European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie最新文献

{"title":"Perceptions of Medically Assisted Reproduction and Fertility Postponement: Limited Evidence, Critical Questions.","authors":"Marie-Caroline Compans, Ester Lazzari, Eva Beaujouan","doi":"10.1007/s10680-025-09765-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09765-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The number of women using medically assisted reproduction (MAR) is rising in high-income countries. This trend is partly driven by the tendency to delay childbearing, yet infertility treatments cannot compensate for the decrease in reproductive capacity with age. Scholars are currently concerned that the increasing availability of MAR is fuelling the misconception that it can extend reproductive life. High confidence in the success of MAR later in life would then encourage fertility postponement. However, this assumption remains untested, likely due to limited data availability. We examine this using panel survey data from the National Survey of Fertility Barriers, conducted in the United States in 2004-2007 and 2007-2010. Our findings support the technological salience hypothesis, which states that perceptions of MAR would only influence fertility intentions at ages when women are more likely to experience difficulties conceiving. Specifically, women aged 35 or over who have high confidence in the success of MAR when used in the late 30s are less likely to forego childbearing than those with low confidence. Overall, however, perceptions of MAR play a limited role in explaining fertility decisions compared to other socio-demographic characteristics. Nonetheless, taking them into account improves our understanding of how technologies enter the realm of reproductive decision-making, particularly at less fertile ages. In conclusion, we highlight the need for further data collection on this issue, covering more recent periods and countries where births are delayed and MAR availability is increasing.</p>","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147823399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Spatial Diffusion of Internal Migration Across the Rural-Urban Continuum in Developing Countries.","authors":"Mathias Lerch, Wenxiu Du, Dorothee Beckendorff","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09774-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-026-09774-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147823365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Trends in Working Life Expectancy and Untapped Employment Potential in an Ageing Population: The Case of Germany.","authors":"Harun Sulak, Christian Dudel, Elke Loichinger, Sebastian Klüsener","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09773-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09773-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The population of Germany is ageing rapidly. As a result, the country's working age population is expected to shrink substantially over the next 15 years. To cope with this challenge, a number of policy reforms have been introduced to activate untapped employment potential and increase the length of working life. However, little is known to what extent employment potentials have already been realised, and what differences exist between socio-economic groups. This paper addresses these questions using large-scale data from the German Microcensus to calculate working life expectancy (WLE) and unrealised working life expectancy. WLE not only accounts for labour market status (i.e., employed, unemployed, and inactive), but also considers actual working hours and preferences on working hours that allow capturing under- and overemployment. Our results show that WLE for most groups exhibits a U-shaped development, with WLE in 2022 resembling the levels recorded in 1991. At the same time, socio-economic inequalities in WLE were and still are substantial, and the group with the highest WLE works more than twice as long over their lifetime compared with the group with the lowest WLE. Moreover, trends in unrealised employment potential mirror trends in WLE - when WLE goes down, unrealised potential goes up. During recent years, only individuals with a low level of education have continued to display considerable unrealised potential, whereas for highly educated individuals, virtually no unrealised potential remains. On the contrary, we obtained evidence of overemployment for this group.</p>","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"42 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13133311/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147788855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Double Decomposition of Standard Deviation Below the Modal Age at Death and the Role of Causes of Death.","authors":"Viorela Diaconu, Virginia Zarulli, Stefano Mazzuco","doi":"10.1007/s10680-025-09762-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09762-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Lifespan inequality is a fundamental indicator of population health, reflecting inequalities in the timing of death. Life expectancy-based indicators have been widely used to monitor changes in lifespan variation across populations. This study proposes using indicators relative to the modal age at death (M): the standard deviation below the mode, [Formula: see text], which captures variation in premature mortality, and the standard deviation above the mode, [Formula: see text], which reflects variation in senescent mortality. Although trends in [Formula: see text] are relatively well documented, less is known about how [Formula: see text] has changed over time and what drives these changes. This study aims to (1) document and compare trends in [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] across high-income countries since 1960, and (2) examine the contribution of cause-specific mortality to changes in [Formula: see text] in selected countries. To achieve this, we propose a novel two-step decomposition method. In the first step, changes in [Formula: see text] are decomposed into two components: one attributable to shifts in the modal age itself (\"mode\" component) and another to changes in the shape of the age-at-death distribution (\"distribution\" component). In the second step, the \"distribution\" component is further decomposed by cause of death. Applying this framework to data from Japan and the U.S., results revealed that the decline in [Formula: see text] in the U.S. was primarily driven by reductions in heart disease and neoplasm mortality. However, these gains were partially offset by increased variation linked to infectious diseases and external causes. In Japan, declines in [Formula: see text] were primarily driven by reductions in cerebrovascular diseases, heart disease (women), and neoplasms (men), while increases in variation since the mid-1990s were largely attributable to external causes and neoplasms (women). This decomposition is a useful tool for identifying the factors that drive or hinder the compression of premature mortality.</p>","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147647571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Getting In and Staying In? The Relative Contributions of Entering and Exiting Employment to Early Labour Market Trajectories of Migrants' Daughters Versus Native Women.","authors":"Julie Maes, Jonas Wood, Karel Neels","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09771-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-026-09771-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147619257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Poverty Dynamics in Early Childhood among the Native-Born Children of Immigrants in Sweden and Finland.","authors":"Raffaele Grotti, Siddartha Aradhya, Maria Vaalavuo, Outi Sirniö","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09772-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09772-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13048870/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147516605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Simulation Approach for the Spatial Testing of Migration Theories.","authors":"Micol Matilde Morellini","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09770-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09770-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Migration research has long been divided between studies of drivers, which focus on the factors shaping migration flows, and studies of patterns, which describe how these flows are organised across space. Theories of migration typically identify and operationalise drivers, but are often less explicit about patterns. As a result, migration theories are usually evaluated using goodness-of-fit measures that assess explanatory power but pay limited attention to spatial accuracy. This article addresses this limitation by introducing a simulation-based procedure to evaluate the spatial accuracy of migration theories. Starting from an observed system of origin-destination migration flows, the procedure generates synthetic systems that reflect the spatial outcomes implied by a given theory. These synthetic migration systems are then compared to the observed case to assess spatial accuracy. The procedure is applied to intra-European migration flows from 2002 to 2021 and illustrated using two long-standing migration theories: the gravity model and migration systems theory. Both theories achieve high explanatory power under conventional goodness-of-fit metrics, and migration systems theory performs better overall. However, the empirical analysis shows that both theories fail to reproduce important spatial features of the European context, including the high level of reciprocity of flows and the observed migration profiles of Eastern and Northern European countries. These findings highlight how strong statistical fit does not imply accurate spatial representation. Evaluating migration theories through their implied spatial outcomes provides new insights into their limitations and offers a complementary and integrative tool for migration research.</p>","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13035948/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147367118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Abortion Ban and the Next Generation's Family Formation Decisions: Evidence from Romania.","authors":"Selin Köksal, Nicoletta Balbo, Francesco C Billari","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09768-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09768-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13013781/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147328006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Leaving Again? Job Quality and Repeat Internal Migration in China.","authors":"Yiyue Huangfu, Jia Wang","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09769-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09769-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13009430/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147319011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Double Challenges of Single Parents Raising Children with Disabilities.","authors":"Nicoletta Balbo, Roxana-Diana Burciu","doi":"10.1007/s10680-026-09767-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-026-09767-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12982819/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146208472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}