生计复原力和数字化:巴基斯坦受洪水影响的边缘化农村社区的粮食安全战略

IF 4.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Muhammad Aamir Shahzad , Xu Zhao , Jin Zhang , Mehwish Rasheed , Shengze Qin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴基斯坦非常容易受到洪水的影响,洪水严重影响了数百万人,造成粮食不稳定,阻碍了边缘化农村社区的生计,由于资源和适应能力不足,这些社区面临的风险最大。加强家庭层面的战略对于增强社区抵御能力至关重要。本研究旨在利用多元probit模型和倾向得分匹配技术,确定农村边缘社区采用的抗洪策略、数字化的作用,并评估其对粮食不稳定性和生计抗洪能力的影响。本研究使用了384户家庭的数据,这些数据是通过多阶段抽样方法收集的。研究结果表明,大多数家庭缺乏数字化服务和有效的预警机制;然而,他们采取缓解措施,改善生计和粮食稳定。例如,移徙与土地拥有量增加有关,而混合农业和多样化职业增加了牲畜拥有量、资源动员和饮食多样性,尽管以谷物为基础的饮食仍然占主导地位。性别失衡和社会人口因素显著影响洪水应对策略和社区生计复原力。该研究建议,政策措施应扩大数字基础设施和早期预警系统,解决性别不平等问题,促进多样化的生计。因地制宜的适应战略,加上饮食多样化,对于可持续的抗洪能力和长期粮食安全至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Livelihood resilience and digitalization: Food security strategies for marginalized rural communities affected by floods in Pakistan
Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to floods which severely affect millions of people and create food instability and obstruct livelihoods with marginalized rural communities are most at risk due to poor resources and adaptive capability. Strengthening household-level strategies is critical for enhancing community resilience. This study aims to identify the adoption of flood resilience strategies, the role of digitalization and assess their impact on food instability and livelihood resilience in marginalized rural communities using multivariate probit model and propensity score matching techniques. This uses data from 384 households, collected through multistage sampling methods. Findings indicate that most households lack digitalization services and effective early warning mechanisms; however, they adopt mitigation measures that enhance livelihoods and food stability. For instance, migration is associated with larger landholdings, while mixed farming and diversified occupations increase livestock ownership, resource mobilization, and dietary diversity, although cereal-based diets remain predominant. Gender imbalances and sociodemographic factors significantly influence flood coping strategies and community livelihood resilience. This study suggests that policy measures should expand digital infrastructure and early warning systems, address gender inequalities, and promote diversified livelihoods. Locally tailored adaptation strategies, coupled with dietary diversification, are essential for sustainable flood resilience and long-term food security.
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来源期刊
Climate Services
Climate Services Multiple-
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
15.60%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: The journal Climate Services publishes research with a focus on science-based and user-specific climate information underpinning climate services, ultimately to assist society to adapt to climate change. Climate Services brings science and practice closer together. The journal addresses both researchers in the field of climate service research, and stakeholders and practitioners interested in or already applying climate services. It serves as a means of communication, dialogue and exchange between researchers and stakeholders. Climate services pioneers novel research areas that directly refer to how climate information can be applied in methodologies and tools for adaptation to climate change. It publishes best practice examples, case studies as well as theories, methods and data analysis with a clear connection to climate services. The focus of the published work is often multi-disciplinary, case-specific, tailored to specific sectors and strongly application-oriented. To offer a suitable outlet for such studies, Climate Services journal introduced a new section in the research article type. The research article contains a classical scientific part as well as a section with easily understandable practical implications for policy makers and practitioners. The journal''s focus is on the use and usability of climate information for adaptation purposes underpinning climate services.
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