9d&pid=1-s2.0-S1463500324000210-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139666622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
CODAR data assimilation into an integrated ocean forecasting system for the Brazilian Southeastern coast 将 CODAR 数据同化到巴西东南沿海综合海洋预报系统中
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102331
Raquel Toste , Carina Stefoni Böck , Maurício Soares da Silva , Nilton Oliveira Moraes , Anderson Elias Soares , Douglas Medeiros Nehme , Luiz Paulo de Freitas Assad , Luiz Landau , Fernando Barreto , Carlos Leandro da Silva Júnior
{"title":"CODAR data assimilation into an integrated ocean forecasting system for the Brazilian Southeastern coast","authors":"Raquel Toste ,&nbsp;Carina Stefoni Böck ,&nbsp;Maurício Soares da Silva ,&nbsp;Nilton Oliveira Moraes ,&nbsp;Anderson Elias Soares ,&nbsp;Douglas Medeiros Nehme ,&nbsp;Luiz Paulo de Freitas Assad ,&nbsp;Luiz Landau ,&nbsp;Fernando Barreto ,&nbsp;Carlos Leandro da Silva Júnior","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>Near real-time surface current measurements from shore-based high-frequency (HF) radars have increasingly proved to be an essential observation for ocean data assimilation<span> (DA) into operational forecasting systems. For the first time in Brazil, a high-resolution operational system was developed assimilating HF ocean currents<span> data. The system comprises a well known ocean model, the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), applied to the Southeastern Brazilian shelf and oceanic regions. The ROMS Restricted B-preconditioned Lanczos 4D-variational DA method is employed using real-time coastal radar, remote sensing, and in situ observations, and the DA solution is used as initial fields to produce hourly forecasts for the next two days. The performance of the system in providing accurate forecasts by using this source of initial condition (IC) was evaluated in an experiment in which multiple sources of IC were used. In situ and remote sensing data were used to assess the quality of predictions obtained in the forecasting experiments. The results indicate that the employed DA technique significantly reduced the misfit between model and assimilated observations, leading to improved forecast results. By using this IC, the system was capable to provide forecasts with errors reduced by up to 85%, 14%, and 12%, respectively for </span></span></span>sea surface temperature, velocities, and heights, compared to forecasts based on global models. The system was also able to accurately predict the positioning and intensity of the Brazil Current flow and its spatiotemporal variability along the studied region.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102331"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139665987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Study of the tidal dynamics in the Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf based on data assimilation 基于数据同化的西南大西洋大陆架潮汐动力学研究
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学
Ocean Modelling Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102332
Matías G. Dinápoli, Claudia G. Simionato
{"title":"Study of the tidal dynamics in the Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf based on data assimilation","authors":"Matías G. Dinápoli,&nbsp;Claudia G. Simionato","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102332","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;The Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf (SWACS) is a large oceanic region with remarkably barotropic dynamics. Several scientific studies have described how processes, such as tide or surface winds, affect the variability of the &lt;/span&gt;sea surface height and currents. However the tidal dynamics has not received attention for at least the last 15 years, in spite of their importance for both local and global dynamics. Since the last works, the amount of available observations and numerical models (physics, resolution, numerics, etc.) have all greatly improved. In this context, &lt;/span&gt;data assimilation (DA) becomes an relevant tool to merge both the observations and the model solutions, producing a better representation of the regional processes. Particularly, DA provides, in addition, an objective methodology to calibrate model parameters. Thus, the aim of this work is to perform, for the first time for this outstanding region, the calibration of the numerical model &lt;/span&gt;bottom friction coefficient (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msub&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;c&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;D&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msub&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;) by means of DA; then, the opportunity of a better simulation is seized to update the description of tidal dynamics. The spatial variability of the derived &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msub&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;c&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;D&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msub&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt; is consistent with the bathymetry, with a mean value of &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;2&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;mo&gt;.&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;0&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;mo&gt;×&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;1&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;0&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; along the coast and &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;2&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;mo&gt;.&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;5&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;mo&gt;×&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;1&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;0&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; nearby the shelf-break. Results show that the incorporation of a spatially varying &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msub&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;c&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;D&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msub&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt; improves the representation of the tidal amplitude and phase compared to the case when it is considered homogeneous, and drives in a single model to results of a better quality than previous nested models with much larger resolution. The optimal representation of the regional tide with a single model allowed us to provide a deeper, improved and novel description of the tidal dynamics. It was found that the energy enters the domain not only from the south but also from the north, being the flux to the north two orders of magnitude larger; those two fluxes produce an cyclonic circulation consistent with the behaviour of the SWACS as a semidiurnal tidal resonant canal theoretically proposed by Webb (1976). This explains why the energy flux is, by far, domained by the potential energy and the large amplitudes of the tide. Finally, a remaining and weaker branch exits along the coast; it enters the Río de la Plata Estuary from its southwesternmost tip and travels upstream along the Argentinean coast, reaching the upper est","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":"188 ","pages":"Article 102332"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139665979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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