International Journal of Biometeorology最新文献

Evaluation of climate, water and peloid of the Pink Lagoon of Torrevieja and its possible use in thalassotherapy. 托雷维耶哈粉红泻湖的气候、水和球体评价及其在海洋疗法中的应用前景。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02940-5

Francisco Maraver, Jose M Carbajo, Francisco Armijo, Lourdes Aguilera, Ana Isabel Martin-Megias, Miguel Angel Fernandez-Toran, María Virginia Fernandez-Gonzalez, María Lorena Vela

{"title":"Evaluation of climate, water and peloid of the Pink Lagoon of Torrevieja and its possible use in thalassotherapy.","authors":"Francisco Maraver, Jose M Carbajo, Francisco Armijo, Lourdes Aguilera, Ana Isabel Martin-Megias, Miguel Angel Fernandez-Toran, María Virginia Fernandez-Gonzalez, María Lorena Vela","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02940-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02940-5","url":null,"abstract":"The Pink Lagoon in Torrevieja is found in the Bajo Segura region of the province of Alicante (Spain). This exorheic lake of marine sedimentary origin was connected to the Mediterranean Sea up until Quaternary times. Today it acts as a salt flat, receiving water from its neighbouring Lagoon La Mata and brine from washing of the El Pinoso quarry. The purpose of the work is to study its environmental resources: the factors of the climate, the physicochemical properties and the composition of the waters, the thermal and textural characteristics of the natural peloid, and assess their possible use as thalassotherapeutic agents. The results obtained: marine climate; hypothermal water of strong mineralization (390 g/l), hypersaline, rich in magnesium sodium chloride and extremely hard; and lime muds of mineral sediment mainly organic with a low water content and scarce hardness and adhesiveness. They allow their application in thalassotherapy, obtaining the best results in musculoskeletal and skin disorders.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143952269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Heat in the transport sector: measured heat exposure and interventions to address heat-related health impacts in the minibus taxi industry in South Africa. 运输部门的热量：测量的热量暴露和解决南非小巴出租车行业与热量有关的健康影响的干预措施。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02935-2

Caradee Y Wright, Thandi Kapwata, Siyathemba Kunene, Ngwako Kwatala, Nomfundo Mahlangeni, Tracey Laban, Candice Webster

{"title":"Heat in the transport sector: measured heat exposure and interventions to address heat-related health impacts in the minibus taxi industry in South Africa.","authors":"Caradee Y Wright, Thandi Kapwata, Siyathemba Kunene, Ngwako Kwatala, Nomfundo Mahlangeni, Tracey Laban, Candice Webster","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02935-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02935-2","url":null,"abstract":"High temperatures, heat and heatwaves are being experienced more frequently and with greater intensity in many parts of the world, including South Africa, and record-breaking maximum temperatures are becoming more common. Exposure to heat has adverse impacts on human health and wellbeing. The transport sector and its users are vulnerable to heat both inside vehicles as well as in places where people wait for public transport. We sought to assess the temperatures experienced in minibus taxis, a common mode of transport in South Africa and in minibus taxi ranks as well as the heat-related perceptions of minibus taxi drivers working in the Chesterville Taxi Association in Durban. We also observed heat-related elements in minibus taxi ranks. Data from temperature loggers showed that temperatures inside minibus taxis reached up to 39 °C and were between 3-4 °C warmer than outdoors. For around 11 h every day, temperatures inside minibus taxis were warmer than 27 °C - the temperature that is linked to heat-health symptoms. Taxi drivers (N = 16) all agreed they feel hot in the minibus taxi and more than 90% said they drink water to try to cool down. Taxi ranks were lacking in supply of drinking water and shade for minibus taxis and seating. With the projected increase in temperatures caused by climate change, it is imperative to co-develop mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimise heat-related human health impacts in minibus taxis and taxi ranks especially in low- and middle-income countries.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143960695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The effectiveness of a 3-week spa therapy on the 6-month mobility and functional ability of patients with knee osteoarthritis: the ANGELLO randomized controlled trial. 为期3周的水疗治疗对膝关节骨关节炎患者6个月的活动能力和功能能力的影响：ANGELLO随机对照试验。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02927-2

Romain Forestier, Françoise Debiais, Natacha Michel, Romain Schueller, Christine Juhel

{"title":"The effectiveness of a 3-week spa therapy on the 6-month mobility and functional ability of patients with knee osteoarthritis: the ANGELLO randomized controlled trial.","authors":"Romain Forestier, Françoise Debiais, Natacha Michel, Romain Schueller, Christine Juhel","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02927-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02927-2","url":null,"abstract":"Spa therapy is a potential treatment for knee osteoarthritis (KOA). The primary objective of this randomized controlled trial (RCT) was to investigate the effectiveness of a 3-week spa therapy intervention on the 6-month change in function (mobility and functional ability) of KOA patients. Secondary objectives examined the effectiveness of the intervention on KOA-related pain, stiffness, overall symptoms severity, and patient's quality of life. Community-dwelling adults, aged 50-80 years-old with KOA were randomized to spa therapy intervention or control (usual care) group. The primary outcome measure was assessed using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities osteoarthritis index (WOMAC) function subscale. Other outcome measures were the WOMAC pain subscale and a pain visual analog scale, the WOMAC stiffness subscale, the WOMAC total scores, the EQ-5D-3 L for quality-of-life, and patient reported outcomes. Among the 173 individuals randomized, 145 (n = 74 in spa therapy, mean age 67.5 ± 6.4, 67.6% women; n = 71 in controls, mean age 68.3 ± 6.7, 64.8% women) were analyzed. A significant between-group mean difference of 11.7 points in the WOMAC function subscale, favoring the spa therapy group, was found at six months follow-up (primary outcome measure). The intervention was effective in significantly improving most secondary outcomes, including the WOMAC stiffness, pain (and pain visual analog scale) and total scores, as well as the minimum clinically meaningful changes in KOA symptoms, and patient's quality of life. Improvements were achieved during the intervention period and remained significant over the 6-month follow-up. This work demonstrated the effectiveness of spa therapy in KOA treatment.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143962133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Comparison of the efficacy of peloid therapy and paraffin treatment in carpal tunnel syndrome. 盆腔法与石蜡法治疗腕管综合征疗效比较。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02941-4

Büşra Şirin Ahısha, Selma Akkaya Arı, Nurdan Paker, Nur Kesiktaş, Yasemin Barut

{"title":"Comparison of the efficacy of peloid therapy and paraffin treatment in carpal tunnel syndrome.","authors":"Büşra Şirin Ahısha, Selma Akkaya Arı, Nurdan Paker, Nur Kesiktaş, Yasemin Barut","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02941-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02941-4","url":null,"abstract":"Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is a common neuropathy caused by median nerve compression at the wrist, managed with treatments like splinting, physical therapy, injections, and surgery. This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of paraffin and peloid therapies combined with night splint use in reducing symptom severity, improving functional status, and enhancing electrophysiological findings in patients with mild to moderate CTS.Sixty patients with mild to moderate CTS scheduled for paraffin or peloid therapy with night splint use were included. Symptom severity was assessed using the Visual Analog Scale (VAS) and the Boston Carpal Tunnel Syndrome Questionnaire's Symptom Severity Scale (BSSS). Functional status was evaluated with the Functional Status Scale (BFSS). Electrophysiological parameters, including distal sensory latency (DSL), distal motor latency (DML), sensory nerve action potential (SNAP), compound muscle action potential (CMAP), sensory conduction velocity (SCV), and motor conduction velocity (MCV), were measured via electromyography (EMG). Assessments were performed at baseline, and at the 4th and 12th weeks post-treatment. Both therapies significantly improved VAS and BSSS scores at the 4th and 12th weeks (p < 0.05). Functional status improved only in the paraffin group (p < 0.05). Electrophysiological improvements in DSL and DML were significant in the paraffin group (p < 0.05), while no significant changes were noted in the peloid group. Between-group comparisons showed significant differences in DSL, DML, and SCV in favor of paraffin (p < 0.05). Paraffin and peloid therapies with night splint use reduce CTS symptom severity, but paraffin is superior in improving function and nerve conduction.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144053848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

30 years of climate related phenological research: themes and trends. 30年气候物候研究：主题与趋势。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02903-w

Emily J Hickinbotham, Francesca A Ridley, Steven P Rushton, Zarah Pattison

{"title":"30 years of climate related phenological research: themes and trends.","authors":"Emily J Hickinbotham, Francesca A Ridley, Steven P Rushton, Zarah Pattison","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02903-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02903-w","url":null,"abstract":"Anthropogenic climate change has caused changes in the seasonal timing (phenology) of life-cycle events with consequential impacts on ecosystem functioning and biodiversity. Over the last 30 years, climate-related phenological research has expanded rapidly. To identify key themes and knowledge gaps in this research landscape we used a text-based analysis approach, topic modelling. Our systematic literature search identified 4,681 publications on phenology between 1989 and 2019. We showed taxonomic and geographic bias in the literature with a large proportion of publications on bird migration and reproduction, insect phenology, marine phenology, and agriculture, focused within the Northern hemisphere. Our results reflected the decadal advances in technology, for example remote sensing studies increased the most in popularity. Topics related to genetics increased along with mismatching, which has impacts on species fitness. While climate-based topics were highly connected, there was little connectivity between different disciplines and newer areas of research. Remote sensing rarely co-occurred with other topics, insect phenology was either being studied with plants or birds instead of being considered as part of a network, and mismatching was rarely studied alongside other methodologies in phenological research. We suggest that transdisciplinary research considering species as part of a system and analyzing new or understudied taxa and regions should be prioritized. The disjuncts identified in this analysis inhibit development of a coherent view of the impact of phenological changes on biodiversity and will have implications for conservation management.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143955479","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A novel method for local clothing insulation prediction to support sustainable building and urban design. 一种为可持续建筑和城市设计提供支持的局部服装隔热预测新方法。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02934-3

Junwei Lin, Ying Jiang, Yongxin Xie, Jianlei Niu

{"title":"A novel method for local clothing insulation prediction to support sustainable building and urban design.","authors":"Junwei Lin, Ying Jiang, Yongxin Xie, Jianlei Niu","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02934-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02934-3","url":null,"abstract":"Clothing is crucial in thermal comfort evaluation, affecting heat exchange between the body and the environment. Assuming even clothing insulation across body segments can lead to inaccurate predictions, affecting building and urban design strategies. This study processed insulation data from 240 clothing ensembles to derive local insulation values. Regression models were developed to relate local and overall insulation values, allowing fast estimation of local insulation distribution for any given overall value. To validate the effectiveness of local clothing insulation values predicted by the proposed methods, measured real-time skin temperatures were collected from field experiments and compared with predicted values. Results demonstrated a significant accuracy improvement in the predicted local skin temperature from thermoregulation simulation combined with the proposed local clothing insulation estimation methods. The Jaccard Similarity Coefficient (JSC) increased by an average of 0.21, with body segments like the head, neck, shoulders, back, and arms showing nearly 0.4 or more improvement. These local insulation determination functions, used with a multi-nodal thermoregulation model, offer a simpler and more effective way to enhance thermal comfort assessment accuracy. By providing more precise local insulation values, these functions can help optimize building designs and urban planning strategies, leading to better thermal comfort for occupants.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143951401","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Combined influence of fluctuations in the environmental conditions and space weather on the chrono-periodic system in cardiovascular pathology. 环境条件和空间天气波动对心血管病理时周期系统的综合影响。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02918-3

Hamlet G Hayrapetyan, Ashot A Chilingarian, Lyusya A Babayan, John K Karapetyan, Hrachya A Vardanyan, Narine A Gasparyan, Naira Kh Atoyan, Victoria H Vardanyan, Ruzanna G Paronikyan

{"title":"Combined influence of fluctuations in the environmental conditions and space weather on the chrono-periodic system in cardiovascular pathology.","authors":"Hamlet G Hayrapetyan, Ashot A Chilingarian, Lyusya A Babayan, John K Karapetyan, Hrachya A Vardanyan, Narine A Gasparyan, Naira Kh Atoyan, Victoria H Vardanyan, Ruzanna G Paronikyan","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02918-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02918-3","url":null,"abstract":"This review aims to explore the impact of natural environmental factors on human health and cardiovascular pathology. The precise ways in which complex life forms adapted to these factors remain unclear. However, it is known that Homo sapiens evolved cardiovascular and neurological systems, which generate electromagnetic fields as part of their function. It is still uncertain how the human body may have utilized external electromagnetic fields to regulate its processes. Additionally, we will discuss the mechanisms related to environmental factors that may have influenced evolutionary pathways. This review paper also examines the impact of oscillations in natural environmental factors on human chrono-periodic systems. The human body is influenced by various fluctuations in both external and internal factors, some of which can potentially disrupt homeostasis. Animals and humans have the ability to anticipate external signal. The chrono-periodic system of the human body is responsible for this \"premonition\". It would be incorrect to assume that specific reactions to each stimulus were fully developed and fixed during evolution. Except for genetic defects, it is unlikely that the human body evolved to have fixed pathological reactions, as this would contradict the principles of natural selection. Therefore, all typical responses of the human body to stimuli should be considered physiological, meaning they are adaptive.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143955106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Thermal requirements and forecasting the start of the plane tree pollen season in Tétouan (NW Morocco). tsamouan（摩洛哥西北部）的热需求和预测枫树花粉季节的开始。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02939-y

Ijlal Raissouni, Lamiaa Achmakh, Asmaa Boullayali, Jihan El-Khattabi, Mustapha Hassoun, Hassan Bouziane

{"title":"Thermal requirements and forecasting the start of the plane tree pollen season in Tétouan (NW Morocco).","authors":"Ijlal Raissouni, Lamiaa Achmakh, Asmaa Boullayali, Jihan El-Khattabi, Mustapha Hassoun, Hassan Bouziane","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02939-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02939-y","url":null,"abstract":"Chilling and heat requirements are important for breaking dormancy and initiating blooming in temperate deciduous trees. To establish these requirements for Platanus trees, and predict the start of pollination in a given year, we performed a study based on aerobiological data from 2013 to 2024 in Tétouan (NW Morocco). Chilling requirements were established using two methods: the Aron Model (AM) and the Dynamic Model (DM), which estimate chill hours (CH) and chill portions (CP), respectively. As for heat requirements, we used Ring's Growing Degree Days (GDD) and Growing Degree Hours (GDH) methods. These various approaches generated four combinations: Aron's model with GDD (GDDAM), Aron's model with GDH (GDHAM), Dynamic model with GDD (GDDDM), Dynamic model with GDH (GDHDM). Our findings showed that the chilling requirements accumulated a mean of 663.14 CH and 23.9 CP, while heat requirements showed a mean value of 180.5 GDDAM, 8207.1 GDHAM, 129.19 GDDDM, and 6742.93 GDHDM. The leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) allowed a generally satisfactory forecast for all combinations and exhibited minor differences between predicted and observed pollination dates, ranging from - 3 to 0 days. Following a thorough analysis based on linear regression analysis and other considerations detailed in the discussion, heat requirements using GDHDM showed a closer relationship with the start date of the pollen season and could be preferred in this case to develop forecasting models in Tétouan. However, it would be interesting to employ other approaches and to use more extended data series to strengthen this conclusion.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143952773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Identifying the tourism sector's exposure to climate change utilizing two different climate datasets: the case of three climatically diverse locations in Slovenia. 利用两种不同的气候数据集确定旅游业对气候变化的影响：以斯洛文尼亚三个气候不同的地点为例。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02910-x

Tjaša Pogačar, Rok Kuk, Katja Kokot, Maja Turnšek

{"title":"Identifying the tourism sector's exposure to climate change utilizing two different climate datasets: the case of three climatically diverse locations in Slovenia.","authors":"Tjaša Pogačar, Rok Kuk, Katja Kokot, Maja Turnšek","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02910-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02910-x","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the exposure of Slovenia's tourism industry to climate change by analyzing climate data from two sources: the Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS) and the Slovenian Environment Agency (ARSO). Three distinct climate zones in Slovenia, namely submediterranean, subcontinental and moderate climate of the hilly region are examined. Using climate indices such as CIT: 3S and HCI: Urban, the research assesses historical trends and future projections of climate suitability for various tourism activities. Key climate variables, including hot days, heavy precipitation, and snow cover, are analyzed to improve the understanding of climate exposure. The submediterranean region may experience extended tourist seasons but face challenges from heatwaves and water scarcity. The subalpine region, dependent on winter tourism, is projected to experience reduced snow cover and potential challenges for ski resorts. The subcontinental region could benefit from extended seasons for outdoor activities but may also face heat stress and extreme weather events. The study shows that climate indicators can offer valuable insights, but can also oversimplify complex climate processes. Discrepancies between CDS and ARSO data highlight potential biases, emphasizing the need for caution in interpreting absolute values. Climate projections inherently involve uncertainties, particularly for snow indicators. Ensemble modeling and careful consideration of uncertainties are essential for assessing future impacts. By addressing these considerations, this study provides a comprehensive understanding of climate change's implications for Slovenia's tourism sector and offers valuable guidance for adaptation planning.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143957584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Tree-ring blue-intensity reconstruction of the April-September maximum temperature in the Greater Caucasus region of Georgia since 1780 CE. 1780年以来格鲁吉亚大高加索地区4 - 9月最高温度的树轮蓝强度重建。

IF 3 3区地球科学

International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2025-04-30 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02930-7

Zulfiyor Bakhtiyorov, Feng Chen, Youping Chen, Shijie Wang, Heli Zhang, Mao Hu, Weipeng Yue, Sharifjon Habibulloev, Giorgi Kavtaradze, Oimahmad Rahmonov, Ekaterina Dolgova, Marina Gurskaya, Leonid Agafonov, Adam Khan, Hui Tao

{"title":"Tree-ring blue-intensity reconstruction of the April-September maximum temperature in the Greater Caucasus region of Georgia since 1780 CE.","authors":"Zulfiyor Bakhtiyorov, Feng Chen, Youping Chen, Shijie Wang, Heli Zhang, Mao Hu, Weipeng Yue, Sharifjon Habibulloev, Giorgi Kavtaradze, Oimahmad Rahmonov, Ekaterina Dolgova, Marina Gurskaya, Leonid Agafonov, Adam Khan, Hui Tao","doi":"10.1007/s00484-025-02930-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-025-02930-7","url":null,"abstract":"The April-September maximum temperature in the Greater Caucasus region of Georgia has undergone notable changes, yet extended reconstructions remain scarce. We collected 40 Pinus sylvestris cores from Bakuriani and extracted their blue-intensity (BI) signals, which capture latewood density closely linked to high-season temperature. After chemical treatment and high-resolution scanning, we employed correlation analyses to identify the seasonal temperature signal in BI. Then, we used a linear regression model-validated by local instrumental records from 1950-2020-to reconstruct April-September temperatures back to 1780 CE. Additional superposed epoch analysis tested the reconstruction's responsiveness to significant volcanic eruptions and solar variability. Our reconstruction strongly correlates with observed data (r = 0.72, p < 0.001), revealing significant warming trends alongside cooling events linked to volcanic aerosols and low solar activity in recent decades. Spatial analyses confirm that the BI-derived temperature variations align well with broader regional climate patterns. Furthermore, CMIP6-based projections under high-emission scenarios suggest possible warming of up to 8.75°C by 2100, highlighting the severity of future climate risks in the region. By integrating BI data, linear regression techniques, and superposed epoch analysis, this research demonstrates the effectiveness of tree-ring proxies in capturing both anthropogenic and natural drivers of climate variability. The resulting 240-year temperature record provides valuable insights into historical climate dynamics, refines model predictions, and underscores the importance of localised, high-resolution data for adaptation planning in the Greater Caucasus region.","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143958689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0