International Journal of Biometeorology最新文献_第10页

Amaranthus hybridus improved heat-induced oxidative stress and hormonal alterations in rat ovaries 苋菜可改善大鼠卵巢热诱导的氧化应激和激素变化。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-03061-9

Tomilola Debby Olaolu, Teniola Esther Durojaiye, Ukpanyang Otu Joseph, Tinuola Owoso, Damilare Emmanuel Rotimi, Oluyomi Stephen Adeyemi

{"title":"Amaranthus hybridus improved heat-induced oxidative stress and hormonal alterations in rat ovaries","authors":"Tomilola Debby Olaolu, Teniola Esther Durojaiye, Ukpanyang Otu Joseph, Tinuola Owoso, Damilare Emmanuel Rotimi, Oluyomi Stephen Adeyemi","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-03061-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-025-03061-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Long-term heat exposure as a result of global warming, has become a threat to the overall human well-being and in particular the reproductive health of females. This research, therefore, investigated the ameliorative effect of <i>Amaranthus hybridus</i> aqueous leaf extract on the ovarian function of rats exposed to heat for 21 days. Twenty (20) healthy female rats of Wistar strain were randomly distributed into control group (distilled water), heat-exposed rats (group 2) were exposed to 39–40 °C heat for 4 h/day using two (100 Watts) bulbs to produce heat, group 3 animals were exposed to heat and administered with 55 mg/kg bw of <i>A. hybridus</i> aqueous leaf extract, while group 4 received only <i>A. hybridus</i> aqueous leaf extract. The experiment was for 21 days. From the result, heat exposure caused a decrease in the body weight, protein level as well as decrease in the levels of antioxidant molecules superoxide dismutase (SOD), catalase (CAT)), reduced glutathione (GSH), and nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2). There was an increase in the levels of cortisol, malondialdehyde (MDA) and nitric oxide (NO) in the animals exposed to heat. However, when the animals were administered with <i>A. hybridus</i> extract had reduced MDA and cortisol and increase in catalase and SOD activity as well as the LH and prolactin levels. The findings of the study indicated the occurrence of oxidative damage and suggested that extended exposure to high temperatures had disadvantageous impacts on the animals.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146218248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The short effect of ambient temperature on childhood asthma and wheezing: a combination of a nested case-control study and a case-crossover study 环境温度对儿童哮喘和喘息的短期影响：巢式病例对照研究和病例交叉研究的结合。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03140-5

Jiatao Zhang, Shuoxin Bai, Shaoqian Lin, Yanling Wu, Fangyi Wang, Yuxiu Liang, Zhiping Wang

{"title":"The short effect of ambient temperature on childhood asthma and wheezing: a combination of a nested case-control study and a case-crossover study","authors":"Jiatao Zhang, Shuoxin Bai, Shaoqian Lin, Yanling Wu, Fangyi Wang, Yuxiu Liang, Zhiping Wang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03140-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03140-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Although the incidence of childhood asthma and wheezing (AW) is increasing worldwide, the impact of ambient temperature on this is unclear. An infant birth cohort was established, and the children were followed up until two years of age. During this period, the exposure levels to atmospheric factors were individually evaluated on a daily basis as well as covariates information was collected. Both a nested case-control study and a case-crossover design were embedded to control for confounding bias and cross-validate the association between ambient temperature and childhood AW. A total of 5819 children in the birth cohort completed two years of follow-up, and 84 children were diagnosed with AW. The <i>HRs</i> for short-term high temperature on childhood AW were 1.659 (95% CI: 1.314, 2.095), 2.341 (95% CI: 1.712, 3.200), and 3.367 (95% CI: 1.987, 5.703) at a lag of 3, 2, and 1 days, respectively, by the distributed lag non-linear model based on the nested case-control study. The high temperature was further validated to be significantly associated with childhood AW during the 3 days before the onset, by the generalized additive model based on the case-crossover design.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146211695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A critical systematic narrative review of the WBGT index for heat stress assessment in diverse climatic regions: insights from Iran 对用于不同气候区域热应激评估的WBGT指数的批判性系统叙述综述：来自伊朗的见解。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-03093-1

Seyed Mahdi Mousavi, Habibollah Dehghan, Saeid Yazdanirad

{"title":"A critical systematic narrative review of the WBGT index for heat stress assessment in diverse climatic regions: insights from Iran","authors":"Seyed Mahdi Mousavi, Habibollah Dehghan, Saeid Yazdanirad","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-03093-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-025-03093-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Heat stress is a major occupational hazard in hot environments. This narrative review evaluated the limitations of the Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) index across different climatic zones and explored alternative or complementary indices. We searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and SID for articles published between January 2013 and December 2024 with English and Persian language. Keywords used in the search included “WBGT”, “Wet Bulb Globe Temperature”, “heat stress index”, “occupational exposure”, and “Iran climate” (Boolean combinations). After removing duplicated papers and screening the remained articles by two independent reviewers, 42 papers were included for qualitative synthesis. In arid/dry regions, WBGT tended to underestimate physiological strain (low wet-bulb temperature despite high radiant heat), while in humid coastal areas, it sometimes overestimated the heat strain risk (high wet-bulb temperature but complex interactions with airflow and clothing). Comparative analyses showed UTCI and PHS can improve physiological prediction in specific contexts, but it requires more data and equipment. WBGT remains practical for many workplaces, but country- or climate-specific calibration, integration with physiological monitoring (e.g., heart rate), and hybrid approaches are recommended to improve worker protection.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146211682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Dynamic impacts of face masks and walking duration on pedestrian thermal comfort in shaded outdoor environments during summer 夏季遮阳室外环境下口罩和步行时间对行人热舒适的动态影响

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03136-1

Xiwen Feng, Kunquan Dai, Xinying Lai, Jiaxin Lu, Zhaosong Fang

{"title":"Dynamic impacts of face masks and walking duration on pedestrian thermal comfort in shaded outdoor environments during summer","authors":"Xiwen Feng, Kunquan Dai, Xinying Lai, Jiaxin Lu, Zhaosong Fang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03136-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03136-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The normalization of mask-wearing in the post-pandemic era has raised concerns regarding its potential thermal burden during outdoor physical activities, especially in hot and humid climates. This study examines the combined effects of face mask type (no mask, surgical mask, and KN95 mask) and walking duration on physiological responses and thermal comfort in shaded outdoor environments during summer. Field experiments were conducted in Guangzhou with 28 participants walking at three speeds (1.2, 1.4, and 1.6 m/s). Key physiological parameters (mean skin temperature, heart rate, tympanic temperature) and subjective thermal comfort votes (respiratory sensation, facial thermal sensation, and overall thermal sensation) were recorded. Findings revealed that mask-wearing had negligible effects on core physiological indicators due to compensatory thermoregulation but significantly elevated subjective discomfort, particularly with KN95 masks. A linear increase in thermal discomfort was observed with prolonged walking, reaching up to 1.3 units in thermal sensation votes after 30 min. A dynamic thermal comfort prediction model was developed by integrating static PET-based and walking-induced components, achieving high predictive accuracy (R² > 0.78). These results underscore the importance of incorporating mask effects and exposure duration into urban outdoor thermal planning and pedestrian design guidelines in hot-humid regions.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146211694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Real-world outcomes during sulfurous balneotherapy in osteoarthritis: retrospective analysis 骨关节炎硫磺按摩治疗的实际结果：回顾性分析。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03148-x

Elisabetta Ferrara, Manela Scaramuzzino, Giovanna Murmura, Giuseppe Balice, Bruna Sinjari

{"title":"Real-world outcomes during sulfurous balneotherapy in osteoarthritis: retrospective analysis","authors":"Elisabetta Ferrara, Manela Scaramuzzino, Giovanna Murmura, Giuseppe Balice, Bruna Sinjari","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03148-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03148-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Real-world evidence on the effectiveness of balneotherapy in osteoarthritis remains limited. This study evaluated patient-reported outcomes collected during routine sulfurous balneotherapy practice. A retrospective analysis was conducted using routinely collected data from 90 consecutive patients with knee (<i>n</i> = 45), hip (<i>n</i> = 30), or hand (<i>n</i> = 15) osteoarthritis who underwent a standard 12-day balneotherapy protocol at the Saturnia Thermal Center (October 2023). Outcomes included pain intensity assessed with the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), functional disability measured using the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), and psychological well-being evaluated with the General Health Questionnaire–12 (GHQ-12). Within-group changes were analyzed using paired t-tests (<i>p</i> < 0.05). Results: VAS scores decreased from 65.0 ± 18.0 mm to 60.5 ± 17.5 mm (Δ = −4.5 mm, <i>p</i> < 0.001), corresponding to 22.5% of the established minimal clinically important difference. HAQ scores improved significantly from baseline to day 12 (mean change − 1.0, <i>p</i> < 0.001), exceeding the instrument’s minimal clinically important difference. GHQ-12 scores also decreased significantly (<i>p</i> < 0.001). No adverse events were reported. Conclusions: In routine clinical practice, sulfurous balneotherapy was associated with statistically significant improvements in pain, functional disability, and psychological well-being. While short-term pain reduction remained below established clinical significance thresholds, the intervention demonstrated a favorable safety profile. These observational findings warrant confirmation in controlled studies with longer treatment durations and follow-up.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146211638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The effect of ambient temperature in pregnancy on the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus: evidence from temperate region 妊娠期环境温度对妊娠期糖尿病风险的影响：来自温带地区的证据。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03124-5

Jiatao Zhang, Yang Xiao, Yongchao Wang, Liangliang Cui, Xiaokang Ji, Fengmei Zhang, Zhiping Wang

{"title":"The effect of ambient temperature in pregnancy on the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus: evidence from temperate region","authors":"Jiatao Zhang, Yang Xiao, Yongchao Wang, Liangliang Cui, Xiaokang Ji, Fengmei Zhang, Zhiping Wang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03124-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03124-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Studies have shown that temperature is closely related to human metabolism, but only a few studies have focused on the effect of abmient temperature on gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Evidence from temperate regions is particularly lacking. Our study aimed to explore the association between ambient temperature during pregnancy and the risk of GDM, and further analyze the critical window. This study used data from the Shandong Multi-Center Healthcare Big Data Platform (SMCHBDP). Generalized additive model (GAM) and logistic regression were used to analyze the association between ambient temperature and the risk of GDM. Distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs) were applied to assess the critical window. Among 3052 subjects, 382 pregnant women were diagnosed with GDM (12.52%). GAM and logistic regression showed that high mean temperature (> 25.18℃) during the 2nd trimester was the risk factor for GDM, and the aOR (95%CI) was 1.67 (1.15–2.45). Extreme high temperature during 13th–18th weeks of gestation was associated with an increased risk of GDM. The effect was greatest at the 16th week of gestation, and the ORs for maximum temperature, minimum temperature and mean temperature were 2.15 (1.19–3.89), 2.25 (1.27–4.01) and 2.71 (1.43–5.13), respectively. An increased risk of GDM was observed for each IQR (2.2 °C) increase in diurnal temperature range (DTR) at 17th–21st weeks of gestation. Therefore, extreme high temperature and DTR affect GDM mainly in the 2nd trimester. These findings highlight the need for targeted protective measures for pregnant women during these periods, especially amid global warming, to mitigate temperature-related GDM risk.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146211661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Correction to: The impact of thermal comfort on visitors’ recreational activities in riverside and under-bridge parks in mountainous cities: Chongqing case 修正：山区城市河滨和桥下公园热舒适对游客游憩活动的影响：以重庆为例

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03131-6

Junjie Zhang, Guiwei Zhang, Junji Liu, Meng Yi, Guoxin Tang

引用次数: 0

The sun-earth-health connection: a short review of potential mechanisms and implications 太阳-地球-健康的联系：对潜在机制和影响的简短回顾。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-14 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03134-3

Abdullrahman H. Maghrabi, Marwa A. Maghrabi

{"title":"The sun-earth-health connection: a short review of potential mechanisms and implications","authors":"Abdullrahman H. Maghrabi, Marwa A. Maghrabi","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03134-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03134-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Heliobiology explores the influence of solar and geomagnetic activity on human health. This short review synthesises evidence linking solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and geomagnetic storms to cardiovascular events, autonomic dysregulation, circadian disruption, and possible neurological effects. Proposed mechanisms include melatonin suppression, cryptochrome magnetoreception, and voltage-gated calcium-channel modulation. Recent studies further support associations between geomagnetic disturbances and endothelial activation, systemic inflammation, and elevated cardiovascular mortality. The most reproducible effects involve acute cardiovascular and autonomic responses during major geomagnetic storms, whereas neurological, psychological, and infectious-disease associations remain preliminary. For clinicians, geomagnetic disturbances represent a novel environmental risk factor for vulnerable patients; for space scientists, they have direct implications for astronaut safety. Causal pathways are not yet established. Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential to refine predictive models and develop mitigation strategies for both terrestrial and extraterrestrial populations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146193959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Predicting the potential future distribution of the geographic distribution range of Massicus raddei (Blessig, 1872) in china: insights from ensemble models 预测中国马尾松地理分布范围的潜在未来分布：来自集合模型的见解。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-03078-0

Liang Zhang, Chaokun Yang, Guanglin Xie, Ping Wang, Wenkai Wang

{"title":"Predicting the potential future distribution of the geographic distribution range of Massicus raddei (Blessig, 1872) in china: insights from ensemble models","authors":"Liang Zhang, Chaokun Yang, Guanglin Xie, Ping Wang, Wenkai Wang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-03078-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-025-03078-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><i>Massicus raddei</i> (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) is a wood-boring pest that poses a significant threat to forest health. In order to effectively prevent climate change induced invasions and large scale outbreaks, an in-depth understanding of its dispersal potential in areas where it has not yet been reported is needed. In this study, we used an ensemble model to systematically analyse the potential geographic distribution and major bioclimatic factors of <i>M. raddei</i> in China under current and future climate change scenarios. The results showed that the key bioclimatic factors affecting its distribution include isothermality (Bio3), mean temperature of wettest quarter (Bio8), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), and precipitation of warmest quarter (Bio18). Currently, its suitable area is mainly distributed in central and northeastern China, with a suitable area of 258.72 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup>. With the impact of climate change, its suitable area is expected to expand significantly in the future, with an increase of 38.39% to 54.73%. Meanwhile, the potential distribution centres are expected to expand into the north-western regions of Gansu, Qinghai, Heilongjiang, and Yunnan. In addition, MESS and MOD analyses validates that the bioclimatic conditions in the future expansion region are highly similar to the current. This study provides an assessment of the risk of the spread of <i>M. raddei</i> in the context of climate change and serves as an important reference for developing targeted monitoring and control strategies, which is significant for promoting sustainable development in agriculture and forestry.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146155498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Projected typical allergic diseases prevalence under changing environments based on multiple machine learning models 基于多机器学习模型的环境变化下典型过敏性疾病患病率预测。

IF 2.6 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-026-03127-2

Fengxia Hu, Yizhou Li, Xiaoyu Zhang, Qian Wang, Jin Zhang, Junqin Liang

{"title":"Projected typical allergic diseases prevalence under changing environments based on multiple machine learning models","authors":"Fengxia Hu, Yizhou Li, Xiaoyu Zhang, Qian Wang, Jin Zhang, Junqin Liang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-026-03127-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00484-026-03127-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Timely understanding the prevalence of allergic skin diseases (ASD) and allergic nasopharyngeal disease (AND) is essential for effective public health planning and resource allocation. However, accurately predicting ASD and AND poses a significant challenge due to the complex interplay of environmental and individual factors. A machine learning-based scheme was proposed for predicting the prevalence of ASD and AND using environmental and hydrological data (<i>n</i> = 85). Significant variations in predictive accuracy were observed across different algorithms. For ASD, the decision tree regression (DTR) demonstrated the best performance. For AND, the ridge regression (RR) model yielded the best results, respectively. Based on Urumqi’s 2022 population, the projected peak number of individuals with ASD is expected to rise by 215,000, 243,200, and 275,600 compared to January 2015. For AND, the projected peak increases are expected to be 38,900, 35,700, and 56,300, respectively. Environmental factors exhibit significant correlations with the prevalence of ASD and AND, with minimum temperature identified as the most influential factor affecting both conditions. Machine learning models that incorporate these environmental variables were proven to effectively predict the prevalence of both conditions. Based on the model’s projections under three climate change scenarios, a significant increase in the prevalence of ASD and AND in Urumqi is expected from 2015 to 2099. This trend underscores the potential impact of climate change on public health in the region, highlighting the need for proactive measures to address these emerging challenges.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":"70 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146155511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0