Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101218
Simplice A. Asongu , Jean R.F.K. Bouanza , Peter Agyemang-Mintah
{"title":"Globalization in lifelong gender inclusive education for structural transformation in Africa","authors":"Simplice A. Asongu , Jean R.F.K. Bouanza , Peter Agyemang-Mintah","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101218","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101218","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The present study examines the relevance of globalization in lifelong gender inclusive education for structural transformation. The focus of the research is on 41 countries in Africa using data from 2004 to 2021. The generalized method of moments (GMM) is employed to assess the problem statement within the remit of interactive regressions. Gender inclusive lifelong learning is measured as gender inclusive education acquired during the three levels of education, notably: primary, secondary and tertiary inclusive education stages. Total globalization and corresponding components (social, economic and political dynamics) are employed as moderators. The attendant sub-components of economic (i.e., trade and financial) and social (i.e., interpersonal, informational and cultural) globalization are also employed for robustness purposes. The hypotheses that globalization and gender inclusive lifelong learning individually influence structural transformation are not validated. Furthermore, the hypothesis that globalization dynamics moderate lifelong gender inclusive education to promote structural transformation is also not validated. Clarification as to why the hypotheses are not validated is provided. Policy implications are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 4","pages":"Article 101218"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140403848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101216
Linas Jurkšas
{"title":"The impact of the heterogenous fiscal policy stance of euro-area member states on ECB monetary policy","authors":"Linas Jurkšas","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101216","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101216","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div><span>This article assesses the influence of the fiscal stance of different euro-area members on the monetary policy actions of the </span>European Central Bank<span>. This issue has increased in relevance due to the widening disparities in the levels of debt across euro-area member states. We utilise a thick modelling approach that includes various GMM model specifications for the five largest euro area economies using quarterly projections data from 2002 to 2022. The findings indicate that the fiscal deficits of different euro area countries did not consistently exert a substantial impact on monetary policymaking. This conclusion holds even after the COVID-19 shock, with projected inflation remaining the most consistently significant indicator.</span></div></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 4","pages":"Article 101216"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140201218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101223
Suzana Laporšek , Peter F. Orazem , Milan Vodopivec , Matija Vodopivec
{"title":"Long-term responses to large minimum wage shocks: Subminimum and super-minimum workers in Slovenia","authors":"Suzana Laporšek , Peter F. Orazem , Milan Vodopivec , Matija Vodopivec","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101223","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101223","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines long-term effects of a large minimum wage increase in Slovenia, covering the universe of employed and unemployed workers. By distinguishing subminimum and super-minimum workers, we find large, persistent disemployment effects for the subminimum group whose productivity fell below the rising minimum wage, both due to lower probability of remaining employed and of finding a job if non-employed. The shock to firm wage bills caused by the minimum wage creates a substitution toward workers whose marginal revenue products are slightly above the minimum wage, but the most skilled are complements with the subminimum workers in their firm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 4","pages":"Article 101223"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141147303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101190
{"title":"Geographic complexity and bank risk: Evidence from cross-border banks in Africa","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101190","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101190","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>I construct a novel dataset to measure the geographic complexity of cross-border African banks and relate it to their default and earnings risk. The results suggest that having a higher degree of geographic complexity decreases risk. Further results show that the negative relationship between geographic complexity and risk is significantly channeled through changes in banks’ loan quality. Following the recent exit from Africa by major international banks, indigenous African banks could be encouraged to expand further across the continent to take advantage of available opportunities, in addition to diversifying their risk. The success of such expansions, however, may largely depend on effective credit management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101190"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139509652","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101241
{"title":"Institutional quality and US FDI outflows: Do political regimes matter?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101241","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101241","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span><span>To what extent are the locational decisions for US FDI outflows affected by the nature of the political regimes along with the quality of institutions in the host countries? Using property rights protection as an indicator of institutional quality, this study analyses how sensitive US FDI outflows are to institutional factors and to the nature of the hosting countries’ political regimes. In other words, whether a democratic or an autocratic regime makes any difference in terms of attracting US FDI. A joint effect between democracy and the protection of property rights on US FDI flows is examined using a panel data fixed effect technique for forty-one countries during the period 1984–2021. The </span>instrumental variable method is used to check the endogeneity concerns. The results predict that the protection of property rights can have a positive impact in attracting US FDI, provided the countries in question become more democratic in nature. The findings suggest that partial reform to enhance the institutional quality or unconsolidated </span>democratization<span> are insufficient to attract US FDI rather than complementing each other in bringing FDI. The implication of the findings reveals that a democratic country such as India can be a good location for US investment if its protection of property rights becomes stronger. Moreover, some highly democratic countries with strong institutions should be more market oriented and improve their quality of infrastructure to receive the maximum benefit. Our results are robust to alternate measures of institutional quality/democracy and endogeneity concerns.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101241"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141404144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101215
{"title":"Persistence of human capital development in OECD countries over 150 years: Evidence from linear and nonlinear fractional integration methods","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101215","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101215","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The goal of this study is to examine the persistence of human capital development in 21 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development for the period 1870–2019. Gross enrollment rates for secondary and tertiary education are both used as proxies for human capital development. Employing linear and nonlinear fractional integration approaches, our results suggest high degrees of persistence in the series under examination. However, lower orders of integration are observed in the data for tertiary education than for secondary education. Thus, no evidence of reversion to the mean is found in secondary education, and Australia and New Zealand have the highest coefficients for the time trends and the highest dependence. However, mean reversion in tertiary education is found in France, the US, and, in particular, Austria. Finally, evidence of nonlinearity is observed in about eight countries, though without altering the persistence in the series. The implications of the empirical results are also presented.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101215"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362524000372/pdfft?md5=5d9b5e37638374b3febabbbc0f9121e0&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362524000372-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140106066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101198
{"title":"The impacts of anti-organized crime on asset prices: Evidence from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101198","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101198","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We explore how a crackdown on organized crime affects stock returns. We theorize that a crackdown on organized crime is associated with both the governance effect and the uncertainty effect. Using stock earnings data on Chinese A-share listed firms, we find that, on one hand, stock prices experience salient decreases in short-term periods because the uncertainty effect dominates; on the other hand, significantly positive long-term returns have been documented because governance effects dominate. We further show that the stock return decline associated with the uncertainty effect is mainly driven by a change in discount rate, and the positive long-term return may stem from enhanced firm innovation and city business climate. Our findings pass a battery of robustness and endogeneity checks. We contribute to studies on organized crime and determinants of stock prices.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101198"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139826503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101191
{"title":"Selective industrial policy and overcapacity: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101191","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101191","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Overcapacity has long been a \"chronic problem affecting China's economic development.\" Why is China's overcapacity intractable? This study takes the \"Revitalization Plans of Ten Industries\" (the RPTI) issued by the Chinese government in 2009 as a quasi-natural experiment. It deploys the data of China's A-share listed enterprises and the difference-in-differences (DID) model to investigate the impact of the selective industrial policy on enterprise overcapacity. The results show that the policy has a significant and persistently negative effect on the capacity utilization rate of the treated group. Mechanistic studies reveal that policy-induced overcapacity is caused by increasing government subsidies for the treated group, depressing corporate investment efficiency, and growing capital misallocation. After considering zombie enterprises, we find that the policy mainly leads to the overcapacity of regular enterprises but has no negative impact on zombie enterprises, and zombie enterprises crowd out the capacity utilization rate of regular enterprises in the same industry. This study indicates that a selective industrial policy that prevents the market elimination mechanism from functioning is an underlying cause of overcapacity in China. The study's findings reveal why the administrative de-capacity policies enacted by the Chinese government have failed to eliminate backward capacity but rather created a new overcapacity issue.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101191"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139638393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101195
{"title":"Sustainable energy deployment in developing countries: The role of composition of energy aid","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101195","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101195","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span><span>Climate mitigation in developing nations calls for a shift to renewable technologies from </span>fossil fuels<span>. However, such transformative change requires enormous concessional funding in the energy sector. This paper examines the impact of energy aid and its composition on the transition to clean energy infrastructure in the power sector in 67 developing countries during the period 2002–2017. The analysis is also conducted by segregating aggregate renewable technologies into hydro and non-hydro sources. Applying system GMM and panel quantile </span></span>regression techniques, we find that the effectiveness of energy aid depends upon its composition and the maturity of renewable technology in the recipient countries. Renewable and distribution energy aid benefits the transition only with hydro sources and has a counter-productive effect on non-hydro renewable technologies, such as solar and wind. In contrast, findings reveal that energy aid for non-renewable energy generation and policy hinder the transition process with both hydro and non-hydro renewable technologies. These findings warrant a shift in the composition and technology target of energy aid by the donors in order to foster climate mitigation and mobilize private investments in relatively less developed non-hydro renewable technologies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101195"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140522410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-09-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101186
{"title":"Supporting African union: Do macroeconomic fluctuations matter?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101186","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101186","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we contribute empirically to the debate on the legitimacy of the African Union by exploring the question on whether individual opinions in support of African integration are sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations? For this purpose, we use the 4th, 5th, 6th and 8th Afrobarometer survey data waves and a contextual logistic model. We find that an increase in GDP per capita is associated with a decline in the probability to support the African Union. Accordingly, economic growth discourages citizens’ positive appraisal for the union. Our results also show an asymmetry in the relationship between public opinion on supporting the African Union and economic growth. Policy implications are discussed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101186"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362524000086/pdfft?md5=fabf9f81a35b09563d495e4ecec538eb&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362524000086-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139515133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}