Progress in Disaster Science最新文献

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Assessing the impact of climate change on landslide recurrence intervals in Nakhon Si Thammarat Province, Thailand, using CMIP6 climate models 利用 CMIP6 气候模型评估气候变化对泰国那空四塔玛拉府山体滑坡复发间隔的影响
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100330
Thapthai Chaithong
{"title":"Assessing the impact of climate change on landslide recurrence intervals in Nakhon Si Thammarat Province, Thailand, using CMIP6 climate models","authors":"Thapthai Chaithong","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100330","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100330","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Climate variability and climate change may influence the frequency and recurrence interval of landslides. Precipitation, as a main triggering factor of landslides, may be influenced by climate variability and climate change. Changes in precipitation may directly affect landslide frequency and recurrence intervals. Considering the influence of climate variability and climate change, the partial duration series method and critical rainfall threshold are combined with the simulated precipitation of Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) general circulation models (GCMs) to predict changes in future landslide recurrence intervals in Nakhon Si Thammarat Province, Thailand. The analytical results predicted changes in the landslide frequency over the next 20 years (2023 to 2042). SSP1–2.6 and SSP2–4.5 are adopted as future socioeconomic development scenarios. According to the predictions, the results showed that the return period of landslide occurrence in the future will be shorter than the return period of landslide occurrence in the historical period; moreover, the landslide recurrence interval will fluctuate greatly. The Nakhon Si Thammarat DWR meteorological station shows the most fluctuation in landslide recurrence intervals for SSP1–2.6. In addition, the Nakhon Si Thammarat meteorological Station experiences a significant decrease of approximately 35% in landslide recurrence intervals under SSP1–2.6. For SSP2–4.5, the Nakhon Si Thammarat meteorological station shows the most fluctuation in landslide return period. In addition, the Nakhon Si Thammarat meteorological station observed a decline in landslide recurrence intervals, with a reduction of approximately 40%. Hence, the frequency of landslides may increase in the future. A comparison between SSP1–2.6 and SSP2–4.5 revealed that SSP2–4.5 yielded lower landslide return periods.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100330"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000206/pdfft?md5=9405c179d69f84f6b82840704203407f&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000206-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140906582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Systemic risk capability assessment methodology: A new approach for evaluating inter-connected risks in seaport ecosystems 系统风险能力评估方法:评估海港生态系统中相互关联风险的新方法
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100325
Arunabh Mitra , Chime Youdon , Pradeep Chauhan , Rajib Shaw
{"title":"Systemic risk capability assessment methodology: A new approach for evaluating inter-connected risks in seaport ecosystems","authors":"Arunabh Mitra ,&nbsp;Chime Youdon ,&nbsp;Pradeep Chauhan ,&nbsp;Rajib Shaw","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100325","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100325","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The ever-increasing systemic risks posed by disasters and the impacts of climate change have emerged as formidable challenges that demand comprehensive assessment and understanding. This study endeavours to address this critical need by introducing the innovative Systemic Risk Capability Assessment (SRCA) methodology. Unlike traditional risk assessment approaches, SRCA is uniquely designed to not only assess systemic risk but also operationalize its management, making it particularly suited for safeguarding critical infrastructure, with a specific focus on seaports. The SRCA methodology, offers a quasi-quantitative framework that goes beyond conventional risk assessment, enabling a deeper understanding of the dynamics and interdependencies inherent to seaport ecosystems. In the pursuit of demonstrating the practicality and versatility of the SRCA methodology, this study applies the model to two hypothetical ports, accompanied by the utilization of synthetic data. By doing so, it elucidates the step-by-step analysis facilitated by SRCA, highlighting its potential for enhancing the resilience of seaports to systemic risks. The results underscore the limitations of traditional risk assessment methodologies when confronted with the complexity of systemic risks in seaports, thereby emphasizing the significance of the proposed SRCA methodology. In conclusion, this research contributes significantly to the field of systemic risk management, particularly within the critical infrastructure domain.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100325"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000152/pdfft?md5=c7d8d3329da9d9149aef6ec6fef584ee&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000152-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140902012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Appraising competency gaps among UNESCO-designated heritage site actors in disaster risk reduction innovations 评估教科文组织指定遗产地参与者在减少灾害风险创新方面的能力差距
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100321
Emmanuel Eze , Alexander Siegmund
{"title":"Appraising competency gaps among UNESCO-designated heritage site actors in disaster risk reduction innovations","authors":"Emmanuel Eze ,&nbsp;Alexander Siegmund","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100321","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100321","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Communities residing in UNESCO-designated sites, characterised by outstanding universal values, face heightened vulnerability during disasters, necessitating innovative Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) strategies. The critical role of well-equipped UNESCO site actors in DRR necessary for achieving the goals of broader international frameworks such as Agenda 2030 and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR) warrants this needs assessment study. This study uses a descriptive survey design to assess the competency gaps of UNESCO site actors, including managers and staff, for effective utilisation of DRR innovations (DRRI). Employing the Borich Needs Assessment Model and Ranked Discrepancy Model, an online questionnaire garnered 141 responses from 59 countries. Descriptive statistics, significance tests (at <em>p</em> &lt; .05), correlation tests, Mean Weighted Discrepancy Scores, and Ranked Discrepancy Scores yielded noteworthy findings. Despite recognising the importance of DRRI, respondents demonstrated competence lags, emphasizing the need for tailored training programs. Competency gaps were identified across all 14 listed DRRI, with top priorities including disaster prevention radio, telemetry systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, GIS, remote sensing, resilient materials, and disaster risk insurance. Enhancing competencies in DRRI presents a strategic approach to bolstering disaster preparedness, management, and risk reduction efforts, aligning with global conservation and sustainability goals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100321"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000115/pdfft?md5=273e57ea52d41df07e09dec35e34a5ca&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000115-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140290276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disaster risk reduction on stage: An empirical evaluation of community-based theatre as risk communication tool for coastal risk mitigation and ecosystem-based adaptation 在舞台上减少灾害风险:以社区为基础的戏剧作为风险交流工具,对减轻沿海风险和适应生态系统的实证评估
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100323
Philip Bubeck , Thi Dieu My Pham , Thi Nhat Anh Nguyen , Paul Hudson
{"title":"Disaster risk reduction on stage: An empirical evaluation of community-based theatre as risk communication tool for coastal risk mitigation and ecosystem-based adaptation","authors":"Philip Bubeck ,&nbsp;Thi Dieu My Pham ,&nbsp;Thi Nhat Anh Nguyen ,&nbsp;Paul Hudson","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100323","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100323","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Sendai Framework highlights the need for an all-of-society effort to reduce the societal burden of flooding, with a focus on those being disproportionately affected. In this context, community-based organizations shall contribute to and support public awareness, a culture of prevention and education on disaster risk. Participatory theatre could be a promising means to that end, but quantitative evaluations are currently lacking. We provide a systematic literature review on participatory theatre in the context of natural hazards and disaster risk reduction. Moreover, we quantitatively evaluate to what extent community-based theatre implemented by the Women's Union in Central Vietnam could contribute to public awareness and foster societal engagement. 10 theatre performances in five coastal communes were evaluated using pre- and post-performance surveys among 635 visitors, mainly women. We find that community-based theatre enhanced risk perceptions, perceived flood knowledge, self-efficacy, and the importance of social participation. No significant effect was found on intentions to engage in (collective) risk reducing behavior. We conclude that participatory theatre is an effective risk-communication tool for community-based organizations, which should be embedded in broader activities addressing societal resilience against flooding. Future research should explore the sustainability of the observed increases and the long-term dynamics of behavioral changes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100323"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000139/pdfft?md5=af130d5ed1ca1900fad10e95fcfe00fb&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000139-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140274533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disrupted sense of place and infrastructure reconstruction after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami 东日本大地震和海啸后被破坏的地方感与基础设施重建
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100322
Nanako Reza , Aaron Opdyke , Chiho Ochiai
{"title":"Disrupted sense of place and infrastructure reconstruction after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami","authors":"Nanako Reza ,&nbsp;Aaron Opdyke ,&nbsp;Chiho Ochiai","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100322","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100322","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recovery after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami remains contested with often conflicting infrastructure rebuilding and social processes that have unfolded in reconstruction strategies. Previous research points to the need to understand the integration of social and infrastructure dimensions of recovery to inform better planning processes. While place-based approaches have long been central to understanding disasters, there is comparatively less knowledge about the processes of how sense of place is established, or lost, in recovery after being disrupted following a disaster. Using the case of Kesennuma in the prefecture of Miyagi, we examined how these socio-technical processes unfolded. We draw on case study methods, including interviews and focus groups with residents and leaders of <em>jichikai</em> – neighbourhood associations of relocated communities – to understand how infrastructure reconstruction impacted sense of place. We found that infrastructure was a foundation for people's connections that construct sense of place across three scales – the individual, community, and city. To rebuilt sense of place, physical infrastructure needed to consider people's routine, community ties, and city identity after a disaster and it was the role of infrastructure across these scales that determined how disrupted sense of place could be re-established or continue to be disrupted through reconstruction. This work ultimately contributes to understanding how infrastructure can enable recovery and reduce disaster risk by creating more vibrant places within communities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100322"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000127/pdfft?md5=17b95ac0454e4ad1b73eef07db18d453&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000127-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140187864","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The dynamics of community resilience perception between two waves of COVID-19 in 2020 and 2022: A longitudinal study from Shanghai 2020年和2022年两次COVID-19调查之间社区复原力认知的动态变化:一项来自上海的纵向研究
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100316
Zhang Fenxia, Zhang Wei
{"title":"The dynamics of community resilience perception between two waves of COVID-19 in 2020 and 2022: A longitudinal study from Shanghai","authors":"Zhang Fenxia,&nbsp;Zhang Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100316","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study aims to compare and analyze how perception of community resilience in Shanghai changed between two periods of city lockdown, one imposed from January to March 2020 and the other April to June 2022 and the key factors affecting such change. The Communities Advancing Resilience Toolkit Assessment (CART) Survey was used in the study. Multiple linear regression analysis shows that: (1) In 2022, when the pandemic impact was more severe and lockdown measures stricter compared to 2020, the perceived level of community resilience was lower. (2) During the two periods of lockdown, community engagement had a consistent impact on the perception of community resilience. In 2022, formal support provided by local organizations and institutions and residents' participation in affiliated volunteer groups had a significantly positive influence on the perception of community resilience. (3) During the wave of infection in 2022, factors such as the convenience of government-provided emergency services and the adequacy of emergency supplies had a significant positive impact on the perception of community resilience. (4) Whether an individual was COVID-19 positive or a close contact had a significant negative impact on community resilience. An individual's income level had no significant impact on the perception of community resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100316"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000061/pdfft?md5=de70cbf7921ec14548f30d9aea3a6d17&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000061-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140113836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reframing urban informality: Gendered impacts of COVID-19 in Bangladeshi slums 重塑城市非正规性:COVID-19 对孟加拉国贫民窟的性别影响
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100317
Sajal Roy , Krishna K. Shrestha , Oliver Tirtho Sarkar , Ashish Singh , Rumana Sultana
{"title":"Reframing urban informality: Gendered impacts of COVID-19 in Bangladeshi slums","authors":"Sajal Roy ,&nbsp;Krishna K. Shrestha ,&nbsp;Oliver Tirtho Sarkar ,&nbsp;Ashish Singh ,&nbsp;Rumana Sultana","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100317","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100317","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has produced disproportionate gendered impacts. These impacts, which are most visible in urban informal settlements, are however, not well analysed in the scholarly literature. This paper examines the consequences of COVID-19 on gendered relations within urban informal workers' groups in Bangladesh, by focusing on how and why this coronavirus has led (or has not led) to urban social crises among informal working-class men and women. Using a systematic review of the literature, the paper demonstrates that the COVID-19 lockdowns have caused significant psychological distress including depression, fear, anxiety, and increased levels of loneliness, and that these impacts are disproportionately higher in women than in men. Moreover, COVID-19 has created severe economic crises for female-headed households living in these informal settlements, by creating sudden unemployment, and by rapidly diminishing the livelihood sources required to support these households. The psychological distresses together with sudden economic downturns have led to a deterioration in gendered relations, creating estrangement within informal workers' families. Furthermore, the existing COVID-19 plans and policies of Bangladesh do not take into account these disproportionate and gendered impacts in the informal settlements. This paper argues that in order to protect these informal settlements against future pandemics in Bangladesh, it is critical to develop plans and policies which include gender and psychological considerations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100317"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000073/pdfft?md5=c4415b530c73979b108b5239191cb9fa&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000073-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140067501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prioritizing stakeholder interactions in disaster management: A TOPSIS-based decision support tool for enhancing community resilience 在灾害管理中优先考虑利益相关者的互动:基于TOPSIS的决策支持工具,用于提高社区抗灾能力
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100320
Sahar Elkady , Sara Mehryar , Josune Hernantes , Leire Labaka
{"title":"Prioritizing stakeholder interactions in disaster management: A TOPSIS-based decision support tool for enhancing community resilience","authors":"Sahar Elkady ,&nbsp;Sara Mehryar ,&nbsp;Josune Hernantes ,&nbsp;Leire Labaka","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100320","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100320","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The escalating impact of disasters underscores the urgency of building resilient communities. Interactions among community stakeholders play a pivotal role in fostering resilience but improving such interactions is often hindered by competing priorities and resource limitations. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a decision support tool aimed at prioritizing context-specific interventions that enhance stakeholder interactions in disaster management. The tool includes two phases: (1) impact-based prioritization, identifying the most significant factors influencing interactions by evaluating the relative importance of each factor based on their direct and indirect influence; and (2) feasibility-based prioritization, assessing the practicality of interventions designed to improve the significant factors identified in phase 1. We surveyed Spanish emergency experts to gather data on the interaction factors and their evaluations against the decision-making criteria. We applied the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to analyze data. The results indicate that initiatives focusing on enhancing the leadership skills of emergency managers emerge as the most feasible and impactful interventions in our case study, followed by initiatives for facilitating community participation in the decision-making process and disaster response activities. On the other hand, initiatives for improving emergency response functionality, and disaster risk management plans are less feasible to implement. Additionally, we evaluated the usability and practicality of the tool together with emergency experts from different sectors. The tool received an overall positive evaluation from the experts, highlighting the significance of human factors such as status quo bias and structuring human judgment in decision-support tools while acknowledging potential resistance from users in utilizing such tools due to lack of education and training. The tool empowers policymakers and practitioners to effectively build resilient communities by offering them a systematic approach to prioritize context-specific interventions that enhance community resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100320"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000103/pdfft?md5=d7eba9e00cab2884ab9d807301f59441&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000103-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140052085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A process-based impact of tropical cyclone and hurricane on surface water-groundwater interaction and contaminant mobilization of coastal aquifers 基于过程的热带气旋和飓风对沿海含水层地表水-地下水相互作用和污染物迁移的影响
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100318
Mijanur Mondal , Abhijit Mukherjee , Pankaj Kumar , Nagham Mahmoud Ismaeel , Kousik Das
{"title":"A process-based impact of tropical cyclone and hurricane on surface water-groundwater interaction and contaminant mobilization of coastal aquifers","authors":"Mijanur Mondal ,&nbsp;Abhijit Mukherjee ,&nbsp;Pankaj Kumar ,&nbsp;Nagham Mahmoud Ismaeel ,&nbsp;Kousik Das","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100318","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100318","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Coastal aquifers are hydraulically connected to the sea and a storm (cyclone/hurricane) can disrupt the surface water-groundwater (SW-GW) interaction process which is largely unexplored. Thus, this study aims to explore the impact of storm surges (both positive and negative) on coastal aquifers, focusing on pollutant mobilization, groundwater level (GWL) fluctuations, and solute concentration (Salinity, Cl<sup>-</sup>) and subsequent re-stabilization based on pre-existing studies from the coast of USA and India through a systematic review process. The outcome of this study revealed that there is a positive relationship between cyclonic speed, rainfall, storm surge height and GWL in lithologically conductive aquifers. Positive surge raises GWL, salinity and transportation of surface contaminants into groundwater while negative surge induces fall in salinity, and accelerates submarine groundwater discharge and exports contaminants/nutrients to sea. The restabilization of SW-GW interaction dynamics is case dependent, which takes a week to month to years, and is dependent on local hydrogeology and intensity of storm. So, the study recommends prioritizing to safeguard the coastal groundwater otherwise increasing storms will lead to questions on freshwater sustainability and coastal ecosystems in present climate change scenario.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100318"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000085/pdfft?md5=3d09b521472d792653d42408c785fe51&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000085-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140042265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events 推进对系统性风险、连带灾害和复合事件的研究
IF 6.3
Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100319
Gianluca Pescaroli , Anawat Suppasri , Luca Galbusera
{"title":"Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events","authors":"Gianluca Pescaroli ,&nbsp;Anawat Suppasri ,&nbsp;Luca Galbusera","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100319","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100319","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Disaster risk in the 21st century differs from the experience of past generations and is defined by its evolving systemic nature. The increased role of technological networks, societal interdependencies and climate change dynamics make crises more complex and unpredictable. Cascading and compounding dynamics are becoming the new “business as usual”, challenging emergency management to maintain operations in face of complex disruptions while requiring the development of good practices and strategy for facilitate the recovery process. Our special issue aimed to support the development of a paradigm shift in the understanding of complex events, utilizing a network-based, cross-disciplinary approach to resilience. This editorial introduces and summarizes 18 papers across four thematic areas: 1) Resilience Challenges; 2) Area Studies and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction; 3) Community and Health; 4) Enhancing New Methodologies. The conclusions highlight open research challenges for future exploration.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100319"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000097/pdfft?md5=1a3e7a3ffbfddd813f9536b618e6bfaa&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000097-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140024471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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