IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae169

Pan Liu, Yaguang Li, Jialiang Li

{"title":"Change surface regression for nonlinear subgroup identification with application to warfarin pharmacogenomics data.","authors":"Pan Liu, Yaguang Li, Jialiang Li","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae169","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae169","url":null,"abstract":"Pharmacogenomics stands as a pivotal driver toward personalized medicine, aiming to optimize drug efficacy while minimizing adverse effects by uncovering the impact of genetic variations on inter-individual outcome variability. Despite its promise, the intricate landscape of drug metabolism introduces complexity, where the correlation between drug response and genes can be shaped by numerous nongenetic factors, often exhibiting heterogeneity across diverse subpopulations. This challenge is particularly pronounced in datasets such as the International Warfarin Pharmacogenetic Consortium (IWPC), which encompasses diverse patient information from multiple nations. To capture the between-patient heterogeneity in dosing requirement, we formulate a novel change surface model as a model-based approach for multiple subgroup identification in complex datasets. A key feature of our approach is its ability to accommodate nonlinear subgroup divisions, providing a clearer understanding of dynamic drug-gene associations. Furthermore, our model effectively handles high-dimensional data through a doubly penalized approach, ensuring both interpretability and adaptability. We propose an iterative 2-stage method that combines a change point detection technique in the first stage with a smoothed local adaptive majorize-minimization algorithm for surface regression in the second stage. Performance of the proposed methods is evaluated through extensive numerical studies. Application of our method to the IWPC dataset leads to significant new findings, where 3 subgroups subject to different pharmacogenomic relationships are identified, contributing valuable insights into the complex dynamics of drug-gene associations in patients.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142999226","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Causal inference with cross-temporal design. 跨时间设计的因果推理。

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae163

Yi Cao, Pedro L Gozalo, Roee Gutman

{"title":"Causal inference with cross-temporal design.","authors":"Yi Cao, Pedro L Gozalo, Roee Gutman","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae163","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae163","url":null,"abstract":"When many participants in a randomized trial do not comply with their assigned intervention, the randomized encouragement design is a possible solution. In this design, the causal effects of the intervention can be estimated among participants who would have experienced the intervention if encouraged. For many policy interventions, encouragements cannot be randomized and investigators need to rely on observational data. To address this, we propose a cross-temporal design, which uses time to mimic a randomized encouragement experiment. However, time may be confounded with temporal trends that influence the outcomes. To disentangle these trends from the intervention effects, we replace the commonly used exclusion restrictions with temporal assumptions. We develop Bayesian procedures to estimate the causal effects and compare it to instrumental variables and matching approaches in simulations. The Bayesian approach outperforms the other 2 approaches in terms of estimation accuracy, and it is relatively robust to various violations of the common trends assumption. Taking advantage of the expansion of the Medicare Advantage (MA) program between 2011 and 2017, we implement the proposed method to estimate the effects of MA enrollment on the risk of skilled nursing facility residents being re-hospitalized within 30 days after discharge from the hospital.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11725568/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142969461","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Penalized G-estimation for effect modifier selection in a structural nested mean model for repeated outcomes. 在重复结果的结构嵌套平均模型中对效果修饰符选择的惩罚g估计。

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae165

Ajmery Jaman, Guanbo Wang, Ashkan Ertefaie, Michèle Bally, Renée Lévesque, Robert W Platt, Mireille E Schnitzer

{"title":"Penalized G-estimation for effect modifier selection in a structural nested mean model for repeated outcomes.","authors":"Ajmery Jaman, Guanbo Wang, Ashkan Ertefaie, Michèle Bally, Renée Lévesque, Robert W Platt, Mireille E Schnitzer","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae165","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae165","url":null,"abstract":"Effect modification occurs when the impact of the treatment on an outcome varies based on the levels of other covariates known as effect modifiers. Modeling these effect differences is important for etiological goals and for purposes of optimizing treatment. Structural nested mean models (SNMMs) are useful causal models for estimating the potentially heterogeneous effect of a time-varying exposure on the mean of an outcome in the presence of time-varying confounding. A data-adaptive selection approach is necessary if the effect modifiers are unknown a priori and need to be identified. Although variable selection techniques are available for estimating the conditional average treatment effects using marginal structural models or for developing optimal dynamic treatment regimens, all of these methods consider a single end-of-follow-up outcome. In the context of an SNMM for repeated outcomes, we propose a doubly robust penalized G-estimator for the causal effect of a time-varying exposure with a simultaneous selection of effect modifiers and prove the oracle property of our estimator. We conduct a simulation study for the evaluation of its performance in finite samples and verification of its double-robustness property. Our work is motivated by the study of hemodiafiltration for treating patients with end-stage renal disease at the Centre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal. We apply the proposed method to investigate the effect heterogeneity of dialysis facility on the repeated session-specific hemodiafiltration outcomes.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142999234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Weighted Q-learning for optimal dynamic treatment regimes with nonignorable missing covariates. 带不可忽略缺失协变量的最优动态治疗方案加权q学习。

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae161

Jian Sun, Bo Fu, Li Su

{"title":"Weighted Q-learning for optimal dynamic treatment regimes with nonignorable missing covariates.","authors":"Jian Sun, Bo Fu, Li Su","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae161","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae161","url":null,"abstract":"Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) formalize medical decision-making as a sequence of rules for different stages, mapping patient-level information to recommended treatments. In practice, estimating an optimal DTR using observational data from electronic medical record (EMR) databases can be complicated by nonignorable missing covariates resulting from informative monitoring of patients. Since complete case analysis can provide consistent estimation of outcome model parameters under the assumption of outcome-independent missingness, Q-learning is a natural approach to accommodating nonignorable missing covariates. However, the backward induction algorithm used in Q-learning can introduce challenges, as nonignorable missing covariates at later stages can result in nonignorable missing pseudo-outcomes at earlier stages, leading to suboptimal DTRs, even if the longitudinal outcome variables are fully observed. To address this unique missing data problem in DTR settings, we propose 2 weighted Q-learning approaches where inverse probability weights for missingness of the pseudo-outcomes are obtained through estimating equations with valid nonresponse instrumental variables or sensitivity analysis. The asymptotic properties of the weighted Q-learning estimators are derived, and the finite-sample performance of the proposed methods is evaluated and compared with alternative methods through extensive simulation studies. Using EMR data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database, we apply the proposed methods to investigate the optimal fluid strategy for sepsis patients in intensive care units.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142943773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

High-dimensional partially linear functional Cox models. 高维部分线性泛函Cox模型。

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae164

Xin Chen, Hua Liu, Jiaqi Men, Jinhong You

{"title":"High-dimensional partially linear functional Cox models.","authors":"Xin Chen, Hua Liu, Jiaqi Men, Jinhong You","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae164","url":null,"abstract":"As a commonly employed method for analyzing time-to-event data involving functional predictors, the functional Cox model assumes a linear relationship between the functional principal component (FPC) scores of the functional predictors and the hazard rates. However, in practical scenarios, such as our study on the survival time of kidney transplant recipients, this assumption often fails to hold. To address this limitation, we introduce a class of high-dimensional partially linear functional Cox models, which accommodates the non-linear effects of functional predictors on the response and allows for diverging numbers of scalar predictors and FPCs as the sample size increases. We employ the group smoothly clipped absolute deviation method to select relevant scalar predictors and FPCs, and use B-splines to obtain a smoothed estimate of the non-linear effect. The finite sample performance of the estimates is evaluated through simulation studies. The model is also applied to a kidney transplant dataset, allowing us to make inferences about the non-linear effects of functional predictors on patients' hazard rates, as well as to identify significant scalar predictors for long-term survival time.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977394","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Jointly modeling means and variances for nonlinear mixed effects models with measurement errors and outliers.

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujaf018

Qian Ye, Lang Wu, Viviane Dias Lima

引用次数: 0

Regression to the mean for bivariate distributions.

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujaf033

Manzoor Khan, Jake Olivier

{"title":"Regression to the mean for bivariate distributions.","authors":"Manzoor Khan, Jake Olivier","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujaf033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujaf033","url":null,"abstract":"Regression to the mean is said to have occurred when subjects having relatively high or low measurements are remeasured closer to the population mean. This phenomenon can influence the conclusion about the effectiveness of a treatment in a pre-post study design. The mean difference of the pre- and post-variables, conditioned on the initial variable being above or below a cut-point, is the sum of regression to the mean and treatment effects. Expressions for regression to the mean are available for the bivariate normal distribution under restrictive assumptions, and for the bivariate Poisson and binomial distributions, more generally. This article derives expressions for regression to the mean for any bivariate distribution while making fewer restrictive assumptions than previous methods. Maximum likelihood estimators are derived, and the unbiasedness, consistency, and asymptotic normality of these estimators are shown for exponential families, where possible. Data on the cholesterol levels in men aged 35-39 are used for decomposing the conditional mean difference in cholesterol level on pre-post occasions into regression to the mean and treatment effects. In another example, data on diastolic blood pressure for 341 patients are used to demonstrate the fraction of change due to regression to the mean and the treatment effects, respectively.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143699241","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Robust Bayesian graphical regression models for assessing tumor heterogeneity in proteomic networks. 评估蛋白质组学网络中肿瘤异质性的稳健贝叶斯图形回归模型。

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujae160

Tsung-Hung Yao, Yang Ni, Anindya Bhadra, Jian Kang, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

{"title":"Robust Bayesian graphical regression models for assessing tumor heterogeneity in proteomic networks.","authors":"Tsung-Hung Yao, Yang Ni, Anindya Bhadra, Jian Kang, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujae160","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae160","url":null,"abstract":"Graphical models are powerful tools to investigate complex dependency structures in high-throughput datasets. However, most existing graphical models make one of two canonical assumptions: (i) a homogeneous graph with a common network for all subjects or (ii) an assumption of normality, especially in the context of Gaussian graphical models. Both assumptions are restrictive and can fail to hold in certain applications such as proteomic networks in cancer. To this end, we propose an approach termed robust Bayesian graphical regression (rBGR) to estimate heterogeneous graphs for non-normally distributed data. rBGR is a flexible framework that accommodates non-normality through random marginal transformations and constructs covariate-dependent graphs to accommodate heterogeneity through graphical regression techniques. We formulate a new characterization of edge dependencies in such models called conditional sign independence with covariates, along with an efficient posterior sampling algorithm. In simulation studies, we demonstrate that rBGR outperforms existing graphical regression models for data generated under various levels of non-normality in both edge and covariate selection. We use rBGR to assess proteomic networks in lung and ovarian cancers to systematically investigate the effects of immunogenic heterogeneity within tumors. Our analyses reveal several important protein-protein interactions that are differentially associated with the immune cell abundance; some corroborate existing biological knowledge, whereas others are novel findings.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142969463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Composite likelihood inference for space-time point processes.

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujaf009

Abdollah Jalilian, Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco, Ganggang Xu, Rasmus Waagepetersen

{"title":"Composite likelihood inference for space-time point processes.","authors":"Abdollah Jalilian, Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco, Ganggang Xu, Rasmus Waagepetersen","doi":"10.1093/biomtc/ujaf009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujaf009","url":null,"abstract":"The dynamics of a rain forest is extremely complex involving births, deaths, and growth of trees with complex interactions between trees, animals, climate, and environment. We consider the patterns of recruits (new trees) and dead trees between rain forest censuses. For a current census, we specify regression models for the conditional intensity of recruits and the conditional probabilities of death given the current trees and spatial covariates. We estimate regression parameters using conditional composite likelihood functions that only involve the conditional first order properties of the data. When constructing assumption lean estimators of covariance matrices of parameter estimates, we only need mild assumptions of decaying conditional correlations in space, while assumptions regarding correlations over time are avoided by exploiting conditional centering of composite likelihood score functions. Time series of point patterns from rain forest censuses are quite short, while each point pattern covers a fairly big spatial region. To obtain asymptotic results, we therefore use a central limit theorem for the fixed timespan-increasing spatial domain asymptotic setting. This also allows us to handle the challenge of using stochastic covariates constructed from past point patterns. Conveniently, it suffices to impose weak dependence assumptions on the innovations of the space-time process. We investigate the proposed methodology by simulation studies and an application to rain forest data.","PeriodicalId":8930,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143405365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Report of the Editors-2024.

IF 1.4 4区数学

Biometrics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/biomtc/ujaf004

引用次数: 0

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