BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-27DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039
Richard J Cook, Jerald F Lawless
{"title":"Selection processes, transportability, and failure time analysis in life history studies.","authors":"Richard J Cook, Jerald F Lawless","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxae039","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In life history analysis of data from cohort studies, it is important to address the process by which participants are identified and selected. Many health studies select or enrol individuals based on whether they have experienced certain health related events, for example, disease diagnosis or some complication from disease. Standard methods of analysis rely on assumptions concerning the independence of selection and a person's prospective life history process, given their prior history. Violations of such assumptions are common, however, and can bias estimation of process features. This has implications for the internal and external validity of cohort studies, and for the transportabilty of results to a population. In this paper, we study failure time analysis by proposing a joint model for the cohort selection process and the failure process of interest. This allows us to address both independence assumptions and the transportability of study results. It is shown that transportability cannot be guaranteed in the absence of auxiliary information on the population. Conditions that produce dependent selection and types of auxiliary data are discussed and illustrated in numerical studies. The proposed framework is applied to a study of the risk of psoriatic arthritis in persons with psoriasis.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142513408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Shared parameter modeling of longitudinal data allowing for possibly informative visiting process and terminal event.","authors":"Christos Thomadakis, Loukia Meligkotsidou, Nikos Pantazis, Giota Touloumi","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxae041","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data, particularly through shared parameter models (SPMs), is a common approach for handling longitudinal marker data with an informative terminal event. A critical but often neglected assumption in this context is that the visiting/observation process is noninformative, depending solely on past marker values and visit times. When this assumption fails, the visiting process becomes informative, resulting potentially to biased SPM estimates. Existing methods generally rely on a conditional independence assumption, positing that the marker model, visiting process, and time-to-event model are independent given shared or correlated random effects. Moreover, they are typically built on an intensity-based visiting process using calendar time. This study introduces a unified approach for jointly modeling a normally distributed marker, the visiting process, and time-to-event data in the form of competing risks. Our model conditions on the history of observed marker values, prior visit times, the marker's random effects, and possibly a frailty term independent of the random effects. While our approach aligns with the shared-parameter framework, it does not presume conditional independence between the processes. Additionally, the visiting process can be defined on either a gap time scale, via proportional hazard models, or a calendar time scale, via proportional intensity models. Through extensive simulation studies, we assess the performance of our proposed methodology. We demonstrate that disregarding an informative visiting process can yield significantly biased marker estimates. However, misspecification of the visiting process can also lead to biased estimates. The gap time formulation exhibits greater robustness compared to the intensity-based model when the visiting process is misspecified. In general, enriching the visiting process with prior visit history enhances performance. We further apply our methodology to real longitudinal data from HIV, where visit frequency varies substantially among individuals.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142513409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-23DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae040
Álvaro Méndez-Civieta, Ying Wei, Keith M Diaz, Jeff Goldsmith
{"title":"Functional quantile principal component analysis.","authors":"Álvaro Méndez-Civieta, Ying Wei, Keith M Diaz, Jeff Goldsmith","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxae040","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper introduces functional quantile principal component analysis (FQPCA), a dimensionality reduction technique that extends the concept of functional principal components analysis (FPCA) to the examination of participant-specific quantiles curves. Our approach borrows strength across participants to estimate patterns in quantiles, and uses participant-level data to estimate loadings on those patterns. As a result, FQPCA is able to capture shifts in the scale and distribution of data that affect participant-level quantile curves, and is also a robust methodology suitable for dealing with outliers, heteroscedastic data or skewed data. The need for such methodology is exemplified by physical activity data collected using wearable devices. Participants often differ in the timing and intensity of physical activity behaviors, and capturing information beyond the participant-level expected value curves produced by FPCA is necessary for a robust quantification of diurnal patterns of activity. We illustrate our methods using accelerometer data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, and produce participant-level 10%, 50%, and 90% quantile curves over 24 h of activity. The proposed methodology is supported by simulation results, and is available as an R package.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142513407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Speeding up interval estimation for R2-based mediation effect of high-dimensional mediators via cross-fitting.","authors":"Zhichao Xu, Chunlin Li, Sunyi Chi, Tianzhong Yang, Peng Wei","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae037","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae037","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Mediation analysis is a useful tool in investigating how molecular phenotypes such as gene expression mediate the effect of exposure on health outcomes. However, commonly used mean-based total mediation effect measures may suffer from cancellation of component-wise mediation effects in opposite directions in the presence of high-dimensional omics mediators. To overcome this limitation, we recently proposed a variance-based R-squared total mediation effect measure that relies on the computationally intensive nonparametric bootstrap for confidence interval estimation. In the work described herein, we formulated a more efficient two-stage, cross-fitted estimation procedure for the R2 measure. To avoid potential bias, we performed iterative Sure Independence Screening (iSIS) in two subsamples to exclude the non-mediators, followed by ordinary least squares regressions for the variance estimation. We then constructed confidence intervals based on the newly derived closed-form asymptotic distribution of the R2 measure. Extensive simulation studies demonstrated that this proposed procedure is much more computationally efficient than the resampling-based method, with comparable coverage probability. Furthermore, when applied to the Framingham Heart Study, the proposed method replicated the established finding of gene expression mediating age-related variation in systolic blood pressure and identified the role of gene expression profiles in the relationship between sex and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level. The proposed estimation procedure is implemented in R package CFR2M.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142481495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-04DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae038
Changwoo J Lee, Elaine Symanski, Amal Rammah, Dong Hun Kang, Philip K Hopke, Eun Sug Park
{"title":"A scalable two-stage Bayesian approach accounting for exposure measurement error in environmental epidemiology.","authors":"Changwoo J Lee, Elaine Symanski, Amal Rammah, Dong Hun Kang, Philip K Hopke, Eun Sug Park","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae038","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae038","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Accounting for exposure measurement errors has been recognized as a crucial problem in environmental epidemiology for over two decades. Bayesian hierarchical models offer a coherent probabilistic framework for evaluating associations between environmental exposures and health effects, which take into account exposure measurement errors introduced by uncertainty in the estimated exposure as well as spatial misalignment between the exposure and health outcome data. While two-stage Bayesian analyses are often regarded as a good alternative to fully Bayesian analyses when joint estimation is not feasible, there has been minimal research on how to properly propagate uncertainty from the first-stage exposure model to the second-stage health model, especially in the case of a large number of participant locations along with spatially correlated exposures. We propose a scalable two-stage Bayesian approach, called a sparse multivariate normal (sparse MVN) prior approach, based on the Vecchia approximation for assessing associations between exposure and health outcomes in environmental epidemiology. We compare its performance with existing approaches through simulation. Our sparse MVN prior approach shows comparable performance with the fully Bayesian approach, which is a gold standard but is impossible to implement in some cases. We investigate the association between source-specific exposures and pollutant (nitrogen dioxide [NO2])-specific exposures and birth weight of full-term infants born in 2012 in Harris County, Texas, using several approaches, including the newly developed method.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142378644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017
Simone Tiberi, Joël Meili, Peiying Cai, Charlotte Soneson, Dongze He, Hirak Sarkar, Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco, Rob Patro, Mark D Robinson
{"title":"DifferentialRegulation: a Bayesian hierarchical approach to identify differentially regulated genes.","authors":"Simone Tiberi, Joël Meili, Peiying Cai, Charlotte Soneson, Dongze He, Hirak Sarkar, Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco, Rob Patro, Mark D Robinson","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae017","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Although transcriptomics data is typically used to analyze mature spliced mRNA, recent attention has focused on jointly investigating spliced and unspliced (or precursor-) mRNA, which can be used to study gene regulation and changes in gene expression production. Nonetheless, most methods for spliced/unspliced inference (such as RNA velocity tools) focus on individual samples, and rarely allow comparisons between groups of samples (e.g. healthy vs. diseased). Furthermore, this kind of inference is challenging, because spliced and unspliced mRNA abundance is characterized by a high degree of quantification uncertainty, due to the prevalence of multi-mapping reads, ie reads compatible with multiple transcripts (or genes), and/or with both their spliced and unspliced versions. Here, we present DifferentialRegulation, a Bayesian hierarchical method to discover changes between experimental conditions with respect to the relative abundance of unspliced mRNA (over the total mRNA). We model the quantification uncertainty via a latent variable approach, where reads are allocated to their gene/transcript of origin, and to the respective splice version. We designed several benchmarks where our approach shows good performance, in terms of sensitivity and error control, vs. state-of-the-art competitors. Importantly, our tool is flexible, and works with both bulk and single-cell RNA-sequencing data. DifferentialRegulation is distributed as a Bioconductor R package.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141421995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004
Salil Koner, Sheng Luo
{"title":"Projection-based two-sample inference for sparsely observed multivariate functional data.","authors":"Salil Koner, Sheng Luo","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Modern longitudinal studies collect multiple outcomes as the primary endpoints to understand the complex dynamics of the diseases. Oftentimes, especially in clinical trials, the joint variation among the multidimensional responses plays a significant role in assessing the differential characteristics between two or more groups, rather than drawing inferences based on a single outcome. We develop a projection-based two-sample significance test to identify the population-level difference between the multivariate profiles observed under a sparse longitudinal design. The methodology is built upon widely adopted multivariate functional principal component analysis to reduce the dimension of the infinite-dimensional multi-modal functions while preserving the dynamic correlation between the components. The test applies to a wide class of (non-stationary) covariance structures of the response, and it detects a significant group difference based on a single p-value, thereby overcoming the issue of adjusting for multiple p-values that arise due to comparing the means in each of components separately. Finite-sample numerical studies demonstrate that the test maintains the type-I error, and is powerful to detect significant group differences, compared to the state-of-the-art testing procedures. The test is carried out on two significant longitudinal studies for Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease (PD) patients, namely, TOMMORROW study of individuals at high risk of mild cognitive impairment to detect differences in the cognitive test scores between the pioglitazone and the placebo groups, and Azillect study to assess the efficacy of rasagiline as a potential treatment to slow down the progression of PD.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139984624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae007
Shanghong Xie, R Todd Ogden
{"title":"Functional support vector machine.","authors":"Shanghong Xie, R Todd Ogden","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae007","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae007","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Linear and generalized linear scalar-on-function modeling have been commonly used to understand the relationship between a scalar response variable (e.g. continuous, binary outcomes) and functional predictors. Such techniques are sensitive to model misspecification when the relationship between the response variable and the functional predictors is complex. On the other hand, support vector machines (SVMs) are among the most robust prediction models but do not take account of the high correlations between repeated measurements and cannot be used for irregular data. In this work, we propose a novel method to integrate functional principal component analysis with SVM techniques for classification and regression to account for the continuous nature of functional data and the nonlinear relationship between the scalar response variable and the functional predictors. We demonstrate the performance of our method through extensive simulation experiments and two real data applications: the classification of alcoholics using electroencephalography signals and the prediction of glucobrassicin concentration using near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy. Our methods especially have more advantages when the measurement errors in functional predictors are relatively large.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140112299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxae022
{"title":"Correction to: Exponential family measurement error models for single-cell CRISPR screens.","authors":"","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae022","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxae022","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141319004","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
BiostatisticsPub Date : 2024-10-01DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxad035
Arman Oganisian, Kelly D Getz, Todd A Alonzo, Richard Aplenc, Jason A Roy
{"title":"Bayesian semiparametric model for sequential treatment decisions with informative timing.","authors":"Arman Oganisian, Kelly D Getz, Todd A Alonzo, Richard Aplenc, Jason A Roy","doi":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxad035","DOIUrl":"10.1093/biostatistics/kxad035","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model for the impact of dynamic treatment rules on survival among patients diagnosed with pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The data consist of a subset of patients enrolled in a phase III clinical trial in which patients move through a sequence of four treatment courses. At each course, they undergo treatment that may or may not include anthracyclines (ACT). While ACT is known to be effective at treating AML, it is also cardiotoxic and can lead to early death for some patients. Our task is to estimate the potential survival probability under hypothetical dynamic ACT treatment strategies, but there are several impediments. First, since ACT is not randomized, its effect on survival is confounded over time. Second, subjects initiate the next course depending on when they recover from the previous course, making timing potentially informative of subsequent treatment and survival. Third, patients may die or drop out before ever completing the full treatment sequence. We develop a generative Bayesian semiparametric model based on Gamma Process priors to address these complexities. At each treatment course, the model captures subjects' transition to subsequent treatment or death in continuous time. G-computation is used to compute a posterior over potential survival probability that is adjusted for time-varying confounding. Using our approach, we estimate the efficacy of hypothetical treatment rules that dynamically modify ACT based on evolving cardiac function.</p>","PeriodicalId":55357,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11471958/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139479547","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}