货币与财政的相互作用:是否双管齐下?

IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
António Afonso , Alexandre Sousa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了 1995-2019 年期间欧盟国家货币政策和财政政策之间的相互作用是否是双向的。我们的研究结果表明:i) 通货膨胀率对中央银行的决策有相关影响;ii) 经周期调整的基本收支对政府债务水平的增加有积极反应;iii) 货币政策反应函数似乎没有考虑经周期调整的基本收支;iv) 财政政策通过经周期调整的基本收支似乎受到短期利率的负面影响。全球经济和金融危机对短期名义利率和按周期调整的基本收支差额都产生了负面影响,但欧元区受到的影响更大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary and fiscal interplay: Does it work both ways?

We study whether the interplay between monetary and fiscal policies work both ways, in EU countries, for the period 1995–2019. Our results show notably that: i) the inflation rate has a relevant impact over the central banks’ decision making; ii) the cyclically adjusted primary balance reacts positively to increases in the level of government debt; iii) monetary policy reaction functions do not seem to take into consideration the cyclically adjusted primary balance; iv) fiscal policy, via the cyclically adjusted primary balance, seem to be affected by the short-term interest rate in a negative way. The global economic and financial crisis impacted negatively both the short-term nominal interest rates and the cyclically adjusted primary balance, however with a higher degree in the euro area.

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来源期刊
Economic Systems
Economic Systems ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
83
审稿时长
48 days
期刊介绍: Economic Systems is a refereed journal for the analysis of causes and consequences of the significant institutional variety prevailing among developed, developing, and emerging economies, as well as attempts at and proposals for their reform. The journal is open to micro and macro contributions, theoretical as well as empirical, the latter to analyze related topics against the background of country or region-specific experiences. In this respect, Economic Systems retains its long standing interest in the emerging economies of Central and Eastern Europe and other former transition economies, but also encourages contributions that cover any part of the world, including Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, or Africa.
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