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Process-Informed Neural Networks: A Hybrid Modelling Approach to Improve Predictive Performance and Inference of Neural Networks in Ecology and Beyond
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70012
Marieke Wesselkamp, Niklas Moser, Maria Kalweit, Joschka Boedecker, Carsten F. Dormann
{"title":"Process-Informed Neural Networks: A Hybrid Modelling Approach to Improve Predictive Performance and Inference of Neural Networks in Ecology and Beyond","authors":"Marieke Wesselkamp,&nbsp;Niklas Moser,&nbsp;Maria Kalweit,&nbsp;Joschka Boedecker,&nbsp;Carsten F. Dormann","doi":"10.1111/ele.70012","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70012","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite deep learning being state of the art for data-driven model predictions, its application in ecology is currently subject to two important constraints: (i) deep-learning methods are powerful in data-rich regimes, but in ecology data are typically sparse; and (ii) deep-learning models are black-box methods and inferring the processes they represent are non-trivial to elicit. Process-based (= mechanistic) models are not constrained by data sparsity or unclear processes and are thus important for building up our ecological knowledge and transfer to applications. In this work, we combine process-based models and neural networks into process-informed neural networks (PINNs), which incorporate the process knowledge directly into the neural network structure. In a systematic evaluation of spatial and temporal prediction tasks for C-fluxes in temperate forests, we show the ability of five different types of PINNs (i) to outperform process-based models and neural networks, especially in data-sparse regimes with high-transfer task and (ii) to inform on mis- or undetected processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70012","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Realised Thermal Niches in Marine Ectotherms Are Shaped by Ontogeny and Trophic Interactions
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70017
Alaia Morell, Yunne-Jai Shin, Nicolas Barrier, Morgane Travers-Trolet, Bruno Ernande
{"title":"Realised Thermal Niches in Marine Ectotherms Are Shaped by Ontogeny and Trophic Interactions","authors":"Alaia Morell,&nbsp;Yunne-Jai Shin,&nbsp;Nicolas Barrier,&nbsp;Morgane Travers-Trolet,&nbsp;Bruno Ernande","doi":"10.1111/ele.70017","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70017","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the response of marine organisms to temperature is crucial for predicting climate change impacts. Fundamental physiological thermal performance curves (TPCs), determined under controlled conditions, are commonly used to project future species spatial distributions or physiological performances. Yet, real-world performances may deviate due to extrinsic factors covarying with temperature (food, oxygen, etc.). Using a bioenergetic marine ecosystem model, we evaluate the differences between fundamental and realised TPCs for fish species with contrasted ecology and thermal preferences. Food limitation is the primary cause of differences, decreasing throughout ontogeny and across trophic levels due to spatio-temporal variability of low-trophic level prey availability with temperature. Deoxygenation has moderate impact, despite increasing during ontogeny. This highlights the lower sensitivity of early life stages to hypoxia, which is mechanistically explained by lower mass-specific ingestion at older stages. Understanding the emergence of realised thermal niches offers crucial insights to better determine population's persistence under climate warming.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70017","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reconciling Pollen Limitation Theories: Insights From Temperate Oak Masting
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70009
Emilie Fleurot, Léa Keurinck, Vincent Boulanger, François Debias, Nicolas Delpierre, Sylvain Delzon, Jean R. Lobry, Camille Mermet-Bouvier, Marie-Claude Bel-Venner, Samuel Venner
{"title":"Reconciling Pollen Limitation Theories: Insights From Temperate Oak Masting","authors":"Emilie Fleurot,&nbsp;Léa Keurinck,&nbsp;Vincent Boulanger,&nbsp;François Debias,&nbsp;Nicolas Delpierre,&nbsp;Sylvain Delzon,&nbsp;Jean R. Lobry,&nbsp;Camille Mermet-Bouvier,&nbsp;Marie-Claude Bel-Venner,&nbsp;Samuel Venner","doi":"10.1111/ele.70009","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70009","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Pollen limitation has a considerable influence on forest masting, the highly variable and synchronised seed production, on which forest regeneration and ecosystem dynamics largely rely. Depending on the various mechanisms possibly involved in pollen limitation, the consequences of climate change on masting could be very different. These mechanisms were investigated in 10 oak populations along a climatic gradient using surveys of airborne pollen and fruiting rate as a proxy of pollen limitation. We found no support for the widely accepted hypothesis of the intra-annual synchrony of flower phenology when considered in isolation. Instead, the fruiting rate was largely explained by a combination of intra-annual flower phenology synchrony, annual investment in flowering and the effects of weather on pollen maturation and diffusion. These findings highlight the need for a cohesive theoretical framework for pollen limitation to accurately predict the impact of climate change on oak-dominated ecosystems.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Functional Basis for the Assembly of Australian Subtropical Rainforest Tree Communities
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70014
Julian Radford-Smith, Hao Ran Lai, Ella Cathcart-van Weeren, John M. Dwyer
{"title":"A Functional Basis for the Assembly of Australian Subtropical Rainforest Tree Communities","authors":"Julian Radford-Smith,&nbsp;Hao Ran Lai,&nbsp;Ella Cathcart-van Weeren,&nbsp;John M. Dwyer","doi":"10.1111/ele.70014","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70014","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Understanding the role of climate in the assembly of rainforest tree communities is informative for predicting how future climates will impact species and communities. We surveyed rainforest tree communities across the Australian subtropics (spanning 600 to 2500 mm rainfall year<sup>−1</sup>) and measured functional traits on 285 (91%) of all recorded species. We used principal component analysis to create axes approximating species' hydraulic strategies, leaf economics and stature and included these as predictors in joint species distribution models, along with traits describing dispersal ability and leaf phenology. Hydraulic strategy and leaf phenology strongly modulated species' occurrence trends along the moisture availability gradient, while stature and leaf economics modulated species' responses to minimum temperature and soil variables, respectively. Overall, we quantify the occurrence trends of almost half of Australia's subtropical rainforest tree species based on their functional traits, providing a general foundation for prediction under ongoing climate change.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Coordination Between Bioelements Induce More Stable Macroelements Than Microelements in Wetland Plants
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70025
Zhenjun Zuo, Peter B. Reich, Xiujuan Qiao, Haocun Zhao, Liangjian Zhang, Lei Yang, Tian Lv, Zhiyao Tang, Dan Yu, Zhong Wang
{"title":"Coordination Between Bioelements Induce More Stable Macroelements Than Microelements in Wetland Plants","authors":"Zhenjun Zuo,&nbsp;Peter B. Reich,&nbsp;Xiujuan Qiao,&nbsp;Haocun Zhao,&nbsp;Liangjian Zhang,&nbsp;Lei Yang,&nbsp;Tian Lv,&nbsp;Zhiyao Tang,&nbsp;Dan Yu,&nbsp;Zhong Wang","doi":"10.1111/ele.70025","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70025","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Elements are the basic substances that make up living organisms, and the element composition in plants quantitatively reflect the adaptation of plants to environment. However, the drivers that constitute the species-specific plant elementome, as well as the bivariate bioelemental correlations in determining the stability of different bioelements are yet unclear. Based on 1058 leaf observations of 84 plant species from 232 wetlands across large environmental gradients, we found that bioelements with higher concentration were more stable and evolutionary constrained. We proposed a stability of well-coordinated elements hypothesis, suggesting that bioelements that coordinate well in driving certain physiological functions constrain each other, thus maintaining relatively stable ratios in plants. In contrast, those functionally independent bioelements fluctuate greatly with environmental nutrient availability. Cold and saline stresses decreased plant stoichiometric network connectivity, complexity, and stability. Our research filled the gap in study of wetland plant elementome, and provided new evidences of plant–environment interactions in regions sensitive to climate change.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Robust and Versatile Mating Function for Two-Sex Population Projection Models Fitting all Types of Mating Systems
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70013
Jessica Cachelou, Christophe Coste, Jean-Michel Gaillard, Agathe Chassagneux, Emmanuelle Richard, Eric Baubet, Marlène Gamelon
{"title":"A Robust and Versatile Mating Function for Two-Sex Population Projection Models Fitting all Types of Mating Systems","authors":"Jessica Cachelou,&nbsp;Christophe Coste,&nbsp;Jean-Michel Gaillard,&nbsp;Agathe Chassagneux,&nbsp;Emmanuelle Richard,&nbsp;Eric Baubet,&nbsp;Marlène Gamelon","doi":"10.1111/ele.70013","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70013","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Commonly used two-sex discrete-time population projection models rely on mating functions developed for continuous-time frameworks that overestimate the number of unions between reproductive individuals. This has important consequences for our understanding of the evolution and demography of two-sex populations and consequently for management and conservation. Here, we propose a novel mating function that is robust by obeying all properties necessary to be ecologically valid and flexible by accommodating all mating systems and efficiency in mating encounters. We illustrate the usefulness of this novel function with an application to the sexually size-dimorphic and polygynous wild boar (<i>Sus scrofa</i>). We show that the population growth rate depends on the harem size, the operational sex ratio, and the mating efficiency. This novel function can be applied to all mating systems and tactics and is highly relevant in the context of global changes under which mating systems and mating efficiency are expected to change.</p>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70013","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unveiling Pervasive Soil Microbial P Limitation in Terrestrial Ecosystems Worldwide
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70011
Liang Guo, Chenghui Ju, Xia Xu, Guomo Zhou, Yiqi Luo, Chonghua Xu, Qian Li, Huaqiang Du, Wenfang Liu, Yan Zhou
{"title":"Unveiling Pervasive Soil Microbial P Limitation in Terrestrial Ecosystems Worldwide","authors":"Liang Guo,&nbsp;Chenghui Ju,&nbsp;Xia Xu,&nbsp;Guomo Zhou,&nbsp;Yiqi Luo,&nbsp;Chonghua Xu,&nbsp;Qian Li,&nbsp;Huaqiang Du,&nbsp;Wenfang Liu,&nbsp;Yan Zhou","doi":"10.1111/ele.70011","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70011","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Soil microorganisms are crucial in terrestrial ecosystems, influencing carbon (C) sequestration, yet their metabolic activities are often constrained by nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) availability. Despite this, a global understanding of microbial nutrient limitation remains elusive. We synthesised 1245 observations from 225 articles to elucidate patterns and factors of microbial nutrient limitation. Contrary to convention, soil microbial P limitation is widespread (83.78% of observations), with N limitation mainly in temperate zones and pronounced P limitation in tropical and cold zones. Soil microbial P limitation correlates positively with mean annual precipitation and clay content, while N limitation correlates negatively with soil pH. Importantly, microbial nutrient limitation directly affects C cycling, as microbial C limitation increases with decreasing N or P limitation. This underscores the significance of microbial nutrient limitation in terrestrial C cycling and the need to incorporate it into Earth system models for accurate predictions under changing conditions.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ele.70011","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Avian Dispersal Ability Shapes Species–Area Relationships on Islands Worldwide
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70020
J. W. Baldwin, Jonathan A. Myers
{"title":"Avian Dispersal Ability Shapes Species–Area Relationships on Islands Worldwide","authors":"J. W. Baldwin,&nbsp;Jonathan A. Myers","doi":"10.1111/ele.70020","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70020","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Island biogeography theory provides key insights into biodiversity patterns across islands species–area relationships and conservation. However, classical island biogeography theory assumes that species are ecologically equivalent in terms of their dispersal ability. We evaluated the role of a key trait (hand-wing index, a proxy for dispersal ability in birds) in shaping species-area relationships of avifauna spanning 6706 species on 3894 islands. High community-weighted mean (CWM) dispersal ability in regional species pools had widespread but context-dependent effects on island species-area relationships. Among island archipelagos at smaller spatial extents, high CWM dispersal ability was associated with steeper species-area relationships. Among zoogeographical realms at larger spatial extents high CWM dispersal ability was associated with shallower species-area relationships and higher local species richness on small islands. Our study reveals that geographic variation in species' dispersal traits has strong effects on island species-area relationships and likely plays an important role in non-neutral community assembly.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shifts in Plant Phenology Significantly Affect the Carbon Allocation in Different Plant Organs
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70024
Peixin Ren, Peng Li, Xiaolu Zhou, Zelin Liu, Jiayi Tang, Cicheng Zhang, Ziying Zou, Tong Li, Changhui Peng
{"title":"Shifts in Plant Phenology Significantly Affect the Carbon Allocation in Different Plant Organs","authors":"Peixin Ren,&nbsp;Peng Li,&nbsp;Xiaolu Zhou,&nbsp;Zelin Liu,&nbsp;Jiayi Tang,&nbsp;Cicheng Zhang,&nbsp;Ziying Zou,&nbsp;Tong Li,&nbsp;Changhui Peng","doi":"10.1111/ele.70024","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70024","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Earlier start of the growing season (SGS) and delayed end of the growing season (EGS) affect plant carbon uptake. However, the effects of phenological changes on carbon allocation to different plant organs remain unclear. Here, we examined the effects and potential mechanisms of phenological changes on carbon allocation to different organs over the northern hemisphere (&gt; 30° N). We found the earlier SGS facilitated allocating carbon to roots in warm areas, and delayed EGS benefited allocating carbon to roots in dry areas. Moreover, the effects of SGS and EGS on carbon accumulation in different organs significantly enhanced over time. Path analyses indicated that phenological changes contributed to root–stem ratio mainly by regulating the growing season length. Our findings further highlight that phenological changes alter plants' investment strategies in carbon allocation for above- and below-ground parts, and considering this role is critical for accurately estimating the carbon budget in terrestrial ecosystems.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Eco-Evolutionary Interactions With Multiple Evolving Species Reveal Both Antagonistic and Additive Effects
IF 7.6 1区 环境科学与生态学
Ecology Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ele.70006
Héléne Vanvelk, Lynn Govaert, Edwin M. van den Berg, Luc De Meester
{"title":"Eco-Evolutionary Interactions With Multiple Evolving Species Reveal Both Antagonistic and Additive Effects","authors":"Héléne Vanvelk,&nbsp;Lynn Govaert,&nbsp;Edwin M. van den Berg,&nbsp;Luc De Meester","doi":"10.1111/ele.70006","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ele.70006","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Most eco-evolutionary research focuses on ecological effects of single-species evolution. We, therefore, know little of eco-evolutionary dynamics when multiple species evolve simultaneously. We quantified evolution-mediated ecological effects in communities equivalent in genetic diversity and starting biomass, but different in selection background (heatwave exposure) of one or all four zooplankton species (three <i>Daphnia</i> and one <i>Scapholeberis</i> species). We observed transient eco-evolutionary effects that differed depending on which species in the community had evolved. Evolution did not always lead to higher abundances of the evolved species. Indirect effects on species abundances caused by evolution of another species could be as strong as direct effects mediated by its own evolution. The cumulative effect of evolution in multiple species was antagonistic for community composition and grazing pressure but additive for community-wide biomass. Our results imply that focusing on single species' evolutionary effects on ecology may lead to unreliable predictions when multiple species evolve simultaneously.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":161,"journal":{"name":"Ecology Letters","volume":"27 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760617","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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