Climate Services最新文献

{"title":"Do climate-smart agricultural practices impact the livelihoods of vulnerable farmers in the Southern part of Bangladesh?","authors":"Mohummed Shofi Ullah Mazumder","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100524","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100524","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Efforts to reduce food insecurity must include building resilience in rural farmers to shocks. One way to achieve this is through climate-smart agriculture (CSA). This paper analyzes the impact of CSA on farmers’ livelihoods. Data were collected in two phases in 2010 and 2018 from a study (CSA practitioners) and control group (CSA non-practitioners) of climate-affected farmers (240 farmers in each group) using a quasi-experimental survey design considering all possible biases. Descriptive statistics, variance inflation factor analysis, multiple regression, path analysis, FE-IV, and propensity score matching models were applied. Practicing CSA technologies improved food security and the incomes of the farmers through increased agricultural productivity. The impact of CSA technologies differed based on farmers’ understanding of technologies, the time and amount of financial support, availability of extension staff, the provision of technical and other logistical support, and CSA practitioners’ experience, such as knowing how to enhance plant resilience. Specific policy interventions, including financing of CSA, would benefit rural farmers. CSA provides a path towards sustainable livelihood development and food security. These findings will be useful for policymakers, planners, administrators, and development workers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100524"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The impact of use of climate information services on smallholder welfare: Evidence from the hub of cashew production in Ghana","authors":"Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa ,&nbsp;Osei Tawiah Frederick ,&nbsp;Hamdiyah Alhassan ,&nbsp;Otchere-Adu Nana Akua ,&nbsp;Chelsea Naa Darkowaa Adu","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100525","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100525","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examined the sources of climate information services (CIS), nature of CIS as well as impact of use of CIS on the welfare of smallholder cashew farmers. Using descriptive statistics for the sources, types and the nature of CIS, the study employed a combination of endogenous switching regression (ESR) and inverse probability weighted regression adjustment (IPWRA) in the impact analysis. From the results, we find that the main source of CIS used by farmers was radio. The farmers also responded that they received the climate information on time. In addition, we find that education, household size, climate disaster, farmer association, farm size, access to extension services, climate, and radio ownership had positive effects on the likelihood of using CIS. The results from the ESR model showed that use of CIS decreased assets, net farm income and yield even though it increased household dietary diversity (HDD). From the IPWRA model, we also find that users of CIS are more food insecure vis-à-vis non-users, a result which contradicts the aforementioned HDD results. The study highlights critical implications for agricultural economics, particularly in how smallholder cashew farmers access and use climate information services (CIS). Although CIS is meant to assist farmers in adapting to climate variability, this study reveals paradoxical outcomes, with users of CIS exhibiting lower asset values, net farm income, and yield, alongside greater food insecurity than non-users. These findings suggest that use of CIS alone, without adequate support and complementary resources, may not be sufficient to improve welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100525"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Adaptation to climate variability and household welfare outcomes in Uganda","authors":"Peter Babyenda ,&nbsp;Jane Kabubo-Mariara ,&nbsp;Sule Odhiambo","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100523","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100523","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the last one decade, most of the empirical studies on climate variability have largely concentrated on assessing the effect of climate variability on agriculture. Little attention has been given to the analysis of what factors determine the decision to adapt to climate variability and what impact does it has on welfare of the adapting households. This paper therefore, assesses the determinants of adaptation to climate variability and how it influences welfare of the farming households in Uganda. To achieve this, the study utilizes six waves of Uganda National Panel survey collected by Uganda Bureau of Statistics spanning over a period of 10 years from 2009 to 2019 and the switching regression model for empirical analysis. The findings indicate that adapting to climate variability is beneficial to adaptors as it safeguards welfare deterioration. On the other hand, presence of climate variability, age of the household head, the value of household assets, location, formal land ownership, having main occupation as agriculture and availability of extension services were identified as key determinants of the decision to adapt to climate variability among farming households in Uganda. These findings thus highlight the importance to have measures to improve adaptation process at the same time enhancing household welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100523"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142593393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact of temperature humidity index-based climate services for Murrah buffaloes of India on operational decision-making and economic outcome of the farm","authors":"K.V. Manjunath ,&nbsp;Sanjit Maiti ,&nbsp;Sanchita Garai ,&nbsp;D. Anilkumar Reddy ,&nbsp;Mukesh Bhakat ,&nbsp;Anjali Aggarwal ,&nbsp;Goutam Mondal","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100522","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100522","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change is likely to affect both the productive and reproductive functions of Murrah buffaloes, the major milch breed of India. Hence, in the present study, weekly modules of Temperature Humidity Index (THI) based climate services were prepared and disseminated to the farmers of experimental villages of Haryana, a state of North-Western part of India through either WhatsApp, Text SMS, and Mobile Application. Difference-in-Difference (DiD), a quasi-experimental research design was used to study the impact of climate services on operational decision-making as well as the economic outcome of the farm. The findings of the study revealed that the climate services had a positive effect on the number of farmers adopting the practices like use of oil cakes, minerals, and feed additives in the animal diet. Treatment effect was found to be significant on quantity of oilcake (0.39, 0.45 and 0.51 kg/animal/day); concentrates during both summer (0.48, 0.56, 0.59 kg/animal/day) and in winter (0.35, 0.40 and 0.42 kg/animal/day); and mineral mixture (9.47, 12.34 and 13.08 gm/animal/day) in Text SMS, WhatsApp and MobileApp group, respectively. The treatment effect of climate services on economic outcome indicators such as summer milk yield was also found to be significant (0.38, 0.44, and 0.50 L/animal) from Text SMS, WhatsApp, and MobileApp, respectively. Overall, the benefit-to-cost ratio of climate services was found to be 1:1.8. Hence, the exclusive climate services developed for Murrah buffalo farmers were found to be an effective adaptive mechanism for helping vulnerable dairy farming to adapt to the climate of today and of the future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100522"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An open access approach to mapping climate risk and vulnerability for decision-making: A case study of Birmingham, United Kingdom","authors":"S.V. Greenham ,&nbsp;E.J.S. Ferranti ,&nbsp;S. Jones ,&nbsp;J. Zhong ,&nbsp;N. Grayson ,&nbsp;S. Needle ,&nbsp;W.J.F. Acton ,&nbsp;A.R. MacKenzie ,&nbsp;W.J. Bloss","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100521","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100521","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global climate is changing, and local authorities must respond to changing climate risk to protect citizens and the urban environment in which they live. This paper presents an open access approach to map climate risk and vulnerability using Birmingham, the UK’s second city as a case study. A Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment (CRVA) was co-created with Birmingham City Council to ensure the approach supports the organisation’s needs, now and in the future. Using Geographic Information System (GIS) software, eleven geospatial datasets expressing physical, environmental, and social variables were combined to characterise holistic climate risk and vulnerability relative to the city boundary, where the higher the score, the higher the combined climate risk and vulnerability of an area. The resulting map (i) transparently evidences climate impacts across the city and the underpinning drivers, (ii) supports the prioritisation of interventions for those areas most at risk or vulnerable to climate change, (iii) supports the implementation of more climate-resilient development, and (iv) can be managed by stakeholders going forward for monitoring and evaluation purposes. While there are inevitable limitations in what can be achieved with an open access approach, the current CRVA can be considered a ‘minimum viable product’ that can be developed and improved iteratively in climate adaptation planning cycles. Its results can feed into broader policy agendas, such as national adaptation plans, adaptation reporting, just transition, and biodiversity net gain.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100521"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142534496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Standardisation of equitable climate services by supporting a community of practice","authors":"Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes ,&nbsp;Asun Lera St Clair ,&nbsp;Marina Baldissera Pacchetti ,&nbsp;Paula Checchia ,&nbsp;Joerg Cortekar ,&nbsp;Judith E.M. Klostermann ,&nbsp;Werner Krauß ,&nbsp;Ángel G. Muñoz ,&nbsp;Jaroslav Mysiak ,&nbsp;Jorge Paz ,&nbsp;Marta Terrado ,&nbsp;Andreas Villwock ,&nbsp;Mirjana Volarev ,&nbsp;Saioa Zorita","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100520","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100520","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate services are essential to support climate-sensitive decision making, enabling adaptation to climate change and variability, and mitigate the sources of anthropogenic climate change, while taking into account the values and contexts of those involved. The unregulated nature of climate services can lead to low market performance and lack of quality assurance. Best practices, guidance, and standards serve as a form of governance, ensuring quality, legitimacy, and relevance of climate services. The Climateurope2 project (<span><span><u>www.climateurope2.eu</u></span><svg><path></path></svg></span>) addresses this gap by engaging and supporting an equitable and diverse community of climate services to provide recommendations for their standardisation. Four components of climate services are identified (the decision context, the ecosystem of actors and co-production processes, the multiple knowledge systems involved, and the delivery and evaluation of these services) to facilitate analysis. This has resulted in the identification of nine key messages summarising the susceptibility for the climate services standardisation. The recommendations are shared with relevant standardisation bodies and actors as well as with climate services stakeholders and providers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100520"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142534497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Web-services, the leverage in query and bulk download of big climate geospatial data. Case of study: The Chihuahuan Desert","authors":"Victor M Rodríguez-Moreno ,&nbsp;Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes ,&nbsp;Juan Estrada-Ávalos ,&nbsp;Pedro Félix-Valencia ,&nbsp;Ramón Trucíos-Caciano ,&nbsp;César Valenzuela-Solano","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Chihuahuan Desert is a distinctive and ecologically diverse region that is particularly susceptible to climate change. To effectively characterize the ecosystem services in this area, access to extensive geospatial data is crucial. Web services have emerged as a powerful solution for querying and downloading large volumes of climate geospatial data. Specifically, the Chihuahuan Desert Web Service (ChDWS) has been developed to streamline access to climate data. This service features an intuitive interface that enables researchers and decision-makers to efficiently query and download substantial datasets related to the region’s climate. With an internet connection, users can access the ChDWS more efficiently and conveniently from anywhere. This enhances the ability of researchers and decision-makers to obtain the data necessary for their studies and assessments. Web services, such as the ChDWS, offer significant advantages in querying and bulk downloading large climate geospatial datasets. They facilitate access to essential data for climate research and assessments, ultimately aiding in the better understanding and management of climate change impacts in the Chihuahuan Desert. By supporting bulk downloads in CSV and GeoTiff formats, web services like the ChDWS streamline data management and facilitate a better understanding and management of climate change impacts in the Chihuahuan Desert.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100515"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142428687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evaluation of water supply function in the Economic Belt of the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains based on the InVEST model","authors":"Wei Liu ,&nbsp;Hao Tian ,&nbsp;Xingang Xu ,&nbsp;Guang Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100519","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100519","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Economic Belt of the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains (EBNSTM) is a composite ecosystem with mountains, oases, and desert areas; it also serves as an active area for anthropogenic activities. Frequent changes in soil and water resources have significant impacts on regional ecosystems. However, research on the ecosystem water yield function of EBNSTM is relatively limited; additionally, the spatiotemporal variations in the water supply function based on land use changes have not been sufficiently elucidated. This study aimed to explore the land use changes and the spatial variability of water supply service functions in the region at the macro level and uses the land transfer matrix as an important tool to study the changes in land use in the different years of 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. Using the InVEST model, we conducted a quantitative assessment and comprehensive study on the water supply function of EBNSTM across the aforementioned years. Additionally, the study delved into the structure of ecosystem service functions, alongside investigating the spatial and temporal variability of ecosystem services under the multi-scale units of administrative divisions, ecological zones, and land classes. We found that during the 20-year period, the area of construction land of EBNSTM increased by 1089 km², with the highest dynamic change rate of 4.09 %; 2015–2020 period was the most drastic period of change for each land use type. The average multi-year depth of water production was 87.49 mm, totaling 71.59 × 10⁸ m³. The spatial distribution pattern of the water supply function in the study area during the last 20 years consistently exhibited a distinct pattern: mountainous areas displayed the highest water supply capacity, followed by oases, and deserts ranked the lowest. Further, the water supply service function within the study area is currently experiencing a modest rate of increase. The rate of change in water supply depth was 2.76 mm/a, while the rate of change in water supply volume was 0.47 × 10⁸ m³/a. Areas with enhanced water supply capacity are mostly distributed in the southeast of EBNSTM, whereas the northwest, encompassing the mountainous areas, exhibited a declined water supply capacity. Between 2000 and 2020, the water supply capacity in the study area was ranked as follows: woodland &gt; grassland &gt; unutilized land &gt; cultivated land &gt; urban construction land, with woodland displaying the strongest water supply capacity. When woodlands, grasslands, and croplands were converted to other land use types, their water supply functions generally decreased, and vice versa. Our findings provide a scientific basis for the sustainable management of water and soil resources in EBNSTM.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100519"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142327829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Small-scale farmers perception, adaptation choices to climate change and existing barriers: Evidence from northern Ethiopia","authors":"Mengistie Mossie,&nbsp;Tadsa Chanie","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100517","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100517","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change continues to significantly impact agricultural production in Ethiopia that have encountered several environmental problems in recent decades. The study site is one of the areas vulnerable to climate change and influenced by climate variability. This study intends to identify small-scale farmers’ adaptation options, their perception and existing barriers in northern Ethiopia. It is based on an analysis of cross-sectional data collected from 193 randomly selected farm household heads. A multivariate probit model was employed to analyze the factors influencing farmers’ climate change adaptation choices. Constraint Facing Index (CFI) technique was also constructed to identify the existing barriers. The findings indicate that a significant number of farmers (91.2%) reported a trend toward rising temperatures. Similarly, 86.01% of the farmers indicated that the perceived rainfall trend has decreased. Adjusting planting dates (56.5%), integrated soil fertility management practices (47.7%), early maturing crop varieties (53.4%), terracing for soil and water conservation (54.9%), and income diversification (55.4%) were the most common climate change adaptation options practiced by farm households in the study area. Some of these adaptation options have significant and complementary relationships. The farmer’s choice of adaptation option was highly constrained by institutional factors and all these identified factors can be possibly addressed through a better institutional service provision system, for a better farm-level adaptation while considering demographic characteristics as well.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100517"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142319109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"How could 50 °C be reached in Paris: Analyzing the CMIP6 ensemble to design storylines for adaptation","authors":"Pascal Yiou ,&nbsp;Robert Vautard ,&nbsp;Yoann Robin ,&nbsp;Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré ,&nbsp;Fabio D’Andrea ,&nbsp;Robin Noyelle","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100518","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2024.100518","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reaching a surface temperature of 50 °C in a heavily populated region, like Paris, would have devastating effects. Although such a high value seems far from the present-day record of 42.6 °C, its occurrence cannot be dismissed by the end of the 21st century, due to the continuous increase of global mean temperature. In this paper, we address two questions that were asked by the City of Paris to a group of scientists: When does this event start to be likely? What are the prevailing meteorological conditions? We base our study on the CMIP6 simulation ensemble. Many of the CMIP6 yield biases in temperature. Rather than using methods of bias correction, which are not necessarily adapted to high extremes, we propose a pragmatic approach of model selection in order to seek such high temperature events that are deemed realistic. We analyze the meteorological conditions leading to first occurrences of such hot events and their common atmospheric patterns. This paper describes a simple data mining approach (on a large ensemble of climate model simulations) which could be adapted to other regions of the world, in order to help decision makers anticipating and adapting to such devastating meteorological events.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 100518"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880724000736/pdfft?md5=78f35562b2fc8ddfa43c0c2e1352fe83&pid=1-s2.0-S2405880724000736-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142310362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}