Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101174
Can Sever , Emekcan Yücel
{"title":"Does informality hinder financial development convergence?","authors":"Can Sever , Emekcan Yücel","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101174","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101174","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper sheds light on the role of informal economy, defined as all economic activities that are hidden from official authorities for various reasons, in financial development convergence. Using panel data from 156 countries over the period of 1991–2017, we find that financial development (as measured by credit as share of GDP) tends to converge across countries over time, particularly when informality is lower. As the size of informal economy becomes larger, however, financial development convergence weakens, and eventually can turn out to be divergence. This finding suggests that policies addressing informality can help countries with lower levels of financial development catch up with the countries with more developed financial systems. It also has implications for the evolution of cross-country income differences, considering the role of financial development in economic performance. In the last part of the paper, we find evidence consistent with this. The results show that higher informality is also associated with weaker income convergence across countries over time.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101174"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139027370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101173
Martin Boďa
{"title":"Financial depth versus more comprehensive metrics of financial development in tests of the finance-growth nexus","authors":"Martin Boďa","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101173","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101173","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>First, the paper gives a critical appraisal of recently proposed quality adjustments of the ratio of private credit to the gross domestic product (GDP) as a proxy for finance<span><span> in empirical tests of the finance-growth nexus and cautions against such heuristic measures. Second, in response to the unidimensional feature of conventionally applied proxies for finance, the paper constructs a variable for financial development (FD metric) that measures the relative distance of a financial system from its best attainable performance in terms of depth, access, efficiency, and stability. The measurement is grounded in the principles of data envelopment analysis for ratio data and is built on structural indicators available in the Global Financial Development Database by the World Bank. Using annual data for 157 countries over the period 1993–2020, the paper then explores the finance-growth nexus using several financial metrics in panel-data regression models and considering </span>nonlinearity in both a parametric and semiparametric manner. Economic growth is found to react negatively to finance, whereas this detrimental effect strengthens beyond a certain level of financial depth. In contrast, the access, efficiency, and stability of the financial sector are less important for growth. Hence, the findings lend weight to an economic policy focused primarily on a minimal size of the financial sector that permits its smooth operations, without the need to ensure that the financial sector performs qualitatively at its best.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101173"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139053788","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101149
Muhammad Raees Shaik , Soo Khoon Goh , Koi Nyen Wong , Chee Hong Law
{"title":"Does population aging coexist with income inequality in the long run? Evidence from selected Asia-Pacific countries","authors":"Muhammad Raees Shaik , Soo Khoon Goh , Koi Nyen Wong , Chee Hong Law","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101149","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101149","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Advanced countries have experienced a general rise in income inequality, whereas the outlook for income inequality in developing countries is mixed. As such, reduction in income inequality continues to be an important socio-economic development goal in many countries in the twenty-first century. Furthermore, it remains unclear whether the slow progress in reducing income inequality is a manifestation of the prevailing aging population. Using a sample of countries that are currently considered aging, aged, and super-aged countries in the Asia-Pacific region, the paper empirically examines whether a long-run nexus exists between population aging and income inequality. The methodology adopted includes the augmented autoregressive distributed lag (A-ARDL) bounds test. The key results show that aging and income inequality have a long-run relationship among aged and super-aged countries. In contrast, recently graying countries show no evidence of cointegration due to their relatively early transition to aging. Some other control variables also reveal a significant impact on income inequality. Increases in the real gross domestic product per capita worsen the income distribution, but higher government expenditure can help moderate income inequality. In light of rapid population aging, the findings are useful for policy makers in designing and targeting appropriate socioeconomic policies to help mitigate income inequality in the long run based on the intensity of the share of the elderly population in the countries studied.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101149"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135427561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101172
Gonzalo Soto , Carlos M. Jardon , Xavier Martinez-Cobas
{"title":"FDI and income inequality in tax-haven countries: The relevance of tax pressure","authors":"Gonzalo Soto , Carlos M. Jardon , Xavier Martinez-Cobas","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101172","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101172","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The agenda of the United Nations sustainable development goals (SDGs) for 2030 has shifted attention from poverty to equality. Unlike poverty, which has declined, inequality has not significantly changed in the past twenty years. Hence, in the absence of a strong fiscal context in which profits are redistributed from governments to their local societies, tax havens are likely to cement inequality in place. In this paper, we study the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on income inequality in terms of different indicators using a panel data analysis in 46 countries with a low tax burden over the period 2000–2021. Our results confirm that FDI contributes to mitigating income inequality and improving welfare in the countries studied. This process is likely to be more effective in the presence of a supportive tax framework.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101172"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362523001115/pdfft?md5=83518b702e04d6d62d66426395a89816&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362523001115-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139053797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101150
Gianluca Cafiso , Giulia Rivolta
{"title":"Conventional monetary interventions through the credit channel and the rise of non-bank institutions","authors":"Gianluca Cafiso , Giulia Rivolta","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The amount of credit assets held by non-bank institutions has increased substantially in recent decades, to the point where it exceeded the amount held by depository institutions in the United States before the Global Financial Crisis. Our research aims to gain evidence on whether the credit channel of monetary policy, i.e. the transmission of monetary interventions through bank lending, has been altered by the enlargement of the non-bank sector. The analysis is based on the period before the Global Financial Crisis in order to apply a theory-consistent identification of conventional monetary interventions within a large Bayesian vector auto-regression. The results indicate an uncertain transmission when the non-bank sector is larger, casting doubt on the grip of monetary interventions in an evolving scenario.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101150"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362523000894/pdfft?md5=35df6e0b8a3274a6db739109f7d3a3fe&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362523000894-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135810653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101152
Tie-Ying Liu, Jun-Teng Ma
{"title":"Exchange rate and inflation between China and the United States: A bootstrap rolling-window approach","authors":"Tie-Ying Liu, Jun-Teng Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101152","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101152","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the relationship between the exchange rate and inflation<span> within China and the United States using the bootstrap rolling-window approach. We provide robust evidence to show that the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory is invalid for the whole period. The impact of the China-US exchange rate on relative inflation is greater than the effect of relative inflation on the exchange rate. The negative effect of the China-US exchange rate on inflation is more evident from 2006 to 2014, and inflation is more affected by the exchange rate in the US than that in China. The positive effect of US inflation on the China-US exchange rate only exists from January to July 2019 and the negative effect of China’s inflation on the exchange rate merely exists from August 2008 to July 2010 and from September 2010 to May 2011. These findings have important implications for maintaining the stability of prices and currency values in the trade market.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101152"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136056831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101164
Ying Lin , Hua-Tang Yin , Jun Wen , Chun-Ping Chang
{"title":"Assessing the impact of religion on environmental quality","authors":"Ying Lin , Hua-Tang Yin , Jun Wen , Chun-Ping Chang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101164","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101164","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study analyzes the impact of religion on environmental quality<span>. Constructing a theoretical model built on the Schumpeterian production function, we reveal that religion can promote pollution emissions. Moreover, the mediating effects of labor force and product variety innovation between religion and pollution are positive. Furthermore, the mediating role of quality improving innovation varies across different stages of economic development. Our findings provide useful insights for policymakers seeking to enhance environmental quality.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101164"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138533272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101169
Jan Pintera
{"title":"Regional convergence in the European Union – Factors of growth between the great recession and the COVID crisis","authors":"Jan Pintera","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101169","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101169","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>In this paper, we provide a new look at convergence in the EU while focusing on development at the regional level between the Great Recession and the recent COVID crisis. We use the log </span><em>t</em> convergence test by Phillips and Sul (2007) to analyze convergence in income level among the European regions. We identified five convergence clubs rather than supporting the overall convergence hypothesis. Furthermore, we investigated the determinants of convergence club membership using logistic regression. Our results confirmed high inequality within the member states and a shifting geographic pattern of the top-performing regions, with the increasing prominence of the manufacturing core in southern Germany and the surrounding areas. We found a positive association between membership in higher clubs, research and patent activities, and specialization in manufacturing. We also confirmed the positive economic performance of capital cities and the main metropolitan areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101169"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138825880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101148
Zhiqiang Lu , Junjie Wu , Hongyu Li , Brian Galloway
{"title":"Digital finance and stock market participation: The case of internet wealth management products in China","authors":"Zhiqiang Lu , Junjie Wu , Hongyu Li , Brian Galloway","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101148","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101148","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Digital financing platforms have enhanced accessibility for households that wish to invest in wealth management products, but their impact on stock market participation remains underexplored in the literature. This paper investigates the effect of internet wealth management products on the household propensity to invest and participate in the stock market, using the microlevel dataset from the China Household Finance Survey, which covers 40,011 households. Our findings reveal that purchasing internet wealth management products positively and significantly influences the household inclination to invest and stock market participation level. Moreover, households with internet wealth management products have higher financial awareness and heightened interest in financial news. These characteristics not only reduce information costs but also promote stock market participation. Furthermore, the impact of purchasing internet wealth management products on stock market participation is more pronounced among households with higher education and lower income risk and residence in regions with a more developed financial market.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101148"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362523000870/pdfft?md5=26753f59941537bace7be9b54aa1cf2a&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362523000870-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135248452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic SystemsPub Date : 2024-03-01DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101170
Scott W. Hegerty
{"title":"Commodity prices and domestic credit in Central and Eastern Europe: Are there asymmetric effects?","authors":"Scott W. Hegerty","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101170","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101170","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>Fluctuations in commodity prices can have an impact on a firm’s costs and revenues, national income, or a country’s creditworthiness, leading to increased borrowing and levels of domestic credit. These effects need not be symmetric; it is possible that losses due to a commodity price decrease might be worse than the gains that result from an equivalent price increase. In addition, these dynamics might differ between frequently studied commodity exporters and energy importers such as those in Central and Eastern Europe. Here, an index of commodity prices and their volatility are included in a time-series model alongside the traditional macroeconomic determinants for 11 of these EU members. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions reveal that shocks to commodity prices spill over most strongly to </span>inflation in Latvia and credit growth in Poland and Slovakia—the two countries that have seen continuous increases in credit. Cointegration analysis shows that while GDP growth and inflation drive credit levels in many cases, commodity price increases lead to increased credit shares in the Czech Republic, Latvia and Lithuania. A nonlinear model finds that commodity price increases also increase credit in Romania, while decreases lead to increased credit shares in Hungary. Commodity price volatility leads to credit increases in Latvia and Lithuania, confirming that these two Baltic countries are most affected by macroeconomic shocks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 1","pages":"Article 101170"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138680187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}