BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae015
Gen Li, Miaoyan Wang
{"title":"Simultaneous clustering and estimation of networks in multiple graphical models.","authors":"Gen Li, Miaoyan Wang","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae015","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae015","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Gaussian graphical models are widely used to study the dependence structure among variables. When samples are obtained from multiple conditions or populations, joint analysis of multiple graphical models are desired due to their capacity to borrow strength across populations. Nonetheless, existing methods often overlook the varying levels of similarity between populations, leading to unsatisfactory results. Moreover, in many applications, learning the population-level clustering structure itself is of particular interest. In this article, we develop a novel method, called Simultaneous Clustering and Estimation of Networks via Tensor decomposition (SCENT), that simultaneously clusters and estimates graphical models from multiple populations. Precision matrices from different populations are uniquely organized as a three-way tensor array, and a low-rank sparse model is proposed for joint population clustering and network estimation. We develop a penalized likelihood method and an augmented Lagrangian algorithm for model fitting. We also establish the clustering accuracy and norm consistency of the estimated precision matrices. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method with comprehensive simulation studies. The application to the Genotype-Tissue Expression multi-tissue gene expression data provides important insights into tissue clustering and gene coexpression patterns in multiple brain tissues.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11826093/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141263584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae033
Xingche Guo, Donglin Zeng, Yuanjia Wang
{"title":"HMM for discovering decision-making dynamics using reinforcement learning experiments.","authors":"Xingche Guo, Donglin Zeng, Yuanjia Wang","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae033","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae033","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Major depressive disorder (MDD), a leading cause of years of life lived with disability, presents challenges in diagnosis and treatment due to its complex and heterogeneous nature. Emerging evidence indicates that reward processing abnormalities may serve as a behavioral marker for MDD. To measure reward processing, patients perform computer-based behavioral tasks that involve making choices or responding to stimulants that are associated with different outcomes, such as gains or losses in the laboratory. Reinforcement learning (RL) models are fitted to extract parameters that measure various aspects of reward processing (e.g. reward sensitivity) to characterize how patients make decisions in behavioral tasks. Recent findings suggest the inadequacy of characterizing reward learning solely based on a single RL model; instead, there may be a switching of decision-making processes between multiple strategies. An important scientific question is how the dynamics of strategies in decision-making affect the reward learning ability of individuals with MDD. Motivated by the probabilistic reward task within the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study, we propose a novel RL-HMM (hidden Markov model) framework for analyzing reward-based decision-making. Our model accommodates decision-making strategy switching between two distinct approaches under an HMM: subjects making decisions based on the RL model or opting for random choices. We account for continuous RL state space and allow time-varying transition probabilities in the HMM. We introduce a computationally efficient Expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for parameter estimation and use a nonparametric bootstrap for inference. Extensive simulation studies validate the finite-sample performance of our method. We apply our approach to the EMBARC study to show that MDD patients are less engaged in RL compared to the healthy controls, and engagement is associated with brain activities in the negative affect circuitry during an emotional conflict task.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12090054/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142127451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf014
Ying Huang, Ross L Prentice
{"title":"Biomarker-assisted reporting in nutritional epidemiology: addressing measurement error in exposure-disease associations.","authors":"Ying Huang, Ross L Prentice","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf014","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf014","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In nutritional epidemiology, self-reported dietary data are commonly used to investigate diet-disease relationships. However, the resulting association estimates are often subject to biases due to random and systematic measurement errors. Regression calibration has emerged as a crucial method for addressing these biases by refining self-reported nutrient intake with objective biomarkers, which differ from the true values only by a random \"noise\" component. This paper presents methodological tools for analyzing nutritional epidemiology cohort studies involving time-to-event data when a biomarker subsample is available alongside dietary assessments. We introduce novel regression calibration methods to tackle two common challenges in this field. First, a widely used approach assumes that the log hazard ratio (HR) follows a linear function of dietary exposure. However, assessing whether this assumption holds-or if a more flexible model is needed to capture potential deviations from linearity-is often necessary. Second, another prevalent analytical strategy involves estimating HRs based on categorized dietary exposure variables. New methods are critically needed to minimize bias in defining category boundaries and estimating hazard ratios within exposure categories, both of which can be distorted by measurement error. We apply these methods to reassess the relationship between sodium and potassium intake and cardiovascular disease risk using data from the Women's Health Initiative.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12129076/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144210340","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039
Richard J Cook, Jerald F Lawless
{"title":"Selection processes, transportability, and failure time analysis in life history studies.","authors":"Richard J Cook, Jerald F Lawless","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In life history analysis of data from cohort studies, it is important to address the process by which participants are identified and selected. Many health studies select or enrol individuals based on whether they have experienced certain health related events, for example, disease diagnosis or some complication from disease. Standard methods of analysis rely on assumptions concerning the independence of selection and a person's prospective life history process, given their prior history. Violations of such assumptions are common, however, and can bias estimation of process features. This has implications for the internal and external validity of cohort studies, and for the transportabilty of results to a population. In this paper, we study failure time analysis by proposing a joint model for the cohort selection process and the failure process of interest. This allows us to address both independence assumptions and the transportability of study results. It is shown that transportability cannot be guaranteed in the absence of auxiliary information on the population. Conditions that produce dependent selection and types of auxiliary data are discussed and illustrated in numerical studies. The proposed framework is applied to a study of the risk of psoriatic arthritis in persons with psoriasis.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11823244/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142513408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae054
Jiasheng Shi, Yizhao Zhou, Jing Huang
{"title":"Unlocking the power of time-since-infection models: data augmentation for improved instantaneous reproduction number estimation.","authors":"Jiasheng Shi, Yizhao Zhou, Jing Huang","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae054","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae054","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The time-since-infection (TSI) models, which use disease surveillance data to model infectious diseases, have become increasingly popular due to their flexibility and capacity to address complex disease control questions. However, a notable limitation of TSI models is their primary reliance on incidence data. Even when hospitalization data are available, existing TSI models have not been crafted to improve the estimation of disease transmission or to estimate hospitalization-related parameters-metrics crucial for understanding a pandemic and planning hospital resources. Moreover, their dependence on reported infection data makes them vulnerable to variations in data quality. In this study, we advance TSI models by integrating hospitalization data, marking a significant step forward in modeling with TSI models. We introduce hospitalization propensity parameters to jointly model incidence and hospitalization data. We use a composite likelihood function to accommodate complex data structure and a Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm to estimate model parameters. We analyze COVID-19 data to estimate disease transmission, assess risk factor impacts, and calculate hospitalization propensity. Our model improves the accuracy of estimating the instantaneous reproduction number in TSI models, particularly when hospitalization data is of higher quality than incidence data. It enables the estimation of key infectious disease parameters without relying on contact tracing data and provides a foundation for integrating TSI models with other infectious disease models.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11878408/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143558889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf006
Lucas Etourneau, Laura Fancello, Samuel Wieczorek, Nelle Varoquaux, Thomas Burger
{"title":"Penalized likelihood optimization for censored missing value imputation in proteomics.","authors":"Lucas Etourneau, Laura Fancello, Samuel Wieczorek, Nelle Varoquaux, Thomas Burger","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf006","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf006","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Label-free bottom-up proteomics using mass spectrometry and liquid chromatography has long been established as one of the most popular high-throughput analysis workflows for proteome characterization. However, it produces data hindered by complex and heterogeneous missing values, which imputation has long remained problematic. To cope with this, we introduce Pirat, an algorithm that harnesses this challenge using an original likelihood maximization strategy. Notably, it models the instrument limit by learning a global censoring mechanism from the data available. Moreover, it estimates the covariance matrix between enzymatic cleavage products (ie peptides or precursor ions), while offering a natural way to integrate complementary transcriptomic information when multi-omic assays are available. Our benchmarking on several datasets covering a variety of experimental designs (number of samples, acquisition mode, missingness patterns, etc.) and using a variety of metrics (differential analysis ground truth or imputation errors) shows that Pirat outperforms all pre-existing imputation methods. Beyond the interest of Pirat as an imputation tool, these results pinpoint the need for a paradigm change in proteomics imputation, as most pre-existing strategies could be boosted by incorporating similar models to account for the instrument censorship or for the correlation structures, either grounded to the analytical pipeline or arising from a multi-omic approach.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143694529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-12-31DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae047
Ziren Jiang, Gen Li, Eric F Lock
{"title":"BAMITA: Bayesian multiple imputation for tensor arrays.","authors":"Ziren Jiang, Gen Li, Eric F Lock","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae047","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae047","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Data increasingly take the form of a multi-way array, or tensor, in several biomedical domains. Such tensors are often incompletely observed. For example, we are motivated by longitudinal microbiome studies in which several timepoints are missing for several subjects. There is a growing literature on missing data imputation for tensors. However, existing methods give a point estimate for missing values without capturing uncertainty. We propose a multiple imputation approach for tensors in a flexible Bayesian framework, that yields realistic simulated values for missing entries and can propagate uncertainty through subsequent analyses. Our model uses efficient and widely applicable conjugate priors for a CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) factorization, with a separable residual covariance structure. This approach is shown to perform well with respect to both imputation accuracy and uncertainty calibration, for scenarios in which either single entries or entire fibers of the tensor are missing. For two microbiome applications, it is shown to accurately capture uncertainty in the full microbiome profile at missing timepoints and used to infer trends in species diversity for the population. Documented R code to perform our multiple imputation approach is available at https://github.com/lockEF/MultiwayImputation.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11823239/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142824682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017
Simone Tiberi, Joël Meili, Peiying Cai, Charlotte Soneson, Dongze He, Hirak Sarkar, Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco, Rob Patro, Mark D Robinson
{"title":"DifferentialRegulation: a Bayesian hierarchical approach to identify differentially regulated genes.","authors":"Simone Tiberi, Joël Meili, Peiying Cai, Charlotte Soneson, Dongze He, Hirak Sarkar, Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco, Rob Patro, Mark D Robinson","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Although transcriptomics data is typically used to analyze mature spliced mRNA, recent attention has focused on jointly investigating spliced and unspliced (or precursor-) mRNA, which can be used to study gene regulation and changes in gene expression production. Nonetheless, most methods for spliced/unspliced inference (such as RNA velocity tools) focus on individual samples, and rarely allow comparisons between groups of samples (e.g. healthy vs. diseased). Furthermore, this kind of inference is challenging, because spliced and unspliced mRNA abundance is characterized by a high degree of quantification uncertainty, due to the prevalence of multi-mapping reads, ie reads compatible with multiple transcripts (or genes), and/or with both their spliced and unspliced versions. Here, we present DifferentialRegulation, a Bayesian hierarchical method to discover changes between experimental conditions with respect to the relative abundance of unspliced mRNA (over the total mRNA). We model the quantification uncertainty via a latent variable approach, where reads are allocated to their gene/transcript of origin, and to the respective splice version. We designed several benchmarks where our approach shows good performance, in terms of sensitivity and error control, vs. state-of-the-art competitors. Importantly, our tool is flexible, and works with both bulk and single-cell RNA-sequencing data. DifferentialRegulation is distributed as a Bioconductor R package.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":"1079-1093"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11639160/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141421995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004
Salil Koner, Sheng Luo
{"title":"Projection-based two-sample inference for sparsely observed multivariate functional data.","authors":"Salil Koner, Sheng Luo","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Modern longitudinal studies collect multiple outcomes as the primary endpoints to understand the complex dynamics of the diseases. Oftentimes, especially in clinical trials, the joint variation among the multidimensional responses plays a significant role in assessing the differential characteristics between two or more groups, rather than drawing inferences based on a single outcome. We develop a projection-based two-sample significance test to identify the population-level difference between the multivariate profiles observed under a sparse longitudinal design. The methodology is built upon widely adopted multivariate functional principal component analysis to reduce the dimension of the infinite-dimensional multi-modal functions while preserving the dynamic correlation between the components. The test applies to a wide class of (non-stationary) covariance structures of the response, and it detects a significant group difference based on a single p-value, thereby overcoming the issue of adjusting for multiple p-values that arise due to comparing the means in each of components separately. Finite-sample numerical studies demonstrate that the test maintains the type-I error, and is powerful to detect significant group differences, compared to the state-of-the-art testing procedures. The test is carried out on two significant longitudinal studies for Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease (PD) patients, namely, TOMMORROW study of individuals at high risk of mild cognitive impairment to detect differences in the cognitive test scores between the pioglitazone and the placebo groups, and Azillect study to assess the efficacy of rasagiline as a potential treatment to slow down the progression of PD.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":" ","pages":"1156-1177"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11639128/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139984624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}