Communications Earth & Environment最新文献_第2页

Seasonal regimes of warm Circumpolar Deep Water intrusion toward Antarctic ice shelves.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02091-w

Joshua Lanham, Matthew Mazloff, Alberto C Naveira Garabato, Martin Siegert, Ali Mashayek

引用次数: 0

Poor air quality raises mortality in honey bees, a concern for all pollinators.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x

Nico Coallier, Liliana Perez, Maxime Fraser Franco, Yenny Cuellar, Julien Vadnais

{"title":"Poor air quality raises mortality in honey bees, a concern for all pollinators.","authors":"Nico Coallier, Liliana Perez, Maxime Fraser Franco, Yenny Cuellar, Julien Vadnais","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x","url":null,"abstract":"Human well-being relies on the presence and role of pollinators, as they contribute to the vitality of ecosystems, support the reproduction of wild plants, increase crop yields, and strengthen overall food security. While wild bee populations are dwindling due to climate and environmental change, there has been a notable 45% rise globally in the number of managed honey bee (Apis mellifera) colonies over the past five decades. Given their economic significance and their relative ease of tracking, honey bees have the potential to serve as bioindicators of global pollinator health. Consequently, honey bees have emerged as a keystone species requiring protection and conservation efforts. Here, we investigate the intricate relationship between air quality, environmental factors, and honey bee mortality across Canada and the United States. Using statistical and machine learning modeling, our findings underscore the honey bee's role as a bioindicator. We found that air quality is an important predictor of honey bee mortality. The risk of honey bee mortality increased with poor air quality (ozone and Air Quality Health Index) but was substantially reduced in regions with greater vegetation availability (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). Therefore, our study offers a beacon of hope: improving management practices by increasing greenery can significantly mitigate the impact of deteriorating air quality on honey bees, providing a vital solution to safeguard our essential pollinators.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"126"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11845317/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143482411","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An interpretable machine learning model for seasonal precipitation forecasting.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2

Enzo Pinheiro, Taha B M J Ouarda

{"title":"An interpretable machine learning model for seasonal precipitation forecasting.","authors":"Enzo Pinheiro, Taha B M J Ouarda","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2","url":null,"abstract":"Seasonal climate forecasting is important for societal welfare, as it supports decision-makers in taking proactive steps to mitigate risks from adverse climate conditions or to take advantage of favorable ones. Here, we introduce TelNet, a sequence-to-sequence machine learning model for short-to-medium lead seasonal precipitation forecasting. The model takes past seasonal precipitation values and climate indices to predict an empirical precipitation distribution for every grid point of the target region for the next six overlapping seasons. TelNet has a simple encoder-decoder-head architecture, allowing the model to be trained with a limited amount of data, as is often the case in climate forecasting. Its deterministic and probabilistic performance is thoroughly evaluated and compared with state-of-the-art dynamical and deep learning models in a prominent region for seasonal forecasting studies due to its high climate predictability. The training, validation, and test sets are resampled multiple times to estimate the uncertainty associated with a small dataset. The results show that TelNet ranks among the most accurate and calibrated models across multiple initialization months and lead times, especially during the rainy season when the predictable signal is strongest. Moreover, the model allows instance- and lead-wise forecast interpretation through its variable selection weights.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"222"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11928313/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143691156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO₂ uptake in Earth system models.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1

Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K Arora, Chris D Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K Liddicoat, Alexander J Winkler, Sönke Zaehle

{"title":"Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO2 uptake in Earth system models.","authors":"Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K Arora, Chris D Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K Liddicoat, Alexander J Winkler, Sönke Zaehle","doi":"10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1","url":null,"abstract":"Current frameworks for evaluating biogeochemical climate change feedbacks in Earth System Models lack an explicit consideration of nitrogen cycling in the land and ocean spheres despite its vital role in limiting primary productivity. As coupled carbon-nitrogen cycling becomes the norm, a better understanding of the role of nitrogen cycling is needed. Here we develop a new framework for quantifying carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in Earth System Models and show that rising nitrogen deposition acts as a negative feedback over both land and ocean, enhancing carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilisation in a model ensemble. However, increased CO2 uptake due to rising nitrogen deposition is small relative to the large reduction in CO2 uptake when coupled carbon-nitrogen cycling is implemented in Earth System Models. Altogether, rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO2 uptake but also enhances nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions over land and ocean, contributing only marginally to mitigating climate change.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"216"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11922751/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143691176","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Global decline in net primary production underestimated by climate models.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02051-4

Thomas J Ryan-Keogh, Alessandro Tagliabue, Sandy J Thomalla

引用次数: 0

Sustainable palm oil certification inadvertently affects production efficiency in Malaysia.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02150-2

Nina Zachlod, Michael Hudecheck, Charlotta Sirén, Gerard George

引用次数: 0

Integrated fire management as an adaptation and mitigation strategy to altered fire regimes.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-15 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02165-9

I Oliveras Menor, N Prat-Guitart, G L Spadoni, A Hsu, P M Fernandes, R Puig-Gironès, D Ascoli, B A Bilbao, V Bacciu, L Brotons, R Carmenta, S de-Miguel, L G Gonçalves, G Humphrey, V Ibarnegaray, M W Jones, M S Machado, A Millán, R de Morais Falleiro, F Mouillot, C Pinto, P Pons, A Regos, M Senra de Oliveira, S P Harrison, D Armenteras Pascual

{"title":"Integrated fire management as an adaptation and mitigation strategy to altered fire regimes.","authors":"I Oliveras Menor, N Prat-Guitart, G L Spadoni, A Hsu, P M Fernandes, R Puig-Gironès, D Ascoli, B A Bilbao, V Bacciu, L Brotons, R Carmenta, S de-Miguel, L G Gonçalves, G Humphrey, V Ibarnegaray, M W Jones, M S Machado, A Millán, R de Morais Falleiro, F Mouillot, C Pinto, P Pons, A Regos, M Senra de Oliveira, S P Harrison, D Armenteras Pascual","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02165-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02165-9","url":null,"abstract":"Altered fire regimes are a global challenge, increasingly exacerbated by climate change, which modifies fire weather and prolongs fire seasons. These changing conditions heighten the vulnerability of ecosystems and human populations to the impacts of wildfires on the environment, society, and the economy. The rapid pace of these changes exposes significant gaps in knowledge, tools, technology, and governance structures needed to adopt informed, holistic approaches to fire management that address both current and future challenges. Integrated Fire Management is an approach that combines fire prevention, response, and recovery while integrating ecological, socio-economic, and cultural factors into management strategies. However, Integrated Fire Management remains highly context-dependent, encompassing a wide array of fire management practices with varying degrees of ecological and societal integration. This review explores Integrated Fire Management as both an adaptation and mitigation strategy for altered fire regimes. It provides an overview of the progress and challenges associated with implementing Integrated Fire Management across different regions worldwide. The review also proposes five core objectives and outlines a roadmap of incremental steps for advancing Integrated Fire Management as a strategy to adapt to ongoing and future changes in fire regimes, thereby maximizing its potential to benefit both people and nature.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"202"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11910340/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143647580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The active layer soils of Greenlandic permafrost areas can function as important sinks for volatile organic compounds.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02007-8

Yi Jiao, Magnus Kramshøj, Cleo L Davie-Martin, Bo Elberling, Riikka Rinnan

{"title":"The active layer soils of Greenlandic permafrost areas can function as important sinks for volatile organic compounds.","authors":"Yi Jiao, Magnus Kramshøj, Cleo L Davie-Martin, Bo Elberling, Riikka Rinnan","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02007-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02007-8","url":null,"abstract":"Permafrost is a considerable carbon reservoir harboring up to 1700 petagrams of carbon accumulated over millennia, which can be mobilized as permafrost thaws under global warming. Recent studies have highlighted that a fraction of this carbon can be transformed to atmospheric volatile organic compounds, which can affect the atmospheric oxidizing capacity and contribute to the formation of secondary organic aerosols. In this study, active layer soils from the seasonally unfrozen layer above the permafrost were collected from two distinct locations of the Greenlandic permafrost and incubated to explore their roles in the soil-atmosphere exchange of volatile organic compounds. Results show that these soils can actively function as sinks of these compounds, despite their different physiochemical properties. Upper active layer possessed relatively higher uptake capacities; factors including soil moisture, organic matter, and microbial biomass carbon were identified as the main factors correlating with the uptake rates. Additionally, uptake coefficients for several compounds were calculated for their potential use in future model development. Correlation analysis and the varying coefficients indicate that the sink was likely biotic. The development of a deeper active layer under climate change may enhance the sink capacity and reduce the net emissions of volatile organic compounds from permafrost thaw.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"32"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11748482/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143022521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Solid-state ³¹P NMR reveals the biological organophosphorus compounds as the dominant phosphorus species in Saharan dust aerosols.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02164-w

Kalliopi Violaki, Christos Panagiotopoulos, Claudia Esther Avalos, Pierre Rossi, Ernest Abboud, Maria Kanakidou, Athanasios Nenes

{"title":"Solid-state 31P NMR reveals the biological organophosphorus compounds as the dominant phosphorus species in Saharan dust aerosols.","authors":"Kalliopi Violaki, Christos Panagiotopoulos, Claudia Esther Avalos, Pierre Rossi, Ernest Abboud, Maria Kanakidou, Athanasios Nenes","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02164-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02164-w","url":null,"abstract":"Phosphorus is a critical nutrient affecting primary productivity across all ecosystems. Many regions worldwide are limited or co-limited by phosphorus availability, which can be alleviated through atmospheric deposition. Dust is known to be a key external source of phosphorus in ecosystems, assumed to be in the form of various insoluble inorganic minerals. We show that this view is largely incomplete and here we present conclusive evidence, that organic phosphorus as diesters, primarily associated with biological materials. Phosphate diesters significantly correlated with soil bacteria found in dust, implying a direct link with microbial soil communities, without excluding the eukaryotic cells. Phosphate diesters in dust, along with abundant alkaline phosphatase, may contribute 70% to daily primary productivity in the eastern Mediterranean, highlighting the potential of organic phosphorus substrates present in dust as airborne microorganisms to impact the biogeochemistry of oligotrophic environments via atmospheric deposition.","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"225"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11929610/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143699869","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Russian forests show strong potential for young forest growth.

IF 8.1 1区地球科学

Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02006-9

Christopher S R Neigh, Paul M Montesano, Joseph O Sexton, Margaret Wooten, William Wagner, Min Feng, Nuno Carvalhais, Leonardo Calle, Mark L Carroll

引用次数: 0