Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics最新文献_第4页

Does lobbying discourage individuals from fighting climate change? 游说会阻碍个人对抗气候变化吗？

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102372

Raphael Epperson

引用次数: 0

Influenced by others: Trusting behaviour and social influence 受他人影响：信任行为和社会影响

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102370

Tobias Schütze , Kyle Nash , Britta Gehrke , Philipp C. Wichardt

引用次数: 0

How gender and prosociality affect machine interaction in tax compliance: A game-theoretic experiment 性别和亲社会性如何影响税收遵从中的机器交互：一个博弈论实验

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102369

Yutaro Murakami , Satoshi Taguchi

引用次数: 0

Anticipated regret and respondent uncertainty in assessing public preferences for air pollution treatment policies: A choice experiment 评估公众对空气污染治理政策偏好的预期后悔和被调查者的不确定性：一个选择实验

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102368

Debin Zheng , Yulin Long , Yuehua Wei , Zhenyu Cai , Zhiwen Cheng , Changlin Ao

{"title":"Anticipated regret and respondent uncertainty in assessing public preferences for air pollution treatment policies: A choice experiment","authors":"Debin Zheng , Yulin Long , Yuehua Wei , Zhenyu Cai , Zhiwen Cheng , Changlin Ao","doi":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102368","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102368","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Compared with the traditional utility maximization decision mechanism in choice experiments, the role of anticipated regret in choosing air pollution treatment policies has received limited attention, especially when respondent uncertainty is considered. This study explores the importance of the regret mechanism compared with the traditional utility mechanism while accounting for respondent uncertainty. The preference characteristics between the two classes of respondents who follow different decision mechanisms are examined. Moreover, the impact of neglecting respondent uncertainty on the assessment of public preferences and willingness to pay is analyzed. Results suggest that a regret-based behavioral framework is more appropriate for explaining the public's choice of air pollution treatment policies compared to a traditional utility-based framework. Anticipated regret is the main driver influencing the public's choice behavior. There is obvious heterogeneity in the preferences for air pollution treatment between the two classes of respondents who follow different decision mechanisms. Notably, ignoring respondent uncertainty leads to distortions in the willingness-to-pay estimates of attributes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51637,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102368"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143760249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Anticipatory effects of competition on confidence and risk preference 竞争对信心和风险偏好的预期效应

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102367

Stephen L. Cheung , Vindesh Nadan

引用次数: 0

Happiness and willingness to compete 幸福和竞争的意愿

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102365

Karl Overdick

引用次数: 0

Predicting prices of the US and G7 stock indices in uncertain times: Evidence from the application of a hybrid neural network 在不确定时期预测美国和G7股票指数的价格：来自混合神经网络应用的证据

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102366

Ahmed Bouteska , Taimur Sharif , Petr Hajek , Mohammad Zoynul Abedin

{"title":"Predicting prices of the US and G7 stock indices in uncertain times: Evidence from the application of a hybrid neural network","authors":"Ahmed Bouteska , Taimur Sharif , Petr Hajek , Mohammad Zoynul Abedin","doi":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102366","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102366","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to forecast the one-day-ahead closing price of the US and G7 indices, and makes an extended analysis of three distinct periods, namely, the pre-2008 financial crisis (2003–2007), post-crisis recovery (2009–2016), and recent economic uncertainty (2017–2022). Unlike the traditional predictive approaches, our model distinguishes itself by utilizing a hybrid ANN-based architecture that integrates variable selection and forecasting stages. The proposed model consists of two main parts: selecting relevant input variables and developing a forecasting model. In the first part, an ANN-based variable selection model is utilized to identify significant input variables based on historical market conditions that reflect economic and psychological influences over the study period. These inputs are then refined by eliminating variables with low contributions, resulting in improved model performance. In the second part, we evaluate the impact of different training algorithms, hidden layer sizes, and training data distributions on the ANN's forecasting accuracy. The findings demonstrate that ANNs can effectively forecast the S&P 500 index's and G7 indices’ prices with high accuracy, particularly when employing the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm with a simplified model architecture. Moreover, the expanded dataset covering three distinct periods has enabled us to test the model's stability and generalization across diverse market volatility and structural conditions. The study highlights the critical role of data volume in enhancing the model's performance, confirming that extensive training data is essential for capturing the complex dynamics of market behavior.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51637,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102366"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Salience perception and dominated choices in contracts 契约中的突出感知与支配选择

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102363

Mark Schneider , Cary Deck , Patrick DeJarnette

引用次数: 0

Mood and the malleability of moral reasoning: the impact of irrelevant factors on judicial decisions 情绪与道德推理的可塑性：不相关因素对司法判决的影响

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102364

Daniel L. Chen , Markus Loecher

{"title":"Mood and the malleability of moral reasoning: the impact of irrelevant factors on judicial decisions","authors":"Daniel L. Chen , Markus Loecher","doi":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102364","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102364","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Emotions are said to underlie moral decision-making. We detect intra-judge variation spanning three decades in 1.5 million judicial decisions driven by factors unrelated to case merits. U.S. immigration judges grant an additional 1.4 % points of asylum petitions–and U.S. district judges assign 0.6 % points fewer prison sentences and 5 % longer probation sentences—on the day after their city's NFL team won, relative to days after the team lost. Bad weather has the opposite effect of a team win. Unrepresented parties in asylum bear the brunt of NFL effects. The effect on district judges only appears for judges born in the same state as the current state of residence, providing clean evidence of extraneous influences on judge decision-making as opposed to lawyer or applicant behavior.</div><div>Moving beyond OLS, we utilize models from machine learning to estimate the sentence length relative to the sentencing guideline. We find that while several appropriate features predict sentence length, such as details of the crime committed, other features seemingly unrelated, including daily temperature, sport game scores, and location of trial, are predictive as well. The predictive power of the unrelated events is derived from the permutation based variable importance score in random forests. We address recent criticism of the reliability of these scores with double residualization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51637,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102364"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143726022","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Testing models of complexity aversion 测试复杂性厌恶模型

IF 1.6 3区经济学

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102354

Konstantinos Georgalos, Nathan Nabil

引用次数: 0