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Digital data demand and renewable energy limits: Forecasting the impacts on global electricity supply and sustainability 数字数据需求与可再生能源限制:预测对全球电力供应和可持续性的影响
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114404
Vitor Castro , Marios Georgiou , Thomas Jackson , Ian R. Hodgkinson , Lisa Jackson , Steve Lockwood
{"title":"Digital data demand and renewable energy limits: Forecasting the impacts on global electricity supply and sustainability","authors":"Vitor Castro ,&nbsp;Marios Georgiou ,&nbsp;Thomas Jackson ,&nbsp;Ian R. Hodgkinson ,&nbsp;Lisa Jackson ,&nbsp;Steve Lockwood","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114404","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114404","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study critically evaluates whether the current and projected generation of renewable energy can meet the escalating global demand for electricity from digital data growth. Our modelling forecasts reveal a concerning trend: despite the expansion in renewable energy capacities, they are likely insufficient to satisfy the burgeoning electricity needs of the digital data sector. More alarmingly, there is a real risk that the demand for digital data could soon exceed feasible electricity production capabilities. This paper underscores the urgent necessity for a data-centric sustainability approach across all supply chains, sectors, industries, and nations. Such measures are crucial to increase efficiency, cut energy usage, and transition towards a decarbonized digital ecosystem, thereby supporting the global pursuit of a sustainable, net-zero future. This research highlights a critical junction in energy policy and digital infrastructure planning, urging immediate action to reconcile digital advancement with ecological sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114404"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142554638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Promoting low-carbon energy transition through green finance: New evidence from a demand-supply perspective 通过绿色金融促进低碳能源转型:从供需角度看新证据
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114376
Yajun Wang , Zheng Yuan , Hanyu Luo , Hui Zeng , Junbing Huang , Yulin Li
{"title":"Promoting low-carbon energy transition through green finance: New evidence from a demand-supply perspective","authors":"Yajun Wang ,&nbsp;Zheng Yuan ,&nbsp;Hanyu Luo ,&nbsp;Hui Zeng ,&nbsp;Junbing Huang ,&nbsp;Yulin Li","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114376","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114376","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For China, achieving the “dual carbon” goals depends greatly on transitioning to low-carbon energy. Green finance has been pivotal in accelerating this transition by supporting environmentally sustainable projects. However, its hidden role in promoting energy transition has received little attention. This study examines data from 30 provincial regions in China between 2000 and 2018 to explore this relationship. Our findings reveal that continuous improvements in green finance significantly contribute to a low-carbon energy transition, primarily through enhancing finance efficiency rather than merely increasing scale. This effect is closely related to the size of the energy industry and its allocative efficiency. Furthermore, mechanisms, such as developing energy substitution technology, expanding energy supply capacity, raising environmental awareness, and optimizing economic structures are crucial for promoting low-carbon energy transitions. These results are beneficial for governments implementing targeted policies to promote low-carbon energy transitions by developing green finance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114376"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142554667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trying to find a balance: Energy excise duties in the context of climate targets, energy shocks, and redistributive goals 努力寻求平衡:气候目标、能源冲击和再分配目标背景下的能源消费税
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114406
Federica Lanterna
{"title":"Trying to find a balance: Energy excise duties in the context of climate targets, energy shocks, and redistributive goals","authors":"Federica Lanterna","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114406","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114406","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the implementation of an environmental tax reform in Italy, focusing on changes in excise duties on petrol, diesel and electricity. The reform is in line with the revised European Energy Tax Directive and aims to support European climate objectives. The main motivation of this research is to show how the additional revenues generated by the environmental reform can be used to mitigate its regressive impact on low-income households through cash transfers. The analysis uses a microsimulation model based on data from the Household Budget Survey. The environmental reform combined with the cash transfer is implemented for 2019 and 2022, this latter being a year significantly affected by the energy crisis. The results confirm the inherent regressivity of the environmental tax reform when considered in isolation, but they also reveal significant positive redistributive effects achieved by paying monetary transfers to households in the lowest three income deciles. In this case, the reform enhances redistributive outcomes that remain effective even when the structure of the transfers is modified. The paper also highlights the limited redistributive impact of the 2022 excise tax cuts on fuel, which aimed to address the regressive effects of the energy shock. Again, a targeted cash transfer would have been more effective for low-income households.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114406"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142554637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of cropland spatial shift on carbon footprint of agricultural inputs for grain production in China, 1990–2018 1990-2018年耕地空间转移对中国粮食生产农业投入碳足迹的影响
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114402
Zhenyu Huang , Ziyan Yan , Minghong Tan , Xiaofan Xu , Xue Yang
{"title":"Impact of cropland spatial shift on carbon footprint of agricultural inputs for grain production in China, 1990–2018","authors":"Zhenyu Huang ,&nbsp;Ziyan Yan ,&nbsp;Minghong Tan ,&nbsp;Xiaofan Xu ,&nbsp;Xue Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114402","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114402","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cropland spatial shifts are occurring globally, potentially influencing anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of agricultural inputs for grain production at different spatial scales. The extent of this impact and its regional variations are key questions. Taking China as the study area, we quantified the impacts of cropland spatial shifts on carbon footprints of agricultural inputs (CFAI) for grain production in China by integrating multi-source data during 1990–2018. Results revealed that cropland centroid in China moved 83 km northwestward from 1990 to 2018, resulting in a 2% increase in CFAI per unit cropland area at the national level. By region, the Northwestern arid region contributed the most to the increase in CFAI, about 9.2 Mt carbon dioxide equivalent (CO<sub>2</sub>-eq), due to the dramatic cropland expansion and highest CFAI per unit cropland area. This study reveals the importance of considering the increase in CFAI resulted from cropland expansion when formulating land use planning and cropland protection policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114402"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nudging households to save electricity with feedback: Experimental evidence from Vietnam 通过反馈促使家庭节约用电:越南的实验证据
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114378
Nhu Ngoc Nguyen , Daisaku Goto , Duc Tran , Ha Thu Vu
{"title":"Nudging households to save electricity with feedback: Experimental evidence from Vietnam","authors":"Nhu Ngoc Nguyen ,&nbsp;Daisaku Goto ,&nbsp;Duc Tran ,&nbsp;Ha Thu Vu","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114378","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114378","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Information feedback based on the real-time records of smart meters has shown the potential to nudge residential electricity conservation in developed countries. However, evidence on this topic in developing countries is scarce and limited in scale. This paper provides new experimental evidence regarding how information feedback affects household electricity consumption in Vietnam, a developing country in Southeast Asia. By conducting a randomized controlled trial involving 1,028 households in Da Nang city, we show that three types of feedback – self-comparison, social comparison, and goal setting – can help households reduce their daily electricity consumption 4.1–6.7%. We explore the heterogeneous effects and find that social comparison exhibits discernible heterogeneity depending on the day of the week. Social comparison is also effective for both low and high quantiles of electricity consumers, whereas self-comparison and goal setting are effective mainly for the latter. We discuss the implications of our empirical findings for policies related to using feedback to nudge household electricity conservation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114378"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Economic specialization, infrastructure, and rural electric vehicle adoption 经济专业化、基础设施和农村电动汽车的采用
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114380
Justin B. Winikoff
{"title":"Economic specialization, infrastructure, and rural electric vehicle adoption","authors":"Justin B. Winikoff","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114380","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114380","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I demonstrate that a region’s economic specialization is a critical determinant of electric vehicle (EV) charging station access, particularly in rural areas. Specifically, recreation-dependent economies have more public charging stations. In a national analysis, I show U.S. recreation counties are 21 percent more likely to have a public station and nonmetropolitan recreation counties are 27 percent more likely. In California, I demonstrate this relationship spills into the EV market: those within zip codes with ten percent higher recreation employment share purchase 2.3 more EVs as a result of improved charging infrastructure. The upshot is that communities that are not recreation dependent experience less charging investment, limiting EV adoption and making decarbonization goals more difficult in regions where people drive more and in more polluting vehicles. The results highlight how an uneven charging network can lead to uneven EV adoption, risking that many of the poorest communities may miss out on long-term benefits from electric vehicles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114380"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Low carbon footprint - A consequence of free will or of poverty? The impact of sufficiency orientation and deprivation on individual carbon footprints 低碳足迹--是自由意志还是贫困的结果?自给自足导向和贫困对个人碳足迹的影响
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114367
Abigail Alexander-Haw , Joachim Schleich
{"title":"Low carbon footprint - A consequence of free will or of poverty? The impact of sufficiency orientation and deprivation on individual carbon footprints","authors":"Abigail Alexander-Haw ,&nbsp;Joachim Schleich","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114367","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114367","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Private households account for at least 60% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, gaining a better understanding of the drivers behind carbon footprints is highly relevant. Traditionally, carbon footprint levels and material prosperity have been viewed as closely intertwined, with a low carbon footprint even seen as an indication of deprivation. However, a low carbon footprint can also arise from a sufficiency-oriented lifestyle. In our study, based on a 2022 demographically representative survey of the adult population in Germany, we estimate linear and multinomial regression models to investigate the influence of individuals' sufficiency orientation and deprivation on carbon footprints. We examine both the aggregated carbon footprint and its breakdown into specific activities, including space and water heating, electricity consumption, transport, and food. We find that having a higher sufficiency orientation is associated with a lower individual's aggregated carbon footprint and a lower carbon footprint of each specific activity, except space and water heating, ceteris paribus. In contrast, we only find evidence that deprivation negatively correlates with the carbon footprint related to transport. These results are valid across various robustness tests, and provide valuable insights for policy-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114367"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: Another case of “resource curse”? 应对 COVID-19 大流行的政策:另一种 "资源诅咒"?
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114374
Stella Tsani , Wee Chian Koh
{"title":"Policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: Another case of “resource curse”?","authors":"Stella Tsani ,&nbsp;Wee Chian Koh","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114374","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114374","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the COVID-19 policy responses with focus on resource abundance and the role of policy tools, like oil-based Sovereign Wealth Funds, employed in resource-rich countries to support fiscal responses to the pandemic. Panel data on a sample of 217 countries for the period 2019–2020 are used. Quantile regression analysis is employed to obtain a nuanced understanding of the identified relationships which goes beyond mean links. Empirical results show that resource-rich countries, and hydrocarbon rich-countries in particular, record smaller fiscal responses to the pandemic as compared to resource-poor countries. This holds true even for countries that operate Sovereign Wealth Funds. Results are consistent under different model specifications, policy response measures (fiscal, on-budget), resource-abundance variables, whole- and sub-sample, at the mean and different quantile levels. The findings confirm another case of the “resource curse” manifested through weaker fiscal stimulus in resource-rich countries as compared to resource-poor countries. This calls for policy considerations in resource-rich countries to better prepare against future shocks and to carefully consider in this process the role of explicit policy tools they may employ.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114374"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Environmental regulations or environmental-related technology to overcome energy security risk? Empirical analysis for top manufacturing countries 克服能源安全风险的环境法规或环境相关技术?顶级制造业国家的经验分析
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114397
Naveed Aslam, Wanping Yang, Rabia Saeed
{"title":"Environmental regulations or environmental-related technology to overcome energy security risk? Empirical analysis for top manufacturing countries","authors":"Naveed Aslam,&nbsp;Wanping Yang,&nbsp;Rabia Saeed","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114397","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114397","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research analyzes the trade-off between environmental regulations and environment-related technology as a solution to overcome energy security risks in 23 top manufacturing countries for the period 1995 to 2018. This is the first study examining the effects of environmental regulations and environment-related technology on energy security risk. According to the results from a Panel quantile regression (PQL) and feasible generalized least squares (FGLS), environmental regulation is an optimum solution to overcome energy security risk in selected countries while environment-related technology at a certain level can be used to decrease energy-related risk. Moreover, the interactive effects of environmental regulations and environmental technology can be highly influential in limiting energy-related risks. Furthermore, the export sector increases risk while manufacturing imports and GDP growth decrease energy-related risks. This study recommends formulating and implementing environmental regulations in controlling energy security risks. This study further recommends reducing exports and increasing manufacturing imports to overcome domestic energy consumption from production units to overcome energy-related risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114397"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142537276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of carbon tax on green building development: An evolutionary game analysis 碳税对绿色建筑发展的影响:进化博弈分析
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114401
Yu Zhao, Gege Gao, Jixiang Zhang, Miao Yu
{"title":"Impact of carbon tax on green building development: An evolutionary game analysis","authors":"Yu Zhao,&nbsp;Gege Gao,&nbsp;Jixiang Zhang,&nbsp;Miao Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114401","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114401","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The green building supply side is pivotal for curbing carbon emissions in the construction industry and fostering green building development. This study, focusing on carbon tax, explores how different carbon tax policies influence stakeholder engagement in low-carbon development of green buildings. Using a tripartite evolutionary game model involving the government, suppliers, and developers, we analyze stakeholder behavior under varying carbon tax policies. A sensitivity analysis was conducted on the factors affecting the stability of the evolutionary system. The results indicate that the absence of government-implemented carbon tax policies hinders effective carbon emission reduction in the construction sector. Conversely, the implementation of carbon tax policies positively influences emission reductions, though their impact varies. Policy suggestions based on the findings include: 1. Gradually elevate carbon tax rates and expand their industry coverage to motivate high-emission entities towards transformation. 2. Enhance public participation through subsidies, tax incentives, low-interest loans, and green financial tools. 3. Use penalties to drive corporate green transformation. 4. Phase out subsidies gradually to create a market-driven positive feedback loop. 5. Maintain education and awareness campaigns to foster sustainable public behavior.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114401"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527834","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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