筛网自举的记忆参数在长期依赖平稳函数时间序列

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Han Lin Shang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们考虑了一种筛子自举法来量化平稳函数时间序列中长记忆参数估计的不确定性。我们使用半参数局部Whittle估计来估计长记忆参数。在局部Whittle估计中,通过泛函主成分分析,从第一组主成分分数构造离散傅里叶变换和周期图。筛选引导过程使用估计主成分分数的一般向量自回归表示。它产生的自举复制,充分模仿基础平稳过程的依赖结构。我们首先计算估计的每个bootstrap复制的第一组主成分分数,然后应用半参数局部Whittle估计器估计内存参数。通过从这些自举重复中取估计的记忆参数的分位数,我们可以非参数地构造长记忆参数的置信区间。通过在三个显著性水平上测量经验和名义覆盖概率之间的覆盖概率差异,我们证明了与基于正态性的渐近置信区间相比,使用筛选自举法的优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Sieve bootstrapping the memory parameter in long-range dependent stationary functional time series

Sieve bootstrapping the memory parameter in long-range dependent stationary functional time series

We consider a sieve bootstrap procedure to quantify the estimation uncertainty of long-memory parameters in stationary functional time series. We use a semiparametric local Whittle estimator to estimate the long-memory parameter. In the local Whittle estimator, discrete Fourier transform and periodogram are constructed from the first set of principal component scores via a functional principal component analysis. The sieve bootstrap procedure uses a general vector autoregressive representation of the estimated principal component scores. It generates bootstrap replicates that adequately mimic the dependence structure of the underlying stationary process. We first compute the estimated first set of principal component scores for each bootstrap replicate and then apply the semiparametric local Whittle estimator to estimate the memory parameter. By taking quantiles of the estimated memory parameters from these bootstrap replicates, we can nonparametrically construct confidence intervals of the long-memory parameter. As measured by coverage probability differences between the empirical and nominal coverage probabilities at three levels of significance, we demonstrate the advantage of using the sieve bootstrap compared to the asymptotic confidence intervals based on normality.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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