Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis最新文献

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Sieve bootstrapping the memory parameter in long-range dependent stationary functional time series 筛网自举的记忆参数在长期依赖平稳函数时间序列
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00463-7
Han Lin Shang
{"title":"Sieve bootstrapping the memory parameter in long-range dependent stationary functional time series","authors":"Han Lin Shang","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00463-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00463-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We consider a sieve bootstrap procedure to quantify the estimation uncertainty of long-memory parameters in stationary functional time series. We use a semiparametric local Whittle estimator to estimate the long-memory parameter. In the local Whittle estimator, discrete Fourier transform and periodogram are constructed from the first set of principal component scores via a functional principal component analysis. The sieve bootstrap procedure uses a general vector autoregressive representation of the estimated principal component scores. It generates bootstrap replicates that adequately mimic the dependence structure of the underlying stationary process. We first compute the estimated first set of principal component scores for each bootstrap replicate and then apply the semiparametric local Whittle estimator to estimate the memory parameter. By taking quantiles of the estimated memory parameters from these bootstrap replicates, we can nonparametrically construct confidence intervals of the long-memory parameter. As measured by coverage probability differences between the empirical and nominal coverage probabilities at three levels of significance, we demonstrate the advantage of using the sieve bootstrap compared to the asymptotic confidence intervals based on normality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 3","pages":"421 - 441"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00463-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46807934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Distributional properties of continuous time processes: from CIR to bates 连续时间过程的分布性质:从CIR到bates
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00459-3
Ostap Okhrin, Michael Rockinger, Manuel Schmid
{"title":"Distributional properties of continuous time processes: from CIR to bates","authors":"Ostap Okhrin,&nbsp;Michael Rockinger,&nbsp;Manuel Schmid","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00459-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00459-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we compute closed-form expressions of moments and comoments for the CIR process which allows us to provide a new construction of the transition probability density based on a moment argument that differs from the historic approach. For Bates’ model with stochastic volatility and jumps, we show that finite difference approximations of higher moments such as the skewness and the kurtosis are unstable and, as a remedy, provide exact analytic formulas for log-returns. Our approach does not assume a constant mean for log-price differentials but correctly incorporates volatility resulting from Ito’s lemma. We also provide R, MATLAB, and Mathematica modules with exact implementations of the theoretical conditional and unconditional moments. These modules should prove useful for empirical research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 3","pages":"397 - 419"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00459-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50046215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Hierarchical disjoint principal component analysis 层次不相交主成分分析
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00458-4
Carlo Cavicchia, Maurizio Vichi, Giorgia Zaccaria
{"title":"Hierarchical disjoint principal component analysis","authors":"Carlo Cavicchia,&nbsp;Maurizio Vichi,&nbsp;Giorgia Zaccaria","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00458-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00458-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Dimension reduction, by means of Principal Component Analysis (PCA), is often employed to obtain a reduced set of components preserving the largest possible part of the total variance of the observed variables. Several methodologies have been proposed either to improve the interpretation of PCA results (e.g., by means of orthogonal, oblique rotations, shrinkage methods), or to model oblique components or factors with a hierarchical structure, such as in Bi-factor and High-Order Factor analyses. In this paper, we propose a new methodology, called Hierarchical Disjoint Principal Component Analysis (HierDPCA), that aims at building a hierarchy of disjoint principal components of maximum variance associated with disjoint groups of observed variables, from <i>Q</i> up to a unique, general one. HierDPCA also allows choosing the type of the relationship among disjoint principal components of two sequential levels, from the lowest upwards, by testing the component correlation per level and changing from a reflective to a formative approach when this correlation turns out to be not statistically significant. The methodology is formulated in a semi-parametric least-squares framework and a coordinate descent algorithm is proposed to estimate the model parameters. A simulation study and two real applications are illustrated to highlight the empirical properties of the proposed methodology.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 3","pages":"537 - 574"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00458-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42994839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Multiple imputation of ordinal missing not at random data 非随机数据序号缺失的多重插补
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00461-9
Angelina Hammon
{"title":"Multiple imputation of ordinal missing not at random data","authors":"Angelina Hammon","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00461-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00461-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We introduce a selection model-based imputation approach to be used within the Fully Conditional Specification (FCS) framework for the Multiple Imputation (MI) of incomplete ordinal variables that are supposed to be Missing Not at Random (MNAR). Thereby, we generalise previous work on this topic which involved binary single-level and multilevel data to ordinal variables. We apply an ordered probit model with sample selection as base of our imputation algorithm. The applied model involves two equations that are modelled jointly where the first one describes the missing-data mechanism and the second one specifies the variable to be imputed. In addition, we develop a version for hierarchical data by incorporating random intercept terms in both equations. To fit this multilevel imputation model we use quadrature techniques. Two simulation studies validate the overall good performance of our single-level and multilevel imputation methods. In addition, we show its applicability to empirical data by applying it to a common research topic in educational science using data of the National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) and conducting a short sensitivity analysis. Our approach is designed to be used within the <span>R</span> software package <span>mice</span> which makes it easy to access and apply.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 4","pages":"671 - 692"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00461-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46920381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Testing for the presence of treatment effect under selection on observables 在可观察器上选择下治疗效果的存在性测试
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00454-8
Pier Luigi Conti, Livia De Giovanni
{"title":"Testing for the presence of treatment effect under selection on observables","authors":"Pier Luigi Conti,&nbsp;Livia De Giovanni","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00454-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00454-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The evaluation of the possible effects of a treatment on an outcome plays a central role in both theoretical and applied statistical and econometrical literature. This paper focuses on nonparametric tests for possible difference in the distribution of potential outcomes due to receiving or not receiving a treatment. The approach is based on weighting observed data on the basis on the estimated propensity score. Kolmogorov–Smirnov type and Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney type tests are constructed, and their limiting distributions are studied. Rejection regions are obtained by inverting confidence intervals. This involves the study of appropriate estimators of the limiting variance of test statistics. Approximations of quantiles <i>via</i> subsampling are also considered. The merits of the different tests are studied by Monte Carlo simulation. An application to the construction of tests for stochastic dominance is provided.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 4","pages":"641 - 669"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00454-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44295457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Authors’ response: on the role of data, statistics and decisions in a pandemic 作者的回应:关于数据、统计和决策在大流行中的作用
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-07-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00460-w
Beate Jahn, Sarah Friedrich, Joachim Behnke, Joachim Engel, Ursula Garczarek, Ralf Münnich, Markus Pauly, Adalbert Wilhelm, Olaf Wolkenhauer, Markus Zwick, Uwe Siebert, Tim Friede
{"title":"Authors’ response: on the role of data, statistics and decisions in a pandemic","authors":"Beate Jahn,&nbsp;Sarah Friedrich,&nbsp;Joachim Behnke,&nbsp;Joachim Engel,&nbsp;Ursula Garczarek,&nbsp;Ralf Münnich,&nbsp;Markus Pauly,&nbsp;Adalbert Wilhelm,&nbsp;Olaf Wolkenhauer,&nbsp;Markus Zwick,&nbsp;Uwe Siebert,&nbsp;Tim Friede","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00460-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00460-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"106 3","pages":"403 - 405"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00460-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40612467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
A new price index for multi-period and multilateral comparisons 用于多时期和多边比较的新价格指数
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00457-5
Mario Faliva, Consuelo Rubina Nava, Maria Grazia Zoia
{"title":"A new price index for multi-period and multilateral comparisons","authors":"Mario Faliva,&nbsp;Consuelo Rubina Nava,&nbsp;Maria Grazia Zoia","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00457-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00457-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Within the stochastic approach, this paper establishes a closed-form solution to the price index problem for an arbitrary number of periods or countries. The index’s reference basket merges the intersections of all couples of baskets in all periods/countries and provides an effective commodity coverage. Under spherical regression errors, the index satisfies the Geary–Khamis equation system and, as such, offers a general and compact representation of the latter as well as the inferential framework as a dowry. Furthermore, by relaxing sphericalness in favor of a more realistic assumption of commodity-dependent variances, a broader result is achieved. The solution to the price index problem thus obtained encompasses the Geary–Khamis formulation and sows the seeds to further advances.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 4","pages":"621 - 640"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00457-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49106042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Editorial special issue: Statistics in sports 社论特刊:体育统计
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00453-9
Andreas Groll, Dominik Liebl
{"title":"Editorial special issue: Statistics in sports","authors":"Andreas Groll,&nbsp;Dominik Liebl","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00453-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00453-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Triggered by advances in data gathering technologies, the use of statistical analyzes, predictions and modeling techniques in sports has gained a rapidly growing interest over the last decades. Today, professional sports teams have access to precise player positioning data and sports scientists design experiments involving non-standard data structures like movement-trajectories. This special issue on statistics in sports is dedicated to further foster the development of statistics and its applications in sports. The contributed articles address a wide range of statistical problems such as statistical methods for prediction of game outcomes, for prevention of sports injuries, for analyzing sports science data from movement laboratories, for measurement and evaluation of player performance, etc. Finally, also SARS-CoV-2 pandemic-related impacts on the sport’s framework are investigated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 1-2","pages":"1 - 7"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00453-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9122617","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Integration of model-based recursive partitioning with bias reduction estimation: a case study assessing the impact of Oliver’s four factors on the probability of winning a basketball game 基于模型的递归划分与偏差减少估计的集成:一个评估奥利弗的四个因素对篮球比赛获胜概率影响的案例研究
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00456-6
Manlio Migliorati, Marica Manisera, Paola Zuccolotto
{"title":"Integration of model-based recursive partitioning with bias reduction estimation: a case study assessing the impact of Oliver’s four factors on the probability of winning a basketball game","authors":"Manlio Migliorati,&nbsp;Marica Manisera,&nbsp;Paola Zuccolotto","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00456-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00456-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this contribution, we investigate the importance of Oliver’s Four Factors, proposed in the literature to identify a basketball team’s strengths and weaknesses in terms of shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws, as success drivers of a basketball game. In order to investigate the role of each factor in the success of a team in a match, we applied the MOdel-Based recursive partitioning (MOB) algorithm to real data concerning 19,138 matches of 16 National Basketball Association (NBA) regular seasons (from 2004–2005 to 2019–2020). MOB, instead of fitting one global Generalized Linear Model (GLM) to all observations, partitions the observations according to selected partitioning variables and estimates several ad hoc local GLMs for subgroups of observations. The manuscript’s aim is twofold: (1) in order to deal with (quasi) separation problems leading to convergence problems in the numerical solution of Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation in MOB, we propose a methodological extension of GLM-based recursive partitioning from standard ML estimation to bias-reduced (BR) estimation; and (2) we apply the BR-based GLM trees to basketball analytics. The results show models very easy to interpret that can provide useful support to coaching staff’s decisions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 1-2","pages":"271 - 293"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00456-6.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9114892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction to: Local spatial log-Gaussian Cox processes for seismic data 校正:地震数据的局部空间对数-高斯Cox过程
IF 1.4 4区 数学
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10182-022-00455-7
Nicoletta D’Angelo, Marianna Siino, Antonino D’Alessandro, Giada Adelfio
{"title":"Correction to: Local spatial log-Gaussian Cox processes for seismic data","authors":"Nicoletta D’Angelo,&nbsp;Marianna Siino,&nbsp;Antonino D’Alessandro,&nbsp;Giada Adelfio","doi":"10.1007/s10182-022-00455-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10182-022-00455-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55446,"journal":{"name":"Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis","volume":"107 4","pages":"815 - 819"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10182-022-00455-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138543389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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