npj Climate and Atmospheric Science最新文献_第5页

Data-driven investigation on the boreal summer MJO predictability 关于北方夏季 MJO 可预测性的数据驱动调查

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00799-8

Na-Yeon Shin, Daehyun Kang, Daehyun Kim, June-Yi Lee, Jong-Seong Kug

引用次数: 0

Indonesian Throughflow promoted eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation 印度尼西亚贯通流促进了马登-朱利安涛动向东传播

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00787-y

Libin Ma, Mingting Li, Fei Liu, Juan Li

引用次数: 0

The characterization, mechanism, predictability, and impacts of the unprecedented 2023 Southeast Asia heatwave 2023 年东南亚史无前例的热浪的特征、机制、可预测性和影响

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00797-w

Yang Lyu, Jingyu Wang, Xiefei Zhi, Xianfeng Wang, Hugh Zhang, Yonggang Wen, Edward Park, Joshua Lee, Xia Wan, Shoupeng Zhu, Duc Tran Dung

{"title":"The characterization, mechanism, predictability, and impacts of the unprecedented 2023 Southeast Asia heatwave","authors":"Yang Lyu, Jingyu Wang, Xiefei Zhi, Xianfeng Wang, Hugh Zhang, Yonggang Wen, Edward Park, Joshua Lee, Xia Wan, Shoupeng Zhu, Duc Tran Dung","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00797-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00797-w","url":null,"abstract":"In April and May 2023, Southeast Asia (SEA) encountered an exceptional heatwave. The Continental SEA was hardest hit, where all the countries broke their highest temperature records with measurements exceeding 42 °C, and Thailand set the region’s new record of 49 °C. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of this event by investigating its spatiotemporal evolution, physical mechanisms, forecast performance, return period, and extensive impacts. The enhanced high-pressure influenced by tropical waves, moisture deficiency and strong land-atmosphere coupling are considered as the key drivers to this extreme heatwave event. The ECMWF exhibited limited forecast skills for the reduced soil moisture and failed to capture the land-atmosphere coupling, leading to a severe underestimation of the heatwave’s intensity. Although the return period of this heatwave event is 129 years based on the rarity of temperature records, the combination of near-surface drying and soil moisture deficiency that triggered strong positive land-atmosphere feedback and rapid warming was extremely uncommon, with an occurrence probability of just 0.08%. These analyses underscore the exceptional nature of this unparalleled heatwave event and its underlying physical mechanisms, revealing its broad impacts, including significant health repercussions, a marked increase in wildfires, and diminished agricultural yields.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00797-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142431085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Consecutive Northward Super Typhoons Induced Extreme Ozone Pollution Events in Eastern China 连续北上的超强台风诱发华东地区极端臭氧污染事件

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00786-z

Jiahe Wang, Peng Wang, Chunfeng Tian, Meng Gao, Tiantao Cheng, Wei Mei

{"title":"Consecutive Northward Super Typhoons Induced Extreme Ozone Pollution Events in Eastern China","authors":"Jiahe Wang, Peng Wang, Chunfeng Tian, Meng Gao, Tiantao Cheng, Wei Mei","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00786-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00786-z","url":null,"abstract":"Typhoons are one of the most important weather systems that can cause severe ozone (O3) pollution in eastern China. While the effects of individual typhoons on O3 concentrations have been extensively studied, the effects of consecutive northward typhoons and the underlying mechanisms remain unclear, partly due to the complex processes involved. Here, Typhoons Maysak and Haishen, two consecutive northward typhoons in 2020, are selected to investigate their impact on the O3 pollution in eastern China. The results show that consecutive northward typhoons not only produced and maintained meteorological conditions conducive to O3 generation (e.g., elevated temperatures and intensified solar radiation), but also facilitated local accumulation and cross-regional transport of O3. These factors jointly led to a 30% increase in O3 concentration in eastern China with a prolonged period of O3 pollution. Our work underscores the significance of complex meteorological conditions in O3 pollution occurrences during extreme weather events, advancing our understanding of how consecutive northward typhoons affect air quality.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00786-z.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142415497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Amplified temperature sensitivity of extreme precipitation events following heat stress 热应激后极端降水事件对温度的敏感性增强

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00796-x

Zhiling Zhou, Liping Zhang, Qin Zhang, Hui Cao, Hairong Zhang, Benjun Jia, Lina Liu, Zhenyu Tang, Jie Chen

{"title":"Amplified temperature sensitivity of extreme precipitation events following heat stress","authors":"Zhiling Zhou, Liping Zhang, Qin Zhang, Hui Cao, Hairong Zhang, Benjun Jia, Lina Liu, Zhenyu Tang, Jie Chen","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00796-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00796-x","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates global extreme precipitation events (EPEs) during warm seasons, with a particular focus on EPEs preceded by extreme heat stress (EPE-Hs) and a comparative analysis with those not (EPE-NHs). Using reanalysis product and Earth System Model data, the spatiotemporal characteristics and temperature sensitivities of EPEs are analyzed. Results show that EPE-Hs, while less frequent, have longer duration and greater magnitude compared to EPE-NHs, particularly in high latitude regions. In the future, a significant increase is projected in the characteristics of EPE-Hs, in contrast to the stable duration and magnitude of EPE-NHs. EPE-Hs demonstrate substantially higher temperature sensitivity than EPE-NHs, especially in low latitudes. The precipitation-temperature scaling relationships diverge markedly between EPE-Hs and EPE-NHs, with notable regional variations. These insights are pivotal for crafting region-specific early warning and adaptation strategies to mitigate the risks associated with extreme precipitation under the backdrop of global warming.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-13"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00796-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142397801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

2024 ESA-ECMWF workshop report: current status, progress and opportunities in machine learning for Earth system observation and prediction 2024 ESA-ECMWF 讲习班报告：地球系统观测和预测机器学习的现状、进展和机遇

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00757-4

Patrick Ebel, Rochelle Schneider, Massimo Bonavita, Mariana Clare, Anna Jungbluth, Maryam Pourshamsi, Matthew Chantry, Mihai Alexe, Alessandro Sebastianelli, Marcin Chrust

{"title":"2024 ESA-ECMWF workshop report: current status, progress and opportunities in machine learning for Earth system observation and prediction","authors":"Patrick Ebel, Rochelle Schneider, Massimo Bonavita, Mariana Clare, Anna Jungbluth, Maryam Pourshamsi, Matthew Chantry, Mihai Alexe, Alessandro Sebastianelli, Marcin Chrust","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00757-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00757-4","url":null,"abstract":"This report summarises the main outcomes of the 4th edition of the workshop on Machine Learning (ML) for Earth System Observation and Prediction (ESOP / ML4ESOP) co-organised by the European Space Agency (ESA) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The 4-day workshop was held on 7-10 May 2024 in a hybrid format at the ESA Frascati site with an interactive online component, featuring over 46 expert talks with a record number of submissions and about 800 registrations. The workshop offered leading experts a platform to exchange on the current opportunities, challenges and future directions for applying ML methodology to ESOP. To structure the presentations and discussions, the workshop featured five main thematic areas covering key topics and emerging trends. The most promising research directions and significant outcomes were identified by each thematic area’s Working Group and are the focus of this document.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-5"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00757-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142397909","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Uncovering the interannual predictability of the 2003 European summer heatwave linked to the Tibetan Plateau 揭示与青藏高原有关的 2003 年欧洲夏季热浪的年际可预测性

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00782-3

Pengfei Shi, L. Ruby Leung, Hui Lu, Bin Wang, Kun Yang, Haishan Chen

{"title":"Uncovering the interannual predictability of the 2003 European summer heatwave linked to the Tibetan Plateau","authors":"Pengfei Shi, L. Ruby Leung, Hui Lu, Bin Wang, Kun Yang, Haishan Chen","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00782-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00782-3","url":null,"abstract":"Known as the Third Pole, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) significantly influences global weather and climate, but its potential for improving subseasonal-to-interannual predictions remains underexplored. Through coupled climate simulations and hindcast experiments, we uncovered interannual predictability of the 2003 European summer heatwave that persisted from June to August with devastating impacts. Hindcasts initialized from the atmosphere, land, and ocean states of a coupled simulation that assimilates soil moisture and soil temperature data over the TP show substantial skill in predicting this heatwave two years in advance. Hindcast sensitivity experiments isolated the indispensable role of the spring TP snow cover anomalies and their impact on the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in exciting the Rossby waves that contributed to the anomalous European summer temperature. These findings highlight the dominant and remote influence of the TP and motivate research on its role in enhancing the predictability of extreme events worldwide.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00782-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142397802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An intrinsic low-frequency atmospheric mode of the Indonesian-Australian summer monsoon 印度尼西亚-澳大利亚夏季季风的内在低频大气模式

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00792-1

Yu Liang, Shang-Ping Xie, Honghai Zhang

引用次数: 0

CMIP6 models project a shrinking precipitation area CMIP6 模型预测降水区域将缩小

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00794-z

Andreas Dobler, Rasmus E. Benestad, Cristian Lussana, Oskar Landgren

引用次数: 0

Spatially compounding flood-nocturnal heat events over adjacent regions in the Northern Hemisphere 北半球相邻地区洪水-夜间高温事件的空间复合效应

IF 8.5 1区地球科学

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00795-y

Ruidan Chen, Jianbin Liu, Siao Tang, Xiaoqi Li

{"title":"Spatially compounding flood-nocturnal heat events over adjacent regions in the Northern Hemisphere","authors":"Ruidan Chen, Jianbin Liu, Siao Tang, Xiaoqi Li","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00795-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41612-024-00795-y","url":null,"abstract":"Compound events have become more frequent and diverse under global warming. This study specifically focuses on a type of compound events termed spatially compounding flood-nocturnal heat events over adjacent regions. Five flood hotspots are identified to compound with adjacent nocturnal heat. The flood and nocturnal heat are linked via a water vapor transport belt, with flood over the region of prominent water vapor convergence and ascending anomalies and nocturnal heat over the extension region with moderately increased humidity and weak vertical motion anomaly. The compound events for all the hotspots occur more frequently recently, with commonly positive contribution from the increasing trends of nocturnal temperature (TN) but various contribution from the trends of precipitation (Pr) and Pr-TN correlation. The positive contribution of enhanced Pr-TN correlation results from the enhanced variability of the circulation accompanied with water vapor transport. This study highlights the influence of atmospheric circulation variability on compound events.","PeriodicalId":19438,"journal":{"name":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","volume":" ","pages":"1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00795-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142383536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0