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Managing the financial risks of climate change and pandemics: What we know (and don't know). 管理气候变化和大流行病的金融风险:我们知道的(和不知道的)。
IF 15.1 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.09.017
Nicola Ranger, Olivier Mahul, Irene Monasterolo
{"title":"Managing the financial risks of climate change and pandemics: What we know (and don't know).","authors":"Nicola Ranger, Olivier Mahul, Irene Monasterolo","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2021.09.017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.oneear.2021.09.017","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic is generating the largest shock in the global economy since 1929. Although the pandemic has been unprecedented in scale and type, such complex, compounding shocks are not uncommon and are more likely in our modern, interconnected world. Our ability to assess and anticipate compounding risks is limited. Here, we propose a framework for assessing the economic losses associated with compounding climate, economic, and pandemic shocks. We propose a new metric, the <i>compound risk multiplier</i>, to measure the scale of the amplification effect and find that this can peak at over 150%; that is, the GDP impacts of the compound shock can be 50% larger than the sum of the individual shocks. Our results suggest that ignoring compounding risks could be a major blindspot in our ability to prepare for future crises. This underlines the urgency of accounting for compounding shocks within financial, fiscal, and crisis risk management.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"4 10","pages":"1375-1385"},"PeriodicalIF":15.1,"publicationDate":"2021-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8532245/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10811630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Biodiversity and COVID-19: A report and a long road ahead to avoid another pandemic. 生物多样性与 COVID-19:一份报告和避免再次发生大流行病的漫长道路。
IF 15.1 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2021-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.007
Serge Morand, Claire Lajaunie
{"title":"Biodiversity and COVID-19: A report and a long road ahead to avoid another pandemic.","authors":"Serge Morand, Claire Lajaunie","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.007","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A report from a workshop organized by the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services on biodiversity and pandemics examined the scientific evidence on the origin of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and other emerging zoonotic diseases. Here, we reflect upon the report's findings regarding how several important global initiatives are tackling the problems of preventing the emergence of zoonotic diseases by using the One Health approach.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"4 7","pages":"920-923"},"PeriodicalIF":15.1,"publicationDate":"2021-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8299701/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39268109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Climate change risks pushing one-third of global food production outside the safe climatic space. 气候变化有可能将全球三分之一的粮食生产推到安全气候空间之外。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.017
Matti Kummu, Matias Heino, Maija Taka, Olli Varis, Daniel Viviroli
{"title":"Climate change risks pushing one-third of global food production outside the safe climatic space.","authors":"Matti Kummu,&nbsp;Matias Heino,&nbsp;Maija Taka,&nbsp;Olli Varis,&nbsp;Daniel Viviroli","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.017","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Food production on our planet is dominantly based on agricultural practices developed during stable Holocene climatic conditions. Although it is widely accepted that climate change perturbs these conditions, no systematic understanding exists on where and how the major risks for entering unprecedented conditions may occur. Here, we address this gap by introducing the concept of safe climatic space (SCS), which incorporates the decisive climatic factors of agricultural production: precipitation, temperature, and aridity. We show that a rapid and unhalted growth of greenhouse gas emissions (SSP5-8.5) could force 31% of the global food crop and 34% of livestock production beyond the SCS by 2081-2100. The most vulnerable areas are South and Southeast Asia and Africa's Sudano-Sahelian Zone, which have low resilience to cope with these changes. Our results underpin the importance of committing to a low-emissions scenario (SSP1-2.6), whereupon the extent of food production facing unprecedented conditions would be a fraction.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"4 5","pages":"720-729"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2021-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.017","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39035319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 42
Air-Filtering Masks for Respiratory Protection from PM2.5 and Pandemic Pathogens. 针对 PM2.5 和大流行性病原体的呼吸防护空气过滤口罩。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.014
Jinwei Xu, Xin Xiao, Wenbo Zhang, Rong Xu, Sang Cheol Kim, Yi Cui, Tyler T Howard, Esther Wu, Yi Cui
{"title":"Air-Filtering Masks for Respiratory Protection from PM<sub>2.5</sub> and Pandemic Pathogens.","authors":"Jinwei Xu, Xin Xiao, Wenbo Zhang, Rong Xu, Sang Cheol Kim, Yi Cui, Tyler T Howard, Esther Wu, Yi Cui","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.014","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Air-filtering masks, also known as respirators, protect wearers from inhaling fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) in polluted air, as well as airborne pathogens during a pandemic, such as the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Fibrous medium, used as the filtration layer, is the most essential component of an air-filtering mask. This article presents an overview of the development of fibrous media for air filtration. We first synthesize the literature on several key factors that affect the filtration performance of fibrous media. We then concentrate on two major techniques for fabricating fibrous media, namely, meltblown and electrospinning. In addition, we underscore the importance of electret filters by reviewing various methods for imparting electrostatic charge on fibrous media. Finally, this article concludes with a perspective on the emerging research opportunities amid the COVID-19 crisis.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 5","pages":"574-589"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7962856/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"25514306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
COVID-19: Clinching the Climate Opportunity. COVID-19:抓住气候机遇。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-10-23 Epub Date: 2020-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.003
Christian Stoll, Michael Arthur Mehling
{"title":"COVID-19: Clinching the Climate Opportunity.","authors":"Christian Stoll,&nbsp;Michael Arthur Mehling","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has triggered the largest drop in greenhouse gas emissions since World War II. Evolving mobility patterns, in particular, have shown the short-term mitigation potential of behavioral change. Sustaining such changes could abate 15% of all transportation emissions with limited net impacts on societal well-being.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 4","pages":"400-404"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.003","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39109759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 19
Adaptation at a Critical Point. 关键时刻的适应。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.004
{"title":"Adaptation at a Critical Point.","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.004","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 4","pages":"383"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8536400/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39580845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ensuring a Post-COVID Economic Agenda Tackles Global Biodiversity Loss. 确保后 COVID 经济议程解决全球生物多样性丧失问题。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-10-23 Epub Date: 2020-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.011
Pamela McElwee, Esther Turnout, Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline, Jennifer Clapp, Cindy Isenhour, Tim Jackson, Eszter Kelemen, Daniel C Miller, Graciela Rusch, Joachim H Spangenberg, Anthony Waldron, Rupert J Baumgartner, Brent Bleys, Michael W Howard, Eric Mungatana, Hien Ngo, Irene Ring, Rui Santos
{"title":"Ensuring a Post-COVID Economic Agenda Tackles Global Biodiversity Loss.","authors":"Pamela McElwee, Esther Turnout, Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline, Jennifer Clapp, Cindy Isenhour, Tim Jackson, Eszter Kelemen, Daniel C Miller, Graciela Rusch, Joachim H Spangenberg, Anthony Waldron, Rupert J Baumgartner, Brent Bleys, Michael W Howard, Eric Mungatana, Hien Ngo, Irene Ring, Rui Santos","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.011","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has caused dramatic and unprecedented impacts on both global health and economies. Many governments are now proposing recovery packages to get back to normal, but the 2019 Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Global Assessment indicated that business as usual has created widespread ecosystem degradation. Therefore, a post-COVID world needs to tackle the economic drivers that create ecological disruptions. In this perspective, we discuss a number of tools across a range of actors for both short-term stimulus measures and longer-term revamping of global, national, and local economies that take biodiversity into account. These include measures to shift away from activities that damage biodiversity and toward those supporting ecosystem resilience, including through incentives, regulations, fiscal policy, and employment programs. By treating the crisis as an opportunity to reset the global economy, we have a chance to reverse decades of biodiversity and ecosystem losses.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 4","pages":"448-461"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7526599/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39109760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identifying Agricultural Frontiers for Modeling Global Cropland Expansion. 为全球耕地扩张建模确定农业前沿。
IF 15.1 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.006
Felix Eigenbrod, Michael Beckmann, Sebastian Dunnett, Laura Graham, Robert A Holland, Patrick Meyfroidt, Ralf Seppelt, Xiao-Peng Song, Rebecca Spake, Tomáš Václavík, Peter H Verburg
{"title":"Identifying Agricultural Frontiers for Modeling Global Cropland Expansion.","authors":"Felix Eigenbrod, Michael Beckmann, Sebastian Dunnett, Laura Graham, Robert A Holland, Patrick Meyfroidt, Ralf Seppelt, Xiao-Peng Song, Rebecca Spake, Tomáš Václavík, Peter H Verburg","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.006","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The increasing expansion of cropland is major driver of global carbon emissions and biodiversity loss. However, predicting plausible future global distributions of croplands remains challenging. Here, we show that, in general, existing global data aligned with classical economic theories of expansion explain the current (1992) global extent of cropland reasonably well, but not recent expansion (1992-2015). Deviations from models of cropland extent in 1992 (\"frontierness\") can be used to improve global models of recent expansion, most likely as these deviations are a proxy for cropland expansion under frontier conditions where classical economic theories of expansion are less applicable. Frontierness is insensitive to the land cover dataset used and is particularly effective in improving models that include mosaic land cover classes and the largely smallholder-driven frontier expansion occurring in such areas. Our findings have important implications as the frontierness approach offers a straightforward way to improve global land use change models.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 4","pages":"504-514"},"PeriodicalIF":15.1,"publicationDate":"2020-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7608111/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38675550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Informal Work and Sustainable Cities: From Formalization to Reparation. 非正式工作与可持续城市:从正规化到修复。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.012
Jennifer L Tucker, Manisha Anantharaman
{"title":"Informal Work and Sustainable Cities: From Formalization to Reparation.","authors":"Jennifer L Tucker,&nbsp;Manisha Anantharaman","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.012","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Informal workers produce economic, social, and environmental value for cities. Too often, policy elites, including those promoting sustainable cities, overlook this value, proposing formalization and relying on deficit-based framings of informal work. In this perspective piece, we bring critical research and community-produced knowledge about informal work to sustainability scholarship. We challenge the dominant, deficit-based frame of informal work, which can dispossess workers, reduce their collective power, and undercut the social and environmental value their work generates. Instead, thinking historically, relationally, and spatially clarifies the essential role of informal work for urban economies and highlights their potential for promoting sustainable cities. It also reveals how growth-oriented economies reproduce environmental destruction, income inequality, and poverty, the very conditions impelling many to informal work. Rather than formalization, we propose reparation, an ethic and practice promoting ecological regeneration, while redressing historic wrongs and redistributing resources and social power to workers and grassroots social movements.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 3","pages":"290-299"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.012","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9461774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 24
Enabling a Rapid and Just Transition away from Coal in China. 实现中国快速、公正的脱煤转型。
IF 16.2 1区 环境科学与生态学
One Earth Pub Date : 2020-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.07.012
Gang He, Jiang Lin, Ying Zhang, Wenhua Zhang, Guilherme Larangeira, Chao Zhang, Wei Peng, Manzhi Liu, Fuqiang Yang
{"title":"Enabling a Rapid and Just Transition away from Coal in China.","authors":"Gang He,&nbsp;Jiang Lin,&nbsp;Ying Zhang,&nbsp;Wenhua Zhang,&nbsp;Guilherme Larangeira,&nbsp;Chao Zhang,&nbsp;Wei Peng,&nbsp;Manzhi Liu,&nbsp;Fuqiang Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2020.07.012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.07.012","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>As the world's largest coal producer and consumer, China's transition from coal to cleaner energy sources is critical for achieving global decarbonization. Increasing regulations on air pollution and carbon emissions and decreasing costs of renewables drive China's transition away from coal; however, this transition also has implications for employment and social justice. Here, we assess China's current coal-transition policies, their barriers, and the potential for an accelerated transition, as well as the associated environmental, human health, and employment and social justice issues that may arise from the transition. We estimate that the most aggressive coal-transition pathway could reduce annual premature death related to coal combustion by 224,000 and reduce annual water consumption by 4.3 billion m<sup>3</sup> in 2050 compared with business-as-usual. We highlight knowledge gaps and conclude with policy recommendations for an integrated approach to facilitate a rapid and just transition away from coal in China.</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"3 2","pages":"187-194"},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2020-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.07.012","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9179425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 69
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