Frigg J. D. Speelman, Terry Burke, Jan Komdeur, David S. Richardson, Hannah L. Dugdale
{"title":"Causes and consequences of divorce in a long-lived socially monogamous bird","authors":"Frigg J. D. Speelman, Terry Burke, Jan Komdeur, David S. Richardson, Hannah L. Dugdale","doi":"10.1111/ele.14471","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.14471","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In socially monogamous species, sexual selection not only depends on initial mate choice but also mate switching. To date, studies lack assessment of (1) differences between passive (widowhood) and active (divorce) mate switching, (2) longer term fitness consequences (beyond the season post-divorce) and (3) how age masks reproductive costs and benefits of divorce. We investigated causes and short- and long-term consequences of mate switching and their age dependence using longitudinal data on Seychelles warblers (<i>Acrocephalus sechellensis</i>). Young and old males, but not females, divorced most frequently. Divorce propensity declined with pair-bond duration and reproductive success in both sexes, but mate switching did not incur short-term costs. Divorcees did not gain short- or long-term fitness benefits compared to non-divorcees. Rather, female early-life divorcees that lost their breeding position had lower survival than females that never divorced. Divorce is likely a strategy to escape poor-quality partnerships, but not all divorcees benefit from divorcing.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.14471","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142904795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ruijiao Sun, Rémi Fay, Francesco Ventura, Bilgecan Şen, Christophe Barbraud, Karine Delord, Kristen Krumhardt, Stéphanie Jenouvrier
{"title":"Climate Change Impacts Pair-Bond Dynamics in a Long-Lived Monogamous Species","authors":"Ruijiao Sun, Rémi Fay, Francesco Ventura, Bilgecan Şen, Christophe Barbraud, Karine Delord, Kristen Krumhardt, Stéphanie Jenouvrier","doi":"10.1111/ele.14555","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.14555","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate change can influence populations of monogamous species by affecting pair-bond dynamics. This study examined the impact of climate on widowhood and divorce, and the subsequent effects on individual vital rates and life-history outcomes over 54 years in a snow petrel (<i>Pagodroma nivea</i>) population. We found that environmental conditions can affect pair-bond dynamics both directly and indirectly. Divorce was adaptive, occurring more frequently after breeding failure and leading to improved breeding success. Divorce probabilities also increased under severe climatic conditions, regardless of prior breeding success, supporting the ‘Habitat-mediated’ mechanisms. Overall, pair-bond disruptions reduced subsequent vital rates and lifetime outcomes. Climate forecasts from an Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Model projected increased male widowhood rates due to decreased sea ice negatively affecting female survival, despite considerable uncertainty. These findings highlight the importance of environmentally induced changes in demographic and pair-bond disruption rates as crucial factors shaping demographic responses to climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.14555","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142904798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Robert J. Fournier, Denise D. Colombano, Robert J. Latour, Stephanie M. Carlson, Albert Ruhi
{"title":"Long-term data reveal widespread phenological change across major US estuarine food webs","authors":"Robert J. Fournier, Denise D. Colombano, Robert J. Latour, Stephanie M. Carlson, Albert Ruhi","doi":"10.1111/ele.14441","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.14441","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate change is shifting the timing of organismal life-history events. Although consequential food-web mismatches can emerge if predators and prey shift at different rates, research on phenological shifts has traditionally focused on single trophic levels. Here, we analysed >2000 long-term, monthly time series of phytoplankton, zooplankton, and fish abundance or biomass for the San Francisco, Chesapeake, and Massachusetts bays. Phenological shifts occurred in over a quarter (28%) of the combined series across all three estuaries. However, phenological trends for many taxa (ca. 29–68%) did not track the changing environment. While planktonic taxa largely advanced their phenologies, fishes displayed broad patterns of both advanced and delayed timing of peak abundance. Overall, these divergent patterns illustrate the potential for climate-driven trophic mismatches. Our results suggest that even if signatures of global climate change differ locally, widespread phenological change has the potential to disrupt estuarine food webs.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.14441","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142904792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Murielle Ålund, S. Eryn McFarlane, Arild Husby, Jonas Knape, Tomas Pärt, Päivi Sirkiä, Franz J. Weissing, David Wheatcroft, Yishu Zhu, Anna Qvarnström
{"title":"Inheritance of Material Wealth in a Natural Population","authors":"Murielle Ålund, S. Eryn McFarlane, Arild Husby, Jonas Knape, Tomas Pärt, Päivi Sirkiä, Franz J. Weissing, David Wheatcroft, Yishu Zhu, Anna Qvarnström","doi":"10.1111/ele.14505","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.14505","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Evolutionary adaptation occurs when individuals vary in access to fitness-relevant resources and these differences in ‘material wealth’ are heritable. It is typically assumed that the inheritance of material wealth reflects heritable variation in the phenotypic abilities needed to acquire material wealth. We scrutinise this assumption by investigating additional mechanisms underlying the inheritance of material wealth in collared flycatchers. A genome-wide association analysis reveals a high genomic heritability (<i>h</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.405 ± 0.08) of access to caterpillar larvae, a fitness-relevant resource, in the birds' breeding territories. However, we find little evidence for heritable variation in phenotypic abilities needed to acquire this material wealth. Instead, combined evidence from simulations, experimental and long-term monitoring data indicate that inheritance of material wealth is largely explained by philopatry causing a within-population genetic structure across a heterogeneous landscape. Therefore, allelic variants associated with high material wealth may spread in the population without having causal connections to traits promoting local adaptation.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.14505","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142904988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kyle D. Dougherty, Justin A. Dellinger, Bogdan Cristescu, Daniel J. Gammons, David K. Garcelon, J. Mark Higley, Quinton E. Martins, Seth P. D. Riley, Jeff A. Sikich, Thomas R. Stephenson, T. Winston Vickers, Greta M. Wengert, Christopher C. Wilmers, Heiko U. Wittmer, John F. Benson
{"title":"A Functional Response in Resource Selection Links Multiscale Responses of a Large Carnivore to Human Mortality Risk","authors":"Kyle D. Dougherty, Justin A. Dellinger, Bogdan Cristescu, Daniel J. Gammons, David K. Garcelon, J. Mark Higley, Quinton E. Martins, Seth P. D. Riley, Jeff A. Sikich, Thomas R. Stephenson, T. Winston Vickers, Greta M. Wengert, Christopher C. Wilmers, Heiko U. Wittmer, John F. Benson","doi":"10.1111/ele.70035","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70035","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Theory suggests that animals make hierarchical, multiscale resource selection decisions to address the hierarchy of factors limiting their fitness. Ecologists have developed tools to link population-level resource selection across scales; yet, theoretical expectations about the relationship between coarse- and fine-scale selection decisions at the individual level remain elusive despite their importance to fitness. With GPS-telemetry data collected across California, USA, we evaluated resource selection of mountain lions (<i>Puma concolor</i>; <i>n</i> = 244) relative to spatial variation in human-caused mortality risk. With hierarchical resource selection, coarse-scale selection determines availability at finer scales. This simple relationship allowed us to demonstrate that functional responses in resource selection explicitly link individual-level resource selection decisions across scales. We show that individuals proactively avoiding risk when selecting home ranges are freed to relax this avoidance when making decisions within home ranges. However, individuals also exhibit reactive avoidance of risk at the finest scales along movement paths.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70035","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Fertility of Aquatic Animals Using a Meta-Analytic Approach","authors":"Amber Chatten, Isobel Grieve, Eirini Meligoniti, Claudia Hayward, Natalie Pilakouta","doi":"10.1111/ele.70054","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70054","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Given that reproductive physiology is highly sensitive to thermal stress, there is increasing concern about the effects of climate change on animal fertility. Even a slight reduction in fertility can have consequences for population growth and survival, so it is critical to better understand and predict the potential effects of climate change on reproductive traits. We synthesised 1894 effect sizes across 276 studies on 241 species to examine thermal effects on fertility in aquatic animals. Our meta-analysis revealed that external fertilisers tend to be more vulnerable to warming than internal fertilisers, especially in freshwater species. We also found that increased temperature is particularly detrimental for gametes and that under certain conditions, female fertility is more sensitive to warming than male fertility, challenging the prevailing view that males are more vulnerable. This work provides valuable new insights into the effects of temperature on fertility, with potential consequences for population viability.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70054","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905203","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Marieke Wesselkamp, Niklas Moser, Maria Kalweit, Joschka Boedecker, Carsten F. Dormann
{"title":"Process-Informed Neural Networks: A Hybrid Modelling Approach to Improve Predictive Performance and Inference of Neural Networks in Ecology and Beyond","authors":"Marieke Wesselkamp, Niklas Moser, Maria Kalweit, Joschka Boedecker, Carsten F. Dormann","doi":"10.1111/ele.70012","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70012","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite deep learning being state of the art for data-driven model predictions, its application in ecology is currently subject to two important constraints: (i) deep-learning methods are powerful in data-rich regimes, but in ecology data are typically sparse; and (ii) deep-learning models are black-box methods and inferring the processes they represent are non-trivial to elicit. Process-based (= mechanistic) models are not constrained by data sparsity or unclear processes and are thus important for building up our ecological knowledge and transfer to applications. In this work, we combine process-based models and neural networks into process-informed neural networks (PINNs), which incorporate the process knowledge directly into the neural network structure. In a systematic evaluation of spatial and temporal prediction tasks for C-fluxes in temperate forests, we show the ability of five different types of PINNs (i) to outperform process-based models and neural networks, especially in data-sparse regimes with high-transfer task and (ii) to inform on mis- or undetected processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70012","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alaia Morell, Yunne-Jai Shin, Nicolas Barrier, Morgane Travers-Trolet, Bruno Ernande
{"title":"Realised Thermal Niches in Marine Ectotherms Are Shaped by Ontogeny and Trophic Interactions","authors":"Alaia Morell, Yunne-Jai Shin, Nicolas Barrier, Morgane Travers-Trolet, Bruno Ernande","doi":"10.1111/ele.70017","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70017","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the response of marine organisms to temperature is crucial for predicting climate change impacts. Fundamental physiological thermal performance curves (TPCs), determined under controlled conditions, are commonly used to project future species spatial distributions or physiological performances. Yet, real-world performances may deviate due to extrinsic factors covarying with temperature (food, oxygen, etc.). Using a bioenergetic marine ecosystem model, we evaluate the differences between fundamental and realised TPCs for fish species with contrasted ecology and thermal preferences. Food limitation is the primary cause of differences, decreasing throughout ontogeny and across trophic levels due to spatio-temporal variability of low-trophic level prey availability with temperature. Deoxygenation has moderate impact, despite increasing during ontogeny. This highlights the lower sensitivity of early life stages to hypoxia, which is mechanistically explained by lower mass-specific ingestion at older stages. Understanding the emergence of realised thermal niches offers crucial insights to better determine population's persistence under climate warming.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70017","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Julian Radford-Smith, Hao Ran Lai, Ella Cathcart-van Weeren, John M. Dwyer
{"title":"A Functional Basis for the Assembly of Australian Subtropical Rainforest Tree Communities","authors":"Julian Radford-Smith, Hao Ran Lai, Ella Cathcart-van Weeren, John M. Dwyer","doi":"10.1111/ele.70014","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70014","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Understanding the role of climate in the assembly of rainforest tree communities is informative for predicting how future climates will impact species and communities. We surveyed rainforest tree communities across the Australian subtropics (spanning 600 to 2500 mm rainfall year<sup>−1</sup>) and measured functional traits on 285 (91%) of all recorded species. We used principal component analysis to create axes approximating species' hydraulic strategies, leaf economics and stature and included these as predictors in joint species distribution models, along with traits describing dispersal ability and leaf phenology. Hydraulic strategy and leaf phenology strongly modulated species' occurrence trends along the moisture availability gradient, while stature and leaf economics modulated species' responses to minimum temperature and soil variables, respectively. Overall, we quantify the occurrence trends of almost half of Australia's subtropical rainforest tree species based on their functional traits, providing a general foundation for prediction under ongoing climate change.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emilie Fleurot, Léa Keurinck, Vincent Boulanger, François Debias, Nicolas Delpierre, Sylvain Delzon, Jean R. Lobry, Camille Mermet-Bouvier, Marie-Claude Bel-Venner, Samuel Venner
{"title":"Reconciling Pollen Limitation Theories: Insights From Temperate Oak Masting","authors":"Emilie Fleurot, Léa Keurinck, Vincent Boulanger, François Debias, Nicolas Delpierre, Sylvain Delzon, Jean R. Lobry, Camille Mermet-Bouvier, Marie-Claude Bel-Venner, Samuel Venner","doi":"10.1111/ele.70009","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70009","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Pollen limitation has a considerable influence on forest masting, the highly variable and synchronised seed production, on which forest regeneration and ecosystem dynamics largely rely. Depending on the various mechanisms possibly involved in pollen limitation, the consequences of climate change on masting could be very different. These mechanisms were investigated in 10 oak populations along a climatic gradient using surveys of airborne pollen and fruiting rate as a proxy of pollen limitation. We found no support for the widely accepted hypothesis of the intra-annual synchrony of flower phenology when considered in isolation. Instead, the fruiting rate was largely explained by a combination of intra-annual flower phenology synchrony, annual investment in flowering and the effects of weather on pollen maturation and diffusion. These findings highlight the need for a cohesive theoretical framework for pollen limitation to accurately predict the impact of climate change on oak-dominated ecosystems.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}