Nuria Montiel, Pablo J Hidalgo, José Antonio Adame, Francisco González-Minero
{"title":"Pollen season variations among anemophilous species in an Atlantic-influenced mediterranean environment: a long term study (1993-2022).","authors":"Nuria Montiel, Pablo J Hidalgo, José Antonio Adame, Francisco González-Minero","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02796-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02796-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Numerous studies have shown that climate change is impacting the airborne pollen concentration of various anemophilous plant species, both herbaceous and woody. The aim of this study was to determine whether this trend, highly marked in Europe, is also occurring in the city of Huelva (south-western Spain), an area with a milder Mediterranean climate. The factors influencing the main pollen season were studied for all local taxa accounting for more than 1% of the total pollen collected, over the period 1993-2022, using a volumetric Hirst type trap to determine concentration. The study included a trend analysis of meteorological variables susceptible to climate change, specifically maximum, minimum and average temperature, precipitation and the number of hours of insolation per day. Although some of the variables analysed do not show significant trends for most taxa, such as start date or peak date, the overall results indicate a trend in the airborne pollen dynamics for herbaceous and woody taxa. Six of the eight woody taxa studied showed a significant trend towards increased pollen concentration, some of which are associated with temperature in previous seasons. In contrast, three of the five herbaceous taxa, which are more sensitive to short term meteorological variables, show a significant acceleration in the end date of the main pollen season, correlated negatively with temperature and insolation. In conclusion, some incipient changes are occurring, which may be indicative of future consequences on biodiversity in the Mediterranean area influenced by the Atlantic Ocean.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142602777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chunyan Gui, Han Zhang, Zhanlu Lv, Tao Liu, Shengbing Yu, Yanjun Xu, Hualiang Lin, Jianpeng Xiao, Wenjun Ma, Bin Luo, Ling-Chuan Guo
{"title":"Effects of fine particulate matter bound heavy metals on intentional self-harm deaths in Guangzhou, China, insight from core chemical constituents.","authors":"Chunyan Gui, Han Zhang, Zhanlu Lv, Tao Liu, Shengbing Yu, Yanjun Xu, Hualiang Lin, Jianpeng Xiao, Wenjun Ma, Bin Luo, Ling-Chuan Guo","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02813-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02813-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) is one of the major threats to human health, and may partly responsible for intentional self-harm deaths, while the limited results seemed contradictory. Further analysis on PM<sub>2.5</sub> constituents may provide more reliable evidence. Heavy metals are crucial toxic components of PM<sub>2.5</sub> that may induce suicide behavior. What role do PM<sub>2.5</sub>-bound heavy metals play in a threat to intentional self-harm death is still unclear. Two-year data of daily PM<sub>2.5</sub>-bound heavy metals (including metalloids) and daily intentional self-harm deaths were collected in Guangzhou. Bayesian kernel machine regression, weighted quantile sum, and quantile-based g-computation models were employed to depict the relationships between heavy metals and intentional self-harm deaths. The number of intentional self-harm deaths was 217 and 283 for 2015 and 2016, respectively. A positive correlation was found between the combined effect of the 13 heavy metals and intentional self-harm deaths. Nickel, cadmium, and iron were the primary contributors to this positive correlation. Heavy metal components play significant roles in PM<sub>2.5</sub>-related intentional self-harm deaths, and targeted source control measures are warranted to protect residents from suicide.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142581560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Pedro Antonio Lorençone, João Antonio Lorençone, Glauco de Souza Rolim
{"title":"Barley vulnerability to climate change: perspectives for cultivation in South America.","authors":"Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Pedro Antonio Lorençone, João Antonio Lorençone, Glauco de Souza Rolim","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02798-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02798-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Barley (Hordeum vulgare) is a globally significant cereal crop, widely used in both food production and brewing. However, it is particularly vulnerable to climate change, especially extreme temperature fluctuations, which can severely reduce yields. To address this challenge, a detailed climate zoning study was conducted to assess the suitability of barley production areas across South America, considering both current conditions and future climate scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The study utilized historical climate data along with projections from the CMIP6 IPSL-CM6A-LR model for the period 2021-2100. Several indices, such as evapotranspiration, were calculated, and factors like soil composition and topography were integrated into the classification of regions based on their agricultural potential. Critical variables in this assessment included temperature, precipitation, and water or thermal excess. The results showed that 6.59% of South America's territory is currently suitable for barley cultivation without additional irrigation, with these regions concentrated primarily in temperate southern areas. In contrast, 18.62% of the region is already unsuitable due to excessive heat. Projections under future climate scenarios indicate a shrinking of suitable areas, alongside an expansion of unsuitable regions. In the worst-case scenario, only 1.48% of the territory would remain viable for barley farming. These findings emphasize the crop's vulnerability to climate change, underscoring the urgency of developing agricultural adaptation strategies. The predicted contraction in suitable barley cultivation areas demonstrates the profound impact of climate change on agriculture and highlights the need for proactive measures to ensure sustainable barley production in South America.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142581558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Greater moisture impacts on radial growth of Larix sibirica in the eastern Altay Mountains since the 1990s.","authors":"Xiaoxia Gou, Tongwen Zhang, Shulong Yu, Huaming Shang, Ruibo Zhang, Li Qin, Kexiang Liu, Shengxia Jiang, Dong Guo, Yuting Fan, Ruxianguli Abudureheman, Heli Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02795-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02795-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Against the background of climate warming and humidification, the so-called 'divergence problem' reduces the stability of tree rings in response to climate, and affects the reliability of tree-ring reconstruction. Investigation of the divergence problem is crucial to improve our understanding of the response patterns of trees to climate warming, and provide a scientific basis for accurate climate reconstruction. Based on tree-ring width data for Siberian larch (Larix sibirica Ledeb.) growing at low elevations in the eastern Altay Mountains, we analyzed the relationship between radial growth of trees and climatic factors in the context of abrupt climate change in this region. We calculated the proportional contribution of five climatic factors to the radial growth of trees, and discussed the response mechanism of radial growth of L. sibirica in combination with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. The radial growth of L. sibirica was mainly constrained by water availability. Before climate warming (1961-1990), the radial growth of L. sibirica was mainly limited by temperature in the previous June. After abrupt climate warming (1991-2020), there was a significant positive correlation between growth and soil moisture in the previous winter, suggesting that high temperatures in the following spring would limit tree radial growth if water availability was low. The attribution analysis results revealed that, before 1990, the proportional of relative contribution of temperature to radial growth of trees exceeded 60%. Since 1990, the proportional of relative contribution of water (precipitation and volumetric soil water) to growth of L. sibirica increased. This might reflect the combined effects of local climatic conditions and changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142574817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kai Jin, Yidong Wu, Fei Wang, Cuijin Li, Quanli Zong, Chunxia Liu
{"title":"Correction to: Assessment of climatic and anthropogenic influences on vegetation dynamics in China: a consideration of climate time-lag and cumulative effects.","authors":"Kai Jin, Yidong Wu, Fei Wang, Cuijin Li, Quanli Zong, Chunxia Liu","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02803-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02803-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142562405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Janice Ying-En Ho, Yitong Guo, Ka Chun Chong, Pak Wai Chan, Chun Kit Ho, Hiu Fai Law, Ren Chao, Edward Yan Yung Ng, Kevin Lau
{"title":"Suitable temperature indicator for adverse health impacts in sub-tropical cities: a case study in Hong Kong from 2010-2019.","authors":"Janice Ying-En Ho, Yitong Guo, Ka Chun Chong, Pak Wai Chan, Chun Kit Ho, Hiu Fai Law, Ren Chao, Edward Yan Yung Ng, Kevin Lau","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02807-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02807-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Heat-health warning systems and services are important preventive actions for extreme heat, however, global evidence differs on which temperature indicator is more informative for heat-health outcomes. We comprehensively assessed temperature predictors on their summer associations with adverse health impacts in a high-density subtropical city. Maximum, mean, and minimum temperatures were examined on their associations with non-cancer mortality and hospital admissions in Hong Kong during summer seasons 2010-2019 using Generalized Additive Models and Distributed Lag Non-linear Models. In summary, mean and minimum temperatures were identified as strong indicators for mortality, with a relative risk(RR) and 95% confidence interval(CI) of 1.037 (1.006-1.069) and 1.055 (1.019-1.092), respectively, at 95th percentile vs. optimal temperature. Additionally, minimum temperatures captured the effects of hospital admissions, RR1.009 (95%CI: 1.000- 1.018). In stratified analyses, significant associations were found for older adults, female sex, and respiratory-related outcomes. For comparison, there was no association between maximum temperature and health outcomes. With climate change and projected increase of night-time warming, the findings from this comprehensive assessment method are useful to strengthen heat prevention strategies and enhance heat-health warning systems. Other locations could refer to this comprehensive method to evaluate their heat risk, especially in highly urbanized environments and subtropical cities.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142542804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evaluating tree-ring proxies for representing the ecosystem productivity in India.","authors":"Aharna Sarkar, Pinaki Das, Sandipan Mukherjee, Pramit Kumar Deb Burman, Supriyo Chakraborty","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02799-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02799-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Terrestrial ecosystems are one of the major sinks of atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> and play a key role in climate change mitigation. Forest ecosystems offset nearly 25% of the global annual CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, and a large part of this is stored in the aboveground woody biomass. Several studies have focused on understanding the carbon sequestration processes in forest ecosystems and their response to climate change using the eddy covariance (EC) technique and remotely sensed vegetation indices. However, very few of them address the linkage of tree-ring growth with the ecosystem-atmosphere carbon exchange, and nearly none have tested this linkage over a long-term (> 100 years) - limited by the short-term (< 50 years) availability of measured ecosystem carbon flux. Nevertheless, tree-ring indices can potentially act as proxies for ecosystem productivity. We utilise the Coupled Climate Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project (C4MIP) model outputs for its 140-year-long simulated records of mean monthly gross primary productivity (GPP) and compare them with the tree-ring growth indices over the northwestern Himalayan region in India. In this study, we examine three coniferous tree species: Pinus roxburghii and Picea smithiana wall. Boiss and Cedrus deodara and find that the strength of the correlation between GPP and tree ring growth indices (RWI) varies among the species.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142542803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Proposing adjustments to heat safety thresholds for junior high and high school sports clubs in Japan.","authors":"Takahiro Oyama, Yasushi Honda, Minoru Fujii, Kenichi Nakajima, Yasuaki Hijioka","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02812-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02812-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>With higher temperatures expected in the future due to global climate change, addressing health risks such as heat illness is increasingly important. In Japan, thousands of heat illness cases occur annually during school sports club activities. The risk may vary by sport, location, and region, but how heat safety thresholds (HSTs) should be adjusted to provide effective guidelines remains uncertain. Thus, we conducted a case-crossover study using data of heat illness cases and wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) throughout Japan to evaluate the heat illness risk for the current HSTs and propose adjustments. A significant relationship was found between heat illness incidence and WBGT at the time of the incident, as well as the average WBGT one and two days prior. The risk significantly varies with factors such as club, region, location, year, month, and the average WBGT in summer. Therefore, we recommend lowering the current HSTs by one category (3 °C) in the following cases: (1) clubs at high risk (baseball, softball, soccer/futsal, tennis, track and field, kyudo, and other with sustained exercise or thick uniforms); (2) from April to June; (3) in cooler regions (Hokkaido, Tohoku, Hokuriku, or where the average WBGT in summer≦18℃); (4) for outdoor activities; (5) when heat rapidly increases without adequate heat acclimatization. These findings may inform educators, students, sports authorities, and policymakers in adjusting HSTs to reduce the incidence of heat illness, thereby ensuring safer environments for school sports activities.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142520608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mid infrared spectroscopy combined with chemometrics as tool to monitor the impact of heat stress and dietary interventions in lactating sows.","authors":"M Navarro, A Coba, M Muller, E Roura, D Cozzolino","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02792-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02792-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Heat stress in hyper-prolific lactating sows is recognised as a factor reducing feed intake, milk production, and welfare, with significant losses in farm productivity. Individual capacities for body thermoregulation during environmental hyperthermia determine the adaptation of the animal during long and recurrent events. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of attenuated total reflectance (ATR) mid infrared (MIR) spectroscopy as a high-throughput method to identify markers of stress in plasma and milk collected from lactating sows under heat stress conditions fed with two levels of protein in the diet defined as low (16%) and standard (20%). The MIR spectra were analysed using linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and principal component analysis and validated using cross-validation. The results obtained indicated that MIR spectroscopy, in combination with chemometrics, was able to identify changes in the spectra associated with heat stress in wavenumbers corresponding with amide groups (proteins) (highest loadings observed in the regions between1065 and 1635 cm<sup>-1</sup>), lipids and unsaturated fatty acids (regions between 1746 and 3063 cm<sup>-1</sup>), lipo-polysaccharides (in 1247 cm<sup>-1</sup>) and carbohydrates (around the region1050 cm<sup>-1</sup>). These results also indicated that the information provided by these wavenumbers can be used as metabolic markers of the adaptation of the sows to hyperthermia. It was concluded that MIR spectroscopy is a rapid and inexpensive tool capable of detecting and evaluating the main biochemical changes of hyperthermia on lactating sows, facilitating the development of palliative management strategies such as dietary manipulations.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142492593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The interactive effect of extreme weather events and PM<sub>2.5</sub> on respiratory health among the elderly: a case-crossover study in a high-altitude city.","authors":"Zhenxu Ning, Yanjun Ma, Shuzhen He, Genshan Li, Ting Xiao, Chunguang Ma, Jing Wu","doi":"10.1007/s00484-024-02811-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-024-02811-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>With climate change posing increasing threats and aging populations, understanding the complex relationship between extreme temperatures, PM<sub>2.5</sub> pollution, and respiratory health among the elderly is crucial. While some research exists, there remains a significant gap in studying the combined effects of heat waves, cold spells, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> on elderly respiratory health in high-altitude regions. We collected data from Xining (2016-2021), including respiratory disease outpatient visits, meteorological, and pollutant data. Employing a case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression analysis, we investigated the individual and interactive impacts of heat wave, cold spell, and PM<sub>2.5</sub> on outpatient visits for respiratory disease among the elderly. We used the relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), proportion attributable to interaction (AP), and synergy index (S) as quantitative indicators of interaction. Our analysis revealed significant associations between heat wave, cold spell, PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure, and outpatient visits for respiratory disease among the elderly, with odds ratios of 1.10 (95%CI: 1.06, 1.15) and 1.16 (95%CI: 1.13, 1.20), respectively. Moreover, a synergistic effect between cold spell and PM<sub>2.5</sub> was observed, particularly affecting vulnerable groups such as female and those aged ≥ 80. The combined exposure to cold spell and elevated PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels was estimated to contribute to up to 0.18 (95%CI: 0.17, 0.27) of respiratory outpatient visits. This study underscores the need for urgent interventions, such as reducing PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure and enhancing extreme weather warning systems, to protect the respiratory health of the elderly, especially in high-altitude regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":588,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Biometeorology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142492595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}