Peter Babyenda, Jane w. Kabubo-Mariara, Sule Odhiambo
{"title":"Climate Variability and Household Welfare Outcomes in Uganda","authors":"Peter Babyenda, Jane w. Kabubo-Mariara, Sule Odhiambo","doi":"10.56279/ter.v11i1.74","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i1.74","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the impact of climate variability on household welfare outcomes in Uganda by combining long-term climate data (1979-2013) interpolated at household level, and six waves of the Uganda National Panel Survey (2009-2019). Pooled average ordinary least squares and random effects models are used for empirical analysis. The results indicate that climate variability has a significant nonlinear impact on household welfare outcomes. Access to extension services, value of household assets, education level, gender and location of the household head were also found to influence Uganda’s household welfare outcomes. These findings, therefore, highlight the need for policymakers to move swiftly to counter climate variability and its effects by designing and adopting appropriate measures that mitigate climate variability, and enhance household welfare outcomes among the people of Uganda. \u0000JEL Codes: I31, Q12, Q54","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88812807","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Poverty Changes in Tanzania: An Assessment of Income Growth, Inequality and Population Shifts in Kagera, 1991–2010","authors":"Innocent M. Pantaleo, I. Karamagi","doi":"10.56279/ter.v11i1.73","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i1.73","url":null,"abstract":"This study decomposes the Kagera headcount poverty index into effects of income growth, income inequality, and population shifts. In the literature, the decomposition of poverty into growth and inequality components—which began with Kuznets (1955)—is continuing, with the results still being inconclusive. Later analyses have also incorporated the effects of population shifts into the poverty dynamics, as migrants ordinarily benefit from new avenues of reducing poverty, which however are not without negative effects. Using the Kagera Health and Development Survey (KDHS) data, the paper uses Son’s (2003) approach to decompose poverty in Kagera Region into income growth, inequality, and population shifts. The results show that growth leads to poverty reduction; population shifts tend to have mixed results depending on how the data are partitioned; whereas inequality effects were found to change with the base year. The findings imply that policies geared at reducing poverty should not be divorced from location-specific situations.","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73824427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Poverty, Unemployment and Insecurity Challenges in Nigeria","authors":"E. Adenike","doi":"10.56279/ter.v11i1.75","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i1.75","url":null,"abstract":"Nigeria is presently experiencing a high level of unemployment, which has significantly contributed to a higher level of poverty, whose effects and consequences have contributed to a high level of insecurity. Making use of Nigerian data from 1990– 2017, this paper sought to investigate the interactive effects of unemployment, poverty, and insecurity in Nigeria; and examine the response of poverty and unemployment to the emergence of conflict in Nigeria by employing the Granger causality test and the variance decomposition technique. The results show that as more people fall below the poverty line, the rate of unemployment increases and government spends more on security; and also as more people become unemployed, the level of poverty increases; and as government expenditure on security increases, poverty increases. Insecurity accounted for the greatest shocks in poverty and unemployment; and also, poverty and unemployment positively and significantly responded to shocks from insecurity. The paper recommends that appropriate micro- and macro-economic policies that are tailored towards elevating more people above the poverty line, creating more employment opportunities, and imposing more stringent penalties on culprits involved in insecurity vices must be pursued to enhance citizens’ quality of life. \u0000JEL Classification: E24, F52, I32","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73443001","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Effect of Advertisement on Consumers’ Buying Behaviour of Real Estates in Tanzania: Insight from the National Housing Corporation","authors":"O. Mbura, S. Kagoya","doi":"10.56279/ter.v11i1.76","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i1.76","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines the influence of advertisement elements—namely television, radio, print media and online advertisements—on consumers’ buying behaviour of real estate products in Tanzania, using evidence of the National Housing Corporation (NHC). Informed by the positivist and deductive paradigms, as well as theoretical lens of the AIDA model, the study used structured questionnaires to gather quantitative data from 103 conveniently sampled NHC customers based in the Tanzania’s sprawling city of Dar es Salaam. These were complemented by in-depth information from 3 key informants. Data were subjected to multiple regression analysis. The findings indicate that of all the four constructs, only two—television, and radio— advertisements were the major shakers as they emerged as significant predictors with 53% and 27% contribution to changing the consumers’ buying behaviour, respectively. Print and online media, on the other hand, insignificantly contributed 13% and 7% to influencing consumers’ buying behaviour respectively. These findings have implications for policy makers and real estate companies seeking to make the most from advertising of real estate products through the media.","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80862859","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dissecting the Threshold Effects of Financial Deepening on Industrial Sector Performance in Nigeria","authors":"Matthew Ogbuagu, C. Olunkwa, M. B. Ogunniyi","doi":"10.56279/ter.v11i1.72","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v11i1.72","url":null,"abstract":"This study seeks to examine the relationship between financial deepening and industrial sector performance in Nigeria. It relied on the autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) technique, utilizing data obtained from the World Bank Development Indicators (WDI) between 1980 and 2018. The specific objectives of the study are to examine the impact of financial deepening on industrial growth, and compute the threshold of financial deepening index required to spur industrial growth to its optimum level. To achieve the above, the study built its theoretical framework on the supply-leading hypothesis. The results reveal that financial deepening index exerts a positive impact on industrial sector growth. Also, financial deepening threshold of 36.8% is required to spur industrial sector output to its equilibrium steady-state, beyond which industrial growth declines. Furthermore, the Granger causality test supports the bi-directional hypothesis, hence, the study concludes that government policies and programs should be focused at persuading financial institutions to grant more credit facilities to private investors in the industrial sector. \u0000JEL Classification: C5 G2 I6","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81541719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modeling Multiple Adoption Decisions on Agricultural Technologies in Tanzania","authors":"Jovin A. Lasway, O. Selejio, George R Temba","doi":"10.56279/ter.v10i2.65","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v10i2.65","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the determinants of adoption of improved agricultural technologies among smallholder maize farmers in Tanzania. Specifically, it reports the findings of a study that employed a sample size of 1,839 smallholder maize farming households that participated in three consecutive waves of 2008 - 2009, 2010 - 2011, and 2012 - 2013 of the National Panel Survey (NPS). Multinomial probit model was used to examine the factors that influence maize producers to adopt inorganic fertilisers, improved seeds, and herbicides. Results show that extension services, information technology, gender, education level, soil quality, age and household size influenced smallholder maize farmer’s choice of what agricultural technologies to adopt. Based on the findings, the paper recommends policymakers and other development partners to take these factors on board when promoting and supporting the adoption of agricultural technologies for improved productivity and food security. \u0000JEL Codes: Q12; Q16; and Q18","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88655893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Effect of Brexit and the European Union on Markets in Developing Countries","authors":"B. Adeoye","doi":"10.56279/ter.v10i2.67","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v10i2.67","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores the effects and importance of the EU to developing markets of the world. Using an exploratory method of analysis; the paper recognises that the EU was founded with the aim of establishing a ‘Common Market’ with the ‘four freedoms’ of goods, services, persons, and capital. By aiming for free movement of goods and services, it is proven in the paper that a single market goes beyond a ‘free trade area’ or ‘free trade agreement’, which is predominantly concerned with reducing—and in many cases eliminating—trade tariffs on goods between members. A single market tackles other trade costs—especially non-tariff measures such as licensing and other regulatory barriers to trade. The paper further considers the place of Britain in the EU, and establishes the fact that the EU is important as far as Britain is concerned. It confirms that the EU is the UK’s largest trading partner, comprising around half of all trade. Therefore, the impact of the BREXIT on the UK economy is not farfetched. The paper finally considers the roles of the EU in the ECOWAS by stating that the two regional unions have some common peculiarities. Some of the roles of the EU in nurturing the ECOWAS include: trade and economic structure of ECOWAS, institutional setting and policy coverage, political dialogue, development cooperation, regional integration and trade supports, etc.","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"119 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77934832","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Macroeconomic Determinants of Unemployment In the East African Community","authors":"Ibrahim Mukisa, Sunday Nathan, Enock W. N. Bulime","doi":"10.56279/ter.v10i2.64","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v10i2.64","url":null,"abstract":"Due to the increasing concern regarding the unemployment problem in the East African Community (EAC), this study examines the macroeconomic determinants of unemployment using panel data approaches. The study used annual data for the period 1996 to 2017, which was obtained from the International Labour Organization (ILO) and the World Bank database of the World Development Indicators of 2018. The study estimated the random effects and fixed effects models. Importantly, instrumental variable-fixed effects regression was estimated to control for the potential endogeneity in the regression. The study findings indicate that unemployment in the EAC is likely to decrease with sustained economic growth and increased supply and access to private sector credit while, on the other hand, increased trade openness and gross national expenditure are likely to exacerbate the unemployment problem. Therefore, the study recommends measures to increase economic growth (such as promoting high productivity industries with high employment intensity), enhance competitiveness and reasonable protection of infant firms (e.g., through subsidized credit), and enhance supply and access to credit by the private sector (such as risk insurance and reduction of interest rates). \u0000JEL Code: E24, J01 J2.","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90202477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Effect of Saving-Investment Nexus on Current Account Balance in Nigeria","authors":"S. B. Adegboyega, S. Oladeji","doi":"10.56279/ter.v10i2.62","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v10i2.62","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores the impact of both long- and short-term saving-investment nexus on Nigeria’s current account balance. It examines the relationship between domestic savings, investments and current account balance by analysing the position of selected demographic variables in Nigeria, both in the short- and long-term, using the ARDL cointegration method, and a sample period from 1980 to 2018. The study tested whether there was empirical evidence supporting the life-cycle hypothesis (LCH) in Nigeria. However, the study revealed that the coefficient of error correction was negative and highly significant, as well as establishing a long-term cointegration. The study revealed a negative sign of life expectancy; and the ratio of total age dependence was found to be statistically significant, thus indicating that a unit increase in life expectancy and the ratio of total age dependence could result in a decline in current account balance in Nigeria by 1.2796 (127%) and 6.43038 (643%), respectively. This result supported the presence of the LCH theory on saving actions in Nigeria, since people could borrow. In addition, the population growth exhibited a positive relationship with current account balance. Therefore, a unit change in the population age structure is expected to influence saving, investment and current account balance; especially with an increase in population, because the current account is, by definition, equal to the saving-investment balance. \u0000JEL Classification: E21, F32, J13","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79102356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Government Fiscal Health, Family Planning and Poverty Rate in Nigeria","authors":"M. Nuhu, M. Kauky","doi":"10.56279/ter.v10i2.68","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v10i2.68","url":null,"abstract":"Nigeria. Previous studies failed to link health expenditure appropriately to family planning and poverty alleviation in Nigeria. This study addresses this theoretical gap by employing the vector error correction mechanism (VECM) in analysing the interrelationship between government fiscal health, family planning and poverty rate in Nigeria by employing time series data from1977 to 2019. The data were tested for stationarity and found to be statistically significant at 0.05 level of significance. The result of the VECM showed that GDPP, SGHE, POVR and MMORR significantly explain 44.49% variation in family planning, while the ECM coefficient indicates a speed of adjustment of 5.372%; and it is statistically significant. The FEVD of family planning (FP) indicated that the variability of the SGHE was also rising between 0.193528% in the second period to 2.811% in the tenth period. The variability in POVR accounted for 1.008% of the variation in FP in the second period. The variation in poverty rate fell relatively over the forecast horizon such that at the tenth period it was 1.888%. The study concluded that the government’s fiscal health expenditure has a positive but insignificant impact on FP, but a negative impact on POVR and MMORR in Nigeria. It is recommended that the government should increase its fiscal health expenditure significantly. This can be achieved via an increase in the budgetary allocation for the health sector.","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84669537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}