由于缺少寒冷的气温,最近落基山脉南部的盛夏气温有所上升。

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS
International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-31 DOI:10.1007/s00484-025-02904-9
M C A Torbenson, E Martinez Del Castillo, F Reinig, D W Stahle, K E King, J T Maxwell, G L Harley, E Ziaco, J Esper
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个483年的树木年轮年代学从一个高海拔的恩格尔曼云杉林在科罗拉多州中部。超过80万次密度测量产生了最大后期木材密度(MXD)记录,该记录与树木年轮宽度一起用于评估气候对树木径向生长的影响。MXD的变率与127年重叠仪器气候数据的当地和区域8月最高气温(Tmax)密切相关。基于MXD记录的单预测器重建解释了1662-2021年期间区域8月Tmax方差的50%,并被认为是稳健的。对过去温度变化的估计显示了持续寒冷条件的阶段,超出了仪器记录的范围,包括19世纪30年代。结果进一步表明,自20世纪90年代初以来,8月份的Tmax是近350年来最高的30年。最近的这种增加发生在数百年来的变暖之上,似乎主要是由更少的寒冷夏季而不是极端温暖的增加所驱动的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Lack of cold temperatures is driving recent high-summer warming in the southern Rocky Mountains.

We present a 483-year-long tree-ring chronology from a high-elevation Engelmann spruce stand in central Colorado. Over 800,000 density measurements produce a maximum latewood density (MXD) record, which together with tree-ring widths, is used to assess the climatic influences on radial tree growth. Variability in MXD is strongly related to local and regional August maximum temperatures (Tmax) for 127 years of overlapping instrumental climate data. A single-predictor reconstruction based on the MXD record explains > 50% of the variance in regional August Tmax is presented and considered robust for the period 1662-2021. The estimates of past temperature variability display phases of continuous cold conditions that are beyond the range of the instrumental record, including the 1830s. Our results further indicate that August Tmax have been higher since the early 1990s than for any other 30-year period in the past 350 years. This recent increase occurs on top of multi-centennial warming, and appears to be driven mainly by less frequent cold summers rather than an increase in warm extremes.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
9.40%
发文量
183
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: The Journal publishes original research papers, review articles and short communications on studies examining the interactions between living organisms and factors of the natural and artificial atmospheric environment. Living organisms extend from single cell organisms, to plants and animals, including humans. The atmospheric environment includes climate and weather, electromagnetic radiation, and chemical and biological pollutants. The journal embraces basic and applied research and practical aspects such as living conditions, agriculture, forestry, and health. The journal is published for the International Society of Biometeorology, and most membership categories include a subscription to the Journal.
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