Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101202
Abdul Malik Iddrisu , Michael Danquah
{"title":"The financial inclusion agenda: Examining the role of conventional banks in deepening access to formal credit","authors":"Abdul Malik Iddrisu , Michael Danquah","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101202","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101202","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a unique district-level panel dataset, we investigate the effect of banking system penetration on financial inclusion in Ghana. To purge potential endogeneity bias in the underlying relationship, we exploit a change in the policy environment of the Ghanaian banking system to instrument for bank branch expansion. We show, first, that the switch from the compartmentalized system of banking to the universal banking system in Ghana has resulted in an expansion of banks’ branch network, which has benefited hitherto financially less developed districts. Second, our instrumental variable evidence suggests that banking system penetration promotes financial inclusion—notably, access to bank credit and to formal credit. The results of this paper provide important insights into the role of policy in enhancing financial inclusion.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101202"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140046497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101217
Xin Xiang
{"title":"Does stock liquidity affect expropriation behavior by controlling shareholders? Evidence from China","authors":"Xin Xiang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101217","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101217","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>When a firm is controlled by a large shareholder, the principal agency problem arises from expropriation by controlling shareholders of other shareholders. Using a sample of 3776 publicly traded firms in the Chinese A-share market over the period 2007–2020, this study investigates whether stock liquidity impedes or enhances the expropriation behavior of controlling shareholders. I demonstrate that (1) a liquid stock market generally encourages expropriation behavior by controlling shareholders, (2) the positive effect of stock liquidity on expropriation by controlling shareholders is mitigated when active investors hold a large stake in the firm, and (3) active investors’ monitoring of expropriation by controlling shareholders is mitigated at state-owned enterprises and firms that have a large gap between ownership and control. However, higher competition among blockholders strengthens the discipline of active investors with respect to expropriation. This study builds a new link between a market factor (stock liquidity) and a governance problem (expropriation by controlling shareholders) and reveals some new characteristics in the relationship between stock liquidity and corporate governance in an emerging market.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101217"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140405689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101181
Christophe André , Christina Christou , Rangan Gupta
{"title":"Revisiting international house price convergence using house price level data","authors":"Christophe André , Christina Christou , Rangan Gupta","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101181","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101181","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The literature on house price<span><span> convergence largely relies on house price indices, based in an arbitrary year, rather than on actual price levels. This is essentially due to the scarcity of comparable house price level data. However, this severely constrains the analysis. In particular, it often forces to discard a large part of the data sample, which leads to a great loss of information and hampers analysis on sub-periods. In this paper, we combine the price level estimates produced by Bricongne et al. (2019) with long </span>OECD<span> house price series to analyse long-run house price convergence across 18 OECD countries. Applying the Phillips and Sul (2007) procedure, we find convergence in OECD nominal house prices, but two separate convergence clubs in real house prices. We find some convergence in euro area real house prices, but no evidence of strengthening after the introduction of the euro. β-convergence regressions (linking changes in house prices to their initial levels) point to conditional convergence, related to the evolution of gaps in real GDP per capita, long-term interest rates and population growth across countries.</span></span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101181"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139515132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101179
Rui Wan, Wencheng Fan, Xiaoping Wang
{"title":"Local government financing vehicle restructuring, implicit government guarantees and debt financing costs: Evidence from the Chinese municipal corporate bond market","authors":"Rui Wan, Wencheng Fan, Xiaoping Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101179","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101179","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We contend that implicit government guarantees are included in municipal corporate bonds (also known as “Chengtou” bonds) issued by restructured local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) to address implicit government debt concerns, which implies lower debt financing costs. Using a sample of publicly issued Chengtou bonds between 2017 and 2021, we demonstrate that bond-specific risk is substantially reduced after LGFV restructuring. Similarly, the yield spreads on Chengtou bonds are considerably smaller than those on bonds issued by unrestructured LGFVs. Our findings generally imply that LGFV restructuring can lower debt financing costs through implicit government guarantees. Moreover, LGFV restructuring has had a credit effect, an operation effect and a willingness effect on reducing debt financing costs. Furthermore, the impact of restructuring is more pronounced among enterprises that are smaller in scale and less profitable and in regions with poorer economies. Additional investigations into the mechanism reveal that restructuring into a group enterprise can lower debt financing costs and reduce the reliance on implicit government guarantees.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101179"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362524000013/pdfft?md5=03cf5d7076ec7baeecfc5890ef38027a&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362524000013-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139392547","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101187
Tii N. Nchofoung , Simplice A. Asongu , Vanessa S. Tchamyou
{"title":"Gender political inclusion and inclusive finance in Africa","authors":"Tii N. Nchofoung , Simplice A. Asongu , Vanessa S. Tchamyou","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101187","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101187","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>At the 2010 G20 Summit, the use of formal financial services was recognized as one of the main pillars of the global development agenda. At the same time, the fifth goal of the Sustainable development agenda outlined the importance of gender inclusion for sustainable development. Empirical research on the effect of gender inclusion on inclusive finance has however been limited to micro level studies. This study aims to verify the effect of gender political inclusion on financial inclusion on a sample of 37 African countries from 2004–2020. The empirical methodology involves the OLS, the Tobit regression and the System GMM methodologies. The results from these methods show that gender political inclusion is enhancing on financial inclusion in Africa, and this finding is robust across alternative specifications of gender inclusion and inclusive finance. Besides, governance exhibits a positive synergy effect with gender political inclusion on inclusive finance. Policy implications are discussed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101187"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362524000098/pdfft?md5=bc6f61c15f12e7adaff63ded325b0a2a&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362524000098-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139515236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101184
Parantap Basu , David Chivers , Changhyun Park
{"title":"Labour immobility between industries: Consequences for the macroeconomy","authors":"Parantap Basu , David Chivers , Changhyun Park","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101184","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101184","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Workers are failing to move to the most productive industries, despite the offer of higher wages. In order to explain this phenomenon, we provide evidence that when an industry experiences a positive, labour-productivity shock, it is subsequently harder for firms to find workers. This is represented by a fall in relative matching efficiency. We present a stylised two-sector search and matching model to show the consequences of this negative relationship. Our calibrated model not only closely tracks US wages and employment share over time, but also reveals substantial output losses as a result of labour misallocation between industries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101184"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139509755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101188
António Afonso , Alexandre Sousa
{"title":"Monetary and fiscal interplay: Does it work both ways?","authors":"António Afonso , Alexandre Sousa","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101188","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101188","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study whether the interplay between monetary and fiscal policies work both ways, in EU countries, for the period 1995–2019. Our results show notably that: i) the inflation rate has a relevant impact over the central banks’ decision making; ii) the cyclically adjusted primary balance reacts positively to increases in the level of government debt; iii) monetary policy reaction functions do not seem to take into consideration the cyclically adjusted primary balance; iv) fiscal policy, via the cyclically adjusted primary balance, seem to be affected by the short-term interest rate in a negative way. The global economic and financial crisis impacted negatively both the short-term nominal interest rates and the cyclically adjusted primary balance, however with a higher degree in the euro area.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101188"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362524000104/pdfft?md5=281f0dca0948c6e6489218e7e49f1a4f&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362524000104-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139586458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101193
Qichang Xie , Chao Luo , Xiaoping Cong , Xu Wang
{"title":"Volatility connectedness and its determinants of global energy stock markets","authors":"Qichang Xie , Chao Luo , Xiaoping Cong , Xu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101193","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101193","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study seeks to construct a global volatility network for a large number of energy firms and explore the mechanisms of risk transmission of energy stock markets at the corporate, national, and regional levels by applying an elastic-net-VAR method. A semiparametric function coefficient model is introduced to test the time-varying influence of oil price uncertainty (OVX) on the stability of the energy system. The results reveal that volatility spillovers across global energy firms are strong and crisis-sensitive. The 2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic have significantly increased the connectedness of the energy system. Transnational risk transmission assumes the main part of risk migration among energy enterprises and becomes more pronounced in crisis periods. Energy companies in Europe and North America are the main risk transmitters, whereas those in Asia are the chief risk receivers. Moreover, OVX has a positive effect on the volatility spillover of the energy system, and the effect is significantly enhanced during the breakout of extreme events. These findings conclude that tracking risk connectedness in the energy system and understanding its key drivers are important for investment decisions and regulatory policy settings involving energy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101193"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139586459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101197
Turalay Kenc , Emrah Ismail Cevik
{"title":"Global corporate tax policy space","authors":"Turalay Kenc , Emrah Ismail Cevik","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101197","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101197","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the economic growth implications of ongoing and prospective rises in corporate tax rates following G20 countries’ minimum corporation tax agreement. We use a panel data estimation approach to examine economic growth rates and associated macro-economic variables of 42 nations from 1990 to 2017. To elicit more comprehensive insights, we make a distinction between advanced countries (ACs) and emerging market economies (EMEs) and different levels of growth using a quantile estimation approach. The results reveal that corporate tax rate rises depress growth, with a relatively sizeable impact for EMEs, whereas it is not statistically significant for ACs. At high quantiles of growth rates, the impact of the corporate tax policy on growth increases. These findings suggest a dual effect for EMEs with relatively high growth rates and symmetric growth effects of corporate tax changes, necessitating innovative policy prescriptions to address the negative growth impact of prospective higher corporate tax rates.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101197"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141244722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101177
Anabela M. Santos , Michele Cincera , Giovanni Cerulli
{"title":"Sources of financing: Which ones are more effective in innovation–growth linkage?","authors":"Anabela M. Santos , Michele Cincera , Giovanni Cerulli","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101177","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101177","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The study assesses the impact of eight sources of financing (internal funds, bank loans, credit lines, trade credit, equity, grants, leasing and factoring) on innovation and firm growth. It provides evidence that not all external financing sources have the same impact on innovation and growth. Output additionality on turnover growth seems higher for equity financing. In contrast, employment growth appears to be more associated with financing sources linked to increased fixed assets or the solving of liquidity problems. The number of financing instruments used together also seems to matter, revealing the existence of complementarities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101177"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362523001164/pdfft?md5=d7f16379b9695e54fdb36f349ab319b3&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362523001164-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139079194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}