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Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal 量化陆基二氧化碳清除的可行潜力

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.011

Oliver Perkins, Peter Alexander, Almut Arneth, Calum Brown, James D.A. Millington, Mark Rounsevell

{"title":"Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal","authors":"Oliver Perkins, Peter Alexander, Almut Arneth, Calum Brown, James D.A. Millington, Mark Rounsevell","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.011","url":null,"abstract":"Global climate-change overshoot scenarios, where warming exceeds Paris Agreement limits before being brought back down, are highly dependent on land-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR). In the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), such scenarios are supported by optimistic global assessments of the technical and economic potential for land-based CDR. However, a further type of potential—the “feasible” potential, which includes socio-cultural, environmental, and institutional factors—is noted in the AR6 but not quantified. Here, we set out research frameworks to work toward quantification of this feasible potential. We first argue that quantifying the feasible potential will substantially reduce current assessed CDR potential. Second, we demonstrate how transdisciplinary methods are improving understanding of feasibility constraints on land-based CDR. Third, we explore frameworks for synthesizing these advances during the next IPCC assessment process. We conclude that the research community should carefully consider the use of techno-economic CDR assessments in evidence for policymakers.","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138688476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Robust projections of increasing land carbon storage in boreal and temperate forests under future climate change scenarios 未来气候变化情景下北方和温带森林陆地碳储量增加的可靠预测

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.013

Ning Wei, Jianyang Xia

引用次数: 0

Post-growth: A viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°C 后增长:将全球变暖限制在1.5°C的可行途径

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004

Aljoša Slameršak, Giorgos Kallis, Daniel W. O’Neill, Jason Hickel

{"title":"Post-growth: A viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°C","authors":"Aljoša Slameršak, Giorgos Kallis, Daniel W. O’Neill, Jason Hickel","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004","url":null,"abstract":"Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. We compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C–2°C of warming. Moreover, low growth reduces the need to rely on unprecedented buildout of low-carbon energy infrastructure, and the unprecedented rates of energy-GDP decoupling that characterize existing scenarios. By contrast, pursuing higher growth rates, such as those represented in IMF projections, jeapordizes the Paris Agreement. The challenge is that lower growth is commonly associated with recession, which raises concerns about equity between and within countries, social stability, and the ability to finance a low-carbon energy transition. Recent literature on achieving a ‘‘post-growth’’ transition points to novel policies that could address these problems, which should be explored and evaluated in future mitigation scenarios.","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"9 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495392","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Temporary overshoot: Origins, prospects, and a long path ahead 暂时超调:起因、前景和前方的漫漫长路

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.008

Andy Reisinger, Oliver Geden

引用次数: 0

Yield increases mediated by pollination and carbon payments can offset restoration costs in coffee landscapes 授粉和碳支付介导的产量增加可以抵消咖啡景观的恢复成本

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.007

Francisco d’Albertas, Gerd Sparovek, Luis-Fernando G. Pinto, Camila Hohlenwerger, Jean-Paul Metzger

{"title":"Yield increases mediated by pollination and carbon payments can offset restoration costs in coffee landscapes","authors":"Francisco d’Albertas, Gerd Sparovek, Luis-Fernando G. Pinto, Camila Hohlenwerger, Jean-Paul Metzger","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.007","url":null,"abstract":"Ecological restoration is vital for reversing biodiversity loss and climate change but faces cost-related implementation challenges, hampering global restoration efforts. Identifying when restoration within agricultural landscapes provides financial benefits—either by increasing crop yields or providing carbon credits—is imperative. Here, we developed restoration scenarios and estimated their financial outcomes to understand conditions where coffee yield and carbon-credit-derived restoration benefits compensate restoration costs in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest hotspot. We found that costs can be balanced by yield increases when farms already have >10% forest cover and restoration targets are below 25% forest cover. Additionally, a CO2 value of USD 20/ton would make restoration more attractive. This study demonstrates conditions where ecological restoration can be an economically viable approach for landscape management, concurrently promoting biodiversity conservation and climate mitigation. These insights hold significant strategic value for the scaling up of restoration initiatives to meet ambitious restoration commitments.","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"9 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2023-11-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Boundaries of the future: A framework for reflexive scenario practice in sustainability science 未来的边界:可持续性科学中反思性情景实践的框架

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.027

Anita Lazurko, Vanessa Schweizer, László Pintér, David Ferguson

引用次数: 0

Adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet is associated with a reduced risk of incident cancer and all-cause mortality in UK adults 在英国成年人中，坚持EAT-Lancet参考饮食与降低癌症发病率和全因死亡率有关

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.002

Nena Karavasiloglou, Alysha S. Thompson, Giulia Pestoni, Anika Knuppel, Keren Papier, Aedín Cassidy, Tilman Kühn, Sabine Rohrmann

{"title":"Adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet is associated with a reduced risk of incident cancer and all-cause mortality in UK adults","authors":"Nena Karavasiloglou, Alysha S. Thompson, Giulia Pestoni, Anika Knuppel, Keren Papier, Aedín Cassidy, Tilman Kühn, Sabine Rohrmann","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.002","url":null,"abstract":"Food systems have been identified as significant contributors to the global environmental emergency. However, there is no universally agreed-upon definition of what constitutes a planetary healthy, sustainable diet. In our study, we investigated the association between the EAT-Lancet reference diet, a diet within the planetary boundaries, and incident cancer, incident major cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality. Higher adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet was associated with lower incident cancer risk (hazard ratio [HR]continuous: 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98–0.99]) and lower all-cause mortality (HR continuous: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.98–0.99), while mostly null associations were detected for major cardiovascular event risk (HR continuous: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.98–1.01). Stratified analyses using potentially modifiable risk factors led to similar results. Our findings, in conjunction with the existing literature, support that adoption of the EAT-Lancet reference diet could have a benefit for the prevention of non-communicable diseases.","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2023-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Meta-analyses reveal the importance of socio-psychological factors for farmers’ adoption of sustainable agricultural practices 荟萃分析揭示了社会心理因素对农民采用可持续农业实践的重要性

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.028

Rebecca Swart, Christian Levers, Jac T.M. Davis, Peter H. Verburg

{"title":"Meta-analyses reveal the importance of socio-psychological factors for farmers’ adoption of sustainable agricultural practices","authors":"Rebecca Swart, Christian Levers, Jac T.M. Davis, Peter H. Verburg","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.028","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.028","url":null,"abstract":"Agricultural systems support societies in various ways but also cause substantial sustainability challenges. Sustainable agricultural practices are key to achieving sustainability targets, yet we lack generalizable knowledge on why farmers apply such practices. Here, we quantified the relationship between farmers’ adoption of sustainable agricultural practices and their underlying motivational factors. Based on a systematic review, we meta-analyzed 14 motivational factors from 225 studies reporting 522 effect sizes, representing 327,778 farmers from 23 European countries. We found (1) substantially stronger positive effects for general attitude, intention and perceived usefulness compared with economic outcomes and environmental awareness, (2) dissonance between intention and actual behavior, and (3) geographic, thematic, and effort-effect bias in literature. Stimulating the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices hence requires reconsidering the currently strong emphasis on economic factors in favor of a wider set of motivational factors, especially by addressing socio-psychological factors via transparency, communication, and training.","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"10 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.2,"publicationDate":"2023-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Building a stronger steel transition: Global cooperation and procurement in construction 构建更强劲的钢铁转型:全球合作与建筑采购

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.024

Max Åhman, Björn Nykvist, Eileen Torres Morales, Jonas Algers

引用次数: 0

Q&A with Sarah El Battouty: Constructing a sustainable future 与Sarah El Battouty的问答:构建可持续的未来

IF 16.2 1区环境科学与生态学

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.023

Sarah El Battouty

引用次数: 0