尼日利亚的贫困、失业和不安全挑战

E. Adenike
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引用次数: 10

摘要

尼日利亚目前的失业率很高,这大大加剧了贫困,其影响和后果造成了高度的不安全。本文利用尼日利亚1990年至2017年的数据,试图调查尼日利亚失业、贫困和不安全的相互影响;并通过采用格兰杰因果检验和方差分解技术,检查贫困和失业对尼日利亚冲突出现的反应。结果表明,随着越来越多的人落在贫困线以下,失业率上升,政府在安全方面的支出也会增加;而且随着越来越多的人失业,贫困水平也在上升;随着政府在安全方面的支出增加,贫困也在增加。不安全是造成贫困和失业最大冲击的原因;此外,贫困和失业对不安全带来的冲击做出了积极而显著的反应。本文建议,必须采取适当的微观和宏观经济政策,使更多的人摆脱贫困线,创造更多的就业机会,并对涉及不安全犯罪的罪犯施加更严厉的惩罚,以提高公民的生活质量。JEL分类:E24, F52, I32
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Poverty, Unemployment and Insecurity Challenges in Nigeria
Nigeria is presently experiencing a high level of unemployment, which has significantly contributed to a higher level of poverty, whose effects and consequences have contributed to a high level of insecurity. Making use of Nigerian data from 1990– 2017, this paper sought to investigate the interactive effects of unemployment, poverty, and insecurity in Nigeria; and examine the response of poverty and unemployment to the emergence of conflict in Nigeria by employing the Granger causality test and the variance decomposition technique. The results show that as more people fall below the poverty line, the rate of unemployment increases and government spends more on security; and also as more people become unemployed, the level of poverty increases; and as government expenditure on security increases, poverty increases. Insecurity accounted for the greatest shocks in poverty and unemployment; and also, poverty and unemployment positively and significantly responded to shocks from insecurity. The paper recommends that appropriate micro- and macro-economic policies that are tailored towards elevating more people above the poverty line, creating more employment opportunities, and imposing more stringent penalties on culprits involved in insecurity vices must be pursued to enhance citizens’ quality of life. JEL Classification: E24, F52, I32
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