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A stackelberg-game model in a two-stage supply chain 两阶段供应链中的stackelberg博弈模型
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.029
Yanhong Qin
{"title":"A stackelberg-game model in a two-stage supply chain","authors":"Yanhong Qin","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.029","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.029","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We set a stackelberg-game model of full postponement strategy in a two-stage supply chain made up of one manufacture and one distributor in the first place. We study the impact of decision variables, i.e. customization service price and promised customization time of distributor, final customized product price and promised delivery time of manufacture on the profit of manufacturer and distributor for industrial engineering.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 268-274"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.029","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90692266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
Exploratory Research on the System of China Relief Reserve 中国救济储备制度的探索性研究
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-06-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.016
Tao Chen , Jun Huang
{"title":"Exploratory Research on the System of China Relief Reserve","authors":"Tao Chen ,&nbsp;Jun Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To meet the relief demands caused by frequent natural disasters and unusual emergencies, the government should utilize the power of society fully and establish a complete system of emergency relief reserves. Thus, this is a complicated task of system engineering. In this paper, we build the system of China relief reserve at first. On this basis, the application of various methods of emergency relief reserve is analyzed through bargaining model in game theory. We conclude that the emergency supplies reserve strategy in the form of ex-ante government and enterprise co-reserve is superior to the strategy in the form of ex-post emergency procurement and emergency production with fund limitation and high social cost. The comparison embodies in three aspects including quantity requirements, quality requirements and structural requirements.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 99-106"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.016","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88391391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
The Comparative Analysis of Economic Forecasting Model on China's Logistics Engineering Industry 中国物流工程行业经济预测模型的比较分析
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-06-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.057
Liu Cuicui , Yun Jun
{"title":"The Comparative Analysis of Economic Forecasting Model on China's Logistics Engineering Industry","authors":"Liu Cuicui ,&nbsp;Yun Jun","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As producer services, the world economic situation determines the performance of the global logistics industry, meanwhile logistics engineering has become a new impetus to economic development. Therefore, the analysis of economic forecasts, which is about total output value of China's logistics engineering, has some practical significance for some countries’ logistics engineering research and financial budget. It is that five models are used to predict China's logistics total output value. The first is linear analysis based on China's GDP between 1978 and 2006. Next, four time-series models constructed using the same time range. Predictions of the logistics total output value from each of the 5 models are compared using actual data from years 2007-2009.The Holt-Winters non-seasonal model gives the least error between actual value and predicted values. Using this model, we predict the total logistics values for years 2010-2015. Finally, using a combination of the qualitative analyses, the Holt-Winters model is modified to be more accurate and more valuable in logistics engineering financial forecast.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 366-371"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.057","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81511357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
on Reallocation of Failed Project Resource Based on Priority 基于优先级的失败项目资源再分配研究
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.084
Ye Jianmu, You Shenbao, Zhang Jing
{"title":"on Reallocation of Failed Project Resource Based on Priority","authors":"Ye Jianmu,&nbsp;You Shenbao,&nbsp;Zhang Jing","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.084","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.084","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Failed projects exist objectively and massively, and their real existence and potential values of their resources require for re-allocation. Nowadays more than 90% of the projects exist in the multi-project environment, and re-allocation of failed project resources is referred to the sort-order problem. Based on the theory of Earned Value, the article integrates three indexes: schedule, cost and quality through the introduction of Benefit/Penalty function and utilized function value to measure the implementation status of the project. According to the special nature of failed project resources, “relevance” factor needs to be put into consideration. In the end, case analysis shows the method can work out sort problems of re-allocation effectively.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"4 ","pages":"Pages 338-344"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.084","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72808313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Simulation System Engineering for Train Operation Based on Cellular Automaton 基于元胞自动机的列车运行仿真系统工程
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.002
SU Hongsheng, CAI Jing, HUANG Shiming
{"title":"Simulation System Engineering for Train Operation Based on Cellular Automaton","authors":"SU Hongsheng,&nbsp;CAI Jing,&nbsp;HUANG Shiming","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In order to simulate operating characteristics of trains better in different block conditions, three kinds of models are proposed on the train motion under different signaling systems based on cellular automaton(CA) model in this paper, i.e., the train motion behavior under the fixed block, the moving-like block and the moving block conditions. Using the proposed engineering models, we analyze trajectories and space-time diagrams of railway traffic flow, calculate and compare the minimum departure interval under different conditions, and discuss the effect of the proportion and the departure sequence of different trains on mixed traffic flow. The simulation results show that the minimum headway time and the run time of moving block system are shortest, and with the low proportion of slow trains and suitable departure sequence the average run time of trains will be shorten greatly. It corresponds with dynamic characteristics of actual train flow and demonstrates that this system engineering is effective to simulate train movement, and can provide reference for organizations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 13-21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80360622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Applying the Grey Forecasting Model to the Energy Supply Management Engineering 灰色预测模型在能源供应管理工程中的应用
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-06-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.029
Zhiqiang Chen, Xiaojia Wang
{"title":"Applying the Grey Forecasting Model to the Energy Supply Management Engineering","authors":"Zhiqiang Chen,&nbsp;Xiaojia Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.029","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.029","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The demand for energy supply has been increasing dramatically in recent years in the global. In addition, owing to the uncertain economic structure of the county, energy has a chaotic and nonlinear trend. In this paper, An improved grey G(1,1) prediction model is proposed to the energy management engineering. It is one approach that can be used to construct a model with limited samples to provide better forecasting advantage for long-term problems. The forecasting performance of the improved GM(1,1) model has been confirmed using the China's energy database. And the results, compared with those from artificial neural network (ANN) and times series. According to the experimental results, our proposed new method obviously can improve the prediction accuracy of the original grey model.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 179-184"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.029","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74453383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
Estimation of Crop Yield Distribution: Implication for Crop Engineering Risk 作物产量分布的估计:对作物工程风险的启示
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.018
Wang Xiang , Li Yunxian , Qian Zhenwei , Shen Zeliang
{"title":"Estimation of Crop Yield Distribution: Implication for Crop Engineering Risk","authors":"Wang Xiang ,&nbsp;Li Yunxian ,&nbsp;Qian Zhenwei ,&nbsp;Shen Zeliang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.018","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.018","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we use parametric and nonparametric density estimation procedures to evaluate crop yield distributions in Yunnan province. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) is used to select a proper crop yield distribution. Maximum likelihood methods are explored to obtain reliable estimates. Furthermore, we propose a standard measure of crop engineering risk that is based on the expected loss of crop yield. Four major crops in Yunnan province based on pooled data over the period 1952-2009 are studied, and crop risks are analyzed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 132-138"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74455600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
User Knowledge Acquisition in Automobile Engineering Styling Design 汽车工程造型设计中的用户知识获取
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.019
Xiang Yao, Hong-yan Hu, Jia Li
{"title":"User Knowledge Acquisition in Automobile Engineering Styling Design","authors":"Xiang Yao,&nbsp;Hong-yan Hu,&nbsp;Jia Li","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.019","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.019","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper analyzed the main characteristics and role of qualitative and quantitative research in user research. Take Automobile Engineering design for example, probed how to get accurate description words of car styling image, using factor analysis, cluster analysis and other statistical methods, and verified the application methods and value of quantitative research applied in user knowledge acquisition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 139-145"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.019","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77441791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
The Geometric Portfolio Optimization with Semivariance in Financial Engineering 金融工程中具有半方差的几何投资组合优化
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.10.034
Maojun Zhang , Jiangxia Nan , Gonglin Yuan
{"title":"The Geometric Portfolio Optimization with Semivariance in Financial Engineering","authors":"Maojun Zhang ,&nbsp;Jiangxia Nan ,&nbsp;Gonglin Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.10.034","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.10.034","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we consider a portfolio optimization problem on maximizing the geometric mean return subject to the lower semivariance as a risk measure in the financial engineering. Its optimal condition and the solving method via the Monte Carlo simulation are given, and a numerical experiment is presented in order to show that the method is efficient.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 217-221"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.10.034","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83330495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
on reasons of uncontrollable construction cost based on the ABC analysis method and the complete decomposition model 基于ABC分析法和完全分解模型研究了工程造价不可控的原因
Systems Engineering Procedia Pub Date : 2012-01-01 Epub Date: 2012-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.087
Fang Li , Gao Xianyi , Ma Xin
{"title":"on reasons of uncontrollable construction cost based on the ABC analysis method and the complete decomposition model","authors":"Fang Li ,&nbsp;Gao Xianyi ,&nbsp;Ma Xin","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.087","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.087","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In view of the previous studies on uncontrollable construction cost, which mostly were based on the practical experiences and subjective speculating, the conclusions were empirical and lack of data support. In order to solve this problem, the quantitative analysis methods are introduced here. The application of ABC analysis method can distinguish the minor-key factors from tremendous factors which influence the cost changes. And the complete decomposition of construction cost changes can decompose the main effects of the cost changes to define the key effects. Through applying these two methods, the construction cost can be controlled by mainly controlling the key factors and effects of the projects. Besides, project data of uncontrollable construction cost can be accumulated to provide objective and scientific suggestions on controlling cost. A completed small civil engineering is presented as an example.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"4 ","pages":"Pages 359-365"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.087","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84343313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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