Mathematical Biosciences最新文献

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Dynamics and bifurcation of a hybrid competition model with applications to adaptive cancer therapy 混合竞争模型的动力学和分岔及其在适应性癌症治疗中的应用。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109636
Huansheng Sun , Biao Tang , Jonathan E. Forde , Yanni Xiao
{"title":"Dynamics and bifurcation of a hybrid competition model with applications to adaptive cancer therapy","authors":"Huansheng Sun ,&nbsp;Biao Tang ,&nbsp;Jonathan E. Forde ,&nbsp;Yanni Xiao","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109636","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109636","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Adaptive therapy is a novel cancer treatment strategy that proposes to tackle cancer drug resistance by leveraging resource competition between drug-sensitive and resistant cells. Because the underlying mathematical mechanisms of adaptive therapy remain unclear, determining the most effective rates of intervention is a significant challenge. In this paper, we propose a competition model incorporating fixed-time periodic tumor measurements with impulsive interventions performed if the number of tumor cells exceeds a threshold value. For the proposed model, we find a novel type of periodic solutions. Specifically, we demonstrate the existence of various (ℓ, <em>m</em>)<em>T</em> boundary periodic solutions and rigorously analyze their stability. Using bifurcation theory, we further prove the existence and stability of positive periodic solutions. Further, we perform numerical simulations to study these bifurcations with respect to key parameters such as the threshold value (<em>TV</em>) and the monitoring period (<em>T</em>). Numerical studies find that time to treatment failure exhibits a nonlinear dependence on the killing rate of drug-sensitive cells, i.e., it initially increases, reaches a plateau, and subsequently declines as the killing rate increases, revealing that maximizing the killing rate does not yield optimal therapeutic outcomes. The finding indicates that incorporating a threshold can extend patient’s survival time, implying the therapeutic benefit of threshold-based adaptive therapy for tumor control.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"394 ","pages":"Article 109636"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146088587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impulsive stem cell transplantation to modulate psoriasis: Insights of complex cytokine network 脉冲干细胞移植调节牛皮癣:复杂细胞因子网络的见解。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109623
Subhankar Kushary , Tushar Ghosh , Priti Kumar Roy
{"title":"Impulsive stem cell transplantation to modulate psoriasis: Insights of complex cytokine network","authors":"Subhankar Kushary ,&nbsp;Tushar Ghosh ,&nbsp;Priti Kumar Roy","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109623","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109623","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Psoriasis is caused by abnormal interactions between immune cells, cytokines, and keratinocytes. In this study, we develop a dynamical model that includes epidermal stem-cell differentiation, activated T cells, activated dendritic cells, keratinocytes, and a selected cytokine network (TNF, TGF-<em>β</em>, IL-23, IL-17, IL-10). The model considers two-way interactions between cytokines and cells, and the quasi-steady-state approximation is applied to reduce complexity. We determine the invariant region that ensures bounded solutions and analyze the local stability of the interior equilibrium. Sensitivity analysis shows key parameters that strongly influence keratinocyte growth. Hopf bifurcation analysis with respect to TNF-driven keratinocyte up-regulation (<em>ζ</em><sub>3</sub>) and IL-10 production by stem cells (<em>p</em><sub>7</sub>) reveals that higher <em>ζ</em><sub>3</sub> or lower <em>p</em><sub>7</sub> induce oscillatory, flare-like dynamics, while stronger IL-10 feedback stabilizes the system. Numerical simulations test therapeutic strategies, including TNF inhibition and stem cell infusion, modeled with impulsive control. The mathematical results show conditions under which impulsive periodic orbits become stable. Simulations indicate that TNF inhibition gives only temporary benefit, whereas stem cell infusion provides sustained control of immune activation and keratinocyte overgrowth. Overall, the study highlights the importance of cytokine balance and supports stem cell therapy as a promising approach for restoring immune-epidermal homeostasis in psoriasis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"394 ","pages":"Article 109623"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146014060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Propagation through a barrier: Numerical analysis of a reaction-diffusion model with free boundary 障壁传播:具有自由边界的反应扩散模型的数值分析。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109624
Narges Shabgard, Timothy M. Schaerf, Yihong Du
{"title":"Propagation through a barrier: Numerical analysis of a reaction-diffusion model with free boundary","authors":"Narges Shabgard,&nbsp;Timothy M. Schaerf,&nbsp;Yihong Du","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109624","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109624","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;We try to better understand how a spatial barrier may affect the spreading of an invading species via numerical analysis of some variations of a free boundary model in [1, 2] (where only homogeneous environment was considered). Here we incorporate a spatial barrier by replacing a bistable growth term &lt;em&gt;f&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;u&lt;/em&gt;) in the model with &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;f&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;,&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mo&gt;=&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;r&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;θ&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, where &lt;em&gt;θ&lt;/em&gt; ∈ (0, 1/2) and &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;r&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mo&gt;=&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;1&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; except in the barrier region &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mo&gt;[&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;msub&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mn&gt;0&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/msub&gt;&lt;mo&gt;,&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;msub&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mn&gt;0&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/msub&gt;&lt;mo&gt;+&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;l&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;]&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, in which &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;x&lt;/em&gt;) becomes negative away from its boundary, representing the biological assumption that the environment becomes hostile to the species inside the barrier. A parameter &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt; &gt; 0 in the expression of &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;x&lt;/em&gt;) is used to characterize the severity of the environmental hostility. We find that when all the other parameters are fixed there exists a critical value &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt;* of the barrier length &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt; such that successful spreading is continued past the barrier region when &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt; &lt; &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt;*, and the propagation is blocked when &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt; &gt; &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt;*. Similarly we show numerically that when all the other parameters are fixed, there is a critical value &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt;* of the barrier severity &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt; such that propagation can be continued when &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt; &lt; &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt;*, but it is blocked when &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt; &gt; &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt;*. The dependence of &lt;em&gt;l&lt;/em&gt;* (respectively &lt;em&gt;α&lt;/em&gt;*) on the other parameters are also analysed.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;To include temporal fluctuations of the environment, we further replace &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;x&lt;/em&gt;) by &lt;em&gt;a&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;t&lt;/em&gt;)&lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;x&lt;/em&gt;) with &lt;em&gt;a&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;t&lt;/em&gt;) a positive time-periodic function of average 1, to represent the periodic modulation of the environment. Our numerical simulations suggest that increasing the magnitude of temporal variation enhances the ability of species invasion, while increasing the frequency of such variation reduces this ability.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;To see how Allee effect may influence the invasion with a barrier, our results based on a bistable &lt;em&gt;f&lt;/em&gt; discussed above are compared with that for a model obtained from a standard monostable function (no Allee effect), namely &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mi&gt;f&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;=&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;[&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;r&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;(&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;x&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;)&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mi&gt;u&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;mo&gt;]&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; with the same &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;(&lt;em&gt;x&lt;/em&gt;). A parallel numerical analysis shows that qualitatively everything is the same in the monostable case, including the numerical results incorporating seasonal changes (w","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"394 ","pages":"Article 109624"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146044540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adaptive foraging under stoichiometric constraints can reshape competitive outcomes 化学计量约束下的适应性觅食可以重塑竞争结果。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109625
Oluwagbemisola Oladepo , Angela Peace
{"title":"Adaptive foraging under stoichiometric constraints can reshape competitive outcomes","authors":"Oluwagbemisola Oladepo ,&nbsp;Angela Peace","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109625","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109625","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Competition for resources is a central concept in ecology that is traditionally constrained by the Competitive Exclusion Principle, which states that n consumers cannot stably coexist on fewer than n resources. However, studies have shown that incorporating ecological stoichiometry (linking organisms’ growth and survival to nutrient ratios of elements like carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus) into competition models with two consumers feeding on a single resource reveals that nutrient composition, not just quantity, can determine competitive outcomes, potentially allowing stable coexistence regions. Building on these foundations, this study extends stoichiometric competition models to include <em>adaptive foraging</em>, where consumer feeding effort dynamically responds to resource quality. Two frameworks were analyzed: a base model with fixed feeding effort for both consumers and an adaptive model where the initially disadvantaged competitor’s feeding effort evolves over time. Analytical and numerical results demonstrate that adaptive foraging can expand conditions for persistence, enable coexistence, and even reverse dominance hierarchies by allowing inferior consumers to compensate for nutrient or efficiency disadvantages. However, these benefits decline under extreme enrichment, where prey nutrient quality deteriorates beyond compensation limits. Additionally, the speed of adaptation influences competitive outcome, as the initially disadvantaged consumer must adapt fast enough to see the benefit of adaptation. Overall, the study shows that adaptive foraging under stoichiometric constraints fundamentally reshapes ecological competition, highlighting the interplay between nutrient dynamics, behavioral plasticity, and adaptation in maintaining biodiversity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"394 ","pages":"Article 109625"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146044539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modulation of blood pressure by estrogen: A modeling analysis 雌激素对血压的调节:一个模型分析
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109610
Anita T. Layton
{"title":"Modulation of blood pressure by estrogen: A modeling analysis","authors":"Anita T. Layton","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109610","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109610","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hypertension is a global health challenge: it affects one billion people worldwide and is estimated to account for &gt;60% of all cases or types of cardiovascular disease. Premenopausal women have lower blood pressure and hypertension prevalence compared to age-matched men, but that female protection is lost after menopause, the onset of which marks the beginning of a rapid decline in estrogen levels. The precise mechanisms by which estrogen protects premenopausal women from hypertension have yet to be elucidated. What is known is that estrogen has a plethora of interactions with other hormone systems as well as physiological processes known or hypothesized to impact the regulation of blood pressure. Thus, an objective of this study is to identify the primary contributors to the estrogen-mediated cardiovascular protection. To accomplish that goal, we develop a blood pressure regulation model that incorporates the effects of estrogen on the renin-angiotensin system, the reactivity of renal sympathetic nervous activity, vascular tone, and renal epithelial transport. Model simulations suggest that estrogen’s vasodilatory effect, especially on the afferent arterioles, is the largest cause of premenopausal women’s lower blood pressure and resistance to developing hypertension. Furthermore, the model predicts that angiotensin receptor blockers are more effective than angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors in treating hypertensive women throughout their lifespan, even as estrogen levels decline.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"393 ","pages":"Article 109610"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145886170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stability analysis of a time-delayed SIQR epidemic model with nonlinear transmission and control parameters 具有非线性传递和控制参数的时滞SIQR流行病模型的稳定性分析。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109608
Kaijiao Huang , Lifei Wang , Faisal Mehmood
{"title":"Stability analysis of a time-delayed SIQR epidemic model with nonlinear transmission and control parameters","authors":"Kaijiao Huang ,&nbsp;Lifei Wang ,&nbsp;Faisal Mehmood","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109608","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109608","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We introduce an SIQR epidemic model that integrates nonlinear transmission and two discrete time delays corresponding to incubation and treatment durations. The model seeks to encapsulate essential dynamical characteristics of epidemic advancement while being suitable for thorough stability examination. The local asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria is examined by Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals and delay-dependent linear matrix inequalities (LMIs), which mitigate conservatism in the established stability constraints compared to time-invariant criteria. In the absence of delays, we obtain the classical Routh-Hurwitz criteria for local stability, and for positive delays, we formulate characteristic equations whose roots are examined to identify Hopf bifurcations. Transversality requirements are checked to ensure the presence of Hopf bifurcations and to determine key delay thresholds beyond which persistent oscillations form. We propose a delay-dependent feedback control rule that adaptively modifies transmission and quarantine rates; necessary conditions for stability under this control are provided in LMI form and converted into explicit, interpretable constraints on permissible delays and minimum control intensity. The model is augmented to incorporate basic demographic turnover and multi-stage infection delays to provide subgroup-specific treatment representations. Numerical simulations and bifurcation diagrams demonstrate and validate the theoretical findings, indicating how augmented delays or intensified nonlinear transmission can alter stability thresholds and provoke recurring outbreaks. Our findings quantify (i) essential delay durations that undermine stability and (ii) the control effort necessary to reestablish equilibrium, results that can be articulated as definitive decision thresholds for conversion into policy-relevant outputs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"393 ","pages":"Article 109608"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145902060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling vaccine failures and behavioral change: Effects on disease transmission dynamics and thresholds 模拟疫苗失效和行为改变:对疾病传播动力学和阈值的影响。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109619
Irasema Pedroza-Meza , M. Adrian Acuña-Zegarra , Jorge X. Velasco-Hernández
{"title":"Modeling vaccine failures and behavioral change: Effects on disease transmission dynamics and thresholds","authors":"Irasema Pedroza-Meza ,&nbsp;M. Adrian Acuña-Zegarra ,&nbsp;Jorge X. Velasco-Hernández","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109619","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109619","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Vaccination is a cornerstone of infectious disease control, yet vaccines are not fully protective, leaving a fraction of the vaccinated population susceptible to infection. This partial protection can alter behavior, as individuals who perceive themselves as immune may reduce adherence to preventive measures. Motivated by this, we investigate how behavioral changes among non-immune vaccinated individuals influence the dynamics of a directly transmitted disease and the basic reproduction number. We propose a model that incorporates vaccine failure through three facets (take, degree, and duration) alongside a behavioral parameter that modifies contact rates according to compliance with mitigation measures.</div><div>Our analysis highlights the critical role of the behavioral index in key phenomena, including backward bifurcation and overall disease dynamics. We identify two thresholds. The first specifies the values of the behavioral index for which backward bifurcation does not arise, thereby indicating the conditions under which the disease may persist. The second establishes a relationship between the behavioral index and vaccine efficacy, which allows us to compare the transmission dynamics of our model with those of the classical vaccination model.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"393 ","pages":"Article 109619"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145947158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A multiobjective optimization approach to data assimilation for complex biological systems with sparse data 具有稀疏数据的复杂生物系统数据同化的多目标优化方法。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109605
David J. Albers , George Hripcsak , Lena Mamykina , Melike Sirlanci , Esteban G. Tabak
{"title":"A multiobjective optimization approach to data assimilation for complex biological systems with sparse data","authors":"David J. Albers ,&nbsp;George Hripcsak ,&nbsp;Lena Mamykina ,&nbsp;Melike Sirlanci ,&nbsp;Esteban G. Tabak","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109605","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109605","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article develops a novel multiobjective data assimilation methodology, addressing challenges that are common in real-world settings, such as severe sparsity of observations, lack of reliable models, and non-stationarity of the system dynamics. These challenges often cause issues and can confound model parameter estimation and initialization that can lead to estimated models with unrealistic qualitative dynamics and induce qualitative and quantitative parameter estimation errors. The proposed multiobjective function is constructed as a sum of components, each serving a different purpose: enforcing point-wise and distribution-wise agreement between data and model output, enforcing agreement of variables and parameters with a model provided, and penalizing unrealistic rapid parameter changes, unless they are due to external drivers or interventions. This methodology was motivated by, developed and evaluated in the context of estimating blood glucose levels in different medical settings. Both simulated and real data are used to evaluate the methodology from different perspectives, such as its ability to estimate unmeasured variables, its ability to reproduce the correct qualitative blood glucose dynamics, how it manages non-stationarity, and how it performs when given a range of dense and severely sparse data. The results show that a multicomponent cost function can balance the minimization of point-wise errors with global properties, robustly preserving correct qualitative dynamics and managing data sparsity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"393 ","pages":"Article 109605"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145846585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamics of a tick-borne disease transmission model with acquired tick resistance 具有获得性蜱虫抗性的蜱传疾病传播模型动力学。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109618
Junfang Cheng, Xue Zhang
{"title":"Dynamics of a tick-borne disease transmission model with acquired tick resistance","authors":"Junfang Cheng,&nbsp;Xue Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109618","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2026.109618","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tick-borne diseases pose a potential threat to public health, and mathematical models have been developed and used to analyze the spread mechanisms of tick-borne diseases. An important host behavior, acquired tick resistance (ATR), to defend against tick infestation, has not yet been modeled and qualitatively analyzed. This paper proposes a model of tick-borne disease transmission incorporating ATR, where hosts are categorized into subgroups based on their infection status and tick bite counts. For the tick-host population model, we derive four distribution patterns of the host subpopulations and analyze the global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium. For the disease transmission model, we calculate the basic reproduction number and prove the global asymptotic stability of both the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium. Numerical simulations illustrate that the emergence of ATR effectively reduces the number of infected hosts, while an increase in the co-feeding transmission probability leads to a rise in the number of infected ticks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"393 ","pages":"Article 109618"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145947179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identification of significant SNPs and the quantification of correlation using genomic informational field theory (GIFT) 利用基因组信息场理论(GIFT)鉴定显著snp和量化相关性。
IF 1.8 4区 数学
Mathematical Biosciences Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109606
Scott Gadsby , Cyril Rauch , Jonathan A D Wattis
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