Progress in Disaster Science最新文献

{"title":"Integrated approach for drought and saline intrusion severity assessment on the coastal Mekong Delta of Vietnam contextualizing physical change to risk management and policy development","authors":"Bui Phan Quoc Nghia ,&nbsp;Indrajit Pal ,&nbsp;Nuwong Chollacoop ,&nbsp;Loi Huu Nguyen ,&nbsp;Le Van Thinh ,&nbsp;Tran Minh Tuan ,&nbsp;Nguyen Van Tuong","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100338","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100338","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Drought and saline intrusion are common hazards that typically occur during dry seasons in the Mekong Delta of Vietnam (MDV), leading to significant socio-economic impacts such as water shortages, crop failures, and social unrest. Climate change exacerbated the impacts of these hazards, which have become more complex and unpredictable, particularly in coastal provinces in MDV. This study aims to explore the intricate relationships between drought and saline intrusion by utilizing the Streamflow Drought Index (SSI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), saline boundary 4 g/l, Pearson correlation (R), and <em>p</em>-values. Additionally, the study analyzes policy developments between the 2016 and 2020 droughts using document review and comparative approach methods. Overall, the results indicate that the 2020 drought was more severe than the 2016 drought. Hydrological drought shows a stronger connection with saline intrusion than meteorological drought in the MDV. Governance in drought and saline intrusion management in 2020 showed improvement compared to 2016. The management of aquaculture remained deficient, leading to more severe impacts of drought and saline intrusion on aquaculture in 2020 than in 2016. The findings of this study can complement risk information and assist decision-makers in effectively managing drought and saline intrusion hazards.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100338"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000280/pdfft?md5=86d6347e279a2725264ba53e9ef89a43&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000280-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141397383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Managing residual flood risk: Lessons learned from experiences in Taiwan","authors":"Hsiao-Wen Wang,&nbsp;Daniel Sebastián Castillo Castro,&nbsp;Guan-Wei Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100337","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Flood risk has dramatically increased over the decades and is complicated by climate change. Nevertheless, the residual risk of flooding remains scarcely addressed in practice and theory. This paper is to document the lessons learned from managing residual risk in Taiwan. Through a semi-structured interview process, fourteen stakeholders from the flood management in academia, government, and local communities shared their perspectives on residual risk covering various aspects, including flood risk mapping, social representations, and some management strategies. Land use regulation and community-based disaster prevention were highlighted as preparedness measures and recognized for their effectiveness to mitigate flood residual risk. However, there is still an insufficient consideration of flood maps as public communication tools rather than mere decision-informing documents. Besides, all the interviewed stakeholders agreed that marginal flood risk awareness limits the recognition and discussion of residual risk as a problem of its own. Misconceptions and the lack of communication between stakeholders were identified as the main barriers too. Interviewees pointed out that citizens are unaware of risks mainly either due to their inexperience or over-trust in the safety of flood protection structures. Overall, this work may inform residual flood risk management for Taiwan and elsewhere enduring similar extreme floods.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100337"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000279/pdfft?md5=858abeb4d79d79a740d0564dd3d56d30&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000279-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141323718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Preparedness for a forgotten disaster: A case study Coimbatore, India","authors":"E. Lalith Prakash ,&nbsp;K.B. Anand ,&nbsp;Sreevalsa Kolathayar","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100340","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Earthquake preparedness is known to effectively reduce the distressful effects of earthquakes, as demonstrated in experiences worldwide. This research aims to use a region-specific, valid, and reliable survey-based tool to assess individual and community earthquake preparedness levels in a densely populated city region with a forgotten earthquake history. The study focuses on evaluating the earthquake preparedness levels of a population in the Indian peninsular shield region that has not experienced an earthquake or received any preparatory program in their life time; but the region has an earthquake history. Coimbatore city was chosen for the same reason, and two survey-based tools were developed - the Individual Earthquake Readiness Index (IERI) and the Community Earthquake Readiness Index (CERI) - using a comprehensive literature analysis, questionnaire creation via focused group discussion followed by expert panel validation, and pilot studies. This study ensured the validity and reliability of the tools through content validity, construct validity, internal consistency test, Spearman's test-retest reliability test, Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA), and Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA). The final IERI is a 27-item tool, and the final CERI is a 20-item tool. This study broadens the scope of risk assessment, facilitating a methodical estimation of Earthquake Readiness Index as one of the pivotal social vulnerability determinant. The study revealed a strong sense of community spirit in Coimbatore, but residents showed a lack of individual preparedness and were hesitant to take leadership roles. The findings emphasize the need for targeted interventions to bridge the gaps in earthquake preparedness, fostering a culture of proactive engagement and individual responsibility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100340"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000309/pdfft?md5=8ac9332d72b8c7f5b7485abd81ebbef7&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000309-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141292237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Scoping review of exploring the roles of primary care providers to increase disaster preparedness of vulnerable populations","authors":"Perihan Şimşek ,&nbsp;Mayumi Kako ,&nbsp;Nahoko Harada ,&nbsp;Jonathan Abrahams ,&nbsp;Ismail Tayfur","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100339","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Primary care providers are well placed to improve disaster preparedness in communities. Their close position to their clients and understanding of theirhealth needs can be utilized to increase disaster preparedeness for vulnerable populations. However, there is still a lack of clarity about their roles and services in this area. The aim of this review was to explore the services provided by primary care providers in the context of disaster preparedness activities for vulnerable populations.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Scoping review was performed with PubMed, Scopus and MEDLINE databases.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>A total of 2193 articles were identified from the database screening and 22 full-text articles yielded for the final analysis. After thematic analysis was conducted, six themes were emerged.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>To utilise and maximise theprofessional roles of primary care providers effectively, there is a need to strengthen the expertise and involvement of providers in disaster risk management mechanisms and planning. In addition, there is a need for scientific research to explore the existing capabilities of primary care providers and to facilitate their existing ability to coordinate with disaster management agencies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100339"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000292/pdfft?md5=854381abe985e75c19c5632250a801c2&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000292-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141312945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Looking beyond the television: Variability in information seeking patterns and mitigation behaviors during Hurricane Ian","authors":"Kenneth A. Lachlan ,&nbsp;James DiCairano ,&nbsp;Patric R. Spence","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100336","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100336","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recent research in crisis and risk communication has examined information seeking preferences across varying audiences in the time leading up to natural disasters. Such an understanding is critical for targeting risk information messages such that they will have the maximum intended impact on those seeking to take protective actions. Until recently, these studies have largely ignored the relative importance of mediated sources alongside community groups and other grassroots organizations. To that end, the current study surveyed 1030 Florida residents in the aftermath of 2022's Hurricane Ian in the United States. In addition to replicating past findings concerning media preferences across the demographic spectrum, the current study offers evidence that marginalized and at-risk communities may be especially reliant on community resources for information about protective actions concerning an environmental hazard. The findings are discussed in terms of their implications for crisis communication researchers and emergency managers alike.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100336"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000267/pdfft?md5=fc6bf157fb448a5dcd555fcb02b0e1c0&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000267-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141281742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evidence-based disaster risk management: A scoping review focusing on risk, resilience and vulnerability assessment","authors":"Henrik Tehler ,&nbsp;Alexander Cedergren ,&nbsp;Mathilde de Goër de Herve ,&nbsp;Johanna Gustavsson ,&nbsp;Henrik Hassel ,&nbsp;Hanna Lindbom ,&nbsp;Lars Nyberg ,&nbsp;Misse Wester","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100335","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100335","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A plethora of methods exist to aid decision-making in mitigating disaster risk, many of which fall into the categories of risk, vulnerability and/or resilience assessment methods. The objective of the present study is to provide an overview of these methods, with a particular focus on evidence that supports their practical implementation. A scoping study of scientific literature reveal 97 distinct methods. Despite the growing interest in publishing new methods, there seems to be a lack of focus on demonstrating their effectiveness in practice. The few contributions that do include some forms of evaluation typically do so by comparing the method's output with disaster data, by contrasting it with the output of other methods, by having experts evaluate the structure of the method, or by testing the method in practice and evaluating its usage. To further strengthen the relevance of research on this topic, increased attention should be paid to this matter. A good starting point would be to use the ways of evaluation identified in this study and systematically present evidence regarding the practical usefulness of methods for risk, vulnerability and/or resilience assessment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100335"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000255/pdfft?md5=b1c54f2fdfebfffeabb8d67492fd43b3&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000255-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141278573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Communicable diseases outbreaks after natural disasters: A systematic scoping review for incidence, risk factors and recommendations","authors":"Mohammad Saatchi ,&nbsp;Hamid Reza Khankeh ,&nbsp;Javad Shojafard ,&nbsp;Arvin Barzanji ,&nbsp;Maryam Ranjbar ,&nbsp;Narges Nazari ,&nbsp;Mohammad Azim Mahmodi ,&nbsp;Shokoufeh Ahmadi ,&nbsp;Mehrdad Farrokhi","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Natural hazards can play a considerable role in the emergence and spread of infectious diseases (ID). There are various risk factors associated with disease outbreaks following disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive systematic analysis of communicable disease epidemic and their associated risk factors following disasters worldwide.</p></div><div><h3>Method</h3><p>This is a systematic review adhering to the PRISMA Scoping Review criteria, encompassing various types of descriptive and analytical research, such as cross-sectional, case-control, cohort, and ecological studies. Published articles to the end of March 2022 were searched on the Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus. The primary objective of this review was to examine the incidence and/or prevalence of ID following natural disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>After screening 12,151 titles, 72 articles were included in the final analysis. Increased ID incidence rates and outbreaks after floods, earthquakes, tsunamis, tropical storms, heavy rainfall, hurricanes and tornadoes, extreme heat waves, and drought have been reported. Most commonly, outbreaks of diarrhea were reported after floods, followed by leptospirosis and malaria. After earthquakes, an increased incidence of upper and lower respiratory infections was recorded. Outbreaks of gastrointestinal infections and cutaneous leishmaniasis were noted after earthquakes. Tetanus, measles, and malaria epidemics occurred post-tsunami, while cholera and dengue fever were predominant after cyclonic events and monsoons. Socio-economic status, poor water supply, low sanitation &amp; hygiene, poor food security, sex, age, occupation, and co-existing disease are important risk factors of epidemics after disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>This review outlines the important ID and major risk factors in the population exposed to natural disasters, providing valuable insights for policymakers and disaster risk managers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100334"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000243/pdfft?md5=b9a11f747ee3d1183a0abdc8af30023b&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000243-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141276305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Enhancing community resilience to urban heat waves: A simulation-based approach for volunteer management and shelter selection","authors":"Maziar Yazdani,&nbsp;Milad Haghani","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study proposes a novel approach to enhancing urban resilience and emergency management practices in the face of heatwave events, often exacerbated by the urban heat island effect. Recognizing the limitations of traditional government-led responses in shelter allocation—characterized by high costs, logistical challenges, and a lack of adaptability—this paper introduces an innovative framework that integrates community-based volunteer efforts with advanced simulation and stochastic modelling techniques. The primary objective is to optimize the allocation of resources and volunteers to improve the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of heatwave response mechanisms. Utilizing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), the research identifies and enhances resource and volunteer distribution strategies, paving the way for more effective emergency services. A case study conducted in Blacktown City, Western Sydney, serves to demonstrate the practical application and implications of these strategies, underscoring the necessity for a paradigm shift towards more adaptable, volunteer-focused, and resource-efficient approaches in mitigating the impact of climate-change-induced heat waves on vulnerable urban populations. The anticipated outcomes include measurable improvements in response times, cost reductions, and enhanced volunteer mobilization efficiency.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100331"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000218/pdfft?md5=40c4f92f6632c5f04db5f6a50b5da120&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000218-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141039145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Why modification of the ECLAC methodology for Bangladesh is important? Observation from housing, commerce and transport sector in cyclone Mora in Teknaf Upazila, Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh","authors":"Nafisa Nuari Islam ,&nbsp;Md Asif Rafsan ,&nbsp;Muhammad Abu Sayed","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>An immediate and precise Damage and Loss Assessment (DaLA) is necessary after the occurrence of any disaster to bounce back to its previous stage perceiving the recovery needs. Since the ECLAC (Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean) methodology has been identified as the most consistent and comprehensive one worldwide for DaLA, this research aims to apply and modify the ECLAC for the housing, commerce, and transportation sectors in the context of Bangladesh as it needs to incorporate both its formal and informal economies in DaLA. An immediate field visit was performed in Teknaf Upazila after the occurrence of cyclone Mora in 2017 following 12 Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and 135 individual surveys for the above mentioned sectors. This study considers alternative sources for baseline data because of its unavailability and a constant Likert scale throughout the assessment. While applying the ECLAC, several adjustments have been obtained depending on the local characteristics that create differences in the estimation of modified DaLA from the conventional ECLAC. In the case of the housing sector, all three damage, loss, and additional cost estimations are modified. On the other hand, the damage and especially the loss have been revised for the commerce sector. Also the loss and additional cost estimation for the transportation sector have been separated and modifications have been adopted. This study may help to estimate avoiding the over and under-estimation of damage and loss and can be applied in future disasters in Bangladesh and other developing countries. The researchers can develop a complete ECLAC methodology examining the other sectors and the government can take initiatives to apply the revised ECLAC methodology for a proper reconstruction and recovery planning.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100332"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259006172400022X/pdfft?md5=26c831b6cf9e83d899e3c730497bd882&pid=1-s2.0-S259006172400022X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141040094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Anthropogenic drivers induced desertification under changing climate: Issues, policy interventions, and the way forward”, [Progress in Disaster Science,Volume 20, December 2023, PDISAS 100303]","authors":"Subodh Chandra Pal ,&nbsp;Uday Chatterjee ,&nbsp;Rabin Chakrabortty ,&nbsp;Paramita Roy ,&nbsp;Indrajit Chowdhuri ,&nbsp;Asish Saha ,&nbsp;Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam ,&nbsp;Edris Alam ,&nbsp;Md. Kamrul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100304","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100304","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100304"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061723000315/pdfft?md5=9b51aa6bbefd3b8c087cb51de321f4da&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061723000315-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139304199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}