Progress in Disaster Science最新文献

{"title":"Evidence-based disaster risk management: A scoping review focusing on risk, resilience and vulnerability assessment","authors":"Henrik Tehler ,&nbsp;Alexander Cedergren ,&nbsp;Mathilde de Goër de Herve ,&nbsp;Johanna Gustavsson ,&nbsp;Henrik Hassel ,&nbsp;Hanna Lindbom ,&nbsp;Lars Nyberg ,&nbsp;Misse Wester","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100335","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100335","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A plethora of methods exist to aid decision-making in mitigating disaster risk, many of which fall into the categories of risk, vulnerability and/or resilience assessment methods. The objective of the present study is to provide an overview of these methods, with a particular focus on evidence that supports their practical implementation. A scoping study of scientific literature reveal 97 distinct methods. Despite the growing interest in publishing new methods, there seems to be a lack of focus on demonstrating their effectiveness in practice. The few contributions that do include some forms of evaluation typically do so by comparing the method's output with disaster data, by contrasting it with the output of other methods, by having experts evaluate the structure of the method, or by testing the method in practice and evaluating its usage. To further strengthen the relevance of research on this topic, increased attention should be paid to this matter. A good starting point would be to use the ways of evaluation identified in this study and systematically present evidence regarding the practical usefulness of methods for risk, vulnerability and/or resilience assessment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100335"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000255/pdfft?md5=b1c54f2fdfebfffeabb8d67492fd43b3&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000255-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141278573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Communicable diseases outbreaks after natural disasters: A systematic scoping review for incidence, risk factors and recommendations","authors":"Mohammad Saatchi ,&nbsp;Hamid Reza Khankeh ,&nbsp;Javad Shojafard ,&nbsp;Arvin Barzanji ,&nbsp;Maryam Ranjbar ,&nbsp;Narges Nazari ,&nbsp;Mohammad Azim Mahmodi ,&nbsp;Shokoufeh Ahmadi ,&nbsp;Mehrdad Farrokhi","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Natural hazards can play a considerable role in the emergence and spread of infectious diseases (ID). There are various risk factors associated with disease outbreaks following disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive systematic analysis of communicable disease epidemic and their associated risk factors following disasters worldwide.</p></div><div><h3>Method</h3><p>This is a systematic review adhering to the PRISMA Scoping Review criteria, encompassing various types of descriptive and analytical research, such as cross-sectional, case-control, cohort, and ecological studies. Published articles to the end of March 2022 were searched on the Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus. The primary objective of this review was to examine the incidence and/or prevalence of ID following natural disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>After screening 12,151 titles, 72 articles were included in the final analysis. Increased ID incidence rates and outbreaks after floods, earthquakes, tsunamis, tropical storms, heavy rainfall, hurricanes and tornadoes, extreme heat waves, and drought have been reported. Most commonly, outbreaks of diarrhea were reported after floods, followed by leptospirosis and malaria. After earthquakes, an increased incidence of upper and lower respiratory infections was recorded. Outbreaks of gastrointestinal infections and cutaneous leishmaniasis were noted after earthquakes. Tetanus, measles, and malaria epidemics occurred post-tsunami, while cholera and dengue fever were predominant after cyclonic events and monsoons. Socio-economic status, poor water supply, low sanitation &amp; hygiene, poor food security, sex, age, occupation, and co-existing disease are important risk factors of epidemics after disasters.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>This review outlines the important ID and major risk factors in the population exposed to natural disasters, providing valuable insights for policymakers and disaster risk managers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100334"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000243/pdfft?md5=b9a11f747ee3d1183a0abdc8af30023b&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000243-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141276305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Enhancing community resilience to urban heat waves: A simulation-based approach for volunteer management and shelter selection","authors":"Maziar Yazdani,&nbsp;Milad Haghani","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study proposes a novel approach to enhancing urban resilience and emergency management practices in the face of heatwave events, often exacerbated by the urban heat island effect. Recognizing the limitations of traditional government-led responses in shelter allocation—characterized by high costs, logistical challenges, and a lack of adaptability—this paper introduces an innovative framework that integrates community-based volunteer efforts with advanced simulation and stochastic modelling techniques. The primary objective is to optimize the allocation of resources and volunteers to improve the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of heatwave response mechanisms. Utilizing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), the research identifies and enhances resource and volunteer distribution strategies, paving the way for more effective emergency services. A case study conducted in Blacktown City, Western Sydney, serves to demonstrate the practical application and implications of these strategies, underscoring the necessity for a paradigm shift towards more adaptable, volunteer-focused, and resource-efficient approaches in mitigating the impact of climate-change-induced heat waves on vulnerable urban populations. The anticipated outcomes include measurable improvements in response times, cost reductions, and enhanced volunteer mobilization efficiency.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100331"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000218/pdfft?md5=40c4f92f6632c5f04db5f6a50b5da120&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000218-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141039145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Why modification of the ECLAC methodology for Bangladesh is important? Observation from housing, commerce and transport sector in cyclone Mora in Teknaf Upazila, Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh","authors":"Nafisa Nuari Islam ,&nbsp;Md Asif Rafsan ,&nbsp;Muhammad Abu Sayed","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>An immediate and precise Damage and Loss Assessment (DaLA) is necessary after the occurrence of any disaster to bounce back to its previous stage perceiving the recovery needs. Since the ECLAC (Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean) methodology has been identified as the most consistent and comprehensive one worldwide for DaLA, this research aims to apply and modify the ECLAC for the housing, commerce, and transportation sectors in the context of Bangladesh as it needs to incorporate both its formal and informal economies in DaLA. An immediate field visit was performed in Teknaf Upazila after the occurrence of cyclone Mora in 2017 following 12 Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and 135 individual surveys for the above mentioned sectors. This study considers alternative sources for baseline data because of its unavailability and a constant Likert scale throughout the assessment. While applying the ECLAC, several adjustments have been obtained depending on the local characteristics that create differences in the estimation of modified DaLA from the conventional ECLAC. In the case of the housing sector, all three damage, loss, and additional cost estimations are modified. On the other hand, the damage and especially the loss have been revised for the commerce sector. Also the loss and additional cost estimation for the transportation sector have been separated and modifications have been adopted. This study may help to estimate avoiding the over and under-estimation of damage and loss and can be applied in future disasters in Bangladesh and other developing countries. The researchers can develop a complete ECLAC methodology examining the other sectors and the government can take initiatives to apply the revised ECLAC methodology for a proper reconstruction and recovery planning.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100332"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259006172400022X/pdfft?md5=26c831b6cf9e83d899e3c730497bd882&pid=1-s2.0-S259006172400022X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141040094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Anthropogenic drivers induced desertification under changing climate: Issues, policy interventions, and the way forward”, [Progress in Disaster Science,Volume 20, December 2023, PDISAS 100303]","authors":"Subodh Chandra Pal ,&nbsp;Uday Chatterjee ,&nbsp;Rabin Chakrabortty ,&nbsp;Paramita Roy ,&nbsp;Indrajit Chowdhuri ,&nbsp;Asish Saha ,&nbsp;Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam ,&nbsp;Edris Alam ,&nbsp;Md. Kamrul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100304","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100304","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100304"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061723000315/pdfft?md5=9b51aa6bbefd3b8c087cb51de321f4da&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061723000315-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139304199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Institutional resilience and disaster governance: How countries respond to Black Swan events","authors":"Brian Woodall ,&nbsp;Adjo Amekudzi-Kennedy ,&nbsp;Maya Orthous Inchauste ,&nbsp;Samyuthka Sundararajan ,&nbsp;Adrian Medina ,&nbsp;Simrill Smith ,&nbsp;Kathryn Popp","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100329","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100329","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In a worldwide hazard environment exacerbated by the effects of climate change and the increasing interconnectedness of built and social systems, disasters are becoming more frequent, more destructive, and locally more variegated. Yet some communities are more disaster resilient than others. What explains this? This study employs institutional resilience as a lens through which to compare the responses to large-scale disasters taken by Australia, Japan, and The Netherlands, three affluent democracies with distinctive institutional arrangements. In so doing, we use the Swan Matrix as a yardstick for gauging the adaptive capacity of different systems of disaster governance. By focusing on human efforts to build resilience, we draw attention to contextual factors, particularly the type of institutional arrangement, which, our observations suggest, shape disaster governance. We conclude with a call for further comparative research into the major disaster governance systems in a hazard environment in which large-scale disasters are becoming commonplace.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100329"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259006172400019X/pdfft?md5=3cd19bcf836f3f9da25fa8b4e558f030&pid=1-s2.0-S259006172400019X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140902011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An interdisciplinary review of systemic risk factors leading up to existential risks","authors":"Trond Arne Undheim","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100326","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100326","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Systemic risks derive from a mix of economic, technological, socio political, and ecological factors. Inherently interdisciplinary, the study of systemic risk draws on financial shock models, operations research, global health, foresight, management, military strategy, risk assessment, risk sociology, disaster research, security studies, science and technology studies, existential risk (X-risk) research as well as the AI risk and biorisk communities. The study of systemic risk requires developing transdisciplinary tools that can better integrate the insights drawn from these disparate fields despite high uncertainty. Nevertheless, there remains no overarching framework specifically formulated for systemic risks beyond economics. This paper reviews this body of work aiming to begin formulating an approach for the integrated study of systemic risk leading up to existential risks or X-risks, the possibility of human extinction. Given that risks that threaten entire societies might cascade across systems, the various systemic risk fields should begin to align risk factors and vocabulary to better combine insights and increase humanity's resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100326"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000164/pdfft?md5=bff8346cd851e158c7b7e65cd82ce1f0&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000164-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140893482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sustainable Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in the times of COVID-19","authors":"Trairong Swatdikun ,&nbsp;Shubham Pathak ,&nbsp;Lidya Primta Surbakti","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100327","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100327","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>COVID-19 has been a learning experience for all sectors of the economy. However, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) struggled to be resilient throughout the pandemic and beyond. Therefore, this research aims to explore, understand, analyze and provide recommendations to the beneficiaries of the research. The research adopts the mixed method approach utilizing both qualitative and quantitative methods to understand the business management variables and their link with Thai SMEs. The data collection involves a survey questionnaire, key informant interviews (semi-structured) and secondary data from various published research, government reports and regulations at the national and local levels in Thailand. The data analysis provided for the quantitative method with a statistical test of multiple regression. The qualitative data is categorized into themes to implement the collected interview data under the content analysis. It was found that SMEs face similar external factors, such as a lack of government support and inadequate strategies at both government and SME levels to cope with the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the internal factors, including marketing, supply chain, human resources, financial reporting and management, and managerial accounting, were also found to be highly significant in developing a sustainable enterprise.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100327"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000176/pdfft?md5=05c9db1017322d445e379cb14014c92c&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000176-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140880101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Predictors of Bangladeshi registered nurses' disaster management knowledge, skills, and preparedness","authors":"Md. Khalid Hasan,&nbsp;Ahmed Fahmi,&nbsp;Tasnim Jamal Jisa,&nbsp;Rokibul Huq Rokib,&nbsp;Julia Yasmin Borna,&nbsp;Jannatul Fardusi,&nbsp;Israt Jahan Oishee,&nbsp;Anas,&nbsp;Sheikh Abdullah Al Muid,&nbsp;Sadia Afrin Saki,&nbsp;Shariful Islam,&nbsp;Md. Solayman Uddin,&nbsp;Md. Shihab Mahmud","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100324","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100324","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As a primary healthcare first respondent during disasters, Bangladeshi registered nurses (RNs) play a critical role in disaster management. This study assessed their knowledge, skills, and preparedness (KSP) for disaster management and examined the factors influencing their disaster KSP. Employing a cross-sectional design with a self-administered structure questionnaire containing the Disaster Preparedness Evaluation Tool (DPET), data were collected from 573 registered nurses in four metropolitan cities in Bangladesh. Results showed that RNs had moderate levels of knowledge (M = 4.00, SD = 0.76), skills (M = 4.27, SD = 0.75), and preparedness (M = 4.56, SD = 0.69) for disaster management. Statistically significant correlations existed between disaster preparedness and skills (<em>r</em> = 0.718) and between disaster knowledge and skills (<em>r</em> = 0.653). RNs whose curriculum has disaster management courses had statistically significantly higher disaster KSP than those who did not. Besides, RNs with BSc in Nursing (Post Basic) degrees had significantly higher disaster knowledge and skills than the RNs who completed four years of BSc in nursing degree. In addition, RNs working in the emergency unit had significantly higher disaster knowledge and skills than those without work experience in the emergency unit. Moreover, respondents who participated in disaster management training had significantly higher disaster skills than their counterparts. However, the senior RNs (≤ 40 years) had statistically significantly higher disaster preparedness than the young RNs (21–25 years). No significant association was found regarding RNs' gender, marital status, hospital types, and disaster experience with their disaster KSP. Along with disaster education, adequate disaster management training and drills are highly recommended to enhance RNs' disaster management capacity in Bangladesh.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100324"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000140/pdfft?md5=0127c92a7be6962eaffce4e7de2e080c&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061724000140-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140604377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Wildfire univariate and bivariate characteristics simulation based on multiple machine learning models and applicability analysis of wildfire models” [Progress in Disaster Science Volume 20, December 2023, 100301]","authors":"Ke Shi ,&nbsp;Yoshiya Touge ,&nbsp;Yanhong Dou","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100306","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100306","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100306"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061723000339/pdfft?md5=4310059afde942b9689b75b9ac94b9c9&pid=1-s2.0-S2590061723000339-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139026159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}